The first quarter of 2022 was tumultuous for the global economy and financial markets. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine spawned a rally in US Treasuries, but the disruption to metals, agricultural and energy commodity markets only spurred inflation further.
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Inflation was already running well above central banks’ targets as we entered the year. The war has put additional pressure on prices and supply chains and this could have repercussions not just on oil, but on other commodities as well.
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Global economic optimism declined in the first quarter of 2022. War in Europe added to already stiff inflationary headwinds from continued supplychain disruptions. A more hawkish tone from the Fed and other major central banks fuelled concerns of slowing global
