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Posts From BlackRock

A Bigger Boat

A Bigger Boat

🕔09:17, 20.Jul 2022

Market views from BlackRock Systematic Investing: Central bankers across the world are facing a “Jaws”-sized inflation problem. Like Roy Schneider’s character in the shark-themed summer movie classic, they are now realizing they are going to “need a bigger boat” to

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Geopolitical risk dashboard

Geopolitical risk dashboard

🕔14:08, 14.Jul 2022

The Russian invasion of Ukraine is the most serious security situation and humanitarian crisis in Europe since WWII, in our view. It’s also the most dangerous standoff between the U.S. and Russia since the Cuban Missile Crisis. Our BlackRock Geopolitical

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Positioning for the net-zero transition

Positioning for the net-zero transition

🕔10:03, 7.Jul 2022

The transition towards a decarbonized economy is underway. It will involve a massive reallocation of resources. Economies will be reshaped as carbon emissions are cut, inevitably impacting portfolios. •As an asset manager, BlackRock’s fiduciary role includes helping our clients navigate

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All systems go

All systems go

🕔14:34, 16.Jun 2022

As bond ETFs turn 20 years old, we believe four trends will propel global AUM to USD 5 trillion by 2030 Twenty years ago, computerised stock trading was reshaping the unseen market plumbing that connects buyers with sellers. Pit-style trading

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Macron wins French vote

Macron wins French vote

🕔16:37, 5.May 2022

Centrist Emmanuel Macron was set to secure a second term as France’s president, heralding a deepening of European integration at a time the continent is under extraordinary stress. Macron fended off a challenge by euroscepticMarine Le Pen for the second

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Geopolitical risk dashboard

Geopolitical risk dashboard

🕔12:09, 19.Apr 2022

Geopolitical Risks – April update The Russian invasion of Ukraine is the largest, most dangerous military mobilization in Europe since WWII. It has upended the geopolitical order, with profound implications for financial markets and the global economy. Indeed, our overall

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Ukraine war to cut growth, up inflation

Ukraine war to cut growth, up inflation

🕔19:50, 3.Apr 2022

BII Global weekly commentary We see the Ukraine war reducing global growth, increasing inflation and putting central banks in a bind. We prefer developed stocks in the inflationary backdrop Stocks led by European equities bounced from 2022 lows last week,

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A historically challenging market regime

A historically challenging market regime

🕔15:35, 30.Mar 2022

Global outlook – Q2 2022 update Both stocks and bonds are down year-to-date as policy confusion and Russia’s invasion roil markets. We still see stocks up and bonds down for a second straight year – a first since data started

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A Stagflationary Shock

A Stagflationary Shock

🕔08:34, 17.Mar 2022

The geopolitical crisis in Ukraine creates a stagflationary shock for global economies. Rising commodity prices have the potential to add momentum to already runaway inflation. Higher goods and services costs may hurt consumer confidence and create a drag on economic

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BII Global weekly commentary

BII Global weekly commentary

🕔11:56, 14.Mar 2022

BII Global weekly commentary We up our strategic overweight to developed market (DM) equities, but near term elevated geopolitical tensions keep our tactical shopping basket on hold. Equities retreated as investors took renewed fright over the military stand-off involving Ukraine,

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Staying calm amid market volatility

Staying calm amid market volatility

🕔11:31, 5.Mar 2022

When markets get volatile, it can be tempting to change course. Each crisis, from geopolitical risks to changes in monetary policy, can feel daunting. But rather than trying to predict what happens next, it’s critical for investors to think clearly

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Keeping our modest equity overweight

Keeping our modest equity overweight

🕔17:14, 4.Mar 2022

BII Global weekly commentary We stick with our modest equities overweight but are not buying the recent dip yet. The main reason: confusion over the supply-driven macro environment. Stocks fell further as the Fed flagged a likely rate hike in

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Managing the net-zero transition

Managing the net-zero transition

🕔16:27, 1.Mar 2022

The transition to decarbonize the world is happening. Whether the goal of net-zero carbon emissions is achievable by 2050 is far from certain. What is clear: Ignoring the transition is no longer an option. Understanding how the journey will unfold

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Keeping our modest equity overweight

Keeping our modest equity overweight

🕔16:07, 1.Mar 2022

BII Global weekly commentary We stick with our modest equities overweight but are not buying the recent dip yet. The main reason: confusion over the supply-driven macro environment. Stocks fell further as the Fed flagged a likely rate hike in

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Managing the net-zero transition

Managing the net-zero transition

🕔18:10, 10.Feb 2022

The transition to decarbonize the world is happening. Whether the goal of net-zero carbon emissions is achievable by 2050 is far from certain. What is clear: Ignoring the transition is no longer an option. Understanding how the journey will unfold

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Keeping our modest equity overweight

Keeping our modest equity overweight

🕔14:35, 7.Feb 2022

BII Global weekly commentary We stick with our modest equities overweight but are not buying the recent dip yet. The main reason: confusion over the supply-driven macro environment. Stocks fell further as the Fed flagged a likely rate hike in

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Benefits of Scale Spotlight

Benefits of Scale Spotlight

🕔12:43, 3.Feb 2022

Professionally managed funds offered by U.S. asset managers—such as mutual funds and exchange traded funds (ETFs)—have made it easier and more cost-efficient for millions of American investors to access markets. Over the past few decades, American families’ household assets invested

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Positivity comes with volatility for municipals in 2022

Positivity comes with volatility for municipals in 2022

🕔14:30, 25.Jan 2022

Following on the heels of a tumultuous year, 2021 featured both a recovery and new risks as the world continued to grapple with the COVID-19 pandemic. The S&P Municipal Bond Index finished 2021 with a gain of 1.77% as demand

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The case for active equities in the U.S.

The case for active equities in the U.S.

🕔13:18, 10.Jan 2022

Using a systematic approach to target consistent alpha Not just active, systematic active In decades past, investors have largely relied on information supplied by companies themselves to understand how business conditions and fundamentals were evolving.  Financial statements, meetings with management

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2022 Private Markets Outlook

2022 Private Markets Outlook

🕔16:26, 5.Jan 2022

We enter 2022 with a lot to consider. The paths of inflation and interest rates, the profound effects of megatrends such as digitization and decarbonization and numerous sub-themes all demand our immediate attention. As private market investors we view this

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Global outlook 2022

Global outlook 2022

🕔14:08, 5.Jan 2022

Living with inflation – We expect inflation to be persistent and settle above pre-Covid levels. Central banks should kick off policy rate hikes but remain more tolerant of price pressures, keeping real interest rates historically low and supportive of risk

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Thriving in a new market regime

Thriving in a new market regime

🕔13:38, 4.Jan 2022

BII Global outlook We are entering a new market regime unlike any in the past half century: We see another year of positive equity returns coupled with a down year for bonds. The powerful restart of economic activity will be

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Liftoff? EM has already taken off

Liftoff? EM has already taken off

🕔14:12, 29.Nov 2021

As U.S. inflation is hitting three-decade highs, market talk has been all about “liftoff:” When will the Federal Reserve and others start raising their policy rates? This is old news in emerging markets (EMs), where many countries have already raised

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A lopsided energy transition

A lopsided energy transition

🕔12:02, 8.Nov 2021

Weekly commentary: Surging natural gas and coal prices amid a powerful economic restart have exposed a lopsided transition toward low-carbon power. We still see an orderly transition in the medium term – but with bumps on the way that could

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How to finance the net-zero transition in emerging markets

How to finance the net-zero transition in emerging markets

🕔16:38, 19.Oct 2021

The big emerging question Climate change is a global problem: without a successful transition to net-zero everywhere, climate risk is unmanageable anywhere. Emerging markets (EMs) are essential to the global transition – now accounting for 34% of global carbon emissions

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Debt ceiling spat takes a breather

Debt ceiling spat takes a breather

🕔14:25, 18.Oct 2021

BII Global weekly commentary We believe the debt ceiling dispute will eventually resolve but could trigger more volatility. The broadening economic restart keeps us tactically pro-risk. U.S. job growth slowed sharply in September, but we see it as unlikely to

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Why we stay pro-risk

Why we stay pro-risk

🕔09:16, 4.Oct 2021

BII Global weekly commentary We stay tactically pro-risk amid the broadening economic restart, with negative real rates supporting risk assets – as per our new nominal theme. The Fed signaled it will start to taper around the year-end. Its reluctance

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BII Global weekly commentary

BII Global weekly commentary

🕔10:38, 15.Sep 2021

BII Global weekly commentary Europe is in the spotlight this month, with a key European Central Bank (ECB) meeting and a pivotal German election that could have significant medium-term implications for the fiscal stance of Europe’s largest economy. We see

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Getting granular

Getting granular

🕔13:03, 23.Aug 2021

Portfolio perspectives – August 2021: The volatility we have seen just in the two months since we published our midyear investment outlook reflects – in our view – the unusually wide range of divergent yet plausible economic outcomes that potentially

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Taking stock on China

Taking stock on China

🕔11:16, 9.Aug 2021

Slower activity We see last week’s developments in line with China’s long-term hawkish macro policy stance and regulatory clampdown as the country pursues quality growth. This process is not a straight line, and we see a dovish shift in the

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A taxing question for U.S. stocks

A taxing question for U.S. stocks

🕔08:20, 16.Jul 2021

We see equities in developed markets (DMs) outside the U.S. as better positioned to capture the …

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Tempting FAIT

Tempting FAIT

🕔15:36, 29.Jun 2021

Systematic Fixed Income Outlook: BlackRock’s quant bond experts tackle some hard questions around the recent inflation data. What is behind the headlines? Are rising prices just temporary or the start of something bigger? What does greater inflation uncertainty mean for

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Sizing China in strategic allocations

Sizing China in strategic allocations

🕔11:27, 11.May 2021

The narrative around China has shifted away markedly, in our view, from concerns about the health of its financial system and credit-fueled growth. Its economic and market outperformance through yet another global shock has brought sharply into focus the important

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Commodities rewired

Commodities rewired

🕔14:03, 15.Apr 2021

Oil and industrial metals have rallied since late-2020 on expectations for a swift economic restart, sparking talk of a new commodity “supercycle.” We see a more nuanced outlook – with a divergence across different commodities. The lift for oil from the economic restart is likely to be transitory, while some metals may benefit …

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What’s in store for emerging markets?

What’s in store for emerging markets?

🕔16:01, 10.Mar 2021

What’s in store for emerging markets?   Q1 2021 Outlook   Emerging markets experienced a strong recovery both in activity and capital inflows in Q4 2020, supported by intense search for yield and a more optimistic global growth outlook thanks to vaccine

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Downgrading government bonds

Downgrading government bonds

🕔16:28, 25.Feb 2021

Downgrading government bonds  Weekly commentary We broaden our tactical pro-risk stance in light of major developments since the publication of our 2021 outlook in December: the vaccine rollout and up to $2.8 trillion of additional U.S. fiscal spending this year.

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A new investment order

A new investment order

🕔16:21, 12.Jan 2021

A new investment order – 2021 global outlook We have entered a new investment order. The Covid-19 pandemic has accelerated profound shifts in how economies and societies operate. We see transformations across sustainability, inequality, geopolitics and macro policy. This is

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Vaccines shape 2021 outlook

Vaccines shape 2021 outlook

🕔09:26, 24.Nov 2020

"We still like high yield for income. On a tactical horizon, we strongly prefer high yield for its income and more room for spread tightening. We are neutral on IG and underweight emerging market debt."

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U.S. election through a sectoral lens

U.S. election through a sectoral lens

🕔14:57, 16.Oct 2020

Weekly commentary The potential outcomes of the November U.S. election could have starkly different policy ramifications, as we argued last week. What will this mean for equity markets? We believe simplistic narratives about the overall market direction are best avoided

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Greater inflation risks ahead

Greater inflation risks ahead

🕔09:38, 23.Sep 2020

Weekly commentary We see a higher inflation regime in the medium term after a decade of inflation persistently undershooting central bank targets. Three new forces are at play: rising global production cost, new central bank policy frameworks that allow for …

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Why we stay moderately pro-risk

Why we stay moderately pro-risk

🕔13:01, 15.Sep 2020

Weekly commentary The broad macro backdrop has been improving, risk assets have rallied a long way, and increasing market volatility points to risks that investors will need to navigate as the U.S. presidential election draws closer. All this leaves us …

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Changing credit views amid volatility

Changing credit views amid volatility

🕔08:03, 9.Sep 2020

Weekly commentary Markets have rallied sharply from their virus lows, driven by the policy revolution and economic restart. Tighter valuations increase the risk of volatility, particularly ahead of divisive U.S. elections. Last week’s equity selloff illustrates this. Against …

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Strategic views for a post-Covid world

Strategic views for a post-Covid world

🕔12:51, 26.Aug 2020

Weekly commentary The pandemic has sped up key structural trends and triggered substantial market swings, precipitating an urgent need to rethink strategic asset allocations. Among …

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Implications of a weaker dollar

Implications of a weaker dollar

🕔15:12, 12.Aug 2020

Weekly commentary A prolonged period of U.S. dollar gains has reversed abruptly. The policy revolution to cushion the pandemic’s blow is a key driver, as it has eroded the dollar’s interest rate advantage and helped lift risk appetite off its

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Focusing on factors

Focusing on factors

🕔13:14, 10.Aug 2020

Weekly commentary Corporate earnings estimates look to be troughing as economies reopen with fits and starts. We have increased our overweight in the quality factor because we see it as most resilient to the dynamics of a choppy activity restart,

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Real resilience in sustainability

Real resilience in sustainability

🕔09:44, 31.Jul 2020

The tectonic shift toward sustainability is gaining pace. We highlight an underappreciated climate-related risk to portfolios: water stress. Negotiations have kicked off over the size and make-up of a new U.S. fiscal package as key benefits are set to expire

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Favoring Euro stocks in global restart

Favoring Euro stocks in global restart

🕔13:16, 22.Jul 2020

We consider European stocks the most attractive regional exposure to a multispeed global restart, especially versus emerging markets outside of north Asia. We could see a $1-1.5 trillion U.S. fiscal package that extends some, but not all, federal stimulus measures

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Troubled waters – Water stress risks to portfolios

Troubled waters – Water stress risks to portfolios

🕔09:30, 20.Jul 2020

An understated risk The global pandemic has reinforced the importance of resilience in investment portfolios. This includes sustainability-related risks that investors may have been underappreciating, ranging from vulnerable global supply chains to health and safety issues. We believe increased asset

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Why we like credit

Why we like credit

🕔09:26, 16.Jul 2020

Weekly commentary We recently moved to a strategic overweight on credit after being underweight for the past year. Cheaper valuations compensated for the risk of corporate defaults and downgrades in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, in our view. We

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Downgrading U.S. equities to neutral

Downgrading U.S. equities to neutral

🕔09:58, 10.Jul 2020

We downgrade U.S. equities to neutral after a strong run amid surging COVID-19 cases and risks of fading fiscal stimulus. We are tracking the interplay of containment measures and mobility changes on activity as economies have started to reopen. Markets

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