Weekly Economic Commentary

Weekly Economic Commentary

🕔08:39, 17.okt 2019

The fourth-quarter holiday seasons have expanded to unacceptable lengths. I noticed Halloween candy for sale in August, Thanksgiving cards out in September, and Christmas decorations on the shelves…virtually year-round. I realize the commercial aspects of these occasions have taken on

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Japanese equities: still in the doldrums

Japanese equities: still in the doldrums

🕔07:34, 17.okt 2019

Ben explains why we maintain our underweight on Japanese equities despite their recent rally. Japanese equities have been the star performer since September – rising more dramatically than their global peers in a response to a perceived thaw in U.S.-China

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Below the waterline.

Below the waterline.

🕔07:32, 17.okt 2019 Lees het volledige artikel
Fidelity Personal Investing’s market and investment view

Fidelity Personal Investing’s market and investment view

🕔17:56, 16.okt 2019

Central banks turn on the taps You wait months for an interest rate cut and then they come along at once. Two so far from the US Federal Reserve with the probability of a third at the next meeting later

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Conditionality and design of IMF-supported programmes

Conditionality and design of IMF-supported programmes

🕔16:51, 16.okt 2019

Conditionality is at the very heart of IMF lending and has been the subject of intense debates ever since the Fund’s inception. Its success is of crucial importance not only for countries’ chances of achieving the goals of IMF lending

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Trump impeachment is likely, but impact on financial markets would be short-lived

Trump impeachment is likely, but impact on financial markets would be short-lived

🕔15:46, 16.okt 2019

Impeachment process: The Democratic Party has announced the opening of an impeachment inquiry against President Donald Trump following revelations that he pushed Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy to investigate the son of Democratic opponent Joe Biden. The impeachment process is long

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US President Impeachment Process: Key Things To Know

US President Impeachment Process: Key Things To Know

🕔14:41, 16.okt 2019

WHAT Impeachment is a procedure envisaged by the US Constitution under which all civil officers shall be removed from office on impeachment for, and conviction of, treason, bribery, or other high crimes and misdemeanours. The term "high crimes and misdemeanors”

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Strategic Sector Selector Are we there yet?

Strategic Sector Selector Are we there yet?

🕔13:33, 16.okt 2019

Economic indicators may have deteriorated, but equity markets in the US and Europe have not moved a great deal in the third quarter, despite some volatility in August. We are none the wiser as to whether we are in a

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Q4 2019 Commentary What lies beneath…

Q4 2019 Commentary What lies beneath…

🕔12:28, 16.okt 2019

Our fourth quarter update looks beneath the surface of debt and equity markets, which until recently have been resilient in the face of rising recession risks. 

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Liquidity dilemma needs a regulatory response

Liquidity dilemma needs a regulatory response

🕔11:28, 16.okt 2019

Recent developments: A few high-profile fund suspensions have recently driven the focus back to market liquidity and how this can affect the ability of funds to meet certain redemption scenarios. Despite ample liquidity at the macro level, some areas of

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Spread-Implied Ratings: Implications for insurance capital requirements

🕔11:10, 16.okt 2019

IN BRIEF Insurance companies are sensitive to downgrades and impairment losses since both adversely impact capital ratios. Spread-implied ratings can be useful in anticipating corporate bond downgrades since the market often adjusts for deteriorating credit worthiness well in advance of

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Japan equities: don’t chase the rally

Japan equities: don’t chase the rally

🕔11:07, 16.okt 2019

We maintain our underweight on Japan equities, yet see the recent rally as a preview of their potential if trade tensions were to fade. Signs that weakness caused by the protectionist push is spreading beyond manufacturing have cast a shadow

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A US-China ‘mini deal’

A US-China ‘mini deal’

🕔10:03, 16.okt 2019

The US and China have agreed a truce in their trade conflict with a ‘mini deal’ that sees the US holding off on tariff increases scheduled for 15 October in exchange for some concessions from China, mainly around agricultural purchases

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The need for alternative approaches

The need for alternative approaches

🕔08:59, 16.okt 2019

At Fidelity Multi Asset, we have been investing in alternatives for over a decade, and currently hold a wide range of alternative assets in our multi asset strategies. Our large Manager Research team includes dedicated alternatives analysts, focused on finding

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What Warren Buffet got wrong about gold

What Warren Buffet got wrong about gold

🕔07:58, 16.okt 2019

Legendary investor Warren Buffett’s much-quoted dismissal of the investment merits of gold is simple: the metal is “neither of much use nor procreative.” But the Oracle of Omaha has got this wrong. We believe that contrary to Warren Buffett’s complaints

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WTF: Where are the factors?

WTF: Where are the factors?

🕔07:24, 16.okt 2019

Investors increasingly are using factor strategies, but you wouldn’t know it from their portfolios. Where are the factors? My colleagues and I have about the fact that factors are long-term drivers of investment returns.  Given this, it’s no surprise that

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No pain, no gain for China’s onshore bond market

No pain, no gain for China’s onshore bond market

🕔17:34, 15.okt 2019

China’s onshore credit market has witnessed tremendous growth over the last decade as it transforms towards a more marketoriented system. We take a detailed look at this maturing market and outline how a recent rise in defaults should be viewed

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Asia / China Growth Equities

Asia / China Growth Equities

🕔16:29, 15.okt 2019

At GAM Investments’ Weekly Investment Meeting held on 9 October 2019 the speakers were Jian Shi Cortesi, who discussed her views on Asia and China equities, and Lars Jaeger, who emphasised the importance of ARP strategies being diversified.

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Disruption from climate change is only just beginning for investors

Disruption from climate change is only just beginning for investors

🕔16:07, 15.okt 2019

We are just at the beginning of a very long period in which climate change will have a signicant, and increasing, eect on markets. New research suggests investors are not ready.  Financial markets remain unprepared for the extent of disruption

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Trade war déjà vu is scant comfort to investors

Trade war déjà vu is scant comfort to investors

🕔15:03, 15.okt 2019

We’re not convinced that the latest trade war détente between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping will prove any more lasting than the previous one.  Beset by slowing domestic economies and under pressure to end a damaging trade war, Xi Jinping

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Negotiations on trade and Brexit continue, but has progress been made

Negotiations on trade and Brexit continue, but has progress been made

🕔14:03, 15.okt 2019

Last week’s surprise Brexit development was that a private meeting between UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the Irish Taoiseach Leo Varadkar resulted in what was described as a “pathway to a deal” . After weeks of negative reporting, the

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Changes

Changes

🕔12:53, 15.okt 2019

Markets have performed well this year despite all the uncertainties. A clearing of some of those is possible in the weeks ahead (possible I said, not probable). If that does happen, risk is likely to rally. And if it does,

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The Elizabeth Warren moment

The Elizabeth Warren moment

🕔11:49, 15.okt 2019

E. Warren is now neck-and-neck with J. Biden (27%) in the Democratic primary polls and far ahead of B. Sanders (15%).From her fifth-place position just six months ago, she has risen 21 points in the polls since then, while Biden

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Fixed Income views Don’t worry, be flexible

Fixed Income views Don’t worry, be flexible

🕔10:46, 15.okt 2019

Central banks provided the motive force that drove the good returns in developed market equities and bonds since the Great Financial Crisis. Policies that were intended to push against the risks of deflation brought us record low bond yields, negative

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The New Consumer

The New Consumer

🕔09:44, 15.okt 2019

Ten years into the longest economic recovery in the history of the United States, investors are becoming increasingly concerned about a downturn. Along with the late cycle, trade tensions, stagnating corporate margins, and a Federal Reserve with limited tools in

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