Sustainable investing: Think long term, act now

Sustainable investing: Think long term, act now

🕔16:28, 31.Mar 2020

A long-term structural shift to sustainable investing is taking place. Jean explains its relevance to today’s investors. It’s easy to lose sight of long-term perspectives amid the extraordinary market moves in recent weeks. We prefer looking beyond short-term volatility and

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How are investors reacting to the 2020 crisis?

How are investors reacting to the 2020 crisis?

🕔14:32, 31.Mar 2020

Snap poll, conducted 19th-20th March 2020  This poll received very high investor participation given the two-day timeframe: 260 investors across 28 countries, with assets estimated to be more than $2.5 trillion. More than half of investors had some equity downside

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It’s Hard to Conjure Animal Spirits From a Wounded Animal

It’s Hard to Conjure Animal Spirits From a Wounded Animal

🕔13:29, 31.Mar 2020

After leaving the US Federal Reserve, former Chairman Ben Bernanke described his mindset during the global financial Crisis in terms of outside-the-box results: “We knew we had to step away from orthodox policies and bring new solutions to the table.

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Asset allocation update: credit upgraded amid fluid and uncertain backdrop

Asset allocation update: credit upgraded amid fluid and uncertain backdrop

🕔13:09, 31.Mar 2020

The ultimate public health costs and economic impact of Covid-19 are at this time unknown. Public health responses have weighed the human cost of intensive care units being overwhelmed and the number of preventable deaths exploding against the jump higher

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Adverse scenario becomes reality

Adverse scenario becomes reality

🕔11:32, 31.Mar 2020

Growth in CEE to dive deeper into negative territory Recent developments have deprived us of optimism and we revise our CEE growth forecast down to -4.7% this year. March PMI indices in Germany and the Eurozone plunged, dragged down by

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2020 – coronavirus reversal and rebound

2020 – coronavirus reversal and rebound

🕔10:55, 31.Mar 2020

Covid-19 is the paramount issue. We expect a sharp economic slowdown in the first half of 2020, followed by a subdued rebound.  The coronavirus is likely to slow down the economy in unprecedented ways. Nonetheless, we expect the epidemic to

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Can the world economy “afford” this scale of fiscal and monetary stimulus?

Can the world economy “afford” this scale of fiscal and monetary stimulus?

🕔09:50, 31.Mar 2020

The measures being announced are more dramatic than they were after the Great Financial Crash The political agreement reached in the Senate on Tuesday night will probably result in a fiscal injection into the US economy worth $2 trillion, which

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The Household Finance and Consumption Survey: Methodological report for the 2017 wave

The Household Finance and Consumption Survey: Methodological report for the 2017 wave

🕔05:36, 31.Mar 2020

Statistics Paper Series The Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS) is a joint project of all of the national central banks of the Eurosystem, the central banks of three EU countries that have not yet adopted the euro, and several

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Eye on the Market: Man vs Nature

Eye on the Market: Man vs Nature

🕔17:01, 30.Mar 2020

Man vs Nature: what the government can and cannot fix There are things the government can try and fix during a pandemic and other things which it can’t. In this note we highlight some of what we have added to

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Middle Market Direct Lending: Benefits of Pursuing Both Sponsored and Non-Sponsored Transac

Middle Market Direct Lending: Benefits of Pursuing Both Sponsored and Non-Sponsored Transac

🕔14:56, 30.Mar 2020

Key Takeaways We believe it is important for investors to understand the differences between sponsored and non-sponsored direct lending approaches. There are advantages and disadvantages to both. As a lender, we think it’s wise to pursue both approaches. Both can

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Cutting to crisis forecasts: 2020e SP500 EPS 125 dollars

Cutting to crisis forecasts: 2020e SP500 EPS 125 dollars

🕔12:47, 30.Mar 2020

An economic crisis of uncertain severity: cut s&p 500 2020 end target to 2750an economic crisis of uncertain severity: cut s&p 500 2020 end target to 2750 We expect a state of emergency in the United States and most of

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Policy to the rescue? How much longer will the financial turmoil continue?

Policy to the rescue? How much longer will the financial turmoil continue?

🕔11:37, 30.Mar 2020

The daily whipsaw of financial market volatility continues as investors struggle to determine just how bad the economy will get and how long it will take to emerge from the still-growing coronavirus pandemic. As Nuveen’s Global Investment Committee points out,

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We lower our GDP forecast for 2020 to -3.5%

We lower our GDP forecast for 2020 to -3.5%

🕔10:37, 30.Mar 2020

Corona-Virus weighs on Eurozone economy All countries in the Eurozone have gradually begun to impose significant restrictions on public life from mid-March onwards in order to stem the spread of the coronavirus. We are therefore lowering our GDP forecast for

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The Discount Factor

The Discount Factor

🕔09:32, 30.Mar 2020

Our global house view in the wake of covid-19 The covid-19 crisis will generate a succession of economic shocks stretched over time and space, resulting in a global recession comparable, in some respects, to what was experienced in 2009. Our

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Global Market Outlook – Q2 update

Global Market Outlook – Q2 update

🕔08:28, 30.Mar 2020

Cycle, Further, Interrupted. The COVID-19 virus has stalled the mini-cycle rebound and made a global recession likely. While the duration of the virus pandemic is unpredictable, policy stimulus, pent-up demand and a lack of major imbalances argue for a solid

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Preparing the recovery

Preparing the recovery

🕔08:03, 30.Mar 2020

Monthly Investment Strategy Global recession is unavoidable – it does not need to be protracted The extension of the covid-19 pandemic is forcing a growing number of countries into “lockdowns”, which will have a very significant impact on economic activity

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What’s needed now: patience and perspective

What’s needed now: patience and perspective

🕔07:25, 30.Mar 2020

Russ discusses the importance of keeping perspective as we face an unprecedented crisis. “The habit of despair is worse than despair itself” Albert Camus There is no precedent, at least not in modern times, for what is happening. Beyond the

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Whatever They’ve Got

Whatever They’ve Got

🕔06:59, 30.Mar 2020

Investment Strategy Commentary Whatever they've got – The Monetary, Fiscal & Health Policy Response The sudden stop in the global economy due to the spread of the coronavirus requires an aggressive response from monetary, fiscal and health authorities. We saw

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Are markets too optimistic?

Are markets too optimistic?

🕔05:59, 30.Mar 2020

Focus: Markets, stimulus packages, Eurozone inflation This week brought massive gains on the stock markets and yield premiums on the interest rate markets fell for the riskier investments. Spreads on Italian government bonds also fell. The markets have thus reacted

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Week #13 – Top Five Best Read Research on OpinioPro

Week #13 – Top Five Best Read Research on OpinioPro

🕔14:50, 28.Mar 2020

#13  The past weeks were very hectic for financial markets and the publication frequency of research documents was and keeps being extremely high. A lot to read about COVID-19 and its consequences. Noteworthy is a shifting angle in the top

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Persistence pays off

Persistence pays off

🕔16:26, 27.Mar 2020 Read Full Article
The Data Science Revolution

The Data Science Revolution

🕔16:22, 27.Mar 2020

How the new richness and accessibility of data, and advances in data science, are enhancing both quantitative and traditional fundamental investment research—and sparking a revolution in active management. Spreading from its origins in technology and retail, data science is now

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ECB commits to COVID19 support

ECB commits to COVID19 support

🕔16:18, 27.Mar 2020

Time for a rethink

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The Idea Multiplier: An acceleration in innovation is coming

The Idea Multiplier: An acceleration in innovation is coming

🕔16:17, 27.Mar 2020

Megatrend: The Idea Multiplier: An Acceleration in innovation is coming The persistent downturn in productivity growth during the past two decades has cast doubts on global economic prospects. Frequently cited causes include slow adoption of technology, an aging population, and

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Retail disruption: which markets have the highest risk?

Retail disruption: which markets have the highest risk?

🕔16:17, 27.Mar 2020

Real Estate: Think global  Retail sales are migrating online and away from physical stores, damaging the investment returns of retail property. The process is underway in all developed retail markets, but the pace of migration is uneven. Very little research

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