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A Journey into Uncharted Territory

A Journey into Uncharted Territory

🕔14:46, 13.Jul 2020

Carmignac's Note Investors are used to dealing with uncertainty – the very essence of financial markets – as they seek to anticipate what is necessarily an elusive future. However, these past six months have driven uncertainty into entirely uncharted territory,

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The 90% Economy: The Long Road Back to Normal

The 90% Economy: The Long Road Back to Normal

🕔09:52, 13.Jul 2020

In many things 90% is just fine; for an economy it is miserable Bankruptcies and the fear of a second wave Life will be hard—at least until a vaccine or a treatment is found 

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FERMA European Risk Manager Report 2020

FERMA European Risk Manager Report 2020

🕔13:09, 10.Jul 2020

Foreword We are pleased to present the results of the 2020 European Risk Manager Survey. The survey has taken place every other year since 2002 and represents the widest available picture of views of professional risk managers across Europe. The

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The rising challenge of sustainability fraud

The rising challenge of sustainability fraud

🕔08:07, 8.Jul 2020

Understanding fraud risks and prevention for investors and companie Until recently, sustainability information and management has been a secondary activity for many companies. Often, a separate sustainability department was created and given the responsibility for the development of sustainability projects

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The Case for Bitcoin in an Institutional Portfolio

The Case for Bitcoin in an Institutional Portfolio

🕔15:26, 3.Jul 2020

This paper examines the case for adding bitcoin to a diversified portfolio of stocks and bonds. Specifically, we consider the impact that different allocations to bitcoin would have had on a Traditional Portfolio consisting of 60% equities and 40% bonds

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Bewust Belonen en Waarderen

Bewust Belonen en Waarderen

🕔15:00, 3.Jul 2020

Een oproep aan de sector op basis van onderzoek bij banken, verzekeraars en financieel dienstverleners Financiële ondernemingen zijn wettelijke verplicht een beheerst beloningsbeleid te voeren. Hiervoor moeten zij onder meer financiële en niet-financiële risico’s inventariseren die gepaard gaan met het

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Impact Investing Handbook An Implementation Guide for Practitioners

Impact Investing Handbook An Implementation Guide for Practitioners

🕔08:10, 2.Jul 2020

A Modern History of Impact Investing The concept of integrating values into investment decisions is not at all new. History is full of these examples: from early religion-based investing to the more recent role of divestment in key social and

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Monthly Must-Reads

Monthly Must-Reads

🕔09:28, 1.Jul 2020

A compilation of thought-provoking insights produced by Man Group during the month. Inflation Regime Roadmap Teun Draaisma, Ben Funnell and Henry Neville from Man Group’s DNA team study the history of inflationary regimes, and conclude that current extremes in deflation,

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Road to Recovery

Road to Recovery

🕔07:37, 1.Jul 2020

Credit Continuum  Monetary stimulus measures and high levels of cash continue to support spread tightening between now and year end. The rally in credit markets has continued in May given Federal Reserve and European Central Bank support measures and the

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BITCOIN Vires in Numeris

BITCOIN Vires in Numeris

🕔08:52, 4.Jun 2020

Learning about bitcoin is hard. It may often entail wading through specialized courses targeting software developers, pages and pages of forums and tweets, or endless blog posts to find the answer to a single question. Even more challenging is knowing

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Lockdown rollback checklist: Do countries meet WHO recommendations for rolling back lockdown?

Lockdown rollback checklist: Do countries meet WHO recommendations for rolling back lockdown?

🕔09:34, 3.Jun 2020

As countries begin to roll back ‘lockdown’ measures, how and when do we know it is safe to do so? The Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker (OxCGRT) provides a cross-national overview of which countries meet four of the World Health

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Leverage and margin spirals in fixed income markets during the Covid-19 crisis

Leverage and margin spirals in fixed income markets during the Covid-19 crisis

🕔14:17, 29.May 2020

BIS Bulletin Key takeaways For a two-week period in mid-March 2020, government bond markets experienced uncharacteristic turbulence, sometimes selling off sharply in risk-off episodes when they would normally attract safe haven flows. Evidence in the US Treasury market points to

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The Dawning of a Golden Decade

The Dawning of a Golden Decade

🕔12:59, 29.May 2020

“All roads lead to gold.” Takeaways Monetary policy normalization has failed …  

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Rebuttal to Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff’s proposal that Emerging Markets suspend debt payments

Rebuttal to Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff’s proposal that Emerging Markets suspend debt payments

🕔14:49, 22.May 2020

Market Commentary This is not the first time that Carmen Reinhart has cried wolf. As recently as May 2018, she argued in a Bloomberg interview that rising US inflation and US rate hikes would sink EM, because “more than two-thirds

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Status update: Coronavirus and EM fixed income in 2020 and beyond

Status update: Coronavirus and EM fixed income in 2020 and beyond

🕔13:59, 22.May 2020

Market Commentary As of 27 April 2020, eighteen times more people have died from coronavirus per million of population in developed countries (DMs) than in Emerging Markets (EM). This is partly due to measurement problems, but there may also be

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Sustainable investing, the new ‘safe haven’?

Sustainable investing, the new ‘safe haven’?

🕔11:46, 18.May 2020

Flash Note During times of crisis, investors used to retreat into tried and trusted safe havens, such as gold or long-dated government bonds, while sustainable investing was viewed as a fashion or something of a luxury during uncertain times. I

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We believe the expansaion phase of the credit cycle is over

We believe the expansaion phase of the credit cycle is over

🕔15:18, 15.May 2020

Several countries are now heading into downturns, largely because of the demand shock from COVID-19. However, we have been impressed by the global monetary and fiscal policy response so far. We anticipate a broad rebound later this year on the back

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Morningstar Sustainability Atlas

Morningstar Sustainability Atlas

🕔14:55, 15.May 2020

Northern Europe set the global standard, along with Hong Kong and Taiwan. The U.S. scores fairly and shows low Carbon Risk.   This report examines the sustainability profiles of Morningstar’s 48 country-specific equity indexes. The country indexes, which span developed and

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Reports of Value’s Death May Be Greatly Exaggerated

Reports of Value’s Death May Be Greatly Exaggerated

🕔14:54, 15.May 2020

Value investing has underperformed growth investing for over 13 years. We examine several narratives that suggest why the long-term efficacy of the value factor may be dead. Using a bootstrap analysis, we show the likelihood of observing such a large

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Coronavirus: A Nightmare on Main Street

Coronavirus: A Nightmare on Main Street

🕔14:52, 15.May 2020

Investment Outlook Economically, “social distancing,” quarantines, and related shut-downs, along with the fast spread of the virus, have cast a fog over financial-market expectations, leading to declines in a range of assets—including some perceived as risky and others traditionally thought

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Investment Outlook

Investment Outlook

🕔14:51, 15.May 2020

The global economy, undermined by the trade war between Washington and Beijing, was already showing signs of slowing in 2019. It was hit hard by the COVID-19 epidemic. The containment and exceptional means decided by governments to limit risks have

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The World Holds its Breath – So Do Capital Markets

The World Holds its Breath – So Do Capital Markets

🕔14:43, 15.May 2020

Global Market Outlook At the beginning of April, the global GLOCAP sample portfolio (50% equities, 50% cash) remains 33.3% overweight in equities. Nonetheless, the assessment of the fundamental economic market environment has changed significantly given the serious turbulence on …

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The intelligence that guides our investment decisions

The intelligence that guides our investment decisions

🕔14:43, 15.May 2020

House View Q2 2020 The near-term economic outlook will undoubtedly be weak. The only debate is how deep the decline in activity will be and how long it will take to recover. From a financial market point of view, one

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A fragile stabilisation

A fragile stabilisation

🕔14:36, 15.May 2020

Monthly Investment Brief It seems futile indeed to make predictions about the economy and the market when there is so much uncertainty about the pandemic itself. To be perfectly honest, no one really knows how things are going to pan

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Is (Systematic) Value Investing Dead?

Is (Systematic) Value Investing Dead?

🕔13:58, 15.May 2020

No it’s not. Quite the opposite. I didn’t want to keep you in suspense. Now for some detail. My colleagues have written a great paper (IMHUO) examining the issue (and sharing this blog’s title). It goes without saying that we

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