Positivity in a negative world

HSBC
By October 4, 2019 07:31

Positivity in a negative world

As we enter the fourth quarter of the year, we are seeing an environment of coordinated monetary easing amongst central banks around the globe. Most recently on 18 September, the US reduced interest rates for the second time this year, as expected by the market, to the target range of 1.75%-2.00%. The Fed’s policy statement seems to indicate the possibility of another rate reduction in its future path. The market is pricing in a 65% chance of another 25bp cut this year, while also pricing in a 50bp cut in 2020, which is more aggressive than FOMC views (see Figure 1). For USD credit investors, the risk of policy disappointment from Fed easing should be considered.

HSBC
By October 4, 2019 07:31

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