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Posts From Invesco

Light at the end of the tunnel

Light at the end of the tunnel

🕔11:42, 23.Nov 2020

The Big Picture – 2021 Outlook 2020 has seen defensive assets outperform cyclicals. We expect the opposite in 2021. Despite short term Covid-related risks, recent vaccine news provides valuable light at the end of the tunnel. Unfortunately, some cyclical assets have

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Multi-sector asset allocation outlook – Q4 2020

Multi-sector asset allocation outlook – Q4 2020

🕔11:02, 20.Nov 2020

Multi-sector asset allocation outlook – Q4 2020 IFI multi-sector asset allocation overview Macro factor summary: We have upgraded our growth expectations for the US and Europe and expect growth momentum to persist in 2021. We expect spare capacity to keep

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Invesco Global Factor Investing Study 2020

Invesco Global Factor Investing Study 2020

🕔15:21, 30.Oct 2020

Welcome to our fifth annual Global Factor Investing Study, based on an interview programme with 238 factor investors. This study incorporates the views of 138 institutional investors and 100 wholesale investors that are together responsible for managing over US$25.4 trillion

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Finding the opportunity in ESG

Finding the opportunity in ESG

🕔09:54, 30.Sep 2020

ESG disclosures: the bedrock of the sustainable finance agenda At Invesco, we consider environmental, social and governance issues (ESG) not only as financially material considerations but a core part of long-term value creation. And we are not alone- asset managers

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Does it matter who wins the US election?

Does it matter who wins the US election?

🕔11:01, 28.Sep 2020

Uncommon truths  I have long expected Joe Biden to be elected as the next president of the US. I believe the stock market implications are less than many fear but not all sectors will be impacted in the same way.

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What could the Fed’s new policy mean for investors?

What could the Fed’s new policy mean for investors?

🕔09:58, 7.Sep 2020

The Federal Reserve today announced an important change in its framework for conducting monetary policy in order to achieve its “statutory mandate from the Congress of promoting maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates.” One of the main

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Outlook for Fed Policy: Near- Term, Longer- Term

Outlook for Fed Policy: Near- Term, Longer- Term

🕔10:00, 3.Sep 2020

Global Fixed Income Strategy In November 2018, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) announced that it would conduct a broad review of its monetary policy framework. The new framework will likely shape monetary policy in …

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Is China over-investing?

Is China over-investing?

🕔11:05, 1.Sep 2020

Uncommon truths  China is often accused of over-investing and its capital productivity has fallen. However, marginal efficiency of capital is positive and return on equity is in the middle of the developed comparator range. We recently wrote that China’s economy

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Sins of omission: managing omission risk in discretionary strategies

Sins of omission: managing omission risk in discretionary strategies

🕔08:02, 28.Aug 2020

Persistent positive skew in the distribution of returns across index constituents suggests that a successful active equity management program must include a process to mitigate omission risk – i.e. the opportunity cost of missing out highreturning stocks that buoy average

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How far from normal?

How far from normal?

🕔11:44, 24.Aug 2020

Uncommon truths  Covid-19 has not gone away, shutdowns are being selectively reintroduced and we suspect the recovery becomes more difficult from here. We maintain a diversified model asset allocation.  We have been living with Covid-19 for more than six months

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2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions Q3 update

2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions Q3 update

🕔11:43, 20.Aug 2020

Strategic Perspective. It is difficult to imagine that only three months ago we were writing about riding out the first global recession, record levels of unemployment and declines in earnings not seen during any of our lifetimes. This historic decline

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US jobless claims and vaccine developments bring positive news

US jobless claims and vaccine developments bring positive news

🕔09:47, 20.Aug 2020

Last week, I laid out five things to watch in the month of August. Over the past seven days, we’ve seen new developments in each one. This week, I offer a quick update to each of those five issues, and

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Fixed Income Asset Allocation Insights

Fixed Income Asset Allocation Insights

🕔15:12, 19.Aug 2020

Evaluating the four P's (Pandemic, Policy, Pricing and Portfolios)  The first half of this year has been dominated by the spreading coronavirus pandemic and the policy response to it. The latter has been overwhelming; both monetary and fiscal policy are

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Private equity is from Mars; hedge funds are from Venus

Private equity is from Mars; hedge funds are from Venus

🕔15:11, 14.Aug 2020

Uncommon truths What role can alternative assets play in our model asset allocation framework? We look at real estate, commodities, private equity, hedge funds, diamonds and fine wines. We think some are core assets, others tactical while some have no

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Applied philosophy

Applied philosophy

🕔11:21, 10.Aug 2020

Factors in two flavours  Strange things are happening with factors. Was the market turbulence in February and March just a dream? Factors seem to tell us that the market …

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Invesco Global Sovereign Asset Management Study 2020

Invesco Global Sovereign Asset Management Study 2020

🕔11:38, 31.Jul 2020

Welcome to Invesco’s eighth annual study of sovereign investors. Since the publication of the first report in 2013, the study has evolved to cover 139 institutions, including interviews with chief investment officers, portfolio strategists and heads of asset classes at

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The Eurozone’s Hamiltonian Movement

The Eurozone’s Hamiltonian Movement

🕔15:15, 17.Jul 2020

The European Recovery Instrument is Neither a Hamiltonian Moment nor a non-Hamiltonian Muddle  We answer key questions about new EU proposals for a joint fiscal cushion in response to COVID-19: Are these plans a “Hamiltonian Moment” — after Alexander Hamilton’s

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Invesco Global Fixed Income Study 2020

Invesco Global Fixed Income Study 2020

🕔15:39, 26.Jun 2020

In 2019, the number of resondents grew from 145 to 159 fixed income professionals, to incorporate the views of 121 institutional and 38 wholesale investors that are together responsible for managing over …

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The Big Picture Jun 2020 – Quarterly update From Invesco’s Global Market Strategy Office

The Big Picture Jun 2020 – Quarterly update From Invesco’s Global Market Strategy Office

🕔09:37, 26.Jun 2020

In the face of what we expect to be the deepest global recession in living memory (by far), equity markets are running with their eyes wide shut into what feels like a trap: they are focusing on policy support and

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Pandemic Progression and Prospects: Facts, Figures and Possibilities

Pandemic Progression and Prospects: Facts, Figures and Possibilities

🕔07:41, 9.Jun 2020

Overview: Extraordinary Times, Extraordinary Measures  The key epidemiological data about the pandemic point to important, shared trends across countries amid major differences in national experiences. The pandemic has followed an exponential trajectory — although at very different rates around the

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5 things to know about Chinese and emerging market stocks

5 things to know about Chinese and emerging market stocks

🕔12:42, 28.May 2020

China has seemingly “flattened the curve.” The same cannot be said of the US.   

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The Facts Behind Factor Performance

The Facts Behind Factor Performance

🕔15:58, 15.May 2020

The Invesco White Paper Series – March 2020 Due to its simplicity, market-cap weighting has long been a popular means of calculating the composition of market indexes. But as an investment strategy, market-cap weighting has limitations — frequently resulting in outsized

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Strategic Sector Selector Is this elevator going up or down?

Strategic Sector Selector Is this elevator going up or down?

🕔14:35, 15.May 2020

This is not the bear market we were expecting to end the cyclical uptrend in equities and definitely not the first quarter we envisaged when we wrote our previous edition. Our job is made more difficult by the uncertainty surrounding

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Invesco Fixed Income Multi-Sector Asset Allocation Outlook – 2nd quarter

Invesco Fixed Income Multi-Sector Asset Allocation Outlook – 2nd quarter

🕔14:25, 15.May 2020

Macro factor summary: The coronavirus crisis has delivered a shock to the global economy that is unprecedented in size and cause. Methods of economic forecasting based on standard economic variables are not sufficient to analyze global economic growth. We have

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US Municipal bond market recap and outlook

US Municipal bond market recap and outlook

🕔14:17, 14.May 2020

Highlights Municipal bond prices fell during March, resulting in negative returns for the first quarter, on fears about potential economic fallout of a global pandemic. Municipals significantly underperformed US Treasuries, as Treasury yields dropped to record levels and municipal bonds

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Investing in an uncertain world

Investing in an uncertain world

🕔13:53, 1.May 2020

The Big Picture Is this a buying opportunity or the half-way stage in a larger slump? The truth is we don’t know, so we have constructed a range of scenarios that see the S&P 500 anywhere between 1400 and 3000 in 12

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Policies, Performance and Prognosis beyond Pandemic Pandemonium and Panics

Policies, Performance and Prognosis beyond Pandemic Pandemonium and Panics

🕔11:58, 30.Apr 2020

COVID-19 has pressured the global economy in an unprecedented way. What will be the lasting impacts? In order to get a full picture of the impact of this global pandemic, Invesco’s Global Market Strategy (GMS) Office has partnered with a

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How have ESG objectives behaved during this year’s market turbulence?

How have ESG objectives behaved during this year’s market turbulence?

🕔17:10, 23.Apr 2020

Environmental, social and governance (ESG) have become important considerations in mainstream investment processes. Adoption rates vary by region and by sector. Following an extended bull market, the spread of the corona virus in early 2020 and the associated containment measures

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Are credit spreads wide enough?

Are credit spreads wide enough?

🕔11:04, 22.Apr 2020

Uncommon truths  Have credit spreads widened enough? We think the answer depends upon what happens to the economy and we use US credit markets to give historical context. This leaves us more concerned about high-yield than investment-grade but we believe

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Are credit spreads wide enough?

Are credit spreads wide enough?

🕔09:38, 21.Apr 2020

Uncommon truths  Have credit spreads widened enough? We think the answer depends upon what happens to the economy and we use US credit markets to give historical context. This leaves us more concerned about high-yield than investment-grade but we believe

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Coronavirus impact and response: A global view

Coronavirus impact and response: A global view

🕔08:14, 16.Apr 2020

Global Market Strategist Office  The members of the Invesco Global Market Strategist (GMS) Office are seasoned professionals spread around the world, and each of them offers a unique perspective and area of expertise to our clients — resulting in true

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Are central banks running out of ammunition to fight the next downturn?

Are central banks running out of ammunition to fight the next downturn?

🕔11:56, 20.Mar 2020

The main challenge of monetary policy in the past was to contain high and volatile inflation. Policy makers rose to the challenge and brought inflation under control in many parts of the world, including emerging market economies with histories of

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Municipal bond market recap and outlook (PDF)

Municipal bond market recap and outlook (PDF)

🕔13:51, 26.Feb 2020

Highlights Municipal bonds notched strong gains during 2019, as favorable supply-and-demand dynamics supported the market. Falling interest rates helped boost municipal bond prices, which also benefited from demand for perceived safe-haven assets amid anxiety about softer US economic data. Investment

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An explanation of the recent monetary acceleration in the US

An explanation of the recent monetary acceleration in the US

🕔12:05, 20.Feb 2020

Measured on a year-on-year percent change basis, M2 and M3 growth have both been accelerating in the US since late 2018. There are two main reasons why broad money growth acceleration has occurred, and in this article, we explain how

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2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions Q1 update

2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions Q1 update

🕔06:44, 20.Feb 2020

This paper by Invesco’s Investment Solutions team presents their work in developing forecasts for asset class returns, risk, and correlations which are of critical importance in translating portfolio theory into plausible real-world practical solutions for investors. Executive Summary: The Strategic

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Are you taking enough risk? How do you know?

Are you taking enough risk? How do you know?

🕔08:07, 19.Feb 2020

Risk & Reward – Research and investment strategies Asset management firms often stress the importance of risk management – and Invesco is no exception. But successful risk management is more than mitigating risk. Taking enough risk is equally important, especially

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What a difference a year makes.

What a difference a year makes.

🕔16:02, 6.Feb 2020

Macro Views Housing is poised to emerge from its slowdown on the back of three rate cuts, though broader economic conditions will likely moderate any pickup Tariffs have thrown a wrench into trade data. Soured global conditions have complicated global

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The China Position: Gauging institutional investor confidence

The China Position: Gauging institutional investor confidence

🕔16:49, 3.Feb 2020

Welcome to The China position, a comprehensive survey commissioned by Invesco and conducted by the Economist Intelligence Unit to gauge current and future investment allocations to Chinese investments. The survey includes responses from over 400 market participants across functions in

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Global Investors’ Summit November 2019

Global Investors’ Summit November 2019

🕔15:38, 23.Jan 2020

Invesco Fixed Income White Paper Series Over 80 investors gathered in Houston in November to discuss and debate Invesco Fixed Income’s views on global macroeconomic trends. Macro themes play an important role in Invesco Fixed Income’s investment process and our framework of

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The Aristotle List: 10 improbable but possible outcomes for 2020

The Aristotle List: 10 improbable but possible outcomes for 2020

🕔12:39, 21.Jan 2020

Uncommon truths It is time to forget central scenarios and think about improbable but possible outcomes. Despite current geopolitical tensions, our surprises display a sense of hope (these hypothetical predictions are our views of what may happen even if they

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2020 outlook: on a wing and a prayer

2020 outlook: on a wing and a prayer

🕔16:54, 20.Jan 2020

The Big Picture 2019 has been a good year with strong returns on a broad range of assets. The global economy has decelerated but we hope policy easing will stabilise things during 2020 (the wing and a prayer). Our favoured

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2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

🕔16:37, 20.Jan 2020

The Strategic Perspective. Looking out into the horizon, we believe the next decade will be vastly different. Extraordinary measures by central banks pulled us out of the Great Recession and encouraged investors to take on excess risk. Global asset prices

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2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

🕔16:34, 20.Jan 2020

The Strategic Perspective. Looking out into the horizon, we believe the next decade will be vastly different. Extraordinary measures by central banks pulled us out of the Great Recession and encouraged investors to take on excess risk. Global asset prices

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2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

🕔14:37, 28.Dec 2019

This paper by Invesco’s Investment Solutions team presents their work in developing forecasts for asset class returns, risk, and correlations which are of critical importance in translating portfolio theory into plausible real-world practical solutions for investors. Executive Summary: The Strategic

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Municipal bond market recap and outlook (PDF)

Municipal bond market recap and outlook (PDF)

🕔14:09, 16.Dec 2019

US stocks fell in the early part of last week after US President Donald Trump said he has no deadline for reaching a trade deal with China, but later recovered on more optimistic comments and strong US jobs data. With

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Central banks and geopolitics to shape the course of the global economy in 2020

Central banks and geopolitics to shape the course of the global economy in 2020

🕔13:00, 22.Nov 2019

Key takeaways Some major central banks have become more accommodative, while geopolitical disruption continues to cast a shadow over growth. All told, we forecast global economic growth of about 3% for 2020. Regionally, we expect the lowest growth from Japan,

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Invesco Global Factor Investing Study 2019

Invesco Global Factor Investing Study 2019

🕔14:40, 5.Nov 2019

Factor investing adoption continues at pace as asset owners pursue a long-term approach Some 59% of existing global factor investors plan to increase their allocations to factor investing strategies, and 66%-70% of respondents reported their factor investing strategies met or

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Strategic Sector Selector Are we there yet?

Strategic Sector Selector Are we there yet?

🕔13:33, 16.Oct 2019

Economic indicators may have deteriorated, but equity markets in the US and Europe have not moved a great deal in the third quarter, despite some volatility in August. We are none the wiser as to whether we are in a

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Using artificial intelligence to power the retirement savings plan of the future

Using artificial intelligence to power the retirement savings plan of the future

🕔18:29, 30.Sep 2019

Who Should Read this White Paper and Why? Trustees, plan sponsors and other responsible parties associated with oversight for retirement savings plans seeking to understand how innovation-and specifically artificial intelligence (AI) – can be used to improve plan design, increase

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Could ‘helicopter money’ help Europe’s economy take flight?

Could ‘helicopter money’ help Europe’s economy take flight?

🕔07:34, 26.Sep 2019

ECB President Mario Draghi made it clear last week that governments need to step up fiscal stimulus. But what if they don’t? While “helicopter money” certainly has its drawbacks, the concept of becoming a "spender of last resort" may be

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Featured Events & Webinars

Events & Webinars

Twitter

"Is the #dollar’s stumble a sign of things to come?" -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/12/capital-group/is-the-dollars-stumble-a-sign-of-things-to-come/ by @CapitalGroup #usdollar #us #currency

#Webinar 9 December on #Frontier DebtMarkets @UBP_Group -> https://www.opiniopro.com/event/ubp-webinar-frontier-debt-markets/ #EMD #EMSovereignBonds

#Webinar 14 December @CapitalGroup -> "#2021 #Outlook: Turning points on the road to #recovery": https://www.opiniopro.com/event/capital-group-webinar-2021-outlook-turning-points-on-the-road-to-recovery/

https://www.nordea.lu/en/professional/nordea-asset-management-launches-an-esg-strategy-to-address-social-empowerment/
We are pleased to announce the launch of our new #ESG thematic solution:
Nordea Global Social Empowerment Strategy

Can green and ethical investing help us build back better in a post-pandemic world? Find out in this @raconteur article written by @SustMeme.

It carries insights from a range of market perspectives and leading contributors with expertise in both sustainability and investment.

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