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Posts From T. Rowe Price

Navigating a Landscape of Interlinked Crises

Navigating a Landscape of Interlinked Crises

🕔10:57, 3.May 2021

Opportunities presented by public policy in the Biden era.  Within T. Rowe Price, our Public Policy Research team supports our analysts and portfolio managers through all stages of the investment process. We work closely with our environmental, social, and governance (ESG) team to

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High Yield Debt Can Boost Income And Return Potential Amid Low Yields

High Yield Debt Can Boost Income And Return Potential Amid Low Yields

🕔12:47, 29.Apr 2021

Downside risk management is crucial.  Volatility and low yields are likely to persist over the next few years as the global economy recovers from the shock of the coronavirus. Navigating this environment will be difficult, particularly as returns from equities

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The Resilience of EM Corporate Debt

The Resilience of EM Corporate Debt

🕔13:15, 28.Apr 2021

Some investors view emerging markets in general as risky, and this perception sometimes carries through to emerging market (EM) corporate debt. But the downside experience in this asset class has been remarkably limited. Display 1 shows the losses suffered by

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Loans May Provide Solid Returns in Multiple Rate Environments

Loans May Provide Solid Returns in Multiple Rate Environments

🕔11:36, 26.Apr 2021

The asset class offers a low‑duration profile, attractive yields.  Many investors tend to focus on bank loans only when there is a broad consensus about the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in the short term. While loans have historically performed

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Inflation Likely to Accelerate: A Non‑consensus View

Inflation Likely to Accelerate: A Non‑consensus View

🕔10:41, 23.Apr 2021

Aggressive stimulus and labor market tightening mean higher inflation risk. Asset and commodity prices have been moving in line with the view that supply constraints and a weaker U.S. dollar are putting incipient pressure on underlying inflation trends. Contrary to

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Reason to Worry?

Reason to Worry?

🕔14:24, 22.Apr 2021

Global Asset Allocation: The View From Europe  Equity markets are riding higher on unwavering optimism, which has driven the S&P 500 up over 20% above its pre-COVID-19 levels. Despite higher valuations, bouts of risk and pockets of froth in the

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Five Forces in International Equities Investors May Be Underestimating

Five Forces in International Equities Investors May Be Underestimating

🕔09:24, 20.Apr 2021

China, Japan, technology, and value have potential to shape global markets in 2021 and beyond. T. Rowe Price Insights on International Equities: The rapid rise of China to the world’s second‑largest economy is widely observed. Yet, investors appear to underappreciate China’s

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Three Reasons Why Pent‑Up Demand Is Not a Growth Panacea

Three Reasons Why Pent‑Up Demand Is Not a Growth Panacea

🕔10:44, 15.Apr 2021

Investors hoping that pent-up demand will fuel a sustained post-coronavirus economic recovery in Europe may end up disappointed. Although a backlog of demand has built up during the lockdown, its potency is likely to be reduced by …

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Leveraging a Diversity of Perspectives on Rising Rates

Leveraging a Diversity of Perspectives on Rising Rates

🕔12:18, 14.Apr 2021

Just as the sudden shutdown of much of the global economy at the onset of the coronavirus pandemic in 2020 was unprecedented, the expected recovery in 2021 is likely to be unique. Developed market central banks seem determined to maintain …

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The Long‑Term Appeal of Durable Growers Remains Intact

The Long‑Term Appeal of Durable Growers Remains Intact

🕔15:19, 13.Apr 2021

The value stocks in the large‑cap Russell 1000 Index have outperformed their growth counterparts in recent months, but this near‑term regime shift does not dim our conviction in high‑quality companies that we believe can compound in value over the …

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Why ESG Factors Matter in Asia Credit Investing

Why ESG Factors Matter in Asia Credit Investing

🕔16:40, 12.Apr 2021

Already mainstream in Europe, responsible investing is fast becoming a key consideration in Asia as well. The integration of environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors into investment decisions has gained recognition as an important method of downside risk management and a driver of risk‑adjusted returns. Looking specifically at credit investing, 60% of regional investors expect governance …

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Why the Eurozone Will Not Mirror China’s Post‑COVID Recovery

Why the Eurozone Will Not Mirror China’s Post‑COVID Recovery

🕔09:56, 2.Apr 2021

China’s success in quickly getting its economy back on track in the wake of the coronavirus will be studied closely by other regions hoping to achieve the same. The eurozone in particular, which faces the possibility of extended lockdowns as the European Union (EU) struggles with its …

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Fasten Your Seatbelt for More Interest Rate Volatility

Fasten Your Seatbelt for More Interest Rate Volatility

🕔12:13, 1.Apr 2021

Rising global bond yields and interest rate volatility have been dominant themes in fixed income markets so far this year. In our latest investment team meetings, we discussed how likely these trends are to continue—and the potential implications for bond markets and central bank policies if they do.

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Seeking Alpha in Emerging Markets Corporate Debt

Seeking Alpha in Emerging Markets Corporate Debt

🕔10:37, 31.Mar 2021

Corporate debt is the fastest‑growing area of hard currency emerging markets (EM) debt, with almost USD 2.5 trillion outstanding and new issuance averaging 15% of debt outstanding per year since 2011. The asset class generated strong risk‑adjusted returns over the five years ended December 31, 2020, due to the …

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Cooling US ‑ Europe Trade Tensions Could Lead to Bigger Deal

Cooling US ‑ Europe Trade Tensions Could Lead to Bigger Deal

🕔14:03, 26.Mar 2021

The U.S. and European Union (EU) announced a four‑month suspension of all tariffs related to the long‑running dispute about unfair government support for leading aerospace companies Airbus and Boeing, signaling President Joe Biden’s desire to realign trade relations. This pause came on the heels of a similar agreement between the U.S. and the UK.

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T. Rowe Price Strategy Focus on Global Impact Equity

T. Rowe Price Strategy Focus on Global Impact Equity

🕔11:56, 25.Mar 2021

The strategy maintains a focus on companies that we believe offer a positive impact today and an underappreciated impact in the future, as well as sustainability and robustness in their future earnings and cash flow growth. And our fundamental research platform and dedicated Responsible Investing (RI) team—which is focused on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) issues— provide  …

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Impact Investing: Why It Matters Now More Than Ever

Impact Investing: Why It Matters Now More Than Ever

🕔14:36, 24.Mar 2021

The magnitude of change and disruption experienced around the globe in 2020 was remarkable on many levels. The coronavirus pandemic enveloped the world, prompting widespread upheaval to established patterns of conducting business, communication, travel, and the daily lives of people and communities. Amid the evolving …

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Why Credit Investors Need to Become Active Duration Managers

Why Credit Investors Need to Become Active Duration Managers

🕔15:34, 23.Mar 2021

Why Credit Investors Need to Become Active Duration Managers The importance of duration for credit performance and five ways to improve it.  Credit investors typically pay little attention to duration, seeing themselves primarily as bottom‑up investors who specialize in sector and

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Pleasant Recession, Unpleasant Recovery

Pleasant Recession, Unpleasant Recovery

🕔17:37, 22.Mar 2021

Last year was nothing if not remarkable. The coronavirus pandemic led to an implosion of economic activity before monetary and fiscal stimulus provided the foundation for a recovery unlike anything we have ever seen. From an economist’s perspective, one insight …

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China’s Economy: Recovery and Rebalancing

China’s Economy: Recovery and Rebalancing

🕔16:16, 18.Mar 2021

China and its strong economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic have not gone unnoticed. Fourth‑quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth came in at 6.5% year over year, pushing the annual average growth to 2.3% for 2020. China should be the only major economy to record economic growth …

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Has the Fed Turned Hawkish by Allowing Bond Yields to Surge?

Has the Fed Turned Hawkish by Allowing Bond Yields to Surge?

🕔09:33, 17.Mar 2021

Has the Fed Turned Hawkish by Allowing Bond Yields to Surge? It seems happy to let financial market conditions tighten.  Surging yields on U.S. government debt are tightening financial market conditions, but the response to this from Federal Reserve Chairman

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Your Move, Mr. Powell?

Your Move, Mr. Powell?

🕔09:15, 16.Mar 2021

After years of muted inflation, investors are becoming concerned as a massive amount of pent-up demand is expected to be unleashed as the economy reemerges in the coming months, bringing higher price pressures. The excess savings that consumers have accumulated over the past year, plus an additional near USD 1.9 trillion fiscal package on the way, could also lead to demand …

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Investing in the Infrastructure Behind the Digital Economy

Investing in the Infrastructure Behind the Digital Economy

🕔09:00, 10.Mar 2021

The dramatic shift to remote working, learning, and shopping as a result of the global pandemic may be at the leading edge of an even more profound technology transformation: Companies outside the technology sector, from health care to financial services, are accelerating efforts to build …

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Melting Permafrost Poses Challenge For Arctic Companies

Melting Permafrost Poses Challenge For Arctic Companies

🕔15:28, 5.Mar 2021

Rising global temperatures are causing permafrost— ground that remains frozen at 0 degrees or colder for at least two years consecutively—to thaw. For Russian mining and energy companies that have operations in permafrost areas, this climate change effect presents a material risk as it can weaken foundations and even …

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For or Against? The Year in Shareholder Resolutions

For or Against? The Year in Shareholder Resolutions

🕔12:25, 4.Mar 2021

Within the context of growing demands on the private sector to constructively address the world’s environmental, social, and governance (ESG) challenges, shareholder resolutions can be an important tool to persuade companies to increase their focus on key societal challenges. The year 2020 presented a range of themes for consideration, and our approach …

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When Emerging Market Debt Dances to the Inflation Tune

When Emerging Market Debt Dances to the Inflation Tune

🕔14:16, 3.Mar 2021

Rising oil prices are front and center of the markets’ narrative  at present. What this potentially means for emerging market (EM) countries and how it impacts inflation and—in particular—currencies were …

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5 Reasons to Consider EM Local Bonds

5 Reasons to Consider EM Local Bonds

🕔09:28, 2.Mar 2021

With investors struggling to find much‑needed yield, we believe emerging market (EM) local bonds offer attractive opportunities. The yields on offer from a number of EM local bond markets are among the highest currently available in fixed income, while EM currencies are attractively valued and look set to benefit from the U.S. dollar cycle …

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The “In-Between,” the “New Normal,” and What’s Next…

The “In-Between,” the “New Normal,” and What’s Next…

🕔16:11, 22.Feb 2021

Sometimes in life, you find yourself “in between.” In between seasons, in between relationships, in between jobs. One season is ending, and the next has yet to begin. This is where markets are now. 

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Off to a Quick Start

Off to a Quick Start

🕔14:27, 17.Feb 2021

While the Biden administration put eradicating the coronavirus at the top of its agenda, taking action on regulations with executive orders has also been a top priority. Deregulation was a defining focus of …

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Three Critical Questions Facing Fixed Income Investors in 2021

Three Critical Questions Facing Fixed Income Investors in 2021

🕔12:02, 10.Feb 2021

While a new year may be underway, at least one thing remains the same: low bond yields. We believe that the challenges and risks this environment presents may not be fully understood by investors. For that reason, we have identified three questions that we believe investors should consider: focusing on the diversification power …

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The Risk Rally Will Likely Continue, but It Is Vulnerable

The Risk Rally Will Likely Continue, but It Is Vulnerable

🕔15:09, 9.Feb 2021

Since the U.S. elections, asset prices have risen steadily higher. Can the risk rally continue? I believe it can as it is underpinned by three powerful drivers. However, there are also three looming risks that could undermine it.

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The EU-UK trade deal leaves open questions

The EU-UK trade deal leaves open questions

🕔10:48, 3.Feb 2021

The EU-UK trade deal leaves open questions But the exclusion of some areas brings opportunity for reform.  The wait is finally over. Four‑and‑a‑half years after the Brexit referendum, the UK has exited the European Union’s single market and customs union,

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Finding Deeper Value in Emerging Markets

Finding Deeper Value in Emerging Markets

🕔09:49, 2.Feb 2021

Value funds—whether global, developed, or emerging—encountered a major style headwind in 2020. Globally, economy‑sensitive value stocks underperformed during the coronavirus pandemic, which was to be expected. Value companies tend to be in traditional sectors that need growth in real economic

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Gains Still to Be Found in Global Equities

Gains Still to Be Found in Global Equities

🕔13:17, 1.Feb 2021

Seizing the opportunities that higher volatility and mixed news flow will create. Equity markets delivered extraordinary returns in 2020, but the first quarter of 2021 will certainly test investors, given the return of uneven and contradictory news flow. Expectations of

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End of the Fed’s Credit Support Facilities Is Positive

End of the Fed’s Credit Support Facilities Is Positive

🕔08:37, 29.Jan 2021

The success of the Federal Reserve’s emergency intervention in March 2020 played a crucial role in stabilizing and improving liquidity in U.S. credit markets. The cessation of the Fed’s corporate credit facilities, in our opinion, lowers the risk of unintended imbalances within credit markets that could potentially …

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Creativity in a Low‑Yield Era

Creativity in a Low‑Yield Era

🕔13:31, 28.Jan 2021

Strengthening economic recovery in 2021 would carry risks for bond investors, warns Mark Vaselkiv, chief investment officer, Fixed Income. He says investors will need to be creative in seeking out fixed income sectors—such as floating rate bank loans and emerging market …

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2021 Global Multi-Asset Outlook

2021 Global Multi-Asset Outlook

🕔08:31, 27.Jan 2021

Markets are entering the new year optimistic about the successful development of vaccines to combat the spread of COVID-19, seeing the news as a light at the end of the dark tunnel that was 2020. The extreme enthusiasm, however, has driven many markets to record highs, extending valuations and creating a rotation toward cheaper stocks in more cyclically …

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Chasing unicorns

Chasing unicorns

🕔14:05, 25.Jan 2021

Unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus and late-year positive news on vaccines fueled a relentless rally in …

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Euro high yield: the opportunity today

Euro high yield: the opportunity today

🕔09:25, 20.Jan 2021

Euro high yield: the opportunity today Credit Outlook The upheavals of 2020 have brought structural changes in the euro high yield (EHY) bond market. So, what has changed, what still applies, and what role can this sector play in European

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2021 Global Market Outlook – Managing to the Other Side

2021 Global Market Outlook – Managing to the Other Side

🕔09:34, 19.Jan 2021

2021 Global Market Outlook – Managing to the Other Side Four themes to follow: An Uneven Road to Recovery Style Dispersion Amid Disruption Creativity in a Low Yield Era  Politics and the Pandemic 

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What Georgia Senate Results Could Mean for Markets

What Georgia Senate Results Could Mean for Markets

🕔18:53, 15.Jan 2021

What Georgia Senate Results Could Mean for Markets Unified government puts fiscal stimulus, tax increases on table. T. Rowe Price Insights on the U.S. Election As president, Joe Biden will have a stronger hand to pursue his legislative agenda now that

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UK Defined Benefit Pension Schemes Should Prepare for Negative Interest Rates

UK Defined Benefit Pension Schemes Should Prepare for Negative Interest Rates

🕔13:22, 11.Jan 2021

UK Defined Benefit Pension Schemes Should Prepare for Negative Interest Rates T. Rowe Price Insights on Fixed Income Negative interest rates are likely coming to the UK, but you would not know that judging from the markets. Although rates are

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UK Investors Should Prepare for Negative Interest Rates

UK Investors Should Prepare for Negative Interest Rates

🕔13:35, 8.Jan 2021

The role of gilts in portfolios could be impacted. Negative interest rates are likely coming to the UK, but you would not know that judging from the markets. Although rates are widely expected to fall, implied policy rates show that the

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Navigating Heightened U.S.- China Tensions in Asia Credit

Navigating Heightened U.S.- China Tensions in Asia Credit

🕔15:57, 7.Jan 2021

Executive Order banning trading in designated Chinese entities increases uncertainty on the horizon and reaffirms importance of diversification. Once characterized by mutual cooperation, the U.S.-China relationship has undergone a significant shift since the onset of the trade war initiated by

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Investing in EM corporate bonds for income and diversification

Investing in EM corporate bonds for income and diversification

🕔16:00, 6.Jan 2021

Using credit in asset allocation  Investing in EM corporate bonds for income and diversification  In asset allocation, emerging market (EM) corporate bonds can be used to help investors achieve a range of objectives, in a range of market environments. In

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Improving fundamentals are likely to be sustained

Improving fundamentals are likely to be sustained

🕔10:15, 6.Jan 2021

China Market Outlook 2021  Thanks to its rapid control of the coronavirus, China is the only major economy that is expected to post positive economic growth this year, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, which recently raised

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For Investors in Japan, the Outlook Appears Suga Sweet

For Investors in Japan, the Outlook Appears Suga Sweet

🕔08:00, 5.Jan 2021

T. Rowe Price Insights on Japan Equities Four reasons to be bullish about the Japan investment outlook.  Japanese equities are well placed to excel in 2021, in our view, with various factors underpinning our positive outlook, heading into the new year.

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Senate Runoffs Put Georgia on Investors’ Minds

Senate Runoffs Put Georgia on Investors’ Minds

🕔11:15, 29.Dec 2020

The results of the two U.S. Senate runoff elections in Georgia on Jan. 5 could determine the size and scope of fiscal stimulus to address economic strains caused by the coronavirus pandemic. A shift in the Senate’s partisan majority could

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Secular Forces Are Carving New Paths for Active Investing

Secular Forces Are Carving New Paths for Active Investing

🕔20:23, 25.Dec 2020

The world has taken a new turn in 2020, and the range of potential outcomes is almost impossible to quantify. We believe we are at the cusp of a new era because of the profound impact of the acceleration of

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Market Optimism May Be Justified—But I Urge Caution

Market Optimism May Be Justified—But I Urge Caution

🕔08:05, 24.Dec 2020

While the U.S. elections grind toward the finish line, risk markets—after a bumpy ride—are hovering close to all‑time highs. In light of surprisingly close elections that will likely lead to a split Congress, legislative gridlock, and inadequate fiscal support, this

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