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Posts From Allianz GI

Monthly market and signal update – December 2021

Monthly market and signal update – December 2021

🕔16:45, 14.Dec 2021

Market recap: Global equities initially rallied, but later dropped towards the month-end on fears of the COVID-19 variant, Omicron. Global bonds rallied over …

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Two questions for autumn

Two questions for autumn

🕔11:15, 8.Sep 2021

Capital Markets Monthly Summer is coming to an end in the northern hemisphere. Whether the stock markets will begin to see cooler temperatures following the sharp price increases of these past few months, or conversely, whether we can expect an

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How inflation can be an opportunity for active fixed-income investors

How inflation can be an opportunity for active fixed-income investors

🕔18:27, 24.Aug 2021

Rising prices for goods and services are one of the biggest risks for investors in conventional government bonds. But there are ways for active managers to generate positive returns from rising – and falling – inflation. The key is to

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Active is:Generating capital income with dividends.

Active is:Generating capital income with dividends.

🕔07:34, 27.Jan 2020

Active is:Generating capital income with dividends.   Bond yields are currently deep in the red. Almost 25 % of all outstanding bonds world-wide carry a negative nominal yield. In Germany, yields are below zero for roughly 90 % of outstanding

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In the Year of the Rat, think even longer term

In the Year of the Rat, think even longer term

🕔06:28, 22.Jan 2020

Active is: Sharing insights This Chinese New Year, more than a billion people globally will celebrate the Year of the Rat. We believe investors everywhere can also find reason to celebrate China as a source of continued economic growth. Even if US-China

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Allianz Risk Barometer

Allianz Risk Barometer

🕔15:56, 16.Jan 2019

Technology is breeding new threats as well as business models. Traditional risks such as natural catastrophes continue to challenge while other threats such as cyber, neck-and-neck with business interruption at the top of the Allianz Risk Barometer for the first

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Global claims review

Global claims review

🕔14:47, 13.Jan 2019

The top causes of corporate insurance losses This report focuses on global developments in corporate insurance claims over the period July 1, 2013 to July 1, 2018, identifying the top causes of loss and other trends across a number of

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The predictive power of ESG for insurance

The predictive power of ESG for insurance

🕔14:45, 6.Dec 2018

AGCS and The Value Group, supported by academia, undertook pioneering research on the relevance of ESG for industrial insurance The study establishes the argument for the integration of ESG into risk analysis The research identified ESG parameters with predictive power

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Allianz Global Wealth Report  2018

Allianz Global Wealth Report 2018

🕔13:03, 1.Oct 2018

An exceptional year Despite growing political tensions, 2017 was an almost perfect year for investors. The economic recovery following the financial crisis culminated in a synchronous upturn around the globe and financial markets performed strongly, particularly equity markets. Financial assets

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Measuring and managing environmental exposure

Measuring and managing environmental exposure

🕔16:33, 4.Jul 2018

In Focus Natural capital is the global stock of natural resources, including soil, clean air and groundwater, as well as biodiversity. By many objective scientific and macro-economic indicators it is becoming increasingly clear that natural capital is being depleted at

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Resilient European economy

Resilient European economy

🕔08:42, 21.Jun 2018

Economic Insight In 2017, the global economy registered the strongest growth since 2011. In recent months, however, uncertainty about future economic developments has increased significantly, partly due to the protectionist US trade policy and geopolitical risks. We continue to assume

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Oil – Beyond geopolitics?

Oil – Beyond geopolitics?

🕔07:40, 20.Jun 2018

Economic Insight The peak may be behind us. A number of the drivers underlying recent oil price strength could diminish in strength or reverse. A currently elevated geopolitically induced risk premium might shrink once actual market flows become clear. Financial

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Stress is here to stay What’s next for Italy?

Stress is here to stay What’s next for Italy?

🕔08:14, 15.Jun 2018

Economic Insight Italy 88 days after the Italian parliamentary election, and an episode of exceptional financial market stress later, the Five Star Movement (M5S) and the Lega have sealed their governing alliance. Significant uncertainty remains however regarding the political and

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German growth outlook remains favorable

German growth outlook remains favorable

🕔07:04, 14.Jun 2018

Economic Insight The German economy got off to a weak start in 2018, with growth halving to 0.3% in the first quarter of this year compared with the end of 2017 (+0.6%). Within the euro area, the German economy is

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German growth outlook remains favorable

German growth outlook remains favorable

🕔08:42, 9.Jun 2018

Economic Insight The German economy got off to a weak start in 2018, with growth halving to 0.3% in the first quarter of this year compared with the end of 2017 (+0.6%). Within the euro area, the German economy is

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Industry starts the second quarter on a weak note

Industry starts the second quarter on a weak note

🕔08:42, 9.Jun 2018

The Newsline Industrial production fell by a seasonally-adjusted 1.7% in April compared to the previous month. Production is thus 1% below the average level of the first quarter. All sub-sectors of industry recorded significant month-over-month declines. Consumer goods (-2.1%) and

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The world economy: party on?

The world economy: party on?

🕔08:04, 5.Jun 2018

The View In 2017, global GDP growth reached the +3% post, a landmark it hadn’t reached since 2010. That will likely stay in sight in 2018 and 2019. The general trend comes from a rare combination of favorable factors: the

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Trade games, trade feud or trade war?

Trade games, trade feud or trade war?

🕔08:48, 5.May 2018

Protectionism Last March, Donald Trump decided to drag age-old protectionism out of the past, imposing tariffs on US imports. Retaliation from China – the main target – followed; a solution may be on its way, yet, fears of a trade

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Payment delays up 2 days globally: Don’t lower your guard too early!

Payment delays up 2 days globally: Don’t lower your guard too early!

🕔08:48, 5.May 2018

Payment Behaviour Good news on global growth comes with a significant deterioration in payment terms. Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) increased by +2 days in 2017 to 66 days on average worldwide, its highest level since 2007. It had previously been

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nsurance markets: 80% of growth comes from emerging economies

nsurance markets: 80% of growth comes from emerging economies

🕔08:41, 27.Apr 2018

Global insurance premiums increase in 2017 by 3.7% to 3.66 trillion euros Property-casualty grows by 5.0%, almost twice as fast as life After a lost decade, premium growth should return to pre-crisis level – China is set to become the

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Just an economic soft-patch, not the end of the upswing!

Just an economic soft-patch, not the end of the upswing!

🕔07:42, 24.Apr 2018

The Newsline Today’s stabilization in eurozone purchasing managers' indices (PMI) is reassuring after recent economic indicators for the region came in below expectations pointing to a marked deceleration in economic momentum. The latter was due to a mixture of exuberant

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Responding to tomorrow’s challenges

Responding to tomorrow’s challenges

🕔07:39, 18.Apr 2018

The need for greater transparency among business has come to the fore as society’s expectations continue to grow. It is especially important for the financial services sector, which has a huge responsibility – and opportunity – to support societal priorities

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The Rise Of Artificial Intelligence:

The Rise Of Artificial Intelligence:

🕔08:40, 6.Apr 2018

Future Outlook And Emerging Risks Artificial Intelligence (AI) refers to the ability of a computer program to think and learn like a human and its snowballing impact on society is undeniable. AI applications already pervade many industries, bringing potential benefits

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Protectionism can end the expansion

Protectionism can end the expansion

🕔07:44, 27.Mar 2018

The initial financial market reaction to the announcements of US tariffs on steel and aluminium imports two weeks ago proved surprisingly contained. The limited economic importance of these product groups may have soothed nerves. Meanwhile concerns about a trade war

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Inflation risks? Moderate, and more in the US than the Eurozone

Inflation risks? Moderate, and more in the US than the Eurozone

🕔07:44, 24.Mar 2018

Executive Summary Despite the currently synchronous economic expansion in the US and in the euro area, the inflation risks are still different. In the US, in view of low unemployment and a strongly pro-cyclical fiscal policy, there are certainly risks

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The Eurozone is becoming more stable

The Eurozone is becoming more stable

🕔17:02, 22.Mar 2018

Euro Monitor 2017 The Eurozone currently finds itself in an economic sweetspot. GDP growth has registered above the potential rate since 2014 – at 2.5% last year, it reached the highest rate since the beginning of the global financial crisis.

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Macroeconomic consequences of US tax reform for Germany: greater need for action

Macroeconomic consequences of US tax reform for Germany: greater need for action

🕔07:43, 1.Mar 2018

We estimate the positive effect of the tax cuts on real economic growth in the US at more than half a percentage point in 2018 and between a quarter and half a percentage point in 2019. Additional economic effects could

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The 2018 Global Ranking

The 2018 Global Ranking

🕔07:03, 10.Feb 2018

The Worst and Best Places in the World to Collect Your Debts This second edition of the Euler Hermes Collection Complexity analysis looks into debt collection procedures in 50 countries (*).Sweden, Germany, and Ireland take the lead of our ranking

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Production remains on the uptrend

Production remains on the uptrend

🕔07:06, 8.Feb 2018

In December 2017, output in industry, including energy and construction, fell by 0.6% on a seasonally and working day basis compared with November, but overall output increased by 0.7% in the fourth quarter of 2017 compared with the previous quarter.

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No reason to panic

No reason to panic

🕔07:45, 7.Feb 2018

The recent collapse in the stock markets confirms expectations that the year 2018, which is likely to bring further interest rate hikes by the US central banks and the first steps towards normalization of monetary policy in the eurozone and

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Farewell without surprises

Farewell without surprises

🕔07:45, 2.Feb 2018

The Newsline As expected, the Fed's Open Market Committee (FOMC) left the key interest rate unchanged at its first meeting this year, which was also the last one led by Janet Yellen. The central bank is sticking to its chosen

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EMU economy ahead at full speed

EMU economy ahead at full speed

🕔07:45, 31.Jan 2018

The current economic momentum in the euro area (new GDP data, EU Commission sentiment indicators) clearly shows in retrospective that the loose ECB monetary policy is having an effect. Looking ahead, we consider the current monetary stimulus to be too

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It’s downhill from here for the UK economy

It’s downhill from here for the UK economy

🕔07:44, 27.Jan 2018

The Newsline The preliminary Q4 growth estimate seems to underline the British economy’s resilience 18 months after the Brexit vote. However in our view it’s downhill from here for the UK economy with the slow-burning growth deceleration that is already

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German economy starts the new year with a lot of momentum

German economy starts the new year with a lot of momentum

🕔07:36, 26.Jan 2018

The Newsline At the beginning of the year, sentiment in the German economy improved even further at a high level. The ifo business climate index rose by 0.4 points to 117.6 points. The recent rise in the ifo business climate

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The economic engine is still running smoothly without overheating

The economic engine is still running smoothly without overheating

🕔06:45, 23.Jan 2018

The Newsline The German economy grew by 2.2% in 2017, the fastest rate of growth seen since 2011. After adjustments to reflect calendar effects, the figure came to as much as 2.5%. The pace of growth is, however, expected to

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10 ideas how France and Germany could strenghten Europe

10 ideas how France and Germany could strenghten Europe

🕔17:02, 19.Jan 2018

Economic Insight  

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Allianz Risk Barometer

Allianz Risk Barometer

🕔07:43, 17.Jan 2018

Business interruption (BI) ranks as the most important global risk for the sixth year in a row (42% of responses), due to its tremendous effect on revenues. Companies face an increasing number of scenarios – from traditional exposures, such as

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Italy Election Watch: Limited downside, limited upside

Italy Election Watch: Limited downside, limited upside

🕔07:44, 23.Dec 2017

Will Italy turn Eurosceptic in 2018? In Italy’s upcoming parliamentary election in spring 2018 half of the electorate is likely to cast their vote for a Eurosceptic political party. Nevertheless we view the probability of a Eurosceptic government emerging as

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Beyond populism

Beyond populism

🕔07:45, 16.Dec 2017

Summary Populist economic policies can boost growth and financial markets in the short term, but they also purport uncertainty and volatility. Populists’ disdain for checks and balances threatens to weaken pluralist democracies, while their predilection for facile solutions rarely results

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7 Economic Misconceptions about

7 Economic Misconceptions about

🕔07:44, 12.Dec 2017

Germany & France

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Population growth in Germany: New projections – old challenges

Population growth in Germany: New projections – old challenges

🕔07:43, 12.Dec 2017

Executive Summary Demographers from the German and EU statistical offices have revised their population projections for Germany, painting a more optimistic picture about the country’s population for coming decades. The overall as well as the working-age population are now assumed

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Millennials: Work, Life And Satisfaction

Millennials: Work, Life And Satisfaction

🕔07:43, 8.Dec 2017

Shortly before the stroke of midnight on December 31 this year, the world’s last millennial will turn 18. Within a few years, as more and more millennials complete their formal education and take up jobs, they will come to make

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Economy going from strength to strength

Economy going from strength to strength

🕔13:02, 26.Nov 2017

The newsline Today’s sentiment indicators provide another positive surprise and point to at least four years of above-potential growth in the eurozone. The expansion is on a broad footing, in terms of both GDP components as well as individual countries. 

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Euro area: Inflation target will be achieved if unemployment continues to fall

Euro area: Inflation target will be achieved if unemployment continues to fall

🕔13:02, 26.Nov 2017

Economic Insight The labor market in the euro area has been improving since 2013. Although the number of people in work exceeds 2008 levels, the number of unemployed is still over 3 million higher. This discrepancy is due to increased

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Turkey: Full of surprises?

Turkey: Full of surprises?

🕔07:43, 24.Nov 2017

Turkey to benefit from accelerating world growth… Global trade is back and protectionism contained Each recovery comes with its risks: Look for the invisible bank, suppliers’ credit

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Were are we in the Economic Cycle?

Were are we in the Economic Cycle?

🕔01:02, 6.Nov 2017

Economic Insight Were are we in the Economic Cycle? How long can we go? What could go wrong?

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ECB Preserve flexibility

ECB Preserve flexibility

🕔11:02, 30.Oct 2017

The newsline We view critically the European Central Bank’s decision to extend its bond purchasing program beyond the end of 2017 until well into 2018. Although the halving of the volume of net purchases from EUR 60bn to EUR 30bn

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Global Wealth Report 2017

Global Wealth Report 2017

🕔13:02, 9.Oct 2017

Preface It’s ten years since the eruption of the major financial crisis that almost caused the global financial system to collapse. What lessons have savers learned from this profound event? The answer is surprising and, at the same time, sobering.

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Normalization of balance sheet begins

Normalization of balance sheet begins

🕔01:03, 24.Sep 2017

The NewsLine The reduction in the central bank’s balance sheet starting in October is an appropriate step on the path to normalization and comes as no surprise to the markets. In recent months the Fed had presented and discussed its

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Economy enjoying golden autumn

Economy enjoying golden autumn

🕔01:03, 24.Sep 2017

The NewsLine Today’s survey results confirm that the eurozone economy has not lost steam in the third quarter either. In Germany and France already-high momentum moved up a further gear in September – accompanied by strong employment growth – while

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