The FX regime of the last 20-25 years was characterised by a massive accumulation of USD reserves by export-oriented Asian countries, overall low FX volatility, and a still dominant role for the USD as a ‘public good’ facilitating global trade.
Montana Capital Partners (“mcp”) has published its 10th Annual Investor Survey, titled “The role of private equity in volatile times — how leading investors respond to the new market environment”, which explores the current investment strategies and preferences of global
We expect global growth to slow significantly, with several countries across both developed markets (DM) and EM suffering stagnation, while others may face a slowdown at best. Global growth should land at around 2.2% in 2023, down from 3.4% in
Montana capital partners (“mcp”) is pleased to present the results of its 10th Annual Investor Survey, which gathers the views of institutional investors, such as banks, asset managers, pension funds, insurance companies, and sovereign wealth funds (classified throughout the report
It is hard to believe but just under eight weeks ago, Kwasi Kwarteng, then UK chancellor, announced his ‘growth plan’ comprising the Truss government’s energy price guarantee and large tax cuts. At the time, I described the announcement as radical
Companies invest billions of dollars in political influence through lobbying, campaign contributions, and other means. However, as with other intangible assets, political capital tends to be overlooked by the market. We show how investors can earn excess returns buying undervalued
ETFs posted strong net inflows , gathering $2.7bn last week. Equity ETFs captured $1.9bn while Fixed Income enjoyed inflows of $1.0bn. Commodity, on the other hand, endured net outflows of $217mn.
-Emerging market (EM) stocks are trading at attractive valuations vs. developed market (DM) stocks -For a similar level of inflation between EM and DM, a higher level of growth is expected in EM -A China rebound should …
While most investors are open to equity exposure in a low volatility market, they tend to shy away as volatility increases. To counteract equity volatility, asset managers have traditionally added perceived ‘safe haven’ assets like government bonds to the portfolio.
Developments in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and machine learning have led to the creation of a new type of ESG data that do not necessarily rely on information provided by companies. This paper reviews the use of AI in the ESG
The good news is that AI tools are available now which can collect and analyse more information on ESG risks and opportunities than ever before. These tools improve the quality of data, analyse it effectively and create new exciting opportunities.
The business case for investing in biodiversity is strong: Awareness of the biodiversity investment opportunity is where climate change was 5–10 years ago, but it is catching up rapidly. USD 44 trillion worth of the economic value generated each year
Moeten wereldwijde obligatiebeleggers, na een moeilijk begin van het jaar, George Costanza van Seinfeld volgen en tegen hun instinct in handelen? Voor obligatiebeleggers zijn het ongelooflijk moeilijke maanden geweest. Er was geen plaats om zich te verbergen, aangezien de meeste
Growth is slowing and inflation is climbing steadily due to the serious energy shock in late 2021. Central banks are starting to withdraw monetary stimulus and talking about rate hikes in the near future. The spectre of stagflation is re-emerging,
Waarom de particuliere gezondheidszorgsector beleggers de mogelijkheid biedt om aantrekkelijke rendementen te behalen en het 'sociale' aspect van ESG aan te pakken. Bij duurzaam beleggen wordt de 'S' in ESG vaak verwaarloosd. De aandacht van beleggers wordt meestal getrokken door
On the surface, the better‑than‑expected rebound in US gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the third quarter would reinforce the Fed’s need to remain aggressive on tightening policy. However, looking at the details, there is growing evidence that the economy
Transitioning to a fossil fuel free world requires pragmatic decisions in the short term – and investing where our money can have the most impact.
Grondstoffen maken inmiddels zo’n 20 jaar deel uit van robuuste institutionele beleggingsportefeuilles. In die tijd is er veel veranderd. Passieve invullingen maken binnen de beleggingscategorie plaats voor alternatieve invullingen die zich over de afgelopen jaren meermaals hebben bewezen. Zowel met
Continued high yield selloffs throughout September and October have put increasing pressure on credit investors. Spreads have blown out to around to 650 bps, which gives an implied default rate 8.6% at the time of writing (Figure 1), approaching the
The market pivot away from growth stocks over the past year has brought the dividend component of total stock returns back into focus. Dividend-payers in the S&P 500 Index have outpaced the broader market by a significant margin over the
The world has woken up to the vital role that nature plays in supporting our economy and society. With more than half of our global GDP dependent on the natural world, 1 we believe that the reality is stark: nature
An object in motion, Isaac Newton postulated, continues in motion unless acted on by another force. That law of classical physics has its analog in the realm of financial markets. Crowd psychology and pricing dynamics create observable momentum in returns,
Bedrijven en beleggers hebben te lang hun ogen gesloten voor de bedreiging die biodiversiteitsverlies met zich meebrengt voor de welvaart en groei voor de mensheid. Ze moeten nu de natuur herstellen en de economie duurzamer maken. In de afgelopen 30
Hydrogen can be used as a carrier of energy, and as an input into chemical and industrial processes. Clean hydrogen is, therefore, a crucial decarbonisation tool for a range of industrial activities including steel, aluminium, iron and chemical production. We
In January 2020, the world was hit with some jarring news: The first human-to-human transmission of COVID-19 was reported in Europe. According to news reports at the time, a German man acquired the infection from a colleague who had recently
Our 2023 return outlook stands in stark contrast to last year’s. Across markets, the unwind of dislocations, notably negative policy rates and large central bank balance sheets, has been abrupt. Few asset classes emerged unscathed. But our LTCMAs deliver a
Private markets have provided farmers, entrepreneurs, corporate tycoons and property developers with access to capital for centuries. The first recorded private loan was almost four thousand years ago in Mesopotamia. But the modern era of private equity – focused on
De reële rendementen zijn in alle klassen van vastrentende waarden sterk gestegen. Dat schept voor beleggers kansen die we al jaren niet meer gezien hebben. Vastrentende waarden maken een heropleving door. Beleggers worden steeds vaker vergoed voor risico's – en
The fundamental purpose of finance is to contribute to society through enabling wealth creation and increasing societal well-being.1 The investment industry lies at the heart of this purpose, and it is dynamic and complex. With these characteristics come many opportunities
Beleggen in Europees vastgoed met toegevoegde waarde in een tijd van volatiele activaprijzen, stijgende rentes en vertragende economische groei. Beleggers beleven een periode van verhoogde marktvolatiliteit. Niemand weet precies waar de activaprijzen naartoe gaan – of het nu gaat om
Megatrends zijn een groep krachtige sociale, demografische, milieu- en technologische krachten die onze wereld veranderen. Lees hoe ze de groei op lange termijn achter beleggingsthema's stimuleren. Thematisch beleggen in seculaire groei Een belangrijk kenmerk van thematisch beleggen in aandelen bij
Naarmate de opwarming van de aarde voortduurt, moeten steden zich aanpassen aan een frequenter voorkomen van dodelijke hittegolven en moeten ze investeren in nieuwe technologieën en innovatie. Madrid en Miami worden vaak tot de beste steden ter wereld om in
In een verder ongunstige omgeving voor obligatieemittenten en -beleggers ziet de toekomst voor obligaties uit opkomende markten er zonder twijfel groen uit. Stijgende wereldwijde rentes en volatiele markten hebben zwaar gewogen op zowel het aanbod van als de vraag naar
Investors looking to access a broad range of ESG themes are therefore tasked with buying several singlethematic or narrowly focused funds. This underscores the need for all-inone, fully diversified solutions that target a wide array of sustainable goals through one
Aan de basis van private equity beleggingen in het thema gezondheid staan krachtige macrotrends, zoals vergrijzing en het ‘consumentisme’ van de gezondheidszorg. De private equitymarkt is snel volwassen geworden en in omvang verdrievoudigd in het afgelopen decennium: van 2.000 miljard
The use of artificial intelligence (AI) in investment management is rapidly increasing, posing both opportunities and challenges—including ethical challenges—for firms and professionals working to adopt these technologies in investment processes. This paper addresses the ethical considerations of using AI in
AFM Onderzoek naar de naleving van de SFDR en Taxonomieverordening door beheerders van Nederlandse beleggingsinstellingen en icbe’s
Credit spreads have narrowed again, especially in the US. Valuations remain more compelling in European credit. While US HY index spread has narrowed, lowest-rated CCC bonds are underperforming and dispersion between issuers is rising. Rising risk-free yields and wider spreads
ETFs posted net inflows of $290mn last week, driven by Fixed Income ETFs, which captured $1.0bn. Equity endured net outflows of $547mn while Commodity exposures lost $283mn.
To be successful, companies need to have people at the helm who are wellequipped to create resilient long-term growth. By voting and engaging directly with companies, we encourage management to control risks while seeking to benefit from emerging opportunities. We
Below are some takeaways by Capital Group’s emerging market sovereign debt analyst Thomas Kontchou on important economic and policy considerations given the leftist candidate Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s victory in Brazil’s presidential election.
Praten over thema's als onderwijs of gezondheidszorg met overheden maakt deel uit van onze fiduciaire plicht – en helpt ons een holistische visie te vormen op de landen waarin we beleggen, zegt Mary-Therese Barton, Head of Emerging Market Debt.
We believe a moment has arrived when long-term and short-term opportunities in quality small cap equity are finally aligned, when one can invest in high-quality small …
We continue to operate in extraordinary times. Just as we are emerging to some sense of normality after the pandemic, the world continues to face instability. In the UK, we are experiencing a cost of living crisis and rising inflation.
As difficult as Chinese equities have been over the past year, weakness in the health care sector has been notable. While President Biden’s announcement of a plan to boost US biomanufacturing sent shares of Chinese health care companies tumbling over
De vooruitzichten voor risicovollere activaklassen zien er minder goed uit omdat renteverhogingen de economische groei wereldwijd blijven afremmen. De vooruitzichten voor de wereldeconomie worden slechter. Naarmate de centrale banken de rente verhogen om de inflatie te bestrijden, zal niet alleen
Financial markets rebounded strongly after October’s US consumer price print surprised to the downside. We would not put too much emphasis on one month’s data and would await confirmation before sounding the all-clear. Nevertheless, we think inflation will remain an
With only days to go, the wild 2022 midterms continue apace. From Democrats funding “MAGA Republicans” in primary races, to former President Trump trying his hand as kingmaker, to sacrosanct Democrat seats and governorships at risk of being flipped (we’re
With the book now closed on the 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), market watchers are busy analysing the various personnel and policy developments as they try to plot the next five years and beyond for …
In this report, which shares LGIM research on sustainability themes ahead of the climate summit in Sharm El-Sheikh, we argue that these objectives are not mutually exclusive; rather, they are inextricably linked. The document, penned by our Investments and Investment
