Plenty of twists and turns to negotiate cautiously
Also Interesting
Macroeconomic Scenario for 2019-2020
It might be easier (and, more importantly, quite smart) to take refuge behind the dangers currently looming to concoct gloomy or even alarmist forecasts. It would be an easy stance, given such a long list of perils, their multifarious nature and their varied probabilities of materialising. One may also, more humbly, try to build a scenario which, without being ingenuous, does not wallow in all-out pessimism. This would be a scenario that assumes, first of all, that the US-China trade war will continue.
