Albeit painful, bear markets can drive durable changes that can reward patient investors. Three shifts could create opportunities for growth investors: cyclicality in big tech, higher base inflation and interest rates, and deglobalization. Against this backdrop, the setups in select
Over long periods of time there are two different types of bear markets. There are those that are associated with a recession and those that are not. It is only occasionally that a bear market is associated with a recession.
Applied philosophy Are global equities in a recovery or still in the midst of a downturn? We analysed how valuations and earnings progressed through previous market cycles to get closer to an answer. While our findings provide some clues to
After falling 23.6%, the S&P 500 has bounced 13%. Does that mean the bear market is over? History, suggests not, especially given that the Fed may now tighten even more aggressively, which I think raises the risk of recession. Viewed
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Heading into the year, we were bearish and guessed the Fed Put sat between 3,800-4,000. PostUkraine, the strike price is lower. As we began preparing for the 2022 bear market last August, today, we introduce a 10-factor watchlist
The S&P 500 Index fell into bear market territory on Friday 20 May – defined as a 20% from its recent high – the first time since March 2020, when markets sold off over fears around the Covid-19 pandemic. But
What bear markets and bull rebounds can teach us about how the stock market works, and how we may navigate current and future market contractions
House views The global spread of COVID-19 and containment policies deployed to contain its spread have created an economic “sudden stop”. A sharp recession now seems inevitable, and there are many uncertainties about what follows. Market pricing discounts a 2008-like
On the Markets In the past month, we've experienced a full bear market, down 20%, and a full bull market, up 20%. Of course, this extreme volatility follows a period of extreme calm, during which we observed some of the
A guide to investment and trading features The Cboe Volatility Index® (VIX® Index) measures the market’s expectation of future volatility conveyed by S&P 500 Index option prices. The VIX is recognized as a premier gauge of expected US equity market
Portfolio Insights Following the shortest bear market in history (from February 19 to March 23), equities have staged a massive rally. This has left investors wondering whether markets have bottomed or will instead revisit their March lows. To gain confidence
No investment principle is more widely understood and frequently ignored than ‘buy low, sell high’. While we would not hesitate to buy at discounted prices in other aspects of life, investing in assets with poor recent returns just feels wrong.
During periods of volatility in the stock market, you may have doubts about your long-term investment strategy. Here are five tips to help you avoid common pitfalls and stay on track toward achieving your financial goals
It is always darkest before the down It has been an extraordinary four weeks in markets worldwide. In the past 20 trading sessions, the S&P 500 has seen more 3%+ daily swings than it had in the previous 5 years.
Key Insights Many “risky assets” ended 2019 near or above all-time highs, but we continue to caution investors not to become complacent. While the prospect of modest global economic growth in 2020 exists, we see risks in the credit cycle
Depending on the market index, this has been either the fastest or second fastest bear market in U.S. history. While the timing is uncertain, the impending decline in economic growth and corporate earnings will be followed by a rebound —
Beyond Bulls & Bears
The significance of asset class diversification for investors As we experience the longest bull market in stock market history, considerations of what may come next pervade investor's consciousness.1 Thoughts of previous bear markets — the circumstances behind their evolution and
Investment talks Market sell-off: a late cycle feature where uncertainty due to tariffs, rates and oil prices are sending some red signals. Autumn comes with a change of mood in the market triggered by rising US Treasury yields, amid a
Market Bulletin Falling stock prices and higher market volatility this week have rattled some investors. While we believe that this selloff off is probably not the start of a much larger downturn, it does serve as a reminder that we
In brief The next bear market will likely be associated with a U.S. recession. While it is impossible to pinpoint exactly when this might occur, the risk of recession is growing as the expansion ages. Most likely, the next recession
Record number of all-time highs fuels fears of a correction Predictions using valuation and volatility don’t work Robeco remains overweight stocks, with a stop-loss in place
Bear market coming up?
👤Robeco 🕔12:00, 9.Jan 2018Market Comment January 2018 Yield curve: myths, fears and reality 2017 – what a year it was. It was the year that the much-feared earnings recession was successfully beaten, the first year that the IMF had to raise its growth
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