Key takeaways Chinese equities have had a volatile 2022 so far as the country has had to navigate COVID-19 restrictions, property debt concerns and supply chain constraints among many other headwinds China is becoming an increasingly selective market that requires
Emerging market debt (EMD) has already broadened and deepened significantly in the last few decades and as the asset class has developed, it has become more appealing to a broader investor base. Issuance has increased, thereby improving liquidity. Yield curves
Economic intricacies and structural challenges are commonplace in Japan. But looking through the lens of individual companies shines a different light on the nation. In this paper, newly named portfolio managers of Capital Group Japan Equity strategy, Kohei Higashi and
2022 has been one of the most volatile periods in recent years for global equity and fixed income markets. The outbreak of the war in Ukraine, global supply chain disruptions, global inflationary pressures, less accommodative central banks and COVID-19 restrictions
Q&A with Rob Neithart With yields at historic levels in high yield and emerging market debt, seasoned portfolio manager Rob Neithart discusses how he is approaching the key risks and opportunities in markets today. He also explains the process behind
After a long hiatus, the resurgence of inflation has become a key concern for investors over the past year. Central banks are moving towards a tighter monetary stance as they seek to tame long-term inflation expectations. With falling real incomes
Quarterly Fixed Income Perspectives from Capital Group’s fixed income team: The combination of persistently high inflation, aggressive central banks and tightening financial conditions is weighing on financial markets and global growth outlooks. While valuations across many sectors look compelling after
2022 has not been a great time for bonds. The Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index and Bloomberg US Treasury Index both hit historical lows, returning -13.9% and -9.1%, respectively, in the first 6 months of 20221 . Meanwhile, risky asset classes
Historically, emerging market (EM) local currency debt has tended to weaken with rising US interest rates, but our research shows that much of this has generally occurred before Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes have taken place. As the Fed
The Russia-Ukraine conflict, a spike in commodity prices and rising global inflation have raised fresh questions about the outlook for emerging markets (EM) debt. Recent forecasts from the International Monetary Fund and World Bank suggest global growth is slowing. And
Emerging market (EM) bonds are a strategic holding for many investors. But the desired result from an allocation to emerging market debt cannot be achieved without first considering the attributes of hard- and local currency-denominated bonds — the two broad
China’s once-in-a-decade census revealed some interesting demographic issues. The country has 264 million people aged 60 and above, which equates to 18.7% of the population, considerably higher than 13% in 2010. The 12 million births …
The return of inflation and macroeconomic uncertainty is shaking up equity market leadership. We caught up with Grant Cambridge to discuss why including dividend growers as part of a wider portfolio could help investors dampen these risks, and how 25
Are we witnessing the end of globalisation or are reports of its demise greatly exaggerated? Talha: Globalisation is the process of growing interdependence between the global economies as measured through cross-border trade, finance, information and migration flows. Historically …
A further rise in commodity prices is a key channel through which the conflict in Russia/Ukraine might affect the rest of EM. If the commodity price increase is sustained, some EM countries may suffer from a deterioration in the terms
The fragility of global supply chains exposed during the COVID-19 pandemic remains one of the top economic challenges facing the world. In one respect, globalisation has long been characterised by developed market countries offshoring production to lower cost locations. But
Can you elaborate on the growth and income philosophy of CGEGI and how that informs your positioning? Alfonso: For me, one of the most attractive features of the growth and income approach is that it gives managers complete discretion to
As shown in the following graph, fixed income markets have experienced one of the most, if not the most, turbulent period in history. To put it in perspective, US Treasuries returned -9.1% during the first six months of 20221 ,
Our differences make us better Our mission is to improve people's lives through successful investing. We’re united in purpose and values that include integrity, collaboration and respect for individuals, and we flourish by seeking out and embracing our differences. We
The Japanese yen (JPY) has plunged to its lowest level in decades against the US dollar, as the Bank of Japan (BOJ) has kept its monetary policy ultra-loose even as other central banks begin to hike interest rates and dial
So far in 2022, the European economy has held up remarkably well despite investor worries about a war-induced recession. But as the European Central Bank (ECB) prepares to hike interest rates at its 21 July meeting, the economy faces substantial
The conflict in Ukraine has delivered a commodity price shock similar to that of the early 1970s, shattering hopes that the inflationary uptick may prove to be transitory. As inflation reaches multi-decade highs, we analyse what is driving inflation across
It is no secret that 2022 has been challenging for fixed income investors. High inflation and the US Federal Reserve (Fed)’s initiation of interest rate hikes have weighed on markets. Nevertheless, the broad credit universe provides ample opportunities for investors
It has been a rocky start to the year for credit in 2022, with both year-to-date total and excess returns being starkly negative. What started as a duration-driven selloff has been exacerbated by macro headwinds including high inflation, the Russia-Ukraine
The extent of the Q1 drawdown in fixed income markets was both large and rare relative to history. The aftermath of the pandemic and the conflict in Ukraine propelled inflation in developed markets around the world to multi-decade highs. In
The recent surge in commodity prices has amplified the acceleration in inflation that we have been seeing globally, arising from disruption to global supply chains caused by the pandemic. Expectations just a few months ago were that the drivers …
What has driven the recent acceleration in electric vehicle (EV) sales? Jason Zhang: The acceleration has been largely driven by regulations and incentives in Europe and China. In Europe, for example, 2020 was the first year when automakers faced stringent
World events continue to remind us how connected we all are. We are emerging from a global pandemic, supporting victims of war and tragic violence, confronting social and economic inequities, and addressing climate change. These events underscore the importance of
In this Q&A, Kirstie Spence and Robert Burgess share their views on Russia, commodity prices and the impact of the conflict on emerging markets. How does the Russia-Ukraine conflict compare to previous periods of geopolitical instability? Kirstie: The current situation
ESG adoption is on the rise, fuelled by client demand and a desire to make an impact. As ESG momentum continues to gain steam, investors are refining and evolving their strategies. This can be seen in the implementation arena, where
Capital Ideas WEBINARS Globalisation: the reports of its demise are greatly exaggerated COVID-19 disruptions showed that global supply lines aren’t perfectly efficient machines. And recent moves by China and Russia have reminded the world that approaches to politics and the
The buzz swirling around the electric vehicle (EV) sector has been front and centre for investors looking to profit from the world’s transition to a net-zero carbon economy. Tesla recently skyrocketed to a US$1 trillion market cap, joining an elite
With the US Federal Reserve in a full-on fight against inflation, concerns are rising that tighter monetary policy could tip the US economy into a recession. A look at longer-term financial cycles …
Fast-growing digital and tech companies generated a lot of investor excitement over the past decade, not to mention an outsized share of market returns. Since the start of 2022, however, many of these market darlings have taken a beating. Amid
Global growth is likely to slow alongside increasing geopolitical risk and uncertainty, tighter monetary policy, and a slowing Chinese economy. There is also a greater risk that inflation will remain higher for longer, given supply chain ….
Are we witnessing the end of globalisation or are reports of its demise greatly exaggerated? Talha: Globalisation is the process of growing interdependence between the global economies as measured through cross-border trade, finance, information and migration flows. Historically, globalisation has
Moderating global growth as policymakers grapple with persistent inflation Global economic growth looks likely to continue in 2022, albeit at a more modest pace. The COVID-19 pandemic does, however, add uncertainty to the outlook, as evidenced by the recent emergence
Our second annual study captured views from over 1,100 professional investors from 19 markets around the globe on ESG issues
Global economic optimism declined in the first quarter of 2022. War in Europe added to already stiff inflationary headwinds from continued supplychain disruptions. A more hawkish tone from the Fed and other major central banks fuelled concerns of slowing global
Global economic optimism declined in the first quarter of 2022. War in Europe added to already stiff inflationary headwinds from continued supplychain disruptions. A more hawkish tone from the Fed and other major central banks fuelled concerns of slowing global
It feels as though US policy makers have spent the entire post-global financial crisis period trying to generate inflation. Now that it’s here, it seems like the wrong kind of inflation. How do you see inflation playing out in the
It’s a common preconception that rising interest rates are bad for bonds. While rate hikes are undoubtedly a headwind for fixed income assets, investors tend to overestimate the impact of rising rates and can overlook the benefits of holding bonds
In 2021, we developed and deployed a centralized ESG Tracker that enables all team members to systematically store relevant information in a location that can be easily accessed by anyone who requires it. During the year, we were able to
In this Q&A, Kirstie Spence and Robert Burgess share their views on Russia, commodity prices and the impact of the conflict on emerging markets. How does the Russia-Ukraine conflict compare to previous periods of geopolitical instability? Kirstie: The current situation
What is your view on inflationary pressures and the outlook for global growth? Philip: Global growth was recovering strongly post-pandemic, particularly in the US and Europe. The inflation spike is going to dampen this growth, the ramifications of which depend
In 2021, we developed and deployed a centralized ESG Tracker that enables all team members to systematically store relevant information in a location that can be easily accessed by anyone who requires it. During the year, we were able to
Despite well-publicised moves to restructure its economy over the past few years, China remains a key investment destination due to the attraction of its enormous domestic market. And as the world’s second-largest economy, China is also deeply interconnected with the
1. High yield is a growth sensitive asset class: The high-yield market has historically produced positive results over a full cycle, but it tends to do particularly well during the recovery phase of the business cycle as default rates fall,
Higher inflation and in some cases, rising inflation expectations, have been a key focus for investors this year, in both emerging and developed markets (DM). This is against a backdrop of large fiscal and monetary stimulus from governments around the
A key channel of contagion to fixed income markets outside of Russia/Ukraine is likely to be through commodity prices. Russia is the largest exporter of natural gas and the second-largest exporter of crude oil and petroleum products. The US has
