Market Review and 1st Quarter 2020 Outlook

Market Review and 1st Quarter 2020 Outlook

🕔15:59, 28.Jan 2020

Market Review and 1st Quarter 2020 Outlook Market Backdrop Global equities markets advanced solidly in 2019’s final quarter. The S&P 500, MSCI All Country World Index, and MSCI ACWI ex-US all gained nearly 9%, while Emerging Markets climbed 11.8%. Information

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China’s remarkable transformation

China’s remarkable transformation

🕔14:49, 28.Jan 2020

China’s remarkable transformation The past twenty five years have been transformational for China. The country has shifted from operating as the ‘world’s factory’, to being a key driver of global growth and a significant geo–political influence. Transition has not been

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Blackrock global weekly commentary

Blackrock global weekly commentary

🕔14:00, 28.Jan 2020

U.S. dollar underpins EM assets We see the U.S. dollar stabilizing or weakening in 2020 after a long run–up, supporting our preference for emerging market (EM) assets. We see global growth stabilizing and gradually edging up over the next six

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Give me income….any income.

Give me income….any income.

🕔12:39, 28.Jan 2020

Give me income….any income. Macro/government bondsConcernsaboutthe spread of a deadly coronavirus from China has amplified market risk aversion in the last couple of weeks. Notably, Asian markets are weaker as is the price of oil. This has provided support for

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Strong issuance year with notable ‘firsts’

Strong issuance year with notable ‘firsts’

🕔09:05, 28.Jan 2020

2019 market review and analysis In the market for corporate Schuldscheindarlehen, 2019 was one of the stronger years in terms of issuance, but failed – according to our calculations – to reach the record levels of 2016 and 2017: Around

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What now for value stocks?

What now for value stocks?

🕔18:15, 27.Jan 2020

Value investing has been a topic of conversation recently as investors have been on watch for the long-struggling factor to reverse its misfortune. Value has underperformed growth for so long that it is comparatively cheap. But that doesn’t automatically make

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An early roadmap to US politics in 2020 and beyond

An early roadmap to US politics in 2020 and beyond

🕔17:05, 27.Jan 2020

– We provide a representative sampling of the overall 2020 electoral outcomes you may currently want to consider when making investment decisions. – Most likely, the outcome may be in what we call the Mushy Middle (epitomized by various combinations

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We cannot rest on our laurels

We cannot rest on our laurels

🕔16:57, 27.Jan 2020

Global Outlook  Looking back over the calendar year 2019, the optimal asset allocation for an investor would have comprised an overweight position in both global equities, especially the US, and global government bonds, especially European. These positions would be financed

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Mind the traps

Mind the traps

🕔16:56, 27.Jan 2020

Q1 Outlook Since our last quarterly note, where we focused on the threats to the world economy, political and international events have meant that the global economic backdrop has become somewhat more positive and market positioning is less stretched than

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The Trillion Dollar Energy Windfall

The Trillion Dollar Energy Windfall

🕔16:46, 27.Jan 2020

Growing fears around the threat of man-made climate change combined with the increasing attractiveness of renewable energy have led to a paradigm shift that is driving a steady transition towards renewables.

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The 2020-2024 EM fixed income outlook

The 2020-2024 EM fixed income outlook

🕔16:41, 27.Jan 2020

Contents Section 1 – briefly reviews performance in 2019, which can be characterised as a tale of two halves with a happy ending. Section 2 – presents 1-year and 5-year return scenarios for sovereign government bonds, local currency government bonds as well

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Testing limits

Testing limits

🕔16:34, 27.Jan 2020

2020 Global Outlook Growth should edge higher in 2020, limiting recession risks. This is a favorable backdrop for risk assets. But the dovish central bank pivot that drove markets in 2019 is largely behind us. Inflation risks look underappreciated, and

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Risk resurface

Risk resurface

🕔15:32, 27.Jan 2020

Markets stuck close to all-time highs despite a resurgence in risk-off sentiment. This was prompted by: First, sanitary concerns after confirmation that China's coronavirus could be spread between humans. The situation might seem to echo the period in 2003 when the

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Fed’s printing press favors emerging markets

Fed’s printing press favors emerging markets

🕔15:30, 27.Jan 2020

Russ discusses the catalysts favoring Emerging Markets, beginning with the Federal Reserve. Starting in late August two things happened that had not occurred in several years: The Federal Reserve started expanding its balance sheet and emerging markets began outperforming. The

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Aandelenmarkten – Zuidoost-Azië

Aandelenmarkten – Zuidoost-Azië

🕔14:08, 27.Jan 2020

Update Strategie   China is de grootste markt van Azië. De overheid wil de groei duurzamer en breder – gericht op consumptie en diensten –maken, waardoor de groei vertraagde. Daarbo- venop kwam de escalatie van de handelsoorlog met de VS,

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Making “Global ex-U.S.” Great Again?

Making “Global ex-U.S.” Great Again?

🕔12:59, 27.Jan 2020

Market Insights In 2019, the U.S. stock market continued its streak of outperforming, rising by more than 31% versus 21% for the rest of the world, as measured by the S&P 500 Index and the MSCI All Country World ex-US Index

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What’s Priced In?

What’s Priced In?

🕔11:54, 27.Jan 2020

Points of View Equities – 2020 earnings growth estimates have held steady so far between 9–11%. This is more in line with our “Turning the Corner” scenario where  economic growth improves in 2020. Risk sentiment as measured by implied volatility remains at subdued levels largely driven by global central

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The reemergence of global macro strategies in an unsettled world

The reemergence of global macro strategies in an unsettled world

🕔10:49, 27.Jan 2020

The reemergence of global macro strategies in an unsettled world The great recession is a distant memory. The world’s major economies have long since rebounded, companies have flourished amid a supportive policy backdrop, and asset prices have more than recovered.

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On the risk of regime shifts

On the risk of regime shifts

🕔09:40, 27.Jan 2020

On the risk of regime shifts The macro debate tends to center on the state of the business cycle and the risk of a recession. We think that this is a too narrow question to ask. We consider a broad

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Week Ahead

Week Ahead

🕔08:44, 27.Jan 2020

Italy –further increased political uncertainty This week, Luigi Di Maio resigned as head of the Five Star Movement. However, he remains a member of the government in his capacity as foreign minister. As senior partner of the Italian government, the

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8 key investment themes for 2020

8 key investment themes for 2020

🕔07:52, 27.Jan 2020

Rick Rieder, Russ Brownback and Trevor Slaven contend that eight major market influences are likely to dominate the investment environment in the year ahead and that the proper portfolio mix will be instrumental in delivering a successful outcome. In our

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Active is:Generating capital income with dividends.

Active is:Generating capital income with dividends.

🕔07:34, 27.Jan 2020

Active is:Generating capital income with dividends.   Bond yields are currently deep in the red. Almost 25 % of all outstanding bonds world-wide carry a negative nominal yield. In Germany, yields are below zero for roughly 90 % of outstanding

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Global Equity Ratings

Global Equity Ratings

🕔06:34, 27.Jan 2020

Global Equity Ratings Preferred Sectors: Health Care, Technology and Consumer

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Davos Brief

Davos Brief

🕔16:10, 24.Jan 2020

Davos brief   The global economic expansion is stretching, but powerful structural trends are testing limits — and intersecting with the near-term outlook. The trends include rising inequality and social unrest; deglobalization and fragmentation into trade blocs; an intensifying focus

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Global Perspectives January 2020

Global Perspectives January 2020

🕔15:06, 24.Jan 2020

Global Perspectives January 2020 After such fantastic returns from equities and bonds in 2019 and a 10-year bull market, it makes sense to ask: should we take those chips off the table, de-risk and bank the profits? To answer this

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