This November sees the UK play host to COP26 – the 26th Conference of Parties – where global leaders from almost 200 nations will come together and discuss climate objectives and, more importantly, revisit the commitments made as part of
Having outperformed other regional stock markets for much of the pandemic, Chinese stocks have fallen sharply over the past few months (EXHIBIT 1). Concerns around the Chinese economy slowing were blamed for the initial move, but more recent declines have
Corporate profits continue to rebound at a tremendous pace and will comfortably exceed previous record levels this year. One year after the pandemic hit, we took a look at how our forecasts have changed. We expected an acceleration of existing
IN BRIEF Traditional investment approaches are unlikely to meet investors’ long-term goals in the coming years. Simply taking on more market risk will not suffice. There’s no single silver bullet here. Yet investors can reach a 7% return target by
Every two years, we take a close look at the performance of the private equity industry given its rising share of institutional and individual portfolios. Our findings this year: the private equity industry is still outperforming public equity, but this
Global Asset Allocation Views: High frequency data suggest that economic activity is surging, aggregate household balance sheets are in good health, and economic output in developed markets is expected to surpass pre-pandemic levels by 3Q21. The question, perhaps, might be
As a result of COVID, we all now live in an age of uncertainty where having choices is important for our well-being, both financially and emotionally. Financial independence gives us choices and without these we will be trapped in unfulfilling
The Weekly Brief: The rise in US economic growth and inflation has been well flagged by markets and economists but uncertainty remains as to the persistence of these pickups. A successful vaccine rollout is enabling a reopening of the economy
The Weekly Brief: Net zero commitments are hitting the headlines, following President Biden’s recent pledge to cut US greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in half by 2030. In total, 58 countries, representing 54% of global GHG emissions, have now communicated a
Defined Benefit Pension Trends J.P. Morgan Asset Management Strategy & Analytics | March 2021
Q1 2021
Monetary and fiscal coordination has supported economic activity in 2020. As we discuss in our Investment Outlook 2021: Bridge over troubled waters, governments and central banks have proved pivotal in helping economies to bridge the gap caused by the virus.
The Armageddonists were not rescued from underperformance purgatory by COVID, and markets are at alltime highs again with prospects for further gains in 2021. However, I can think of something that could rescue them, at least temporarily: the risk of
2021 | 25th annual edition Time-tested projections to build stronger portfolios A global pandemic can shift our perspective, making it more difficult to focus on the future. But, of course, this is the essential task of any long-term investor, regardless
Global markets and multi-asset portfolios The coronavirus pandemic has dominated news flow throughout 2020. Looking forward, even after the first acute phase of the pandemic has passed, its imprint on our economy and indeed on the very fabric of our
In the final quarter of this year, investors are likely to learn the answers to three pivotal questions for markets. First, we are likely to hear the results of vaccine trials. Second, we will learn the results of the US
Europe | | 4Q 2020 As of 30 September 2020
Multi-Asset Solutions Weekly Strategy Report IN BRIEF From a portfolio perspective, exposure to tech winners in U.S. equities is not a free lunch. The same growth stories that prompted outsize U.S. equity returns in recent years and a faster recovery
Multi-Asset Solutions Weekly Strategy Report Global markets and multi-asset portfolios In late August, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced his resignation because of health problems. Abe had served for nearly eight years, with his administration lending stability to Japanese politics
Global markets and multi-asset portfolios The rebound in global equities has been quite dramatic, but so too has been the recovery in the market pricing of inflation, especially in the U.S. Since March, 10-year U.S. CPI swaps and Treasury inflation
Market Review It’s been a very strong quarter for equities and credit as central banks and governments provided enormous amounts of stimulus and economies started to reopen. Despite the strong rebound in risk …
US 3Q 2020, As of June 30, 2020
Multi-Asset Solutions Weekly Strategy Report China has been leading other major emerging market (EM) equity markets, staging a strong recovery from March’s lows. China’s CSI 300 Index (of onshore stocks traded in Shenzhen and Shanghai) has more than fully recovered
Global markets and multi-asset portfolios This recession will forever be remembered as one of the most rapid and shocking economic slowdowns on record. The question at the forefront of asset allocation decisions is whether the recovery will be equally distinctive
The rebound in equity markets extended into May. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic continued to dominate markets, with an increasing focus on how countries would begin to relax their lockdown measures and how this would affect the economy. Volatility
A changed economic and market environment leads us to an off-cycle update of our asset allocation views, typically published after our quarterly Strategy Summits. Overall, our views reflect a moderately greater risk tolerance and a recognition that central banks are
After the severe shock in March, markets rebounded strongly in April. COVID-19 continued to spread globally, but some countries saw daily new infection rates start to fall and are now planning to gradually reopen their economies. Governments and central banks
Is the earnings downgrade cycle already nearly over? Following the shortest bear market in history (from February 19 to March 23), equities have staged a massive rally. This has left investors wondering whether markets have bottomed or will instead revisit
Portfolio Insights Following the shortest bear market in history (from February 19 to March 23), equities have staged a massive rally. This has left investors wondering whether markets have bottomed or will instead revisit their March lows. To gain confidence
Amid the depths of a global COVID-19 pandemic and recession, global equities rebounded dramatically over the past few weeks, with the S&P 500 retracing more than half of its sharp 35% plunge. Much of that rebound reflects the anticipation and
1Q20 earnings: Virus oddity Global stock markets saw an unprecedented level of volatility in March, as investors attempted to discern how the rapid spread of COVID-19 would aect the economy and corporate profits. The past few weeks have seen a
Since the coronavirus shock began, we have focused on several broad categories within the information flow: bank funding and market operational stress; the policy response; messages from economic data; and, most importantly, the outlook for the virus itself. Following their
Quarantine measures to tackle the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak pushed down global economic activity in March. We expect further steep declines through April and May, leading to a sharp plunge in second-quarter activity data. Beyond that, however, thoughts will turn to
Market Insights Powerpoint by JP Morgan Asset Management
Bond markets took a roller coaster ride over the last month. The extreme volatility reflected illiquid conditions as dealers worked from home; regulatory pressure weighing on dealer balance sheets; de-risking in risk-parity funds; and profit taking in fixed income to
Portfolio Insights In the history of financial markets, there has never been a quarter like Q1 2020. As the global outbreak of COVID-19 gathered force, various forms of lockdowns and quarantines ensued, causing risk assets to plummet at an unprecedented
Insights and implications from the Multi-Asset Solutions Strategy Summit We are in a time of extreme volatility and uncertainty. New information, policy announcements and data are becoming available every day. As we navigate this crisis, we expect to increase the
This quarter has not been an easy one for most investors. While it was already clear that we were in the later stages of the economic cycle, nobody could have predicted at the start of this year that large parts
We review trends across markets and economies in Q1 2020, consider what they mean for our multi-asset portfolios and present a positioning update. In the history of financial markets, there has never been a quarter like Q1 2020. As the
We look at YE2019 asset exposures in the U.S. life industry that have a high likelihood of being impacted by the effects of and response to COVID-19.
In this week’s note, we take a close look at country and regional virus data, and examine the pitfalls of over-extrapolating trends that often reverse. We compare the US and China versions of an “economic lockdown”, and unsurprisingly find that
Capital-efficient alternatives for Asian insurers – J.P. Morgan Institutional Asset Management Skip Nav J.P.Morgan Home / Institutional Asset Management / Capital-efficient alternatives for Asian insurers Alternatives may enhance returns opportunities, improve diversification, and help insulate insurers’ balance sheets from public
Just as headwinds from trade policy were beginning to dissipate, the outbreak of COVID19 has pushed the global economy into recession. The speed and depth of the ‘sudden stop’ in the economy is unprecedented, but should the virus be contained,
Man vs Nature: what the government can and cannot fix There are things the government can try and fix during a pandemic and other things which it can’t. In this note we highlight some of what we have added to
This morning, initial claims for unemployment insurance surged to the highest level ever. Initial claims came in at 3,283,000, spiking from a slightly revised 282,000 last week. They also exceeded the prior peak of 695,000 reached in October 1982, and
In the early hours of this morning, the U.S. Senate passed a 2.2 trillion USD stimulus bill to combat the devastating impact of COVID-19 and social distancing on the U.S. economy. These measures cannot prevent the economy from falling into
