Invesco Fixed Income White Paper Series Over 80 investors gathered in Houston in November to discuss and debate Invesco Fixed Income’s views on global macroeconomic trends. Macro themes play an important role in Invesco Fixed Income’s investment process and our framework of
Uncommon truths It is time to forget central scenarios and think about improbable but possible outcomes. Despite current geopolitical tensions, our surprises display a sense of hope (these hypothetical predictions are our views of what may happen even if they
The Big Picture 2019 has been a good year with strong returns on a broad range of assets. The global economy has decelerated but we hope policy easing will stabilise things during 2020 (the wing and a prayer). Our favoured
The Strategic Perspective. Looking out into the horizon, we believe the next decade will be vastly different. Extraordinary measures by central banks pulled us out of the Great Recession and encouraged investors to take on excess risk. Global asset prices
The Strategic Perspective. Looking out into the horizon, we believe the next decade will be vastly different. Extraordinary measures by central banks pulled us out of the Great Recession and encouraged investors to take on excess risk. Global asset prices
This paper by Invesco’s Investment Solutions team presents their work in developing forecasts for asset class returns, risk, and correlations which are of critical importance in translating portfolio theory into plausible real-world practical solutions for investors. Executive Summary: The Strategic
US stocks fell in the early part of last week after US President Donald Trump said he has no deadline for reaching a trade deal with China, but later recovered on more optimistic comments and strong US jobs data. With
Key takeaways Some major central banks have become more accommodative, while geopolitical disruption continues to cast a shadow over growth. All told, we forecast global economic growth of about 3% for 2020. Regionally, we expect the lowest growth from Japan,
Factor investing adoption continues at pace as asset owners pursue a long-term approach Some 59% of existing global factor investors plan to increase their allocations to factor investing strategies, and 66%-70% of respondents reported their factor investing strategies met or
Economic indicators may have deteriorated, but equity markets in the US and Europe have not moved a great deal in the third quarter, despite some volatility in August. We are none the wiser as to whether we are in a
Who Should Read this White Paper and Why? Trustees, plan sponsors and other responsible parties associated with oversight for retirement savings plans seeking to understand how innovation-and specifically artificial intelligence (AI) – can be used to improve plan design, increase
ECB President Mario Draghi made it clear last week that governments need to step up fiscal stimulus. But what if they don’t? While “helicopter money” certainly has its drawbacks, the concept of becoming a "spender of last resort" may be
The Big Picture The global economy has decelerated but central banks are easing and there are signs/hopes of stabilisation. More importantly, government bond yields are now so low that we are driven to reduce our exposure (to further Underweight), even
Bond yields have nose-dived once more this summer in light of renewed geopolitical tensions and a decelerating global economy. GAM Investments’ Bogdan Manescu believes that fixed income investors can still find value and attractive yields in emerging market (EM) sovereign,
The idea of a country establishing an investment portfolio with the proceeds of a temporary revenue stream is nothing new. There are, however, different ways in which the accumulated assets can be used by sovereign asset managers
Invesco Investment Solutions develops capital market assumptions (CMAs) that provide long- term estimates for the behavior of major asset classes globally. The team is dedicated to designing outcome-oriented, multi-asset portfolios that meet the specific goals of investors. The assumptions, which
Part I: Reform, Relevance and Robustness The Survivability of the Euro, the second white paper in our Future of Europe series, offers a framework for assessing efforts begun in the past decade to strengthen the euro. The paper is presented
The Netherlands has set ambitious targets with regards to reducing carbon emissions and moving towards a large share of renewable energy. The aim is to achieve 16% of renewable energy share by 2023. This means more than doubling the current
Historically, this has often been the case. But this time may be different. By Kristina Hooper, Brian Levitt and Timothy Horsburgh The US Treasury yield curve, specifically the spread between the 10-year US Treasury rate and the 2-year US Treasury
Last week, the US Treasury yield curve, specifically the spread between the 10-year US Treasury rate and the 2-year US Treasury rate, briefly inverted. An inverted yield curve is considered to be a good predictor of recession, and so markets
U.S. Treasury yields declined again last week, with the yield difference between the 3-month T-bill and the 10-year Treasury note inverted further. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut at the September meeting are high. However, the magnitude
The Brexit process drags on; a “no-deal” exit looks increasingly likely and UK financial markets are unlikely to welcome that. Nothing is certain, so we present three scenarios but fear the worst. In a sign of investor anxiety, sterling and
Equity Outlook Equity allocation views – After significantly outperforming at the end of last year, China and the emerging markets (EM) have significanly underperformed the US and devloped markets (DM) since December.
Letter to Investors – This summer marks the 10th anniversary of the US economic expansion that began in June 2009. The current cycle is now officially the longest, no small feat considering that economists have been dating business cycles since 1854.
US and European equity markets continued upward during the second quarter of 2019, albeit at a more moderate pace. Expectations of monetary easing by major central banks provided a short-term boost but leaves us with little visibility of what comes
Global Asset Allocation Views Q1 2020 -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/01/jp-morgan/global-asset-allocation-views-q1-2020/ #AssetAllocation #credit #equites #Equities #FixedIncome via @JPMorganAM
Zo was het vorig jaar! #aftermovie #AssetAllocationAwards
https://vimeo.com/321963939
Economic resilience, Fed and elections to drive US markets in 2020 -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/01/amundi/economic-resilience-fed-and-elections-to-drive-us-markets-in-2020-2/ #consumption #election #monetarypolicy via @Amundi_ENG
The US federal reserve’s ‘whatever it takes’ moment has arrived -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/01/ubp/the-us-federal-reserves-whatever-it-takes-moment-has-arrived/ #AssetAllocation #centralbank #credit #ECB #Equities #FED #USA
