The implications of a potential Fed policy shift

BlackRock
Door juni 3, 2019 17:05

The implications of a potential Fed policy shift

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The Fed is considering a new policy framework to better steer inflation expectations. Elga examines the economic and market implications.

Inflation expectations have sharply fallen recently, driving down U.S. government bond yields and focusing attention on Fed policy. The market now expects three Fed rate cuts by the end of 2020. The Fed is getting concerned that its current toolkit won’t effectively counter a future recession. Hence it’s considering new strategies to boost inflation expectations, with important economic and market implications, in our view.

The Fed’s review could lead to policy changes early next year. It will be in focus at a Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago conference this week. The review aims to address a two-fold challenge faced by central banks since the global financial crisis: falling neutral interest rates – rates that would neither stimulate nor curtail economic growth – and falling inflation expectations. Both could diminish

BlackRock
Door juni 3, 2019 17:05

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