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Posts From Columbia Threadneedle

Q&A: Emerging markets and the coronavirus

Q&A: Emerging markets and the coronavirus

🕔10:34, 3.Apr 2020

What is the Emerging Markets (EM) team’s take on the current environment? We are seeing a level of volatility across global markets that hasn’t been witnessed since 2008, in what feels like a global liquidation event. Emerging markets are no

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Tackling The ‘Unknown Unknowns’: How Active Managers Manage Unforeseen Risks

Tackling The ‘Unknown Unknowns’: How Active Managers Manage Unforeseen Risks

🕔09:46, 2.Apr 2020

Active managers are better positioned than passive managers to guard against and react to unforeseen risks, such as the Covid-19 crisis During the financial crisis this flexibility helped active managers to outperform Those active managers who can recognise and control

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Asset allocation update: credit upgraded amid fluid and uncertain backdrop

Asset allocation update: credit upgraded amid fluid and uncertain backdrop

🕔13:09, 31.Mar 2020

The ultimate public health costs and economic impact of Covid-19 are at this time unknown. Public health responses have weighed the human cost of intensive care units being overwhelmed and the number of preventable deaths exploding against the jump higher

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Coronavirus market volatility: performance update

Coronavirus market volatility: performance update

🕔16:14, 27.Mar 2020

Markets are very weak and volatile, as you would expect with such uncertainty around the Covid19 outbreak. Some days the moves are indiscriminate and everything plunges to a broadly similar degree, on other days our higher quality names are outperforming.

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Coronavirus/market volatility: Threadneedle Dynamic Real Return update

Coronavirus/market volatility: Threadneedle Dynamic Real Return update

🕔10:56, 25.Mar 2020

Multi-asset | March 2020  Markets have been trying to digest the impact of Covid-19 on economic activity and government policy. This is hard. The financial impact will be a function not only of the spread and lethality of the virus,

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Update: 5-year capital market assumptions

Update: 5-year capital market assumptions

🕔16:06, 20.Mar 2020

Capital market assumptions  Twice a year, we conduct an extensive update of our five-year return forecasts. The purpose of this exercise is two-fold. First, taking a longer-term perspective helps set strategic asset allocations and design portfolios for diverse investment goals.

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Covid-19: what exactly is going viral?

Covid-19: what exactly is going viral?

🕔14:52, 11.Mar 2020

Covid-19: what exactly is going viral? The coronavirus outbreak is extremely complex, with the fear of the virus so far seemingly greater than its actual impact. The economic consequences, however, are very real. The question in the headline does not

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In Credit

In Credit

🕔11:45, 5.Mar 2020

Two months down. Macro / government bonds Core government bonds remain the favoured asset class in these times of turmoil. Indeed, last week the benchmark 10-year US treasury reached a new all time yield low of 1.14%. The ICE BofA

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Weighing up potential market impacts from the coronavirus

Weighing up potential market impacts from the coronavirus

🕔08:33, 3.Mar 2020

As the virus outbreak spreads well beyond China, it is hard to forecast exactly what the economic impact will be, but it’s safe to say that consumption and supply will be significantly affected. The coronavirus is a clear shock to

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Asia’s exceptionally high-yielding bond markets A

Asia’s exceptionally high-yielding bond markets A

🕔08:51, 27.Feb 2020

The region’s bonds stand out in a world of low and negative yields, but investors need to be picky.  There was a time when negative yields were a rare and unlikely curiosity. No longer: in late 2019, as much as

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Rising risk aversion, falling bond yields

Rising risk aversion, falling bond yields

🕔15:01, 26.Feb 2020

In Credit –  24 FEBRUARY 2020 Macro / government bonds Core bond yields continue to drift lower in a ‘bull flattening’ amid fears about the spread of the COVIC-19 coronavirus outside of China and most recently in Italy and Korea.

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Looking forward to lower returns

Looking forward to lower returns

🕔17:14, 24.Feb 2020

 Global Insights 2020 Equities are currently enjoying their longest ever bull run. Since the March 2009 stock market lows of the financial crisis – with the exception of the final quarter of 2018 – equity markets have climbed almost relentlessly.

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Why investors should be optimistic about Japan

Why investors should be optimistic about Japan

🕔16:47, 24.Feb 2020

Global Insights 2020 There are several reasons to be optimistic about Japanese equities in 2020. First, consider valuations. Whether on price-to-book or price-to-earnings, Japanese stocks are among the cheapest in all developed equity markets. Take the price-to-book ratio of the

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Indian economy: problems pile up for Narendra Modi

Indian economy: problems pile up for Narendra Modi

🕔13:57, 24.Feb 2020

 Amy Kazmin in New Delhi © Financial Times, 28 October 2019 Reproduced with permission from FT syndication New Delhi’s Gandhi Nagar market is one of India’s largest garment wholesale hubs, jammed with inexpensive, ready-made garments for the aspirational but price-sensitive

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Strategies that benefit from volatility

Strategies that benefit from volatility

🕔08:28, 21.Feb 2020

While 2019 proved a buoyant year for all financial markets, the first weeks of 2020 have proved volatile. Asian investors who remember previous corrections are looking for sophisticated strategies fit for all market conditions. 

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Trade is not the only drag on growth

Trade is not the only drag on growth

🕔16:39, 17.Feb 2020

Trade is not the only drag on growth Entering 2019, our main expectations were for slower growth, easier monetary policy globally and continuing pressure on bond yields. At a high level, that is how the year played out. But the

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Why add to (UK) equities?

Why add to (UK) equities?

🕔10:48, 31.Jan 2020

Asset Allocation update What a difference a year makes. After a bruising 2018, last year allowed investors to capture the second-best return on a blend of global equities and long-dated bonds in 30 years. For stocks it was also a year of

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Give me income….any income.

Give me income….any income.

🕔12:39, 28.Jan 2020

Give me income….any income. Macro/government bondsConcernsaboutthe spread of a deadly coronavirus from China has amplified market risk aversion in the last couple of weeks. Notably, Asian markets are weaker as is the price of oil. This has provided support for

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All quiet on the UK high street.

All quiet on the UK high street.

🕔15:07, 22.Jan 2020

In Credit

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The recessionary cloud is about to lift

The recessionary cloud is about to lift

🕔16:58, 20.Jan 2020

Take the lead – Global Insights 2020 The dominant theme as 2019 began – following three months of steep falls on world markets – was recession. But this threat was not obvious to us. Markets were pricing a downturn that

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Supply begets demand

Supply begets demand

🕔14:59, 16.Jan 2020

In Credit 13 JANUARY 2020 Macro / government bonds The rise (and subsequent fall) in tensions and combative rhetoric in the Middle East has been the key driver for ‘risk ‘free’ assets such as core government bonds. All in all, bonds

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Emerging market debt rally set to moderate

Emerging market debt rally set to moderate

🕔14:45, 10.Jan 2020

Emerging market (EM) debt started 2019 at attractive valuations. This followed a nine-month slide as the US Federal Reserve moved to normalise monetary policy and raise interest rates, which naturally strengthened the dollar and increased EMs’ funding costs. Our forecast

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Building on 2019’s green bond resurgence

Building on 2019’s green bond resurgence

🕔10:38, 25.Dec 2019

In almost whatever country you care to mention, climate change and social inequality are exploding into the public consciousness. Extinction Rebellion in the UK or the Gilets Jaune in Paris are just two of the more high-profile signs. Yet in

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Why investors should be optimistic about Japan

Why investors should be optimistic about Japan

🕔16:40, 16.Dec 2019

There are several reasons to be optimistic about Japanese equities in 2020. First, consider valuations. Whether on price-to-book or price-to-earnings, Japanese stocks are among the cheapest in all developed equity markets. Take the price-to-book ratio of the MSCI Japan. Currently

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Take the lead – Global Insights 2020

Take the lead – Global Insights 2020

🕔15:37, 16.Dec 2019

Seeking safe havens After a year of mixed prospects, we enter 2020 in a precarious position. In terms of returns, 2019 was kind to investors with asset prices having generally risen. This is true of equities – with the FTSE

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Twitter

Best read article on @Opinio_Pro, Thursday 2 April, was from @TRowePrice "Recession 2020—
Deep but Short" -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/04/t-rowe-price/recession-2020-deep-but-short/ #recession #coronavirus

Keep a cautious stance on risk assets, try to improve liquidity management and hedge some credit risk -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/amundi/keep-a-cautious-stance-on-risk-assets-try-to-improve-liquidity-management-and-hedge-some-credit-risk/ #assetallocation #equities #fixedincome #Commodities #Currencies #liquidity #Risks via
@Amundi_ENG

The phase has changed; we are now in a new cycle, which will have its own unique characteristics -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/jp-morgan/insights-and-implications-from-the-multi-asset-solutions-strategy-summit-2q-2020/ #asetallocation #equities #fixedincome #RealEstate #Commodities #Recession2020 #inflation via
@jpmorgan

@JPMorganAM

COVID-19 impact on the Netherlands -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/abn-amro/covid-19-impact-on-the-netherlands/ #coronavirus #COVIDー19 #Recession2020 #inflation #GDP
@ABNAMROeconomen

@ABNAMRO

As the dust settles, convertible bonds look extremely attractive -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/gam/as-the-dust-settles-convertible-bonds-look-extremely-attractive/ #convertiblebonds #coronavirus #FixedIncome via #GAM

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