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A sudden improvement on Brexit and US-China trade talks?

A sudden improvement on Brexit and US-China trade talks?

🕔12:54, 17.okt 2019

Positive developments can be reported about Brexit and the US-China conflict, two issues that have caused a lot of uncertainty during the last 12 months. In turn this uncertainty has caused a significant amount of damage to the global economy.

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Negotiations on trade and Brexit continue, but has progress been made

Negotiations on trade and Brexit continue, but has progress been made

🕔14:03, 15.okt 2019

Last week’s surprise Brexit development was that a private meeting between UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the Irish Taoiseach Leo Varadkar resulted in what was described as a “pathway to a deal” . After weeks of negative reporting, the

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Brexit: extension of the deadline is likely, but the final outcome remains uncertain

Brexit: extension of the deadline is likely, but the final outcome remains uncertain

🕔11:08, 14.okt 2019

Recent developments and next steps: Early this month, the UK Parliament passed a motion instructing the Prime Minister (PM) Boris Johnson to request an extension of the Brexit deadline by 19 October, and rejected the PM’s request for elections before

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Parliament has read OpinioPro Brexit monitor and took action!

Parliament has read OpinioPro Brexit monitor and took action!

🕔09:45, 8.okt 2019

Parliament must have read our September Brexit Monitor, since we were seeing search for ‘Brexit deal’ and ‘Brexit parliament’ decreasing to insignificant, while search for No Deal was rising. Then they took action and blocked a No Deal Brexit. Internet

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Global Asset Allocation: The View From Emea

Global Asset Allocation: The View From Emea

🕔18:41, 30.sep 2019

Shop Till the Economy Drops. Amid continued manufacturing weakness and a slowing economy, the U.S. consumer appears unfazed as spending (which accounts for more than two‑thirds of U.S. economic activity) grew at its fastest rate since 2014. The consumer has

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Why as an investor I’m looking through Brexit fears

Why as an investor I’m looking through Brexit fears

🕔08:30, 20.sep 2019

Following the twists and turns in Westminster of the past few weeks I expect many more market participants will simply place UK equities in the “too difficult” basket. Anecdotal stories of overseas investors selling their last UK stocks could start

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UK political upheaval: market implications

UK political upheaval: market implications

🕔15:31, 12.sep 2019

We identified geopolitical risk as the key market driver in the second half of 2019 in our midyear investment outlook. The UK is the latest example, where deep divisions over a potential Brexit have unsettled the political landscape, paving the

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UK reaction: UK government loses control of Brexit

UK reaction: UK government loses control of Brexit

🕔11:03, 10.sep 2019

Parliament appears to have assumed control for this next phase of the Brexit process. Having passed a key vote on Tuesday, Parliament yesterday voted to pass a bill to require an extension of Article 50, rather than a no deal

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Brexit, Deal of No Deal? No Deal steeds waarschijnlijker

Brexit, Deal of No Deal? No Deal steeds waarschijnlijker

🕔06:59, 5.sep 2019

Brexit is een belangrijk economisch “scheduled” event. Scheduled staat tussen aanhalingstekens want de datum wil nog wel eens vooruitgeschoven worden. Voorlopig staat de datum op 31 oktober. In samenwerking met Trendmark heeft OpinioPro een speciaal rapport gepubliceerd dat op basis

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OpinioPro Brexit Search Monitor

OpinioPro Brexit Search Monitor

🕔12:45, 4.sep 2019

Insights and conclusions from internet search for brexit OpinioPro Brexit Monitor.   Internet search for brexit and the 38 brexit monitor members is increasing again since june (up 62%). But perhaps not as much in absolute level as one would have

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Political crisis in the United Kingdom

Political crisis in the United Kingdom

🕔10:39, 2.sep 2019

After the political crisis in Italy was almost resolved this week (supporters of the Five Star movement still have to agree to the new coalition), the British government could come under pressure next week. The British Parliament will return from

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Forex News

Forex News

🕔16:38, 30.aug 2019

With the further escalation of the trade war between the US and China in August and a British government that has set its course for a hard Brexit, market concerns have generally increased. So far, the EURUSD has reacted relatively

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If a no-deal Brexit is likely, what could it mean for sterling?

If a no-deal Brexit is likely, what could it mean for sterling?

🕔11:03, 23.aug 2019

The leadership change in UK government has brought a change of Brexit direction. While the pound has adjusted to reflect an increased likelihood of a no-deal Brexit, volatility markets still discount a further extension of the deadline as their central

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Brexit scenarios

Brexit scenarios

🕔08:45, 13.aug 2019

The Brexit process drags on; a “no-deal” exit looks increasingly likely and UK financial markets are unlikely to welcome that. Nothing is certain, so we present three scenarios but fear the worst. In a sign of investor anxiety, sterling and

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Policy pivot confirmed; underpins risk assets

Policy pivot confirmed; underpins risk assets

🕔14:26, 7.aug 2019

Weekly Commentary Key points 1 We see the dovish pivot by global central banks supporting the economic expansion and risk assets, with rising protectionism the key risk.b 2 We see a wider range of Brexit outcomes—including no-deal, a snap election

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Brexit and ETF Migration Countdown to March 2021

Brexit and ETF Migration Countdown to March 2021

🕔12:50, 29.jul 2019

The value of ETFs issued globally was almost €5 trillion at the end of 2018—making them one of the greatest success stories in the investment world in recent decades. Although the US still dominates the ETF market, 15% of global

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Managing Inconsistencies What Prime Minister Johnson means for Brexit

Managing Inconsistencies What Prime Minister Johnson means for Brexit

🕔09:36, 26.jul 2019

Boris Johnson has become the new UK Prime Minister. Johnson has made a host of broad commitments, most to be implemented over the medium term and in conjunction with new Chancellor Sajid Javid. On Brexit, Johnson has made seemingly inconsistent

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Global Strategy Q3 2019

Global Strategy Q3 2019

🕔04:02, 3.jul 2019

Global Strategy​ We expect no quick solutions to the trade dispute and Brexit and volatility in financial markets should remain high due to uncertainty over the growth outlook. Central banks are becoming more cautious and are holding out the prospect

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Gauging geopolitics

Gauging geopolitics

🕔14:11, 25.jun 2019

Global Insights – June 2019 Geopolitical risks are on the rise, and the international environment is becoming increasingly complex. Recent years have seen the surprise outcome of the UK’s Brexit vote, the unexpected election of U.S. President Donald Trump, a

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Help! The English have lost their sense of humor!

Help! The English have lost their sense of humor!

🕔11:02, 17.jun 2019

Monitor Brexit with the ‘OpinioPro Brexit Search Index’ Brexit and OpinioPro Brexit Monitor. Internet search for ‘brexit’ made an incredible peak in 2016 and returned in the limelight around the deadline in 2019. Context level: The peak of 260.000 would

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Hard Brexit preparation

Hard Brexit preparation

🕔04:08, 1.jun 2019

Week Ahead The events of the previous week, which culminated on May 24 in the announcement of Theresa May's resignation, have changed the most likely outcome (>50%) of the Brexit negotiations decisively, from our point of view. We now expect

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What do shocking numbers tell us?

What do shocking numbers tell us?

🕔09:02, 27.mei 2019

Macro Weekly Germany’s Ifo plunges… While French business confidence improves Unexpected re-emergence of the trade conflict most unwelcome May to step down

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Markets still taking cover

Markets still taking cover

🕔04:04, 25.mei 2019

Week Ahead As the week draws to a close, events in the United Kingdom have turned upside down. At the end of last week, negotiations between the Conservatives (Tories) and the Labor Party over an EU exit procedure broke apart.

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Spring in Europe

Spring in Europe

🕔15:02, 1.mei 2019

Highlights European risk assets have underperformed amid disappointing global growth, political headwinds and a series of idiosyncratic factors. With global growth healing and political issues manageable, we believe that there is room for Europe to surprise to the upside in

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From Brexit to Hexit…

From Brexit to Hexit…

🕔15:02, 18.apr 2019

In Credit Core government bonds yields fell for much of the week only to revert higher on Friday owing to generally better global trade data from China indicating a recovery in exports to eurozone industrial production (-0.2% m/m versus -0.5%

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Zoek

Asset Allocation Consensus September

Twitter

The integration of #ESG criteria often has a greater impact for emerging countries. Find out why in an interview with our expert #Karine_Jesiolowski (via @allnews_ch).

Low interest rates drive housing market -> https://t.co/XjhuRim2P7 #Interest #mortgages via @ABNAMROeconomen

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