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Posts From Columbia Threadneedle Investments

Climate change, net zero and the employment myth

Climate change, net zero and the employment myth

🕔15:53, 1.Mar 2021

Climate change, net zero and the employment myth Responsible Investment | February 2021  The world is changing and not just because of climate change. How companies and governments respond to the change will have significant implications, economically and competitively as

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Covid-19 index: when might life return to ‘normal’?

Covid-19 index: when might life return to ‘normal’?

🕔11:18, 23.Feb 2021

As one of the world’s largest economies the US is a key focus for investors. With every country attempting to return to normality following the coronavirus pandemic, we are monitoring when US economic activity might get back on track, as well as other measures of “normality” …

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Developing capital markets make China an exciting option

Developing capital markets make China an exciting option

🕔08:04, 22.Feb 2021

With Chinese New Year celebrations getting underway and 2021 being the Year of the Ox – a symbol of strength and determination – we look at the prospects for Chinese equities. The past several years has seen investors inundated with negative headlines about trade wars and international tensions. But what has been much overlooked is the significant progress China has made in developing its capital markets, which has made investing there more …

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Why we think it’s too early to be cautious on equities

Why we think it’s too early to be cautious on equities

🕔17:40, 20.Feb 2021

Value stocks outperformed momentum by almost 30% in November, but then gave back a third of this by the beginning of 2021 (Figure 1). Is the Georgia vote and Democrat win in the Senate the catalyst that reverses this? US investors did not think Senate control would switch to the Democrats, yet former president Donald Trump alienated centrist votes with allegations of stolen …

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Reflating a bubble

Reflating a bubble

🕔11:18, 19.Feb 2021

It was Presidents Day in the US on 15 February and we imagine ex-President Trump will be celebrating more than most after being acquitted in his second impeachment vote. There was, however, less to celebrate in government bond land.

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Developing capital markets make China an exciting option

Developing capital markets make China an exciting option

🕔10:44, 18.Feb 2021

With Chinese New Year celebrations getting underway and 2021 being the Year of the Ox – a symbol of strength and determination – we look at the prospects for Chinese equities

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A new era of investing

A new era of investing

🕔12:05, 17.Feb 2021

2020 saw unprecedented change around the globe – economically, socially and politically. The most significant impacts resulted from the global coronavirus pandemic which has potentially changed many aspects of life for ever. The investment landscape has been changing too …

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Coronavirus highlights fixed income’s potential for impact investing

Coronavirus highlights fixed income’s potential for impact investing

🕔10:17, 16.Feb 2021

Investors such as pension funds are increasingly seeking investments with a positive impact, and the surge in Covid-19 bond issuance this year indicates that fixed income is the asset class wellpositioned to deliver positive social outcomes.

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Less interest, in negative interest rates.

Less interest, in negative interest rates.

🕔07:43, 15.Feb 2021

Less interest, in negative interest rates.  Markets at a glance – 8 February 2021  It was a game of two halves for macro markets last week. Italy won in the end, with the UK coming last. For Italian bonds, spreads

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Why we think it’s too early to be cautious on equities

Why we think it’s too early to be cautious on equities

🕔16:08, 10.Feb 2021

Why we think it’s too early to be cautious on equities Macro outlook | February 2021 Value stocks outperformed momentum by almost 30% in November, but then gave back a third of this by the beginning of 2021 (Figure 1).

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Reddit in the News

Reddit in the News

🕔15:52, 4.Feb 2021

The trend higher in yields has paused. Inflation expectations have stopped rising in what has been thus far the theme for fixed income markets. As mentioned, though the risk to inflation is heightened by recent US political developments …

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“Turning to the tasks of our time”

“Turning to the tasks of our time”

🕔10:45, 27.Jan 2021

“Turning to the tasks of our time”  Joe Biden, 46th President of the United States  Markets at a glance  President Biden kicked off his new term with a flurry of executive orders and directives (30) in his first three days

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Glimpses of light at the tunnel’s end

Glimpses of light at the tunnel’s end

🕔16:03, 25.Jan 2021

After a rollercoaster 2020 for European high yield markets, 2021 looks set to be more stable. Fears of high levels of corporate defaults have proved unjustified, allowing high yield to rebound in 2020 and setting the scene for the coming year. While the second Covid-19 wave, and the new variant, are weighing on recovery, once vaccinations bring the virus under control a degree of normality …

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In Credit – All change, all change.

In Credit – All change, all change.

🕔10:04, 22.Jan 2021

It is Martin Luther King Day today and on 20 January Joe Biden will be inaugurated as the 47th and oldest ever President of the United States. There was a degree of stabilisation in rates markets last week after the inflation fears led a sell off. The benchmark 10-year US government …

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European sustainable infrastructure: in a sweet spot

European sustainable infrastructure: in a sweet spot

🕔16:29, 21.Jan 2021

In a turbulent 2020 infrastructure was an apparent safe haven, proving relatively resilient. However, the unprecedented shock to the asset class across all industry sectors and geographies at the same time, in a short period of time, has provided food for thought on several issues.

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US bond yields buoyed by the ‘Blue Wave’

US bond yields buoyed by the ‘Blue Wave’

🕔21:05, 13.Jan 2021

US bond yields buoyed by the ‘Blue Wave’ In Credit  As the US Political landscape evolves (after Democratic Party victories in Georgia) and the risk of increased (bond-financed) government spending grows, US bond yields have also risen materially. This is

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Global emerging markets: gaining momentum

Global emerging markets: gaining momentum

🕔22:09, 12.Jan 2021

Global emerging markets: gaining momentum Despite its huge impact on health and wellbeing, the Covid-19 pandemic has done little to disrupt the powerful structural trends driving growth in emerging markets (EMs). We expect these trends to gain additional momentum in

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Seeking out good alpha opportunities in emerging market debt

Seeking out good alpha opportunities in emerging market debt

🕔08:23, 11.Jan 2021

There are reasons to expect a slower and less comprehensive vaccine roll-out among EMs than in richer countries, and the fiscal damage done to already-fragile sovereign balance sheets may increase vulnerabilities. But the steady recovery of the asset class since

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Here we go again

Here we go again

🕔10:21, 7.Jan 2021

In Credit – Here we go again 4 January 2021 It was a quiet end to the year for government bond markets with yields little changed. The resolution of the Brexit negotiations was widely anticipated and there was little impact

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2021 Investment Outlook (Video)

2021 Investment Outlook (Video)

🕔14:11, 5.Jan 2021

2021 Investment Outlook (Video) Mark King, Head of Content for EMEA, is joined by a panel of our leading investors to talk about the outlook for economies and markets, as well as the themes, trends and events they expect to

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Global IG: don’t underestimate changed behaviours

Global IG: don’t underestimate changed behaviours

🕔15:30, 4.Jan 2021

Global Perspectives 2021 We came into 2020 on the back of one of the longest expansion phases ever, with increasingly loose monetary policy extending the growth cycle. Because of that growth and low interest rates, companies had been gearing up

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A bizarre year of win-lose outcomes in Asia Pacific ex Japan

A bizarre year of win-lose outcomes in Asia Pacific ex Japan

🕔22:36, 31.Dec 2020

If I were to sum up Asia ex Japan equity markets in 2020, it would be the pain of negative headwinds followed by the triumph of human ingenuity and determination in rising above them. This perhaps seems too optimistic a

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2021: gotta have faith – in low discount rates

2021: gotta have faith – in low discount rates

🕔12:49, 30.Dec 2020

Both financial markets, and us, have come a long way since the dark days of spring to the (unseasonally) brighter days of winter. Back in March, as the huge and synchronised shock to economic activity from Covid-191 was met with

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European equities: the peak of pessimism is behind us

European equities: the peak of pessimism is behind us

🕔10:56, 30.Dec 2020

There are reasons for optimism in 2021. Forget a U-shaped recovery; the letter we look for in 2021 is V, which stands for vaccine. Our baseline scenario is that vaccines roll out across Europe in early 2021, allowing business and

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Seeking out good alpha opportunities in emerging market debt

Seeking out good alpha opportunities in emerging market debt

🕔09:43, 30.Dec 2020

The legacy of Covid-19 in emerging markets (EMs) may take some time to become clear. Having lagged advanced economies’ initial surge in cases in March and April, lower income countries experienced highly concerning case growth at the end of the

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Solutions in 2021: adapting to a new normal

Solutions in 2021: adapting to a new normal

🕔11:05, 24.Dec 2020

What kind of customised solutions are our institutional and sub-advisory clients looking for in today’s yield-starved, default-conscious and ageing world? With developed world government bond yields as low as ever before seen, the traditional diversification into fixed income duration and

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Us Equities: Two Major Themes In A Stabilising Economy

Us Equities: Two Major Themes In A Stabilising Economy

🕔14:53, 22.Dec 2020

With the prospect of early access to effective vaccines getting steadily stronger, the major question for investors in US equity markets is how to position their portfolios for an economy returning to normal after the Covid-19 shock?  This question begs

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Fixed income: security selection a key driver of outperformance

Fixed income: security selection a key driver of outperformance

🕔09:54, 22.Dec 2020

We believe the Fed’s accommodative stance will persist for many years, which may prevent yields from rising materially. However, this doesn’t ensure that they will fall, and the risk appears asymmetric given that low yields fail to protect against even

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Style rotation towards value is a temporary phenomenon

Style rotation towards value is a temporary phenomenon

🕔11:29, 21.Dec 2020

At the end of the global financial crisis in 2009 we saw a sugar rush within markets, specifically for a couple of quarters from March that year where economy-sensitive stocks performed very well. This is being mimicked somewhat today. When

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No alternative to equities

No alternative to equities

🕔13:25, 17.Dec 2020

European Gazette | Autumn 2020 While political risk, a second Covid-19 wave, lower economic activity and suppressed inflation might trigger a short-term sell-off, in the medium term a high equity risk premium and low rates will support equities After a

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Global Perspectives 2021

Global Perspectives 2021

🕔14:30, 15.Dec 2020

Markets | December 2020  Seek income in credit products. The US Federal Reserve’s aggressive response to the coronavirus pandemic has driven yields on safe-haven debt to near zero, leaving “low-risk” portfolios increasingly susceptible to interest rate-driven price volatility. We believe

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Riding Europe’s building renovation wave

Riding Europe’s building renovation wave

🕔09:16, 14.Dec 2020

European equities | December 2020  The EU’s decision to put building modernisation at the heart of its drive to reduce CO2 emissions heralds a major spending programme to transform energy efficiency. It also represents a wider drive across the continent

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Knowns and unknowns after a tumultuous year

Knowns and unknowns after a tumultuous year

🕔07:58, 11.Dec 2020

CIO EMEA outlook 2021 At the beginning of the year we were threatened with excitement, be that trade wars or ongoing political upheaval in the Europe and the US. None of us were prepared for a global pandemic. In March,

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‘It’s inflation Jim – but not as we know it’.

‘It’s inflation Jim – but not as we know it’.

🕔12:59, 10.Dec 2020

In Credit There were two clear themes unfolding in macro markets in the last week. The first is rising inflation expectations and the second is a lower US dollar. In a period when the quantity of money (money supply) has

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Covid-19 vaccines, lockdowns and equities

Covid-19 vaccines, lockdowns and equities

🕔09:41, 2.Dec 2020

Multi-asset | November 2020   Coronavirus cases are rising at an alarming rate in the US and Europe, so why are equities reaching new highs?  With the Covid-19 case count rising rapidly across the United States and Europe, the immediate economic

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Responsible investment quarterly

Responsible investment quarterly

🕔09:26, 26.Nov 2020

Q3 Hydrogen:significant opportunity or hot air? Natalia Luna, Senior Thematic Investment Analyst, Responsible Investment: “Since the Paris Agreement in 2015 governments have turned their attention to climate change and committed themselves to achieving emissions reduction targets that will lead to

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A sustainable perspective on digital infrastructure

A sustainable perspective on digital infrastructure

🕔10:59, 23.Oct 2020

When you think of infrastructure you might immediately picture transport networks, buildings or sewage, water and electrical systems: physical things, or hard landscape elements. But as with most things in a world in which the Covid-19 outbreak has shaken up

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Responsible investment adds to research intensity

Responsible investment adds to research intensity

🕔14:51, 16.Oct 2020

At Columbia Threadneedle Investments we believe in Research Intensity, combining views from all parts of the firm to increase our research insights. We achieve this through close collaboration between our equities, credit and data science teams, as well as regional

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What the US election means for markets … and what it doesn’t!

What the US election means for markets … and what it doesn’t!

🕔14:50, 16.Oct 2020

Markets | October 2020  While every US presidential election is contentious, this year’s race seems especially divisive. Partisanship is extreme, and the difference between Donald Trump and Joe Biden in approach, personality and behaviour is stark. The charged rhetoric may

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Pandemic poised to accelerate underlying trends

Pandemic poised to accelerate underlying trends

🕔07:54, 14.Oct 2020

European Gazette / Summer 2020 We now have a two-speed economy, and much talk about a disconnect between stock market and economy. But this won’t change our research and stock picking focus When meeting clients, I am often asked to give

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UK equities: in need of a vaccine!

UK equities: in need of a vaccine!

🕔14:35, 9.Oct 2020

UK equities in a ‘doom-loop’ We have seen something of a recovery in global markets since the pandemic struck, but this is very much the first pulse1. This was always going to be significant, given the magnitude and speed of

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Q&A: Germany set to shine spotlight on supply chains

Q&A: Germany set to shine spotlight on supply chains

🕔12:54, 9.Oct 2020

European Gazette The country is poised to increase scrutiny on human rights and eco standards within business. As investors, the investigation of environmental, social and governance (ESG) risks form an essential component of our bottom-up investment analysis

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Implications of the global debt explosion

Implications of the global debt explosion

🕔09:48, 8.Oct 2020

European Gazette  Global debt was at an unprecedented level before Covid-19. With the subsequent policy response injecting liquidity into most parts of the world economy, the debt predicament is set for a worse path. We explore the implications for sovereigns,

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Welcome to a new high yield universe

Welcome to a new high yield universe

🕔07:48, 7.Oct 2020

European Gazette / Summer 2020 As we started Q4 in 2019, we saw the economic cycle coming to an end. We were slightly perturbed that markets wanted to be quite bullish as Q3 numbers showed firms meeting and beating expectations.

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Coronavirus: what now for economies and markets?

Coronavirus: what now for economies and markets?

🕔15:31, 2.Oct 2020

European Gazette / Summer 2020 It’s been a tumultuous time for investors everywhere. Momentum is the key when looking at future prospects for stock markets and employment prospects across the continent Europe is now more than half a year into

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Exploring the equitisation of the Brazilian stock market

Exploring the equitisation of the Brazilian stock market

🕔09:50, 28.Sep 2020

All-time low interest rates in Brazil are driving savings into equities, while deregulation and faster technological adoption are creating high growth opportunities for stock pickers. It is true that there is often no free lunch in investing, meaning that high

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Japan: all eyes on the next prime minister

Japan: all eyes on the next prime minister

🕔15:03, 25.Sep 2020

Equities | September 2020  Following an eight-year term, Shinzo Abe announced he will stand down as Prime Minister of Japan due to a deterioration in his physical health. Japan’s Topix Index dropped around 2.5% in reaction to the news on

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Asset allocation update: leaning selectively against the wind

Asset allocation update: leaning selectively against the wind

🕔09:57, 9.Sep 2020

Multi-asset | September 2020 Most asset market returns can be distilled down to two basic elements: movements in cash flows and discount rates. In the past month or so, for risky assets such as equities, each has moved in a

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Downgrades, defaults and dispersion: Covid and credit

Downgrades, defaults and dispersion: Covid and credit

🕔09:58, 1.Sep 2020

Markets reacted violently as global economies adopted shelter-in-place policies to combat the spread of Covid-19 earlier this year. Corporate bond credit spreads (or risk premiums), driven by heightened uncertainty and revenue pressure, widened dramatically to reflect the increased risk …

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Downgrades, defaults and dispersion: Covid and credit

Downgrades, defaults and dispersion: Covid and credit

🕔11:42, 21.Aug 2020

Markets reacted violently as global economies adopted shelter-in-place policies to combat the spread of Covid-19 earlier this year. Corporate bond credit spreads (or risk premiums), driven by heightened uncertainty and revenue pressure, widened dramatically to reflect the increased risk of

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Featured Events & Webinars

Events & Webinars

Twitter

"Has the tide finally turned for #emergingmarkets #equities after a decade of trailing #US markets? It’s a question we often hear." 5 reasons why EM equities could power ahead in #2021 by @CapitalGroup -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2021/02/capital-group/5-reasons-why-em-equities-could-power-ahead-in-2021/

The underperformance of Value vs. Growth stocks explained

From the winter edition of our VBA Journaal, written by Jeroen Kakebeeke RBA, Investment Risk Manager at PGGM
#valueinvesting #growthinvesting

https://nieuws.cfavba.nl/publicaties/the-underperformance-of-value-vs-growth-stocks-explained/4a37e54d-5361-11eb-8a1e-005056b303d3

Reflation, Flation, What’s Your Nation? https://www.etftrends.com/model-portfolio-channel/reflation-flation-whats-your-nation/ #ETF #tracker

Not many places to hide last week, but #cyclical sectors held up relatively well amidst the backup in rates.

#financials
#industrials
#energy

@FactSet data

#MoneyMarketFunds that lend to #PrivateSector borrowers experienced large withdrawals during the financial stress of March 2020, but cumulative outflows differed considerably across funds https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt2103b.htm

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