Fed to raise its inflation game?

Fed to raise its inflation game?

🕔14:05, 31.May 2019

Macro and Market Perspectives The Federal Reserve is reviewing its monetary policy strategy amid concerns that the current policy toolkit won’t be powerful enough to counter a future economic downturn. The Fed is considering options to steer inflation expectations that

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Why invest in alternative assets?

Why invest in alternative assets?

🕔09:49, 31.May 2019

“For long term investors able to forego some liquidity, a strategic allocation to alternatives assets could help to improve the overall risk/return profile of their portfolio.” Vincent Juvyns There is no alternative…really? The post-crisis economic expansion has been long but

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Meet the strategist: Scott Thiel

Meet the strategist: Scott Thiel

🕔07:40, 31.May 2019

BlackRock’s Chief Fixed Income Strategist Scott Thiel shares why he chose finance over law school, the career achievement he’s most proud of and more in the latest installment in our ongoing series of Q&As with BlackRock investment strategists. We recently

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Why cyber security matters to investors?

Why cyber security matters to investors?

🕔16:57, 30.May 2019

Scott explains why cyber security is a key risk for investors to monitor, especially amid rising geopolitical tensions. Data breaches are increasingly in the news. But that’s not the only reason why one should care about cyber security. We view

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Should you move your portfolio into cash?

Should you move your portfolio into cash?

🕔05:00, 30.May 2019

For the past several years most investors have faced a simple but abiding problem: asset markets have been climbing for close to a decade and now nothing looks cheap. However, in 2018 things began to change. During the year, as

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Infrastructure debt Insurance regulations in Asia

Infrastructure debt Insurance regulations in Asia

🕔05:00, 30.May 2019

Across Asia, new risk-based insurance regulations are in various stages of development. From experience in Europe, we know that implementation of these new rules could have a profound impact on insurers’ investment strategy. In the fast-growing Asian insurance market, a

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China economy: Green shoots or red herrings?

China economy: Green shoots or red herrings?

🕔05:00, 30.May 2019

China macro update Defying global concerns around its growth, China’s first quarter GDP and March activity data provided further evidence that policy easing effects are coming through and growth is bottoming out, helped partly by an export recovery However, the

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European elections: a pivotal time

European elections: a pivotal time

🕔05:00, 30.May 2019

Due to take place on 23-26 May, the European Parliamentary (EP) elections are approaching fast. The final results will be communicated in the evening of 26 May At the time of writing, if polls are correct (1), the two mainstream

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Income is back in bond returns

Income is back in bond returns

🕔18:41, 29.May 2019

We see income, or carry, reasserting itself as the key driver of bond market returns. Scott explains. Coupon income historically has contributed the lion’s share of total returns across global fixed income markets. Yet declining yields this year elevated the

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Survey on the access to finance of enterprises − Methodological information on the survey and user guide for the anonymised micro dataset

Survey on the access to finance of enterprises − Methodological information on the survey and user guide for the anonymised micro dataset

🕔15:22, 29.May 2019

This document presents an overview of the methodology of the Survey on Access to Finance of Enterprises (SAFE), focusing on the set-up of the survey and the general characteristics of the euro area enterprises that participated. The microdata for the

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Financial Stability Review

Financial Stability Review

🕔15:21, 29.May 2019 Read Full Article
US vs. China: Trade War Looming, or Overstated Hysteria?

US vs. China: Trade War Looming, or Overstated Hysteria?

🕔15:02, 29.May 2019

Strategy Espresso “Full-Blown Trade War is Quickly Shifting from Risk to ‘Baseline’” read a Bloomberg headline on Thursday 23 May, as analysts and economists from multiple institutions began adjusting their assumptions regarding whether a trade deal between the US and

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When cyber risks meet geopolitics

When cyber risks meet geopolitics

🕔14:08, 29.May 2019

Weekly Commentary Heightened geopolitical tensions increase the risk of cyberattacks, with growing market implications, in our view.  Risk assets including stocks sold off on mounting worries about growth and U.S.-China tensions. UK Prime Minister Theresa May resigned.  This week’s Chinese

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European Elections outcome: a more fragmented Parliament with a still pro-European majority

European Elections outcome: a more fragmented Parliament with a still pro-European majority

🕔14:02, 28.May 2019

Market Commentary Eurosceptics gained considerably in the European elections and the informal pro-European coalition of Conservatives and Socialists lost its majority. However, concerns about a landslide victory for the Eurosceptics did not materialize. A pro-European majority can still be engineered

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The Fed Holds, the Economy Carries on…Trade Wars Reignite

The Fed Holds, the Economy Carries on…Trade Wars Reignite

🕔11:02, 28.May 2019

Fixed Income Perspectives As expected, at its April–May meeting the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted unanimously to hold the Fed funds rate steady in the 2.25–2.50% range. The few changes to the press release language acknowledged the solid economic

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The Outlook for Escalating Trade Tensions

The Outlook for Escalating Trade Tensions

🕔11:02, 28.May 2019

Recognizing that uncertainties regarding U.S./China trade tensions have multiplied, our perspective on recent developments are based on the question of: “what do we actually know?” 

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Countdown to Zero—The Final Chapters

Countdown to Zero—The Final Chapters

🕔11:02, 28.May 2019

The Question Remains: Zero Real or Zero Nominal Yields? In our last interest-rate focused paper (Fall 2018), we hypothesized that G3 rates were temporarily boosted by fears of an acceleration in growth and an associated normalization of central bank monetary

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UBS House View, Investor’s Guide

UBS House View, Investor’s Guide

🕔11:02, 28.May 2019

No rush? On Thursday 2 May, US productivity grew at a nine-year high. The next day, the US celebrated unemployment at a 50-year low. But investors who partied into the weekend were sick Monday morning after President Donald Trump tweeted he

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Multi-Asset Solutions Weekly Strategy Report

Multi-Asset Solutions Weekly Strategy Report

🕔11:02, 28.May 2019

Global markets and multi-asset portfolios It was only a few weeks back that the S&P 500 made new record highs, first quarter U.S. GDP soundly beat consensus with a well-above-trend 3.2% print and European data began to show signs of

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Center for Investment Excellence

Center for Investment Excellence

🕔20:14, 27.May 2019

Join us in exploring how alternative asset allocation can help boost returns and reduce risk in a late-cycle investment environment.  Risks and Opportunities across Private Markets  Have investors been forced to embrace private markets? Find out with David Lebovitz on

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PM May resignation and European elections outcome could precipitate several local snap elections while trade war tensions still looming

PM May resignation and European elections outcome could precipitate several local snap elections while trade war tensions still looming

🕔14:58, 27.May 2019

European elections see relatively high turnout and fragmentation. Turnout surprised on the upside, at its highest in 20 years (50.5% versus 43% in 2014), suggesting that most Europeans are still interested in politics and Europe. The two historical formations –

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Emerging Market Debt Update

Emerging Market Debt Update

🕔09:02, 27.May 2019

Investors turn to social media for tariff-truce updates ahead of a presidential in-person meeting at the G20 in June. Financial market participants spent much of the week monitoring the Twitter account of the US President in an attempt to decipher

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Central banks walk growth tightrope

Central banks walk growth tightrope

🕔09:02, 27.May 2019

The Macro Report | May 2019 Global economic growth in 2019 is showing signs of picking up amid recovery in the eurozone and China, the world’s second-largest economy. The prospect of a deeper slowdown in China has been one of

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High Yield: Oasis in search for yield?

High Yield: Oasis in search for yield?

🕔09:02, 27.May 2019

Since early 2016, US HY default rates have experienced a sort of “mini –cycle”, peaking at the end of 2016. Nevertheless, the recent rise and fall movements appear mostly commodity driven: default rates would have remained fairly stable if energy

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What do shocking numbers tell us?

What do shocking numbers tell us?

🕔09:02, 27.May 2019

Macro Weekly Germany’s Ifo plunges… While French business confidence improves Unexpected re-emergence of the trade conflict most unwelcome May to step down

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