Central Bank Watcher: playing the waiting game

Central Bank Watcher: playing the waiting game

🕔15:15, 31.Dec 2019

Fed, ECB, PBoC and the Boj

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Portfolio Manager Perspectives Mark Dowding’s Global Macro Update

Portfolio Manager Perspectives Mark Dowding’s Global Macro Update

🕔10:56, 31.Dec 2019

Person of the Year 2020? Bolstered by election success, Conservatives dream of PM Boris being next year’s award winner. Global bond yields traded higher towards the end of this week as investors seized on constructive headlines pertaining to a China

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Key findings from the Multi-Asset Solutions Strategy Summit

Key findings from the Multi-Asset Solutions Strategy Summit

🕔06:40, 31.Dec 2019

This year was dominated by trade tension, weak manufacturing and a sharp dovish shift in monetary policy. In 2020 we anticipate that headwinds from trade and manufacturing dissipate while policy will remain accommodative; and as a result we expect economic

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What the heart already knew

What the heart already knew

🕔14:53, 30.Dec 2019

Based on Markowitz’ Modern Portfolio Theory, Ortec Finance has analysed what effects Triodos Investment Management (Triodos IM) Private Impact Strategies have on the risk-return characteristics of a well-diversified investment portfolio. This research was done on request of Triodos IM. In

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Election direction Monthly Investment Strategy

Election direction Monthly Investment Strategy

🕔07:00, 30.Dec 2019

Summary of views Theme of the month: Election direction Macro update: Trade deal underpins global trade stabilisation Investment strategy: skinny risk premia suggest no more than mediocre returns in 2020

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2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

🕔14:37, 28.Dec 2019

This paper by Invesco’s Investment Solutions team presents their work in developing forecasts for asset class returns, risk, and correlations which are of critical importance in translating portfolio theory into plausible real-world practical solutions for investors. Executive Summary: The Strategic

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The modern apartment renter Understanding and appealing to the modern apartment renter in the U.S.

The modern apartment renter Understanding and appealing to the modern apartment renter in the U.S.

🕔14:46, 27.Dec 2019

 Demand for apartments has been robust following the bursting of the housing bubble a decade ago.  Apartment investors devote a significant amount of time and resources to determine what unit features and community amenities are most desirable to current and

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Our top investment calls for 2020

Our top investment calls for 2020

🕔10:53, 27.Dec 2019

We have made meaningful changes to our tactical asset views heading into 2020, including a moderate tilt into cyclical assets. We see growth stabilizing and gradually picking up over the next six to 12 months, thanks in part to easy

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Global Economic Outlook 2020

Global Economic Outlook 2020

🕔06:54, 27.Dec 2019

Geo-political risks like the trade war and Brexit dominated headlines and kept markets on edge for most of this year. However, last week’s events offered much-needed relief to investors. After two years of talks, the U.S. and China apparently reached

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2020 outlook for the US 10-year Treasury bond

2020 outlook for the US 10-year Treasury bond

🕔15:18, 26.Dec 2019

 In 2019, 10-year US Treasury bonds traded in a range of 1.46-2.78%, the fourth-widest range since 2010. In 2020, we think the 10-year Treasury may trade in a similar range, with additional volatility arising from many of the same factors

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When Beta is Expensive, Tactical Decisions Make a World of Difference

When Beta is Expensive, Tactical Decisions Make a World of Difference

🕔11:02, 26.Dec 2019

2020 Outlook Entering 2019, our view was that strength in U.S. consumption would sustain U.S. economic expansion. This investment thesis has largely played out (despite concerns about overleveraged corporations, weakening manufacturing, and the roller coaster ride of U.S.-China trade negotiations).

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Global Strategy Q1 2020

Global Strategy Q1 2020

🕔07:25, 26.Dec 2019

Political uncertainty appears to be subsiding somewhat and a moderate economic recovery should take hold in 2020. Central banks will maintain the course they have adopted and keep an easy monetary policy in place. In this environment we prefer risk

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Dutch-German growth gap will reverse

Dutch-German growth gap will reverse

🕔14:45, 25.Dec 2019

Germany sneezes, but no cold for the Netherlands ‘When Germany sneezes, the Netherlands catches a cold’ is an often heard phrase in the debate on the Dutch business cycle. Germany is the most important export partner of the Netherlands and

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Building on 2019’s green bond resurgence

Building on 2019’s green bond resurgence

🕔10:38, 25.Dec 2019

In almost whatever country you care to mention, climate change and social inequality are exploding into the public consciousness. Extinction Rebellion in the UK or the Gilets Jaune in Paris are just two of the more high-profile signs. Yet in

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No One Has Won the Trade War…Yet

No One Has Won the Trade War…Yet

🕔07:00, 25.Dec 2019

It is too early for either China or the United States to claim victory following the ‘Phase 1’ agreement announced last week. The ongoing 5G debate in Germany may hold the key for the US credibly to claim victory towards

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Our 12-Month Economic & Market Outlook 2020

Our 12-Month Economic & Market Outlook 2020

🕔14:58, 24.Dec 2019

A new year begins and also a new decade that will bring fresh uncertainties and challenges. One thing that looks certain is that the pace of change will increase in technology, in the economy and perhaps in politics, too. We

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Skating on thinner Ice

Skating on thinner Ice

🕔11:04, 24.Dec 2019

 Macro and Market Views The year may well end as it started: on a strong note. 2019 will probably be remembered as a year when it was very costly to be O/W cash compared to anything else. After such an

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A different view of Asia

A different view of Asia

🕔06:38, 24.Dec 2019

Asian markets have become polarised over recent months with large-cap stocks driving market gains. As a small-cap investor, Fidelity Asian Values PLC’s Nitin Bajaj reviews a challenging period and outlines some of the unloved areas that he is backing to

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Wat het hart al wist

Wat het hart al wist

🕔14:39, 23.Dec 2019

Triodos IM impactfondsen voegen waarde toe aan uw portefeuille Het opnemen van impactfondsen van Triodos Investment Management in een goed gespreide beleggingsportefeuille voegt voor verschillende soorten beleggers waarde toe voor wat betreft risico en rendement. Dit is de belangrijkste conclusie

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Negative Rates: Negative View

Negative Rates: Negative View

🕔11:12, 23.Dec 2019

Why are negative nominal interest rates so troubling? Economic theory favors real rates, which have already been negative in most developed countries for some time. In theory, lowering the nominal policy rate into negative territory should produce many of the

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A tale of two decades: the ECB’s monetary policy at 20

A tale of two decades: the ECB’s monetary policy at 20

🕔06:53, 23.Dec 2019

The 20th anniversary of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) offers an opportunity to look back on the ECB’s record and learn lessons that can improve the conduct of policy in the future. This paper charts the way the ECB has

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A holiday reading list from the BlackRock Investment Institute

A holiday reading list from the BlackRock Investment Institute

🕔14:39, 19.Dec 2019

‘Tis the season for holiday reading. Jean shares our top picks to take you through the new year. ‘Tis the season for holiday reading – and for our annual December list of book recommendations to add to your holiday gift

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The most recent US tightening cycle was more aggressive than it appears

The most recent US tightening cycle was more aggressive than it appears

🕔14:15, 19.Dec 2019

The latest US tightening cycle was more aggressive than most investors realise. Should avoiding recession be seen as a win?  How aggressive was the Federal Reserve’s most recent hiking cycle? Take the end rate minus the beginning rate, and the

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Asia Real Estate Market Outlook

Asia Real Estate Market Outlook

🕔12:15, 19.Dec 2019

Executive summary Real estate returns expected to remain resilient amid more accommodative macro policies and balanced supply and demand Yields for commercial real estate expected to remain low as relatively higher return profile for the sector continues to attract strong

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The role of inflation-linked bonds in a disinflationary EM environment

The role of inflation-linked bonds in a disinflationary EM environment

🕔11:04, 19.Dec 2019

The protection against inflation is a key goal for many investors, especially for those whose liabilities fluctuate with the inflation rate. This has traditionally been particularly important within emerging market (EM) countries as inflation tends to be higher than developed

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