The real story behind the cmbx.6 debunking the next “big short”

The real story behind the cmbx.6 debunking the next “big short”

🕔15:29, 29.Oct 2019

 IN THIS PAPER: The CMBX.6 has become such a popular short by speculators placing bets on mall closings that it has been profiled in the media as the next “big short.” It’s true that as many as a third of

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Corporate Governance, ESG, and Stock Returns around the World

Corporate Governance, ESG, and Stock Returns around the World

🕔15:05, 29.Oct 2019

Nonfinancial performance measures, such as environmental, social, and governance (ESG) measures, are potentially leading indicators of companies’ financial performance. In the study reported here, I drew on prior academic literature and the concept of ESG materiality to develop new corporate

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Devoorbije Week In Een Notendop

Devoorbije Week In Een Notendop

🕔14:04, 29.Oct 2019

Het Britse House of Commons heeft het ontwerp voor het vertrekakkoord goedgekeurd, maar verwierp het versneldetijdschema. Het lijkterop dateerste minister Boris Johnson veel verder staat dan Theresa May ooit is geraakt. DeAmerikaanseen Chinesetopambtenaren voor de handel hebben elkaar ontmoet om

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Ortec Finance Quarterly Outlook

Ortec Finance Quarterly Outlook

🕔12:36, 29.Oct 2019

In light of the persistent low growth, muted inflation, additional central bank stimulus and sharply decreased interest rates, we revised our long-term global outlook for economic growth, interest rates and equity returns downwards. As a result, in our scenarios it

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Reaffirming our EM views after a rally

Reaffirming our EM views after a rally

🕔11:54, 29.Oct 2019

One beneficiary of a perceived easing in the U.S.-China trade conflict: EM debt, which has rallied recently and outperformed developed market peers. We see factors further supporting EM debt from here: a likely Fed rate cut this week and the

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The Focus Shifts To Earnings Reports

The Focus Shifts To Earnings Reports

🕔10:50, 29.Oct 2019

Brexit commotion dominated market sentiment after the agreement reached by Boris Johnson failed to go to a vote in the Commons over the last weekend. The UK prime minister eventually got a majority for his text but accelerated adoption was

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Should Investors Continue to Ignore Inflation?

Should Investors Continue to Ignore Inflation?

🕔09:44, 29.Oct 2019

How the path of inflation will impact fixed income markets Global growth is approaching an inflection point; either the slowdown becomes entrenched and leads to a recession, or the cycle gets extended as interest rate cuts and fiscal stimulus start

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Reaching for yield? Be aware of what lies beneath…

Reaching for yield? Be aware of what lies beneath…

🕔06:35, 29.Oct 2019

Jeff unpacks what the markets are saying about a growth slowdown, and why investors should take a closer look at their bond allocations. Three quarters into 2019, stock and bond performance seems to be telling a story of relative calm.

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Macro And Market View Macro Research September 2019

Macro And Market View Macro Research September 2019

🕔18:39, 28.Oct 2019

Presentation

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High Quality Diversification Benefits of Asia Credit

High Quality Diversification Benefits of Asia Credit

🕔18:28, 28.Oct 2019

Strong fundamentals and powerful tailwinds make this growing asset class one to watch for global investors. Asset class offers an increasingly significant opportunity set, growing to nearly USD $1 trillion in issuance as a vast regional investor base absorbs new

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International Equities — Are They Still Worth It?

International Equities — Are They Still Worth It?

🕔18:27, 28.Oct 2019

U.S. stocks have outperformed non-U.S. markets for the last decade, resulting in extended valuations for U.S. companies at a time when earnings are near a cyclical peak. This recent outperformance of U.S. equities and their current valuation premia are anomalous

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CIO VIEW October 2019

CIO VIEW October 2019

🕔18:03, 28.Oct 2019

Outlook Presentation

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The P/E Ratio: A User’s Manual

The P/E Ratio: A User’s Manual

🕔18:02, 28.Oct 2019

In any market system, prices contain information. The problem is, it’s not always easy to figure out what that information is. When frost blankets Florida’s orange groves in winter, it is clear why the price of orange juice goes up

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. OnRisk 2020: A Guide to Understanding, Aligning, and Optimizing Risk

. OnRisk 2020: A Guide to Understanding, Aligning, and Optimizing Risk

🕔16:56, 28.Oct 2019

Risk is a thorny word. In its simplest form, it means exposure to danger, but in an organizational or business context, it takes on a much more complex definition. 

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Labor force participation: Is the labor market too hot, too cold, or just right?

Labor force participation: Is the labor market too hot, too cold, or just right?

🕔15:51, 28.Oct 2019

Risk is a thorny word. In its simplest form, it means exposure to danger, but in an organizational or business context, it takes on a much more complex definition. 

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Structured credit: Direct from the desk

Structured credit: Direct from the desk

🕔14:47, 28.Oct 2019

Structured credit has gone through a significant evolution over the past 10-years to emerge as a stable, well-regulated and, in our view, attractively priced asset class. With a more defensive profile than corporate credit, combined with compelling premiums, the asset

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Our 12-Month Economic & Market Outlook

Our 12-Month Economic & Market Outlook

🕔13:42, 28.Oct 2019

What a good run markets are having! And why not? The labor markets in the U.S. and parts of Europe are extremely strong. So are corporate earnings, at least for now. Companies have solid balance sheets. Loan defaults remain rare.

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Core Allocations

Core Allocations

🕔12:37, 28.Oct 2019

As we start the final quarter of 2019, volatility has increased relative to the first half of the year, equity markets remain strong year-to-date, and a bid for safe-haven assets has been maintained. Monetary policy has undergone a dramatic shift

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Insuring mobility — today and tomorrow

Insuring mobility — today and tomorrow

🕔11:33, 28.Oct 2019

Light electric vehicles A wide range of light electric vehicles, such as electric bicycles, segways and electric scooters, have recently taken over some European cities. They can bring great benefits, such as being more affordable and usually more eco-friendly than

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Will Brexit wreck it for UK credit?

Will Brexit wreck it for UK credit?

🕔11:13, 28.Oct 2019

It is our view that the potentially negative impacts of an unruly departure from the EU are likely to be felt more acutely by the economy itself rather than credit markets As we approach 31 October and the UK’s deadline

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More than a mid-cycle adjustment

More than a mid-cycle adjustment

🕔10:05, 28.Oct 2019

U.S. assets performed well in the third quarter, adding to strong gains from the first half of the year. Markets rallied as heightened concerns about global trade and growth pushed bond yields lower and prompted central banks to ease policy.

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Finding the EM nuances

Finding the EM nuances

🕔09:04, 28.Oct 2019

Emerging market debt is underpinned by a solid fundamental backdrop, but the local index is at all-time tights. A differentiated approach seems warranted.

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Lump sum or regular investing: which is best?

Lump sum or regular investing: which is best?

🕔07:59, 28.Oct 2019

Working out how much to invest and when to do so is something investors often agonise about just as much as where to put their money. Should you invest a lump sum and hope you’ve timed it right, or drip-feed

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Can stocks still grind higher? And 2 more questions for Q4

Can stocks still grind higher? And 2 more questions for Q4

🕔06:37, 28.Oct 2019

It’s been a largely solid run for U.S. stocks in 2019. With the year now in its final quarter, Tony DeSpirito addresses three questions on investors’ minds. For the most part, it’s been a good year for U.S. equities. We’ve

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Geopolitics firmly in the driver’s seat

Geopolitics firmly in the driver’s seat

🕔18:48, 25.Oct 2019

U.S.-China trade tensions appeared to have eased and the risk of a no-deal Brexit has diminished. Can we take a break from focusing on the impact of geopolitical risks on the economy and markets? Not yet. We in fact expect

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