No Time To Sell Risky Assets

BNP Paribas
By March 26, 2020 09:29

No Time To Sell Risky Assets

  • The COVID-19 pandemic has tragically already claimed the lives of over 10 000 people. Many more will die in the coming weeks. Governments have been obliged to take extreme social distancing measures to combat the virus, effectively putting society on lock-down.
  • The temptation in moments of crisis is to become fixated on the worst case scenario, turn defensive and focus on preservation of capital. We think that is a mistake: now is not the time to sell. The correction has already occurred and we are already priced for pandemic and arguably panic.
  • The outlook is uncertain, but that does not excuse inaction. We do not have the luxury of being able to wait until there is complete clarity about the final impact of the virus on society and the economy before taking investment decisions. Markets will price in the end game for COVID-19 long before all the uncertainty has dissipated.
  • As long-term investors we need to take a stand on the ultimate human, social and economic cost of the virus and then benchmark those views against current valuations. Prices look to have over-shot, fuelled by panic and dislocations in markets. Valuations are starting to look attractive and we are looking to add risk, not reduce.
BNP Paribas
By March 26, 2020 09:29



Best read article on @Opinio_Pro, Thursday 2 April, was from @TRowePrice "Recession 2020—
Deep but Short" -> #recession #coronavirus

Keep a cautious stance on risk assets, try to improve liquidity management and hedge some credit risk -> #assetallocation #equities #fixedincome #Commodities #Currencies #liquidity #Risks via

The phase has changed; we are now in a new cycle, which will have its own unique characteristics -> #asetallocation #equities #fixedincome #RealEstate #Commodities #Recession2020 #inflation via


COVID-19 impact on the Netherlands -> #coronavirus #COVIDー19 #Recession2020 #inflation #GDP


As the dust settles, convertible bonds look extremely attractive -> #convertiblebonds #coronavirus #FixedIncome via #GAM

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