The China Consumer E-Commerce Opportunity

The China Consumer E-Commerce Opportunity

🕔15:39, 1.May 2020

Investment Strategy: KWEB seeks to measure the performance of the investable universe of publicly traded China-based companies whose primary business or businesses are in the Internet and Internet-related sectors. KWEB features: Access to Chinese internet companies that provide similar services

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Value Is in the Eye of the Beholder

Value Is in the Eye of the Beholder

🕔14:40, 1.May 2020

It has been a difficult couple of years for value and factor investing, and it has been no less difficult for us than others. We all owe it to ourselves to ask what we did right, what we did wrong

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Venture Capital Postively Disrupts Intergenerational Investing

Venture Capital Postively Disrupts Intergenerational Investing

🕔14:27, 1.May 2020

Families of wealth face three key questions about intergenerational wealth planning: how best to invest to sustain future generations; how best to engage the next generation; and how best to ensure family unity endures. Often each question is addressed independently.

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Corporate issuance skyrockets as liquidity returns to bond markets

Corporate issuance skyrockets as liquidity returns to bond markets

🕔14:15, 1.May 2020

Amid market volatility following the outbreak of the COVID-19 virus, fixed income markets went from famine to feast — experiencing a near total drying up of market liquidity for a few days in mid-March to a record volume of new

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The Factor Archives: Value

The Factor Archives: Value

🕔14:12, 1.May 2020

We believe that price is one of the most predictive determinants of future alpha and try to identify companies trading at cheap prices relative to their sales, earnings, cash flows, and dividends. While there are countless value strategies, we take

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Going Global in Equities

Going Global in Equities

🕔14:08, 1.May 2020

White Paper  It is telling that asset managers today closely monitor specific themes that would have seemed very niche just 20 years ago, such as the spending patterns of millennials in Asia. Why? Because Asian millennials' spending power has the

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The End of One Cycle Marks the Beginning of Another

The End of One Cycle Marks the Beginning of Another

🕔14:08, 1.May 2020

The longest U.S. equity bull market in history has officially come to an end; extinguished by a viral pandemic that seemed unimaginable just three months ago. The velocity of the sell-off was also difficult to fathom. In just over one

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Volatility 2020: Investment grade credit in an increasingly indebted world

Volatility 2020: Investment grade credit in an increasingly indebted world

🕔13:57, 1.May 2020

The past months have been a time of turmoil for credit markets, with spreads widening dramatically before tightening towards the end of March as governments and central banks stepped in to help alleviate financial market stress. The volume of debt

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Investing in an uncertain world

Investing in an uncertain world

🕔13:53, 1.May 2020

The Big Picture Is this a buying opportunity or the half-way stage in a larger slump? The truth is we don’t know, so we have constructed a range of scenarios that see the S&P 500 anywhere between 1400 and 3000 in 12

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We lower our GDP forecast for 2020 to -3.5%

We lower our GDP forecast for 2020 to -3.5%

🕔13:50, 1.May 2020

Corona-Virus weighs on Eurozone economy All countries in the Eurozone have gradually begun to impose significant restrictions on public life from mid-March onwards in order to stem the spread of the coronavirus. We are therefore lowering our GDP forecast for

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The aftershocks of the Covid-19 earthquake

The aftershocks of the Covid-19 earthquake

🕔13:48, 1.May 2020

After closing one of the worst quarters ever for equity markets, Q2 started on a high note, with indices (S&P 500 and Euro Stoxx 600) recovering markedly from the bottom hit during the previous month. There is clearly a battle

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Living in history: how will we look back at this moment?

Living in history: how will we look back at this moment?

🕔13:42, 1.May 2020

Pandemic 2020: a passing moment or a new era that shapes our future? New cycles tend to bring new trends, themes and investment leadership. First-quarter earnings season and preliminary economic reports confirm recession. David Bianco Prevention measures will shift to

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Quarterly China Chartbook – 1Q 2020

Quarterly China Chartbook – 1Q 2020

🕔13:41, 1.May 2020

Overseas economic activities may remain in a “standstill” mode throughout most of 2Q2020, adversely affecting China’s external demand growth. In terms of the timeline of the COVID-19 development, the U.S. and EU lag China by ~2-3 months, while some of

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White Paper – EM Fixed Income – The Case for Frontier Debt_2020-04

White Paper – EM Fixed Income – The Case for Frontier Debt_2020-04

🕔13:36, 1.May 2020

Frontier debt markets: a growth story After significant growth over the last decade, we believe that it is time for global investors to start considering EM frontier debt as a stand-alone investment opportunity. All of the traditional arguments for allocating

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Is Value Investing Structurally Impaired?

Is Value Investing Structurally Impaired?

🕔13:36, 1.May 2020

Over the last roughly 13 years, and exacerbated by the severe market downturn in the first quarter of 2020, US value stocks have experienced their longest and deepest drawdown since 1963. Prior to 2020, Australian value stocks were spared the

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Variation in government responses to COVID-19

Variation in government responses to COVID-19

🕔12:40, 1.May 2020

Abstract: COVID-19 has prompted a wide range of responses from governments around the world. There is a pressing need for up-to-date policy information as these responses proliferate, and governments weigh decisions about the stringency of their policies against other concerns.

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Coronavirus modelling: a U-shaped recovery

Coronavirus modelling: a U-shaped recovery

🕔11:35, 1.May 2020

Economic recovery from Covid-19 is the big unknown. Using US GDP as a base case, this chart illustrates how we could get there.

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Still some risks ahead

Still some risks ahead

🕔10:32, 1.May 2020

After an unprecedented sell-off in March, April was characterised by optimism as equity markets recuperated more than 50% of their losses and many indices are now in new bull markets (up 20%). While plenty of questions –and risks – remain,

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Shorting in the Times of COVID-19

Shorting in the Times of COVID-19

🕔10:10, 1.May 2020

Checking in on how Smart Money responded to the Black Swan Event of COVID-19, using filings from the EU Short Selling Regulation On March 13, 2020, the WHO declared Europe to be the epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic as multiple

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Designing an effective feedback loop

Designing an effective feedback loop

🕔09:06, 1.May 2020

In the fifth and final part of our series on how human behavior can affect investment decisions, we’ll examine the performance review session, including techniques to promote deliberate process improvement as well as make the session more engaging for clients.

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Risks to a sustainable recovery

Risks to a sustainable recovery

🕔08:02, 1.May 2020

GAM Investments’ Michael Biggs says more clarity is needed on the outlook for global growth if risky assets such as EM FX are to rally in a sustainable way. The recent shock is disinflationary, however, and with central banks cutting

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