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Sustainably certified assets

Sustainably certified assets

🕔14:40, 6.Nov 2020

A step towards a more transparent future Developing a sustainable future is enhanced by incorporating third-party benchmarking and certifications for all property types. There is now a proliferation of standards, ratings, and certification programs globally to help guide, demonstrate, and

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Future of humans

Future of humans

🕔07:36, 18.Sep 2020

Humanity is facing two important trends. Over the next 30 years, our numbers will grow and our average age will increase. These demographic trends are taking place alongside huge structural shifts. The Fourth Industrial Revolution—powered by automation and connectivity—and the

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Asia Market Outlook: 2H20 and 2021

Asia Market Outlook: 2H20 and 2021

🕔08:00, 20.Aug 2020

In 2021, the IMF expects 8.2% y-o-y GDP growth for China, 6.0% for India, and 2.4% for Japan; COVID-19 is having a severe short-term impact on Asia, but the long-term impact should be small; Asian stocks look cheap compared to

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Nobel Perspectives: on a post COVID-19 world

Nobel Perspectives: on a post COVID-19 world

🕔15:09, 20.Jul 2020

As part of the UBS Nobel Perspectives program, our webinar series allows you to ask your questions directly to Nobel Laureates in Economic Sciences. UBS Nobel Perspectives addresses the questions shaping our world, cutting through the noise, and holding the

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Looking ahead

Looking ahead

🕔14:57, 17.Jul 2020

Intermediate projections of the economy and capital markets – five-year outlook  The equity rally that retraced much of the February through March drop signals that the market is pricing in a relatively quick economic rebound from the COVID-19 pandemic. However,

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Investing in a new landscape

Investing in a new landscape

🕔12:52, 30.Jun 2020

Panorama Six months ago, as we discussed topics for our year-end edition of Panorama, our investment team debated the most …

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Brexit moving back onto the agenda

Brexit moving back onto the agenda

🕔15:09, 29.Jun 2020

Research Blast  It feels like a different era whereby every conversation around the UK commercial real estate market evolved around the topic of Brexit. Following the outbreak of COVID-19 in Europe, the issue was hardly mentioned. But as transactions in

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Investing in a new world – China Fixed Income

Investing in a new world – China Fixed Income

🕔07:48, 26.Jun 2020

Fixed income investors are entering a new world. This new world is considerably more volatile – and correlated – than the past. Global economic uncertainty has pushed annualised volatility of some developed country bonds to double-digit levels. But investors are also in

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Infrastructure in a post-COVID world

Infrastructure in a post-COVID world

🕔13:31, 24.Jun 2020

Talking Points  If working from home, social distancing and de-globalization become the new norm, the very definition of infrastructure investing could change. It may be foolish for us to try to imagine what the long-term future would look like, when

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Second wave or second wind?

Second wave or second wind?

🕔15:26, 12.Jun 2020

After a strong rally from the March lows, equity markets have been range-bound. Investors are weighing hopes of a recovery against fears of a “second wave” of virus cases, high valuations, and US-China trade tensions. In this letter, we offer

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ESG integration in quantitative investments

ESG integration in quantitative investments

🕔13:53, 3.Jun 2020

An ongoing debate continues around defining a common taxonomy, improving quality and availability of information and, importantly, reaching an understanding of the ways in which ESG integration impacts risk and returns. The view that ESG issues are merely non-financial risks

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Going green

Going green

🕔14:22, 29.May 2020

Real estate and sustainability in APAC With both events likely to witness widespread damage to public health, disruption to economic systems, and yet face solutions that can be guided by scientific evidence, parallels between the COVID-19 outbreak and the climate

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Resilience amidst market drawdowns

Resilience amidst market drawdowns

🕔13:00, 27.May 2020

Sustainable ETFs  During the Coronavirus period, the majority of ESG index portfolios delivered better relative returns compared to broad markets. It has emerged as a consistent pattern with ESG outperforming throughout market corrections in recent years. It underscores that companies

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Equities in a shut-down?

Equities in a shut-down?

🕔14:55, 6.May 2020

The lasting changes caused by the pandemic  The surge in equity market volatility during the current COVID-19 crisis is indicative of the overwhelming uncertainty and fear investors are feeling. This environment creates tremendous opportunities, but diligence and adherence to a

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Looking past the peak

Looking past the peak

🕔17:15, 24.Apr 2020

Just a month ago, we didn’t know whether western democracies’ unprecedented lockdowns would be sufficient to slow the spread of the coronavirus. Now, markets have risen sharply as investors have dared to look beyond the peak of the pandemic. Given

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Looking past the peak

Looking past the peak

🕔11:04, 24.Apr 2020

We revisit our scenario analysis and consider the next three phases of the coronavirus crisis Just a month ago, we didn’t know whether western democracies’ unprecedented lockdowns would be sufficient to slow the spread of the coronavirus. Now, markets have

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Fallen angels – the impact on Fixed Income markets

Fallen angels – the impact on Fixed Income markets

🕔09:59, 24.Apr 2020

The unprecedented measures taken by governments across the world aimed at slowing the spread of COVID-19 has significantly impacted economic activity. Prior to the emergence of this pandemic, much had been publicized about the re-leveraging and general deterioration in quality

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We are in uncharted territory

We are in uncharted territory

🕔11:00, 20.Apr 2020

Research Blast – COVID-19 European Office Markets Series, edition 1 Within a matter of weeks, COVID-19 has caused an unprecedented level of disruption to all asset classes. Office real estate markets are by no means immune to this, but due to

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COVID-19 market scenarios

COVID-19 market scenarios

🕔11:48, 16.Apr 2020

We examine how we see the interplay of health, monetary, and fiscal policy impacting markets  World leaders have made unprecedented decisions around the costs and benefits of temporarily restricting economic activity to limit the spread of an infectious disease. The

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Navigating the storm

Navigating the storm

🕔09:00, 8.Apr 2020

Macro Quarterly Macroeconomic themes and tactical asset allocation opportunities The spread of the coronavirus outside of China, oil price collapse and sharp tightening of financial conditions have put the global economy on the brink of recession. Whether or not the

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COVID-19 market scenarios

COVID-19 market scenarios

🕔13:13, 7.Apr 2020

UBS House View World leaders have made unprecedented decisions around the costs and benefits of temporarily restricting economic activity to limit the spread of an infectious disease. The social distancing measures now in place across much of the world—ranging from

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Choices under uncertainty

Choices under uncertainty

🕔12:51, 26.Feb 2020

UBS House View, Monthly Letter Impeachment, Brexit, airstrikes, an epidemic, and yet the S&P 500 is at new highs. This is already a year for the history books, and we are just getting started. We began the year overweight in equities,

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The billionaire effect

The billionaire effect

🕔17:09, 24.Feb 2020

Billionaires Insight 2019 The past 30 to 40 years stand out as a time of exceptional innovation in business. The pace of economic change has been faster than at any other time in history. A relatively small number of entrepreneurs

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Why middle-market infrastructure has a place in every investor’s portfolio

Why middle-market infrastructure has a place in every investor’s portfolio

🕔08:50, 5.Feb 2020

Why middle-market infrastructure has a place in every investor’s portfolio Can you define what middle market means within private infrastructure? First of all, the phrase “middle market” is a bit opaque in our industry. In my mind, it involves equity

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UBS House View

UBS House View

🕔17:04, 3.Feb 2020

Asset allocation Some back and forth between China and the US regarding a potential Phase 1 trade deal has kept investors busy over the past month and caused some market volatility. As the December 15 deadline approaches and the outcome

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New year, new views.

New year, new views.

🕔14:27, 29.Jan 2020

Macro view Economic growth provides a sound backdrop for positive real estate demand but is no longer accelerating. Low interest rates indicate that spreads remain attractive relative to recent years. Economy Before considering the economic forecast for 2020, recalling the

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A new world order

A new world order

🕔13:02, 29.Jan 2020

China’s place in the world The world economy now revolves around China. And that’s something we will all have to get used to. But it might not be such a challenging transition; for some years now, China has contributed the

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A roadmap to navigate political tensions

A roadmap to navigate political tensions

🕔13:00, 20.Jan 2020

Key Messages 1. Lessons from the US-Iran conflict. Last week, Iran executed its announced retaliation, firing missiles against US military bases in Iraq. Oil prices jumped 5% and S&P 500 futures pointed to a 1.7% lower start to the day

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Investing in 2020

Investing in 2020

🕔16:58, 13.Jan 2020

A new year and a new decade approach, yet at first glance the major challenges to investors look set to remain unerringly familiar. A crystal ball for predicting the course of 2020 would be top of the wish list, but

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Genetic therapies: coming of age

Genetic therapies: coming of age

🕔09:41, 13.Dec 2019

US stocks fell in the early part of last week after US President Donald Trump said he has no deadline for reaching a trade deal with China, but later recovered on more optimistic comments and strong US jobs data. With

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2020 outlook: Expecting the unexpected

2020 outlook: Expecting the unexpected

🕔17:55, 9.Dec 2019

Panorama Shock tactics A new year and a new decade approach, yet at first glance the major challenges to investors look set to remain unerringly familiar. A crystal ball for predicting the course of 2020 would be top of the

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UBS House View

UBS House View

🕔08:08, 3.Dec 2019

Global Outlook Asset allocation While economic data suggest that the weak global growth backdrop will persist into 2020, investor sentiment has turned more constructive, supporting rising stock markets and bond yields. We remain skeptical on the prospect of a meaningful

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SDGs: Challenge and opportunity

SDGs: Challenge and opportunity

🕔10:01, 18.Nov 2019

SDGs: Challenge and opportunity by Global Chief Investment Officer Mark Haefele With markets focused on the back-and-forth in US-China trade negotiations it's easy to forget that, behind the headlines, there are other longer-term challenges that we face as a society.

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Global Tactical Asset Allocation

Global Tactical Asset Allocation

🕔18:49, 11.Nov 2019

UBS House View Monthly Base October 2019 While we don't expect the US economy to fall into recession, we think near-term risks, in particular to equity markets, are elevated. Despite recent tentative signs of an improvement in Sino-US trade talks, global

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UBS House View – Global Tactical Asset Allocation

UBS House View – Global Tactical Asset Allocation

🕔09:05, 6.Nov 2019

Improved prospects of a partial agreement in the US-China trade conflict, as well as significant progress in the Brexit process, have lifted investor sentiment and reduced risk to some degree. On the other hand, existing trade tariffs have already damaged

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Mid-cycle slowdown…or something worse?

Mid-cycle slowdown…or something worse?

🕔09:48, 21.Oct 2019

Weak economic data releases last week, including a decade-low US ISM manufacturing index print of 47.8 and a surprisingly large fall in the nonmanufacturing index (from 56.4 to 52.6), drove a mid-week decline of 3% in the S&P 500 and

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Fixed Income views Don’t worry, be flexible

Fixed Income views Don’t worry, be flexible

🕔10:46, 15.Oct 2019

Central banks provided the motive force that drove the good returns in developed market equities and bonds since the Great Financial Crisis. Policies that were intended to push against the risks of deflation brought us record low bond yields, negative

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The transformative power of capital

The transformative power of capital

🕔13:11, 11.Oct 2019

Asset managers can lead in equity impact investing Assets in impact investing strategies more than doubled from 2018 to 2019, to USD 502 bn1 , targeting solutions for challenges including global poverty, water scarcity and climate change. We believe that

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Helicopters wanted

Helicopters wanted

🕔17:03, 3.Oct 2019

In making Apocalypse Now, director Francis Ford Coppola learned that if you want to get something done you need government helicopters, famously locating film production in the Philippines when the country’s then-president agreed to provide him with military equipment. The

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Asset Allocation SEPTEMBER

Asset Allocation SEPTEMBER

🕔18:07, 1.Oct 2019

Asset Allocation SEPTEMBER

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Family offices anticipate market disruption

Family offices anticipate market disruption

🕔10:33, 1.Oct 2019

Global Family Office Report 2019: the world’s leading family office research study offers insight into performance, investments and structural issues Key findings: Average investment returns stood at 5.4 percent for 12-month period Over half of family offices anticipate a market

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Rate cuts further erode the appeal of cash

Rate cuts further erode the appeal of cash

🕔08:47, 30.Sep 2019

On 18 September the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25bps. The rate cut was already priced in by markets. But the FOMC lacks consensus on the path ahead for monetary policy. Less than half of the FOMC participants see

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Fixed Income views Don’t worry, be flexible

Fixed Income views Don’t worry, be flexible

🕔12:51, 27.Sep 2019

Central banks provided the motive force that drove the good returns in developed market equities and bonds since the Great Financial Crisis. Policies that were intended to push against the risks of deflation brought us record low bond yields, negative

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Is the noise becoming signal?

Is the noise becoming signal?

🕔10:59, 25.Sep 2019

Macroeconomic themes and tactical asset allocation opportunities In Investment Solutions, we take a theme-based approach to our multi-asset portfolios. We set out core views or hypotheses about the global economy and express these via sets of cross-asset trade ideas. Our

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Is a US recession around the corner?

Is a US recession around the corner?

🕔10:05, 19.Sep 2019

Recession worries intensified last week, with forecasters downgrading expectations for growth, earnings, and the outlook for US Treasury yields. We now expect US economic growth to slow to 1.3% next year, down from 2.3% this year, with the trade conflict

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China markets The outlook for China equities and fixed income

China markets The outlook for China equities and fixed income

🕔18:41, 9.Sep 2019

How will China's stock and fixed income markets & indexes perform in H2 2019 and 2020 as the global economy slows? Our three China experts give their key views to investors and look ahead to investing trends for the next

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Finding opportunities as growth slows – Five-year capital market expectations

Finding opportunities as growth slows – Five-year capital market expectations

🕔16:02, 9.Sep 2019

UBS Asset Management’s Investment Solutions team conducts ongoing macroeconomic research to develop our Baseline five- and 10-year return expectations. Drawing on the breadth and depth of expertise provided by more than 100 professionals and an over-36-year asset management track record,

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How to play defense today

How to play defense today

🕔11:42, 9.Sep 2019

The US president has remained mercurial on the issue of trade. Having said at the G7 summit that he regretted not being harder on China, President Trump switched towards optimism, saying China wanted "to make a deal very badly." More

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Financial Market Outlook – short term (updated 26 August 2019)

Financial Market Outlook – short term (updated 26 August 2019)

🕔16:08, 3.Sep 2019

Risks to the global economy and markets have increased following a renewed escalation in US-China trade tensions. While we still don't expect the US economy to fall into recession, we think near-term risks, in particular to equity markets, have risen

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Another step in the trade war escalation

Another step in the trade war escalation

🕔13:25, 3.Sep 2019

Another escalation in the US-China trade war led the S&P 500 to fall 2.6% today. Global equities dropped 2.1%, and yields on all US Treasury maturities fell at least 8 basis points. News broke early in the day that China

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