The Yield Curve Briefly Inverted, Now What?

Aegon Asset Management
By May 4, 2022 09:08

The Yield Curve Briefly Inverted, Now What?

The lead time of curve inversion to recession can be more than two years, so it’s not the best timing tool. However, what we do know with more certainty is the signaling that the economy is now firmly in the late cycle. How long the late cycle will last is ultimately a function of the Fed’s path of monetary policy. Typically, the Fed aims to normalize policy by increasing the policy rate to around the neutral rate thereby taking the proverbial “foot off the gas” and (hopefully) navigating a soft …

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Bas Smit
Business Development Manager, Netherlands
Tel: +31 6 12 27 62 73
bas.smit@aegonam.com

Jeroen van Wilgenburg
Business Development Manager, Netherlands
Tel: +31 6 51 35 24 20
jeroen.wilgenburg@aegonam.com

Aegon Asset Management
By May 4, 2022 09:08

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