Eye on the Market: John Stuart Mill and the road from ruin to recovery

🕔17:01, 20.Mar 2020

Eye on the Market: ​John Stuart Mill and the road from ruin to recovery First, here’s what we’ve added to our online compilation of coronavirus materials which we continuously revise to reflect the latest economic, market and epidemiological information: The

Read Full Article
Weather, Climate & Catastrophe Insight

Weather, Climate & Catastrophe Insight

🕔16:23, 20.Mar 2020

2019 Annual Report  Direct economic losses and damage from natural disasters in 2019 were estimated at USD232 billion. This was reduced from recent elevated levels in 2016, 2017 and 2018. The USD232 billion was 3 percent lower than the average

Read Full Article
Research Target Exposure: Investment applications and solutions

Research Target Exposure: Investment applications and solutions

🕔16:19, 20.Mar 2020

Factor strategies differ significantly in terms of portfolio construction. There is much debate regarding the pros and cons of alternative construction approaches. A vigorous debate has unfurled over the best way to combine factors into a single portfolio, with some

Read Full Article
Reduce the overweight in Equities

Reduce the overweight in Equities

🕔16:18, 20.Mar 2020

Market Compass – February 2020 Just as the US/China trade truce provided broad-based relief, the new Coronavirus in China is unsettling global financial markets. The fast-spreading disease is challenging the global macro rebound, but we still see resilience in the US

Read Full Article
The Global Growth Marathon

The Global Growth Marathon

🕔16:18, 20.Mar 2020

Capital Market Line   Last year proved to be a turning point. Word of an imminent trade deal between the US and China represented a peak in trade escalation and uncertainty. Global manufacturing – the epicenter of the trade war –

Read Full Article
Detecting Tipping Points

Detecting Tipping Points

🕔16:11, 20.Mar 2020

Asset classes views: Medium to long-term scenarios and return forecasts Detecting tipping points, while fixing climbing nails Central scenario: late cycle to continue and to be followed by a correction in the medium term. We enter 2020 with the conviction

Read Full Article
Play Your Game

Play Your Game

🕔16:08, 20.Mar 2020

Insights – Global Macro Trends  Without a doubt, 2019 was a year to remember; the question, though, is for what? On the one hand, the glass half empty community may want to point to the record level of global consternation,

Read Full Article
Long Term (10 Year) Capital Market Assumptions

Long Term (10 Year) Capital Market Assumptions

🕔16:06, 20.Mar 2020

Cliffwater Q1 2020 Long Term (10 Year) Capital Market Assumptions

Read Full Article
Update: 5-year capital market assumptions

Update: 5-year capital market assumptions

🕔16:06, 20.Mar 2020

Capital market assumptions  Twice a year, we conduct an extensive update of our five-year return forecasts. The purpose of this exercise is two-fold. First, taking a longer-term perspective helps set strategic asset allocations and design portfolios for diverse investment goals.

Read Full Article
We still expect downward revisions to 2020 EPS estimates in the US

We still expect downward revisions to 2020 EPS estimates in the US

🕔16:00, 20.Mar 2020

House View Commitee The Corona virus outbreak is currently taking the focus from the stabilization in macro and the better than expected Q4 earnings season – We look past the volatility and expect equities to go higher once contaminations stabilize

Read Full Article
Everything in Moderation

Everything in Moderation

🕔15:58, 20.Mar 2020

2020 Outlook We think 2020 will be another year of slow growth – durable enough to avoid recession but disappointing to those looking for improvement. The combination of moderate growth and technological innovation will continue to suppress inflation, bolstering the

Read Full Article
Capital Market Assumptions for Major Asset Classes

Capital Market Assumptions for Major Asset Classes

🕔15:53, 20.Mar 2020

This article updates our estimates of medium-term (5- to 10-year) expected returns for major asset classes. It also includes a section on estimating expected returns for cash. Selected estimates are summarized in Exhibit 1. The year 2019 saw a reverse

Read Full Article
High-Yield Bonds: Analyzing the Risk and Return Tradeoff When Rates are Negative

High-Yield Bonds: Analyzing the Risk and Return Tradeoff When Rates are Negative

🕔15:53, 20.Mar 2020

Qontigo Applied Research White Paper In a world where some investors pay the government for the privilege of lending it money—and where even fixed income securities with the lowest investment-grade credit ratings yield barely more than 1% per annum—the “hunt

Read Full Article
10-year return forecasts (2019–29)

10-year return forecasts (2019–29)

🕔15:52, 20.Mar 2020

Long-term capital market assumptions are forward-looking estimates of total returns which are an important component for strategic asset allocation modelling and portfolio construction. This note outlines our methodology for estimating 10-year capital market returns in local currency terms. Our approach

Read Full Article
Manufacturing is key for earnings and equities

Manufacturing is key for earnings and equities

🕔15:49, 20.Mar 2020

Our chief economist Steven Bell assesses the prospects for economies and markets in 2020 After such fantastic returns from equities and bonds in 2019 and a 10-year bull market, it makes sense to ask: should we take those chips off

Read Full Article
Long View

Long View

🕔15:47, 20.Mar 2020

Forecasted returns and other considerations The world has been trying to find a new economic identity ever since the 2008 financial crisis. The journey has been arduous so far, with the scars of the financial crisis still quite raw. As

Read Full Article
We are tactically taking some risk out of our portfolios

We are tactically taking some risk out of our portfolios

🕔15:40, 20.Mar 2020

The MSCI AC World Index rose by a miserable 0.01% in January. The virtual standstill might seem to sug- gest that nothing much happened. So we might as well go straight to the outlook section then, right? Well, not so

Read Full Article
10-Year Capital Market Assumptions

10-Year Capital Market Assumptions

🕔13:07, 20.Mar 2020

On an annual basis, BNY Mellon Investor Solutions, LLC develops capital market return assumptions for approximately 50 asset classes around the world. The assumptions are based on a 10-year investment time horizon and are intended to guide investors in developing their

Read Full Article
Are central banks running out of ammunition to fight the next downturn?

Are central banks running out of ammunition to fight the next downturn?

🕔11:56, 20.Mar 2020

The main challenge of monetary policy in the past was to contain high and volatile inflation. Policy makers rose to the challenge and brought inflation under control in many parts of the world, including emerging market economies with histories of

Read Full Article
Dilemma’s in een lagerenteomgeving

Dilemma’s in een lagerenteomgeving

🕔11:01, 20.Mar 2020

De rentes in de eurozone daalden in 2019 over de hele linie. In augustus bereikten de meeste rentetarieven zelfs nieuwe historische dieptepunten. We verwachten niet dat deze rentedaling doorzet. In ons 3L-scenario gaan we ervan uit dat de komende jaren

Read Full Article
Market plunge: This is not 2008

Market plunge: This is not 2008

🕔09:52, 20.Mar 2020

Markets moves have been reminiscent of the financial crisis. But we don’t think it’s 2008 as the economy and financial system are on much stronger footing. We still see the expansion as intact, but this requires policy makers to act

Read Full Article
Adjusting Our Strategic Cio View Forecasts

Adjusting Our Strategic Cio View Forecasts

🕔08:49, 20.Mar 2020

The rapid spread of the new coronavirus and the oil-price war have prompted us to revise the 12-month forecasts formulated in mid-February. In particular, we reduced the growth-rate forecasts for the United States and Europe and adjusted the yield and

Read Full Article
COVID-19 dampened Feb activity growth; countercyclical policies stepped up

COVID-19 dampened Feb activity growth; countercyclical policies stepped up

🕔07:39, 20.Mar 2020

What happened in the past month? The COVID-19 containment measures muted economic activity visibly; capacity utilization on an uptrend since mid-Feb. External demand uncertainties rising. NBS manufacturing PMI fell sharply to 35.7% in February, registering a new record low. On

Read Full Article
Twin Economic Shocks Trigger Forceful Policy Stimulus

Twin Economic Shocks Trigger Forceful Policy Stimulus

🕔06:37, 20.Mar 2020

Dual shocks from COVID-19 and falling oil prices have hit the global economy. The key concern now is that significant dislocation in financial markets ricochets back onto the real economy, raising risks for the outlook. At the margin, we see

Read Full Article
Fed Chair Powell’s Mario Moment…

Fed Chair Powell’s Mario Moment…

🕔00:01, 20.Mar 2020

BlackRock’s CIO of Global Fixed Income and Head of the Global Allocation Team weighs in on recent Federal Reserve policy moves and what they might mean for markets. In a dramatic move on Sunday evening the FOMC took a series

Read Full Article

Search

Twitter

New #blogpost: Week 14 - Top Five #BestRead #Research on
@Opinio_Pro -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/beheerder/week-14-top-five-best-read-research-on-opiniopro/
@EdeRothschild @UBP_Group
@BNPPAM_NL @NuveenInv
@TRowePrice #coronavirus #fiscalpolicy #risk #bearmarket #recession

Recession 2020— Deep but Short -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/t-rowe-price/recession-2020-deep-but-short/ #CoronaCrisis #Covid_19 #Recession2020 #fiscalpolicy via
@TRowePrice

We Can’t Go Home Again -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/pine-bridge/we-cant-go-home-again/ #CoronaVirusUpdate #Covid_19 #equity #fixedincome #EmergingMarkets via
@PineBridge

Best read article on @Opinio_Pro, Thursday 2 April, was from @TRowePrice "Recession 2020—
Deep but Short" -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/04/t-rowe-price/recession-2020-deep-but-short/ #recession #coronavirus

Keep a cautious stance on risk assets, try to improve liquidity management and hedge some credit risk -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/amundi/keep-a-cautious-stance-on-risk-assets-try-to-improve-liquidity-management-and-hedge-some-credit-risk/ #assetallocation #equities #fixedincome #Commodities #Currencies #liquidity #Risks via
@Amundi_ENG

Load More...

Search on date

March 2020
M T W T F S S
« Feb   Apr »
 1
2345678
9101112131415
16171819202122
23242526272829
3031