A fundamentally driven bottom-up investment process A unique approach with multi-level risk-management A higher quality approach to credit Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) issues form an integral part of our approach Established and strong track record – the strategy has
Outlook 2022: As we head into a new year, it’s clear in hindsight that the market downturn of 2020 was short-lived and entirely related to the COVID-19 outbreak. In my view, that means the powerful upswing in equity prices since
Disappointing US dollar bond returns in EM local currency debt has led to a decline in flows into the asset class over the past decade. In this paper, we discuss the key reasons to invest in EM local currency debt, some of the factors behind the recent weakness in the asset class returns and prospects for the asset class going forward.
Higher inflation and in some cases, rising inflation expectations, have been a key focus for investors this year, in both emerging and developed markets (DM). This is against a backdrop of large fiscal and monetary stimulus from governments around the
The gap between emerging market (EM) inflation over developed market (DM) inflation has remained contained this time, in part due to weak economic conditions, muted domestic credit creation and proactive EM central banks. Tighter EM financial conditions should anchor longer
High inflation could persist in 2022, but we’re not returning to the 1970s Inflation is like chewing gum. It’s sticky and flexible, and you definitely don’t want to step in it. For the past 30 years, investors in developed markets
1. High yield is a growth sensitive asset class: The high-yield market has historically produced positive results over a full cycle, but it tends to do particularly well during the recovery phase of the business cycle as default rates fall,
Several colleagues and I made our first journey back to China in more than 15 months as we start to get back to on-the-ground research. Our trip in May took us to 16 cities and included close to 90 meetings
The buzz swirling around the electric vehicle (EV) sector has been front and centre for investors looking to profit from the world’s transition to a net-zero carbon economy. Tesla recently skyrocketed to a US$1 trillion market cap, joining an elite
Positive but slower global growth is meeting with greater inflation pressures The global economy maintained its Growth potential is on track to outpace pre-pandemic times positive overall trajectory, though economic indicators grew more mixed. Returns across fixed income were mostly
Building a resilient and balanced portfolio should be a priority for many investors in today’s environment of heightened financial market uncertainty and volatility across a range of asset classes, including equities. With that in mind, now’s a perfect time to
Fast and affordable internet service has become a critical component to working, studying, accessing health care and participating in the political process – both in the US and across the globe. In 2016, the United Nations went so far as
Investors in China should prepare for a rough patch. The economy is slowing, and regulations are tightening in several industries. The economic cycle turned in June/July, based on the official Purchasing Managers Index readings and other indicators that we track.
After three straight years of stellar performance, European renewable energy stocks have fallen back to earth in 2021. But the future is still bright for green power as the world’s transition to a low-carbon economy gathers pace. In the short
Against the spectre of soaring energy prices, labour shortages and supply chain constraints, a question that has arisen in the US has landed firmly on European shores: will inflation continue to rise and how persistent will it be? The prevailing
The European economic recovery is well under way: gross domestic product (GDP) growth in Europe’s major economies was stronger than expected over Q2, notably in Italy and Spain. As European economies are opening up, services activity has recovered sharply, boosted
Every prior industrial revolution has had a catalyst followed by transformational change. Steam enabledmechanisation in the first industrial revolution,electricity led to mass production in the second, while technology droveautomation in the …
As much of the global economy climbs out of the pandemic-induced downturn, investors are scrutinising every new economic data point for clues to the outlook for growth and inflation. I think they should also take the 30,000-foot view afforded by
After surviving a steep collapse in oil prices in 2020, major oil companies are being pressed by louder calls to figure out their contributions to societal goals of net zero emissions by 2050. In recent months, activist shareholders led by
Japan’s multi-year effort to improve corporate governance standards continues to be gaining momentum after the latest revisions to its Corporate Governance Code came into effect in June 2021. In this Q&A, Capital Group equity investment analyst Harry Gunji explains why
At Capital Group, using third-party data is only the beginning of how we monitor potential and current investments. All holdings are reviewed against third-party ESG scores to identify potential ESG risks. Then we draw on our investment …
In July, China’s equity market suffered one of its worst monthly declines in a decade amid escalating regulatory pressures. The steep fall has raised concerns about the risks and outlook for investing in Chinese equities. The latest trigger event was
The market seems very positive on the global backdrop — do you agree with the consensus views? How will this impact emerging market debt?
It has been more than a year since COVID-19 was declared a global pandemic. The start-stop lockdowns that followed the first wave of the coronavirus outbreak made it particularly tough for many businesses and individuals to adapt.
Key takeaways Regulatory and digital disruption have been headwinds to the financial services industry, but tech innovation offers opportunities for both new entrants and incumbents to survive and thrive. The rising wealth of Asian emerging economies, the growth in derivatives
brief summary of their views. In his speech, Chairman Powell indicated that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is on track to begin tapering its $120 billion-per-month asset purchase program later this year and shared a dovish view on US inflation.
The headline numbers tell a fairly grim story. Global dividend payouts fell 12.1%1 in 2020 as the COVID-19 pandemic forced economies to shut down for a prolonged period. The economic inactivity prompted many companies to go into …
When it comes to America’s biggest technology companies, it seems like regulatory risk has never been higher. Most large technology platforms are facing pressure from US and European authorities, while lawmakers on Capitol Hill seem more inclined to doing something
A distinctive approach to investing Capital Group has been investing around the globe for more than 60 years. Its unique multiple-portfolio manager approach, The Capital SystemSM, sets it apart from many other global asset managers. Rob Lovelace – who is
The Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) recent decision to adjust its ETF purchase programme has given investors plenty to think about from the impact on asset prices to the longer term future of the country’s monetary easing policies. In this paper,
Key takeaways Treasury yields and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities have moved lower, despite higher inflation. Fed officials now project two rates hikes by the end of 2023 and appear to be ready to begin tapering of its asset purchasing program as
Quarterly macro and market insights: Financial markets rallied amid The US and Eurozone are leading the rebound in activity stronger-than-expected recoveries in many parts of the global economy and signs that central banks intend to remain more accommodative than had
An allocation to investment grade corporate bonds could offer compelling opportunities within a well-diversified portfolio. 2020 proved to be a volatile and unprecedented year for markets in many respects, not least in terms of the amount of stimulus provided by
Markets have been climbing a wall of worry in 2021, reaching record highs even as investors brace for the possibility of elevated inflation, rising interest rates, runaway debt and a bitcoin bubble. With so much to trouble investors, many are
Can there be such a thing as too much money? There is certainly a huge amount of money sloshing through the US financial system, which is straining the shortterm funding market and threatening to push short-dated Treasury yields below zero.
A reawakening of the global economy — boosted by pentup demand and unprecedented government stimulus — has stoked investor fears of higher inflation. But those fears may be exaggerated amid ongoing weakness in the labour market and the slowing pace
Below is a brief recap of the views of Tim Ng and Tom Hollenberg, fixed income portfolio managers and members of Capital’s interest rates team, regarding the Fed’s announcement on 16th June. Fed officials projected two interest rate increases by
As emerging markets matured over the last couple decades, many countries began issuing debt, denominated in their respective local currency, rather than US dollars. This has created a valuable sub-asset class worth more than 3 trillion US dollars, alongside US
US inflation surprised to the upside in April with the core consumer price index rising 0.9% in April and headline CPI up 0.8%1. This materially changes the maths on inflation. Even if the monthly trend in inflation decelerates to 0.15%,
A year on from the height of the COVID-19 crisis, credit spreads have returned to their pre-pandemic tight levels. Does this present an asymmetric return profile for corporate bonds? The scope for further spread tightening is limited, in our view.
Amid a US economic boom, how high can rates go? The possibility of an economic boom this year has stoked worries about higher inflation and prompted a sharp selloff in US Treasuries. We spoke with fixed income portfolio manager Pramod
Quarterly macro and market insights: Optimism on the US economic outlook increased as the COVID-19 vaccination rollout accelerated, and the new Biden administration embarked on expansive fiscal policy. The US$1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan Act was signed into law in
Since our founding in 1931, Capital Group has been owned primarily by the people who work here every day. Private ownership is a cornerstone of our ability to think long term when it comes to planning and investing. Among other things, it allows us to avoid the …
Rembrandt’s masterpiece “The Night Watch” is the inspiration for a multidisciplinary research process at Capital Group. Everyone in the painting is looking in a different direction and it is this gathering of multiple perspectives that summarises our approach to gaining a deeper understanding of market disruptions, assessing the risks and evaluating the opportunities that arise during times of extreme crisis.
Asia’s emergence as the world’s key engine of growth has been one of the most compelling investment stories in recent times. The newly launched Capital Group Asian Horizon Fund (LUX) (CGAH)1 is designed to tap into this attractive opportunity set and, in this Q&A, portfolio manager Christopher Thomsen explains why …
We share the views of some of our portfolio managers and economists on navigating the equity and fixed income markets in the year ahead and beyond. They also share how the last year has influenced long-term developments in economic and market outlooks.
The first 100 days in power for any new presidential administration is never easy. With US-China relations at arguably their lowest point in 50 years, the administration of US President Joe Biden will have to make some difficult policy decisions that could affect the balance of the world’s two largest economies. How could the relationship evolve over the next four years?
When Facebook paid $5.7 billion for a 10% stake in Jio Platforms, the digital technology arm of Indian conglomerate Reliance Industries, it signalled Silicon Valley’s growing enthusiasm for India’s consumer market. Facebook’s main interest in the deal with India’s largest mobile network was to process payments for millions of local retailers via its WhatsApp messaging service, which …
In January, the US Federal Reserve affirmed its commitment to low interest rates for a prolonged period of time under its new monetary policy framework. If anything, with its renewed focus on “broad-based and inclusive” maximum employment and a goal of achieving inflation that averages 2% over time, the …
The world in 2030 may seem a long way off, but at Capital Group we spend a lot of time thinking about the distant future. “Imagining life in 2030 is not a hypothetical for me,” notes Capital Group vice chairman Rob Lovelace, a sentiment echoed by many of his colleagues. “In the portfolios that I manage, my average holding period is about eight years, so I’m living that approach to investing.”
