2022 will be a new year in more ways than one. After more than a decade of monetary stimulus, the US Federal Reserve has signaled that it will raise interest rates and reduce support for the economy and asset prices.
What is private credit? Private credit strategies can provide investors with the opportunity to outperform traditional credit markets whilst maintaining a stable income base. Market opportunity The present market environment represents a highly challenging landscape for income-seeking investors. With the
Valuations vary 1. Investment grade (IG) sovereign and corporate spreads are well below historical medians 2. High yield (HY) spreads offer more value, especially in sovereign EMD where the dispersion between countries has increased
Commodities had a party in 2021, but platinum and palladium never made it. But are the two poised to make a return in 2022? Is there light at the end of the tunnel? When we last wrote about them in
De Covid-19-pandemie heeft onze aandacht gevestigd op het belang van gezondheid. Goed ontworpen en goed onderhouden steden spelen daarin een belangrijke rol. Bij slimme steden gaat het niet alleen om robotica en futuristisch design. Om echt slim te zijn, moeten
Monthly Investment Outlook October 2021 Global equities and global bond prices fell in the month as the seasonally weak, worst month of the year (September) lived up to its reputation. With the Fed and the European Central Bank both signalling
Human capital refers to skills, knowledge and experience possessed by an individual or population, viewed in terms of their value or cost to an organisation or country. Within our Environmental, Social and Governance frameworks, human capital is identified as one
In this 2022 macroeconomic outlook, we would like to provide you with a peek behind the curtain of what our investment teams are seeing in the global investment landscape and how that’s impacting our outlook. Our framework is informed by
Overall, we remain constructive on the European asset-backed securities (ABS) market. In the higher and more volatile interest rate environment that we expect in 2022 floating-rate assets should prove resilient. The fundamental backdrop is very strong in consumer ABS and
Lingering COVID-19-related supply-side disruptions, alongside a significant rebound in consumer demand, are producing supply bottlenecks and an inflation rate not seen for decades. We expect 2022 to be a year of gradual absorption of the pandemic shock, with robust but
Inflation was the big surprise in 2021. At the beginning of the year, the average US inflation forecast by economists for the end of 2021 was around 2%, while the latest reading in December came in at 7.0% YoY, the
Economic outlook The economic growth outlook is strong, driven by a resilient consumer, low inventories and infrastructure spending. The rapid rise in Omicron cases, however, may limit the service sector’s recovery in Q1 and push out the economic normalization path.
After a challenging 2020, the high yield market saw rapid fundamental improvement in 2021 and it staged an unprecedented recovery. As we enter 2022 and provided the economic recovery continues, we maintain a reasonably positive outlook on the high yield
In the aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic, the global economy is more unstable than ever. With the global stock of debt at an unprecedented level, it is very difficult to achieve any kind of economic equilibrium. In this article, we
In our annual look into the year ahead, our research team gives answers to some of the key questions that real estate investors face. A year ago, the impact of COVID-19 vaccines was at the forefront of everybody’s minds. Our
2022 Global Alternatives Outlook: It’s all a matter of perspective. As we enter 2022, there is a real risk of missing the forest for the trees. Up close, the “trees” in the 2022 outlook are clear. Consumers will keep spending.
ETFs saw another strong week with $6.2bn of net inflows, driven predominantly by Equity, which captured …
When I started my career in the early ’80s, many countries around the world were infected with a miserable inflation disease. Diagnosing the cause of double-digit inflation and administering a cure was the key problem for economists and central bankers.
Following on the heels of a tumultuous year, 2021 featured both a recovery and new risks as the world continued to grapple with the COVID-19 pandemic. The S&P Municipal Bond Index finished 2021 with a gain of 1.77% as demand
Global Asset Allocation: The View From Europe The Federal Reserve turned decisively more hawkish at its December meeting, announcing an acceleration of the pace of tapering, which will now end asset purchases by March, and guided towards a midyear start
Inflation has returned decisively onto the global economic scene. In the United States, headline CPI (Consumer Price Index) reached close to 7% in November, the highest in nearly 40 years; in the euro area it reached close to 5%, the
Gold Outlook 2022: Gold may face similar dynamics in 2022 to those of last year, as competing forces support and curtail its performance. Near term, the gold price will likely react to real rates in response to the speed at
Schroders Equity Lens: Global equities ended the year on a high note, rallying by 6.8% in Q4, as a strong earnings season coupled with a relatively stable interest rate environment supported performance …
Some alternative assets performed very well in 2021, especially private equity and Bitcoin. But we think 2022 will be very different with less growth but lots of policy tightening. Hence we expect a convergence of returns but still favour cyclical
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY • Peak fiscal policy support, and therefore peak real GDP growth, was likely realized in 2021, and the global economy now appears to be rapidly progressing toward late-cycle dynamics. Monetary policy in most regions has shifted course toward
Playing second fiddle. That’s how the 2022 economic forecasts feel when compared to 2021. For ’22, we see real growth running about 4%, or two times trend. That’s typically great performance, but when you’re coming off a phenomenal growth year
Waarom een allocatie in unconstrained fixed incomestrategieën zinvol is voor beleggers. Het valt obligatiebeleggers te vergeven dat ze zich enigszins gedesoriënteerd voelen. Na een decennium van ultralage rentes en negatieve rendementen zit de inflatie …
Executive summary Global investors strongly prefer an active approach to ESG. Threequarters use active funds to integrate environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues more than double the proportion using passive funds and trackers. Rather than investing in funds that merely
A fundamentally driven bottom-up investment process A unique approach with multi-level risk-management A higher quality approach to credit Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) issues form an integral part of our approach Established and strong track record – the strategy has
Substantial and profound changes are rapidly reshaping the world as we know it, with significant implications for investors. This vibrant reimaging can be encapsulated in a single word: metamorphosis. Investors cannot just think about the here and now; they must
A challenging year ahead: According to our 2022 Investment Outlook, next year will feature growth deceleration, persistent inflation pressure and asynchronised central bank action. 2022 will also be a pivotal year for the transition to carbon neutrality and the development
The medium-term outlook for the current cycle remains healthy and supportive for equity markets. However, there are several near-term risks. Short-term growth momentum is slowing, key central banks are moving towards faster policy normalisation, and there is another wave of
FOMC statement: The tone of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement was hawkish, with a focus on higher inflation risks and more aggressive policy tightening. There were notable changes to the statement: the Fed retired the word ‘transitory’ to
As we look to 2022, we see REITs well positioned to serve an inflation hedging role while benefiting from a continued recovery in operating fundamentals and above trend economic growth. We see earnings growth as the primary driver of share
The trending charts in 2021
2022 Global Market Outlook: Despite headwinds from the pandemic, the global economic recovery still appears on track – but inflation risks have risen. In 2022, investors will need to watch what fiscal and monetary policymakers do to try to stem price pressures while
One year after the discovery of anti-Covid vaccines, financial markets will soon have left (or slowly leaving) the pandemic behind. The economy has not. This is demonstrated by the numerous disruptions among supply chains, on labour markets or on commodity
De omikronvariant van het coronavirus heeft misschien tot meer beperkingen geleid, maar het economische herstel blijft niettemin veerkrachtig. De aandelen lijken dan ook niet kwetsbaar voor een correctie. Asset-allocatie: De omikronvariant zal het herstel waarschijnlijk niet doen ontsporen Een nieuw
The challenge of waste management has long been one of society’s primary challenges. Indeed, we can trace the origin of the waste management industry all the way back to the creation of the first municipal dump in Ancient Greece where,
If you have read the Absolute Return Letter for years, you will be aware that the January letter always stands out from the others. In January, we focus on issues we think you should worry most about as we enter
If 2020 was the The Year of the ₿ull, then 2021 was without a doubt the year crypto went mainstream. Last year, the cryptoasset industry experienced breakthroughs in adoption, regulation, policy, broader infrastructure development, technical upgrades, and on top of
Multi Asset Quarterly: The economic growth outlook is strong, driven by a resilient consumer, low inventories and infrastructure spending. The rapid rise in Omicron cases, however, may limit the service sector’s recovery in Q1 and push out the economic normalization
De omikronvariant van het coronavirus heeft misschien tot meer beperkingen geleid, maar het economische herstel blijft niettemin veerkrachtig. De aandelen lijken dan ook niet kwetsbaar voor een correctie. Een nieuw jaar, oude problemen? De snel verspreidende omikronvariant heeft geleid …
For hundreds of millions of people, March 2020 was a watershed. Within days, the Covid19 pandemic had triggered powerful shockwaves across the world. Entire populations were put under strict lockdown measures almost overnight. Planes were grounded; and restaurants, museums and
Energy: Most of the companies that survived the initial shocks last year are now leaner with lower cost profiles, lower debt leverage metrics, lower capital spending, and have exhibited flexibility around shareholder distributions, all of which has contributed to stronger
We made no changes to the portfolio in December. We continue to be procyclically positioned, mainly through carrying a higher weight in equities. Our preference within equities is for developed markets, for which Europe is our favorite region. Within fixed
Embedded emissions within the supply chains of low-carbon technologies are growing in prominance with broader adoption. Today, manufacturing electric vehicles (EVs) has a much higher carbon footprint than traditional internal combustion engine vehicles. But automakers are working with their suppliers
– Global equities were stronger in the final quarter of 2021 as investors focused on economic resilience and corporate earnings. – In bond markets, government bonds outperformed corporate bonds. Markets began to price a faster pace of interest rate rises
December caped off a good year for the asset class, as the Index returned 0.64% for the month, bringing the full-year return to 5.20%. Following November’s softness, the average Index bid price moved up by 49 bps in the final
China’s roar has changed entering the year of the tiger. China will now emphasize quality over speed, not GDP growth at all costs. In the internet sector, blindly adding new users will take a backseat to innovation and quality of
