Central banks set to lead the week, as the Fed, Bank of England and Bank of Japan prepare to deliver their latest announcements

AXA
Door juni 17, 2019 17:18

Central banks set to lead the week, as the Fed, Bank of England and Bank of Japan prepare to deliver their latest announcements

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The Federal Reserve (Fed)’s interest rate decision, press conference and quarterly forecasts will likely dominate the week.

Last week’s US retail sales and consumer confidence releases complicated the picture for the Fed. A marked upward revision to April’s sales (and a solid May), underpinned our expectations that consumer spending would rebound from a lacklustre first quarter (Q1). This would support final domestic sales growth – even as GDP looks set to soften as net trade and inventory unwind from a supportive first three months of the year.

We forecast Q2 GDP growth at 2% annualized, as underlying growth prospects currently look solid. However, June’s University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index survey showed that five to 10-year inflation expectations dropped from a joint three-year high of 2.6% in May to a series low, at 2.2%, reinforcing concerns about forecasts moving lower. Ahead of the meeting, Fed members have been silent on

AXA
Door juni 17, 2019 17:18

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Asset Allocation Consensus September

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