U.S. Equities November 2018
Also Interesting
The road was definitely taken, in both directions (sorry Robert Frost), at least according to estimates that this U.S. Thanksgiving holiday produced 54.3 million Americans (0.7% of the world population) traveling at least 50 miles (80.5 kilometers) from home for the holiday. Good thing gasoline prices were down 9.2% for the month and down 0.7% year-over-year via the all-grade EIA reports, as oil was 33.6% off its recent October high, with early travel noted. The S&P 500 also left town early for the holiday, but not before it sold, as it declined into its second correction of the year, off 10.17% (2,673.45) from its Sept. 20, 2018, high (2,930.56), a tick worse than the Feb. 8, 2018, correction of 10.16% (2,581.00). Seems like just yesterday we were all commenting (and option and day traders complaining) about low volatility and the lack of stock swings, but there have been 54 daily 1% moves YTD (23.4% of the days; 30 up and 24 down, with 5 up and 3 down this month), compared with all of 2017’s 8 (3.2% of the days; 4 up and 4 down). The change has rattled some newcomers, but 10 years ago in the “fun” days of 2008, 53% of the days moved at least 1% (59 up and 75 down; 1932 had 66%). After the crowd returned from their Thanksgiving feast, the Street calmed down, opening with one of those 1% gains (1.55%). Then, with a little help from U.S. Fed Chair Powell, it was anything but neutral as it posted another 1% gain (2.30%), giving the market some breathing room from the correction point