Why stability may be enough for cyclicals

Why stability may be enough for cyclicals

🕔17:18, 30.apr 2019

Can cyclical stocks continue to trounce defensives? Russ discusses. Cyclicals rule. After getting trounced in Q4, year-to-date more cyclically oriented stocks and sectors have trounced “defensive”, less-cyclically exposed names. The trend has been even more pronounced during the past month. For

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Returned to the office with hope

Returned to the office with hope

🕔13:02, 30.apr 2019

Macro Weekly When I left for my sabbatical the global economy was stumbling along. It still is. But here is hope as…

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Is the earnings downgrade cycle over?

Is the earnings downgrade cycle over?

🕔13:02, 30.apr 2019

Multi-Asset Solutions Weekly Strategy Report Since last year we’ve taken a cautious stance on equities. This to a large extent reflected our view that the potential for corporate earnings growth in the medium term is muted, and that too-aggressive market

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Economic Update

Economic Update

🕔13:02, 30.apr 2019

Growth 1Q19 U.S. real GDP growth was 3.2% q/q saar, up a full percentage point from 2.2% in 4Q18. Despite the protracted government shutdown and an anticipated fading boost from tax cuts, growth in 1Q was bolstered by high inventories,

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Global Asset Class Spotlights Q2

Global Asset Class Spotlights Q2

🕔13:02, 30.apr 2019

Top Down Quarterly Assessment  Our central case is still for a late-cycle phase, despite there still being a significant possibility of a tail risk of a slowdown (probability 20%)

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Trade troubles near Europe’s shores

Trade troubles near Europe’s shores

🕔13:02, 30.apr 2019

Europe’s economy looks to be on the cusp of recovery – a potential support for the region’s lagging risk assets. Yet there is a key risk to our base case: Trade tensions between the U.S. and Europe may heat up

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Emerging Market Green Bonds Report 2018

Emerging Market Green Bonds Report 2018

🕔13:02, 30.apr 2019

A consolidation year paving the way for growth   In October 2018, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) urged the world to intensify its efforts to combat climate change by meeting the goal of the 2016 Paris Agreement to limit

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The ECB and tiering

The ECB and tiering

🕔12:49, 30.apr 2019

Eurozone heterogeneity remains an important constraint for the European Central Bank’s (ECB) transmission mechanism Significant regional differences in central bank liquidity provision/absorption and commercial bank liquidity utilisation make the implementation of a “one-size-fits-all” tiering-policy strategy challenging . The introduction of

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What does the current late economic cycle mean for inflation-linked bonds?

What does the current late economic cycle mean for inflation-linked bonds?

🕔12:08, 30.apr 2019

We believe the current late cycle economic conditions – slower growth and stable inflation – coupled with central banks’ accommodative shift since the beginning of 2019, is creating a positive environment for inflation-linked bonds. In our view, beyond the recent

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A renewed spring in Europe’s step

A renewed spring in Europe’s step

🕔02:07, 30.apr 2019

Macro and Market Perspectives April 2019 We expect Europe to shake off its current soft patch later this year, getting a boost from China’s stimulus efforts and any resulting rebound in global manufacturing. If the global growth backdrop improves and

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    december 3 @ 12:00 - 18:00

Asset Allocation Consensus September

Twitter

Food prices inflation rose visibly; trade tensions eased on the margin -> https://t.co/xi6DNKIpIl #China #inflation #TradeWars via @KraneShares

2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions -> https://t.co/ssZUDOyEgd #ExpectedReturns #LTCMA #AssetAllocation #Equities #Fixedincome via @InvescoEMEA

Renewed expansion of Fed balance sheet will not be QE but will affect markets -> https://t.co/FwuvTMvUfU #CentralBank #fomc #currency via @Amundi_ENG

Favoring Loans and CLOs Due to Attractive Valuations -> https://t.co/BCH6GJic0E #clo #fixedincome #HighYield #Credit #fomc via @PineBridge

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