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Posts From BlackRock

Greater inflation risks ahead

Greater inflation risks ahead

🕔09:38, 23.Sep 2020

Weekly commentary We see a higher inflation regime in the medium term after a decade of inflation persistently undershooting central bank targets. Three new forces are at play: rising global production cost, new central bank policy frameworks that allow for …

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Why we stay moderately pro-risk

Why we stay moderately pro-risk

🕔13:01, 15.Sep 2020

Weekly commentary The broad macro backdrop has been improving, risk assets have rallied a long way, and increasing market volatility points to risks that investors will need to navigate as the U.S. presidential election draws closer. All this leaves us …

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Changing credit views amid volatility

Changing credit views amid volatility

🕔08:03, 9.Sep 2020

Weekly commentary Markets have rallied sharply from their virus lows, driven by the policy revolution and economic restart. Tighter valuations increase the risk of volatility, particularly ahead of divisive U.S. elections. Last week’s equity selloff illustrates this. Against …

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Strategic views for a post-Covid world

Strategic views for a post-Covid world

🕔12:51, 26.Aug 2020

Weekly commentary The pandemic has sped up key structural trends and triggered substantial market swings, precipitating an urgent need to rethink strategic asset allocations. Among …

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Implications of a weaker dollar

Implications of a weaker dollar

🕔15:12, 12.Aug 2020

Weekly commentary A prolonged period of U.S. dollar gains has reversed abruptly. The policy revolution to cushion the pandemic’s blow is a key driver, as it has eroded the dollar’s interest rate advantage and helped lift risk appetite off its

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Focusing on factors

Focusing on factors

🕔13:14, 10.Aug 2020

Weekly commentary Corporate earnings estimates look to be troughing as economies reopen with fits and starts. We have increased our overweight in the quality factor because we see it as most resilient to the dynamics of a choppy activity restart,

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Real resilience in sustainability

Real resilience in sustainability

🕔09:44, 31.Jul 2020

The tectonic shift toward sustainability is gaining pace. We highlight an underappreciated climate-related risk to portfolios: water stress. Negotiations have kicked off over the size and make-up of a new U.S. fiscal package as key benefits are set to expire

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Favoring Euro stocks in global restart

Favoring Euro stocks in global restart

🕔13:16, 22.Jul 2020

We consider European stocks the most attractive regional exposure to a multispeed global restart, especially versus emerging markets outside of north Asia. We could see a $1-1.5 trillion U.S. fiscal package that extends some, but not all, federal stimulus measures

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Troubled waters – Water stress risks to portfolios

Troubled waters – Water stress risks to portfolios

🕔09:30, 20.Jul 2020

An understated risk The global pandemic has reinforced the importance of resilience in investment portfolios. This includes sustainability-related risks that investors may have been underappreciating, ranging from vulnerable global supply chains to health and safety issues. We believe increased asset

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Why we like credit

Why we like credit

🕔09:26, 16.Jul 2020

Weekly commentary We recently moved to a strategic overweight on credit after being underweight for the past year. Cheaper valuations compensated for the risk of corporate defaults and downgrades in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, in our view. We

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Downgrading U.S. equities to neutral

Downgrading U.S. equities to neutral

🕔09:58, 10.Jul 2020

We downgrade U.S. equities to neutral after a strong run amid surging COVID-19 cases and risks of fading fiscal stimulus. We are tracking the interplay of containment measures and mobility changes on activity as economies have started to reopen. Markets

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Dividends in danger?

Dividends in danger?

🕔15:05, 3.Jul 2020

The world was quickly thrust into a health crisis and economic tailspin that neither individuals nor businesses saw coming. The stress has prompted talk of companies having to reduce or eliminate their dividend payments to preserve operating capital. Tony DeSpirito

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Our midyear outlook

Our midyear outlook

🕔13:14, 1.Jul 2020

The virus shock is accelerating key structural trends. We update our three investment themes and investment views against this backdrop. We are tracking the interplay of containment measures and mobility changes on activity as economies have started to reopen.  Markets

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The future is running at us

The future is running at us

🕔09:50, 30.Jun 2020

2020 midyear outlook The future is running at us. The coronavirus shock is accelerating structural trends in inequality, globalization, macro policy and sustainability. This is fundamentally reshaping the investment landscape …

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Warming up to Europe

Warming up to Europe

🕔11:34, 24.Jun 2020

BII Global weekly commentary We are warming up to European assets as the region steps up its policy response and demonstrates relative success in tamping virus growth. We are tracking the interplay of containment measures and mobility changes on activity

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Private markets as diversifiers

Private markets as diversifiers

🕔15:18, 19.Jun 2020

We see diversification with – and within – private markets as crucial to building resilient portfolios in a low-rate, post Covid-19 world. The key to the policy response has shifted to ensuring successful execution and avoiding policy fatigue before the

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Policy revolution: What’s next?

Policy revolution: What’s next?

🕔14:54, 10.Jun 2020

Macroeconomic policy has undergone a necessary revolution in just three months, but this is a slippery slope without proper guardrails. The key to the policy response has shifted to ensuring successful execution and avoiding policy fatigue before the shock passes.

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Investment Directions

Investment Directions

🕔13:58, 5.Jun 2020

The great poet Ralph Waldo Emerson famously wrote, “Do what we can, summer will have its flies.” As we head into the summer months, this mood may best describe nervous investors who recently experienced large bouts of market volatility due

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Dealing with the next downturn

Dealing with the next downturn

🕔09:16, 5.Jun 2020

From unconventional monetary policy to unprecedented policy coordination Unprecedented policies will be needed to respond to the next economic downturn. Monetary policy is almost exhausted as global interest rates plunge towards zero or below. Fiscal policy on its own will

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Systematic Fixed Income Outlook Q2 2020

Systematic Fixed Income Outlook Q2 2020

🕔11:06, 4.Jun 2020

Investing without a parachute In the wake of the coronavirus crisis, the U.S. bond market finds itself flirting with negative interest rates and bumping up against the “zero lower bound”—calling into question the ability of bonds to provide ballast in

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China emerges from virus lockdowns

China emerges from virus lockdowns

🕔14:58, 3.Jun 2020

China’s economy is restarting after emerging from lockdown, likely benefiting countries and assets exposed to its growth. The key to the policy response has shifted to ensuring successful execution and avoiding policy fatigue before the shock passes. Markets will watch

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Virus compels a strategic view revamp

Virus compels a strategic view revamp

🕔16:56, 28.May 2020

BII Global weekly commentary The virus shock is accelerating and changing structural trends, leading us to shift our long-term return expectations and strategic views. The key to the policy response has shifted to ensuring successful execution and avoiding policy fatigue

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Current opportunities in the TIPS market

Current opportunities in the TIPS market

🕔15:22, 27.May 2020

Treasury Market Dislocations This past month market volatility and risk premiums rose to levels not seen since the global financial crisis of 2008- 2009. Sparked by a global collapse in activity in response to the Coronavirus pandemic, the increase in

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Upholding our equity views

Upholding our equity views

🕔08:13, 20.May 2020

Weekly commentary Global stocks have recovered more than half of the selloff triggered by the coronavirus pandemic since late March – alongside a sharp contraction in economic activity and corporate earnings. We see the unprecedented policy …

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Europe bond outlook under review

Europe bond outlook under review

🕔10:09, 13.May 2020

Weekly commentary  A decision by the German constitutional court last week could potentially undermine the independence of the European Central Bank (ECB) – and threaten to fuel fragmentation within the euro area in the long run. This comes as the

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Featured Events & Webinars

  1. T. Rowe Price – Webinar – What will a new era bring for Japan?

    October 7 @ 10:00 - 10:30

Twitter

"The relentless run in #riskassets over the last five months finally faded a bit in early September, as the S&P 500 fell nearly 8% and the tech-heavy #NASDAQ fell 11%. This year’s returns have been heavily influenced by the …" -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/09/northern-trust/an-interesting-fall/

"All eyes were on #centralbanks. As expected, the #Fed left its rates unchanged. It even said they would not move until inflation rose above 2% and stayed there for some time, a situation ..." -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/09/edmond-de-rothschild/central-banks-strive-to-maintain-visbility/

"Some regions of #Europe are returning to #lockdown – for instance some districts of Madrid badly hit by the second wave of the #pandemic. Yet, for now these lockdowns are ..." -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/09/axa/investing-to-pastures-greener/ #ecb

Various central banks met last week and offered markets the comfort of ongoing stimulus. #ChartoftheWeek plots both historic US interest rates and the market’s implied expectations, forecasting no normalisation. Read more in our #FixedIncome roundup: https://bit.ly/3hVWkLB

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