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Posts From Columbia Threadneedle

Covid-19 vaccines, lockdowns and equities

Covid-19 vaccines, lockdowns and equities

🕔09:41, 2.Dec 2020

Multi-asset | November 2020   Coronavirus cases are rising at an alarming rate in the US and Europe, so why are equities reaching new highs?  With the Covid-19 case count rising rapidly across the United States and Europe, the immediate economic

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Responsible investment quarterly

Responsible investment quarterly

🕔09:26, 26.Nov 2020

Q3 Hydrogen:significant opportunity or hot air? Natalia Luna, Senior Thematic Investment Analyst, Responsible Investment: “Since the Paris Agreement in 2015 governments have turned their attention to climate change and committed themselves to achieving emissions reduction targets that will lead to

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A sustainable perspective on digital infrastructure

A sustainable perspective on digital infrastructure

🕔10:59, 23.Oct 2020

When you think of infrastructure you might immediately picture transport networks, buildings or sewage, water and electrical systems: physical things, or hard landscape elements. But as with most things in a world in which the Covid-19 outbreak has shaken up

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Responsible investment adds to research intensity

Responsible investment adds to research intensity

🕔14:51, 16.Oct 2020

At Columbia Threadneedle Investments we believe in Research Intensity, combining views from all parts of the firm to increase our research insights. We achieve this through close collaboration between our equities, credit and data science teams, as well as regional

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What the US election means for markets … and what it doesn’t!

What the US election means for markets … and what it doesn’t!

🕔14:50, 16.Oct 2020

Markets | October 2020  While every US presidential election is contentious, this year’s race seems especially divisive. Partisanship is extreme, and the difference between Donald Trump and Joe Biden in approach, personality and behaviour is stark. The charged rhetoric may

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Pandemic poised to accelerate underlying trends

Pandemic poised to accelerate underlying trends

🕔07:54, 14.Oct 2020

European Gazette / Summer 2020 We now have a two-speed economy, and much talk about a disconnect between stock market and economy. But this won’t change our research and stock picking focus When meeting clients, I am often asked to give

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UK equities: in need of a vaccine!

UK equities: in need of a vaccine!

🕔14:35, 9.Oct 2020

UK equities in a ‘doom-loop’ We have seen something of a recovery in global markets since the pandemic struck, but this is very much the first pulse1. This was always going to be significant, given the magnitude and speed of

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Q&A: Germany set to shine spotlight on supply chains

Q&A: Germany set to shine spotlight on supply chains

🕔12:54, 9.Oct 2020

European Gazette The country is poised to increase scrutiny on human rights and eco standards within business. As investors, the investigation of environmental, social and governance (ESG) risks form an essential component of our bottom-up investment analysis

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Implications of the global debt explosion

Implications of the global debt explosion

🕔09:48, 8.Oct 2020

European Gazette  Global debt was at an unprecedented level before Covid-19. With the subsequent policy response injecting liquidity into most parts of the world economy, the debt predicament is set for a worse path. We explore the implications for sovereigns,

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Welcome to a new high yield universe

Welcome to a new high yield universe

🕔07:48, 7.Oct 2020

European Gazette / Summer 2020 As we started Q4 in 2019, we saw the economic cycle coming to an end. We were slightly perturbed that markets wanted to be quite bullish as Q3 numbers showed firms meeting and beating expectations.

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Coronavirus: what now for economies and markets?

Coronavirus: what now for economies and markets?

🕔15:31, 2.Oct 2020

European Gazette / Summer 2020 It’s been a tumultuous time for investors everywhere. Momentum is the key when looking at future prospects for stock markets and employment prospects across the continent Europe is now more than half a year into

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Exploring the equitisation of the Brazilian stock market

Exploring the equitisation of the Brazilian stock market

🕔09:50, 28.Sep 2020

All-time low interest rates in Brazil are driving savings into equities, while deregulation and faster technological adoption are creating high growth opportunities for stock pickers. It is true that there is often no free lunch in investing, meaning that high

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Japan: all eyes on the next prime minister

Japan: all eyes on the next prime minister

🕔15:03, 25.Sep 2020

Equities | September 2020  Following an eight-year term, Shinzo Abe announced he will stand down as Prime Minister of Japan due to a deterioration in his physical health. Japan’s Topix Index dropped around 2.5% in reaction to the news on

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Asset allocation update: leaning selectively against the wind

Asset allocation update: leaning selectively against the wind

🕔09:57, 9.Sep 2020

Multi-asset | September 2020 Most asset market returns can be distilled down to two basic elements: movements in cash flows and discount rates. In the past month or so, for risky assets such as equities, each has moved in a

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Downgrades, defaults and dispersion: Covid and credit

Downgrades, defaults and dispersion: Covid and credit

🕔09:58, 1.Sep 2020

Markets reacted violently as global economies adopted shelter-in-place policies to combat the spread of Covid-19 earlier this year. Corporate bond credit spreads (or risk premiums), driven by heightened uncertainty and revenue pressure, widened dramatically to reflect the increased risk …

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Downgrades, defaults and dispersion: Covid and credit

Downgrades, defaults and dispersion: Covid and credit

🕔11:42, 21.Aug 2020

Markets reacted violently as global economies adopted shelter-in-place policies to combat the spread of Covid-19 earlier this year. Corporate bond credit spreads (or risk premiums), driven by heightened uncertainty and revenue pressure, widened dramatically to reflect the increased risk of

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Credit enjoying the summer lull

Credit enjoying the summer lull

🕔11:18, 17.Aug 2020

In Credit  Core government bond yields were marginally higher with the rise in risk sentiment. Non-farm payroll in the US hit a three-month streak of positive gains, with jobs rising and unemployment falling more than expected (rate now 10.2% vs

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Why Covid-19 will put the bond market rally back on track

Why Covid-19 will put the bond market rally back on track

🕔15:17, 14.Aug 2020

We are living in extraordinary times. Not since the Spanish Flu pandemic of 1918 have so many lives around the world been at risk from an infectious disease. The response from governments and central banks has been equally extraordinary. Whole

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Tracking the pandemic: the challenges of interpreting fast-changing data

Tracking the pandemic: the challenges of interpreting fast-changing data

🕔13:02, 14.Aug 2020

The Covid-19 pandemic is generating huge quantities of case count data as the disease advances around the world. We have seen countries and regions that were hit earliest move through the initial peak and into a period of declining incidence,

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There Is No Planet B

There Is No Planet B

🕔09:45, 7.Aug 2020

Why climate change risk management is the world’s hottest topic and how asset owners and asset managers should be responding There is mounting evidence that rising levels of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are moving the world perilously close to a

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Economy interrupted

Economy interrupted

🕔15:15, 6.Aug 2020

Macro / government bonds Core government bonds performed reasonably well last week with yields lower in most places. Backward looking economic news pointed to the interruption of economic activity between March and June. Data in the US (see chart of

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Investment style rotations: growth versus value

Investment style rotations: growth versus value

🕔15:10, 24.Jul 2020

Style rotations, where investors switch one type of investment style for another, are nothing new. At some point during most investment cycles different styles – such as growth, quality and value – will outperform at different points as investors rotate

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Climate Change Risk Management

Climate Change Risk Management

🕔07:57, 23.Jul 2020

Why climate change risk management is the hottest topic on the planet and how asset owners and asset managers should be responding. There is mounting evidence that rising levels of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are moving the world perilously close

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Asset allocation update: clipping back risk appetite

Asset allocation update: clipping back risk appetite

🕔07:42, 9.Jul 2020

Multi-asset | July 2020  We all know – or rather, have heard of – Warren Buffet. One of his more famous mantras is: to get rich you need to be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are

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What shape recovery?

What shape recovery?

🕔13:16, 29.Jun 2020

In Credit  It was a week of data releases and an opportunity to get a glimpse as to whether an economic recovery is underway. The evidence would so far suggest that this …

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Market updates

Market updates

🕔08:15, 23.Jun 2020

This week initially saw a reversal of fortunes, with risk markets rallying after last week. Equities were stronger and credit spreads a little tighter, though this mini rally tapered off  …

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Looking Ahead

Looking Ahead

🕔15:25, 12.Jun 2020

What bear markets and bull rebounds can teach us about how the stock market works, and how we may navigate current and future market contractions

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Responsible Investment Quarterly Q1 2020 2

Responsible Investment Quarterly Q1 2020 2

🕔13:31, 12.Jun 2020

Back in 1964 the German writer and historian Leopold Schwarzschild posed the question “What price freedom?” in an analysis of what is required from society in support of a more socialist political agenda. At the heart of the article, Schwarzschild

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The emergence of Covid-19 has destabilised stock markets the world over

The emergence of Covid-19 has destabilised stock markets the world over

🕔16:47, 21.May 2020

The good-news stories and optimism of three months ago have been consigned to the bin, as the virus, lockdowns and economic bailouts take centre stage  The emergence of Covid-19 has destabilised stock markets the world over. Since China alerted the

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Dismal data and downgrades continue

Dismal data and downgrades continue

🕔14:43, 19.May 2020

In Credit  Core government bond yields were little moved last week. Covid-19 news continues to …

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Pharmaceutical companies in a golden age for drug discovery

Pharmaceutical companies in a golden age for drug discovery

🕔10:00, 19.May 2020

European Gazette As new technologies such as genomics spur development of innovative drugs, European pharmaceuticals companies stand out as high-quality, defensive growth stocks In uncertain times it pays to own highquality, defensive growth stocks with strong balance sheets and a

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Pastures new: Asset Liability Management in today’s reporting environment

Pastures new: Asset Liability Management in today’s reporting environment

🕔14:54, 15.May 2020

The methods that insurers use to report profit to shareholders and solvency to regulators have been changing. This is the result of new accounting standards and solvency capital regulation in many markets. This has meaningful Asset Liability Management (ALM) implications

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We’re observing various indicators that continue to suggest caution

We’re observing various indicators that continue to suggest caution

🕔14:37, 15.May 2020

Tactical Asset Allocation Update Our focus right now is on a defensive capital preservation, and our equity scorecard is suggesting caution on the back of falling macro indicators. We believe that holding strategic allocations steady at a neutral position is

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Is this time really that different?

Is this time really that different?

🕔08:20, 15.May 2020

In highly volatile markets there is always the temptation to be seen to be doing something, rather than just sitting on your hands, taking a step back and weighing up your options. However, given the short- to medium-term future is

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Coronavirus modelling: a U-shaped recovery

Coronavirus modelling: a U-shaped recovery

🕔11:35, 1.May 2020

Economic recovery from Covid-19 is the big unknown. Using US GDP as a base case, this chart illustrates how we could get there.

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Coronavirus sparks a social shift in the bond market

Coronavirus sparks a social shift in the bond market

🕔13:05, 28.Apr 2020

Gauging investor interest The coronavirus is a social issue that has brought unprecedented disruption to societies and is impacting the wellbeing of the world’s population. Capital markets are responding to this challenge with more than $9 billion of social bonds

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Why growth will trump value in the long grind of recovery

Why growth will trump value in the long grind of recovery

🕔15:01, 17.Apr 2020

The swift and intense economic volatility caused by the Covid-19 crisis has left investors with something of a blind spot. Traditional business cycle analyses have no inputs for a global pandemic, making it hard to judge how to position portfolios

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What goes up must come down.

What goes up must come down.

🕔10:38, 15.Apr 2020

In Credit  Government bond prices were little moved in the last week after a ‘helter skelter’ few weeks. In terms of data the Eurozone PMI was very weak (less than 30). This was led lower by an especially low print

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10 Factors That Could Change Economies & Markets Forever

10 Factors That Could Change Economies & Markets Forever

🕔13:43, 10.Apr 2020

 THE COVID-19 CRISIS has challenged individuals, families, companies, governments and investment markets around the world. It is an experience that could fundamentally reshape consumer and corporate behaviour as well as financial markets. T

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Q&A: Emerging markets and the coronavirus

Q&A: Emerging markets and the coronavirus

🕔10:34, 3.Apr 2020

What is the Emerging Markets (EM) team’s take on the current environment? We are seeing a level of volatility across global markets that hasn’t been witnessed since 2008, in what feels like a global liquidation event. Emerging markets are no

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Tackling The ‘Unknown Unknowns’: How Active Managers Manage Unforeseen Risks

Tackling The ‘Unknown Unknowns’: How Active Managers Manage Unforeseen Risks

🕔09:46, 2.Apr 2020

Active managers are better positioned than passive managers to guard against and react to unforeseen risks, such as the Covid-19 crisis During the financial crisis this flexibility helped active managers to outperform Those active managers who can recognise and control

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Asset allocation update: credit upgraded amid fluid and uncertain backdrop

Asset allocation update: credit upgraded amid fluid and uncertain backdrop

🕔13:09, 31.Mar 2020

The ultimate public health costs and economic impact of Covid-19 are at this time unknown. Public health responses have weighed the human cost of intensive care units being overwhelmed and the number of preventable deaths exploding against the jump higher

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Coronavirus market volatility: performance update

Coronavirus market volatility: performance update

🕔16:14, 27.Mar 2020

Markets are very weak and volatile, as you would expect with such uncertainty around the Covid19 outbreak. Some days the moves are indiscriminate and everything plunges to a broadly similar degree, on other days our higher quality names are outperforming.

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Coronavirus/market volatility: Threadneedle Dynamic Real Return update

Coronavirus/market volatility: Threadneedle Dynamic Real Return update

🕔10:56, 25.Mar 2020

Multi-asset | March 2020  Markets have been trying to digest the impact of Covid-19 on economic activity and government policy. This is hard. The financial impact will be a function not only of the spread and lethality of the virus,

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Update: 5-year capital market assumptions

Update: 5-year capital market assumptions

🕔16:06, 20.Mar 2020

Capital market assumptions  Twice a year, we conduct an extensive update of our five-year return forecasts. The purpose of this exercise is two-fold. First, taking a longer-term perspective helps set strategic asset allocations and design portfolios for diverse investment goals.

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Covid-19: what exactly is going viral?

Covid-19: what exactly is going viral?

🕔14:52, 11.Mar 2020

Covid-19: what exactly is going viral? The coronavirus outbreak is extremely complex, with the fear of the virus so far seemingly greater than its actual impact. The economic consequences, however, are very real. The question in the headline does not

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In Credit

In Credit

🕔11:45, 5.Mar 2020

Two months down. Macro / government bonds Core government bonds remain the favoured asset class in these times of turmoil. Indeed, last week the benchmark 10-year US treasury reached a new all time yield low of 1.14%. The ICE BofA

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Weighing up potential market impacts from the coronavirus

Weighing up potential market impacts from the coronavirus

🕔08:33, 3.Mar 2020

As the virus outbreak spreads well beyond China, it is hard to forecast exactly what the economic impact will be, but it’s safe to say that consumption and supply will be significantly affected. The coronavirus is a clear shock to

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Asia’s exceptionally high-yielding bond markets A

Asia’s exceptionally high-yielding bond markets A

🕔08:51, 27.Feb 2020

The region’s bonds stand out in a world of low and negative yields, but investors need to be picky.  There was a time when negative yields were a rare and unlikely curiosity. No longer: in late 2019, as much as

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Rising risk aversion, falling bond yields

Rising risk aversion, falling bond yields

🕔15:01, 26.Feb 2020

In Credit –  24 FEBRUARY 2020 Macro / government bonds Core bond yields continue to drift lower in a ‘bull flattening’ amid fears about the spread of the COVIC-19 coronavirus outside of China and most recently in Italy and Korea.

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