What to make of the volatility spike?

BlackRock
Door mei 15, 2019 07:58

What to make of the volatility spike?

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Volatility across markets had been generally low – until last week. Scott offers some thoughts on what it means for investors.

Market volatility is low until it isn’t, or so the saying goes. We’ve witnessed a volatility spike over the past week, as fading prospects for a U.S.-China trade pact shattered the calm after a prolonged period of low volatility in 2019. We are still cautiously pro-risk, but see the recent episode as a reminder of the potential for volatility to flare up – especially in the late phase of the economic cycle.

The market outlook had become more benign this year, following a selloff in the last quarter of 2018. Cross-asset implied volatility – a gauge of volatility across the equity, fixed income and foreign exchange markets – recently dropped to near record-low levels. See the chart above. Volatility in the currency markets had been particularly low, dragging

BlackRock
Door mei 15, 2019 07:58

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