Inflation: Not too hot, not too cold

Abn Amro
Door juni 19, 2018 13:28

Inflation: Not too hot, not too cold

US Watch

  • Inflation in the US has recovered more quickly than anticipated, driven by core goods and housing
  • Some of this strength will likely persist, but structural forces continue to weigh on the medium-term inflation outlook
  • The cyclical labour market story is also not a clear-cut positive: participation is recovering, and the NAIRU could be lower
  • We have raised our 2018 core CPI inflation forecast by 40bp to 2.1%, but do not see signs of a significant pickup from here
  • ‘Just right’ inflation should keep the Fed comfortable with its gradual rate hike path
Abn Amro
Door juni 19, 2018 13:28

Zoek

Asset Allocation Consensus September

Twitter

The integration of #ESG criteria often has a greater impact for emerging countries. Find out why in an interview with our expert #Karine_Jesiolowski (via @allnews_ch).

Low interest rates drive housing market -> https://t.co/XjhuRim2P7 #Interest #mortgages via @ABNAMROeconomen

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