Our take on high yield bonds

Our take on high yield bonds

🕔16:22, 21.May 2019

We see high yield bonds as a key source of income in bond portfolios, and advocate a balanced and diversified approach. Scott explains. Global high yield bonds sold off amid the latest spike in market volatility, along with other risk

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EM Local Currency Debt: No Pain, No Gain

EM Local Currency Debt: No Pain, No Gain

🕔15:02, 20.May 2019

Strategy Espresso Regular readers of the Espresso will know that we have been positive on emerging market (EM) local currency debt for some time. Despite escalating trade tensions weighing on market sentiment, we believe this hurdle will be passed, and

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Implications from European elections

Implications from European elections

🕔14:02, 20.May 2019

Author: Martin Wolburg / Paolo Zanghieri The May 23-26 European Elections will likely result in a big gain of seats by Eurosceptics. We expect a coalition of Conservatives, Socialists and Liberals or Greens to retain a pro-EU majority in the

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How to hedge against a downturn?

How to hedge against a downturn?

🕔11:46, 20.May 2019

This is close to being the longest economic expansion on record. Nobody knows exactly when it will end, so it’s worth considering what investments could rise in value when equities and other risk assets fall during the next downturn. By

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Fixed Income Asset Allocation Insights

Fixed Income Asset Allocation Insights

🕔11:02, 20.May 2019

The Economy Keeps Improving and Spreads Keep Tightening The good macroeconomic news continues to flow, including healthy GDP growth, strong corporate earnings, and a continued dovish stance by the Federal Reserve. Specifically, the US economy expanded by 3.2% in the

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Trading on trade wars

Trading on trade wars

🕔11:02, 20.May 2019

Weekly Bond Bulletin Trade rhetoric is dominating news flow, weighing on risk assets. What could be the implications for US growth and inflation, and how is the outlook reflected in valuations?

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At a crossroads

At a crossroads

🕔11:02, 20.May 2019

Macro Weekly Manufacturing remains in the doldrums Disappointing Chinese April data after strong March Also a range of positives to note …

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Time to Shine

Time to Shine

🕔11:02, 20.May 2019

Does tactical asset allocation help? The cost of selling out  

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Economic crisis and political risk batter Argentina. Way out or opportunity?

Economic crisis and political risk batter Argentina. Way out or opportunity?

🕔11:02, 20.May 2019

Investment talks Argentina’s economic situation: The economy is facing severe stagflation. Monetary and fiscal policy are extremely tight, consumer and investor confidence is low, and inflation is proving very sticky amidst wage indexation. Whilst we view the fiscal and monetary

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The practical considerations of ESG in multi-asset portfolios

The practical considerations of ESG in multi-asset portfolios

🕔11:02, 20.May 2019

Multi-Asset Investments In our last paper1 we established how asset owners can include a sustainability budget alongside their risk and governance budgets. How to implement this at a total portfolio level is the next challenge that asset owners face. We

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China Watch

China Watch

🕔11:02, 20.May 2019

Oops, he did it again US-China tensions re-escalate  … affecting stock markets and the yuan  Complete breakdown of talks not likely, but uncertainty remains high

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US-China trade: continuing the talks while making the war

US-China trade: continuing the talks while making the war

🕔11:02, 20.May 2019

Investment Talks In our opinion, investors should dismiss the idea that talks could break down, albeit uncertainties remain. Recent work has focused on details and wording, with the majority of the agreement document having been completed. However, several major issues

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Trade tensions trouble commodity prices

Trade tensions trouble commodity prices

🕔11:02, 20.May 2019

Monthly Commodity Insights On 10 April the CRB set a top and the index started a modest decline. Since 22 April the decline has accelerated and the index has lost around 5%. The decline of oil prices since 25 April

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Respite For Europe Against The Backdrop Of The Trade War

Respite For Europe Against The Backdrop Of The Trade War

🕔11:02, 20.May 2019

Market Flash  In a week full of twists and turns, US-China trade talks turned complicated. Donald Trump is now expected to postpone the introduction of tariffs on European car and spare part imports to the US. This coincided with a

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Multi-Asset Solutions Weekly Strategy Report

Multi-Asset Solutions Weekly Strategy Report

🕔11:02, 20.May 2019

Global markets and multi-asset portfolios After several months of calm, recent weeks have brought a resurgence of international trade disputes; the U.S. and China raised tariffs again on each other’s goods, and other trade issues continue to ferment. Although the

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Value Investing

Value Investing

🕔19:02, 18.May 2019

Bruised by 1000 Cuts The duration and magnitude of value’s recent underperformance has caused many to ask once again if value investing is no longer effective. While it is possible that secular shifts have helped to compress value’s premium relative

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Big Data Is Changing Inflation

Big Data Is Changing Inflation

🕔07:00, 18.May 2019

Wie Gehts mit Deutschland? Fresh from a family vacation in Germany, Ryan shares an outlook on the country. ​ Foreign drivers in Germany are often excited about the unchecked speed limits on the Autobahn. But in my rental car, I was

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Dealing With China

Dealing With China

🕔07:00, 18.May 2019

Weekly Economic Commentary To obtain an economics degree at the University of Chicago, students were required to take a year-long course in the history of a non-Western civilization. Economics is a social science, after all, and business cultures can vary

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Trade Talks Take A Detour

Trade Talks Take A Detour

🕔07:00, 18.May 2019

Weekly Economic Commentary Trade negotiations between China and the United States took a sudden turn last week, when the White House announced new tariffs. China responded early this week with countermeasures. These provocations came as a rude awakening after three

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EZ – manufacturing sentiment expected to remain weak

EZ – manufacturing sentiment expected to remain weak

🕔04:04, 18.May 2019

Week Ahead Next week (May 23) the flash estimate of the manufacturing PMI of the Eurozone, Germany and France for the month of May will be released. In April, sentiment improved at least slightly for the first time since July

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Crypto-Assets: Implications for financial stability, monetary policy, and payments and market infrastructures

Crypto-Assets: Implications for financial stability, monetary policy, and payments and market infrastructures

🕔15:22, 17.May 2019

Occasional Paper Series This paper summarises the outcomes of the analysis of the ECB Crypto-Assets Task Force. First, it proposes a characterisation of crypto-assets in the absence of a common definition and as a basis for the consistent analysis of

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“Measuring Euro Area Monetary Policy”

“Measuring Euro Area Monetary Policy”

🕔15:22, 17.May 2019

ECB Monetary Policy Events  Table A.1 presents all the monetary policy events considered in our study. It shows the evolving pattern of the ECB meeting policy and the associated changes in policy communication. In this section, we point out these

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Trade tariff troubles …

Trade tariff troubles …

🕔15:02, 17.May 2019

Macro/government bonds It has been a busy couple of weeks in terms of economic data releases, though core government bond markets have not moved appreciably on this type of news. Rising trade tension rhetoric between the US and China, as

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European Parliament elections: More noise but some signals

European Parliament elections: More noise but some signals

🕔10:31, 17.May 2019

Key points Populists look set to make strong gains at the European elections but our expectation is that centrists will continue to dominate Political fragmentation will likely make the European Parliament less predictable, allowing strategic/temporary alignment of diverse political forces

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Why volatility could be worse

Why volatility could be worse

🕔07:47, 17.May 2019

Russ discusses why volatility has not been more severe, even though growth has softened. With one Sunday afternoon tweet, President Trump reintroduced what had recently vanished from financial markets: volatility.  By Thursday May 9th, the VIX Index, which measures implied

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Featured Events

  1. Equity investing for the long-term

    May 22 @ 13:00 - 17:00

Asset Allocation Consensus May

Twitter

Join the presentations of Geoffrey Lebeau @NordeaAM, Andrew Harvie @CTinvest_EMEA and Luc Simoncini @kamescapital @aegonam on #longtermequities @AlphaResearchNL seminar tomorrow in NL https://t.co/n3kW4H3n5L and on Wednesday in BE https://t.co/PqeYInza5g

Op 21 mei is het 'Long-term Equities' seminar van Alpha Research. Een van de thema's is: 'New leaders'. Hier zal Luc Simoncini van Aegon Asset Management over spreken. Meld je hier aan: https://t.co/LhX3FIk1jl

Specialisten van Columbia Threadneedle Investments, Nordea Asset Management en Aegon Asset Management zullen spreken op het seminar van Alpha Research over 'Long-term Equities' op 21 mei in het Rosarium. Meld je hier aan: https://t.co/LhX3FIk1jl #equities

Crypto-Assets: Implications for financial stability, monetary policy, and payments and market infrastructures -> https://t.co/Hbgo2dffML via @ecb #cryptocurrency #cryptoanalytics #bitcoin #blockchain #centralbank

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