Distortion, divergence and diversification
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Global Investment Outlook
The global economy holds the potential to maintain solid momentum in 2019, in our view, underpinned by the strength of US fundamentals and demand. Volatility returned to global financial markets in 2018 as the narrative around synchronized global growth became more pessimistic. However, growth trends remain broadly positive and desynchronization might not be the headwind that markets may have feared at times. Of keen interest to us is how countries’ economic divergences and policy differences will ultimately be reconciled, given their prospective impacts on trade, currencies and the normalization of monetary policy in the advanced world.