Contained supply versus inflation fears

Contained supply versus inflation fears

🕔12:47, 17.jan 2020

CEE Bond Market Report CEE could face limited issuance this year. The fundamentals are generally fine, except for Romania, where the rating outlook is negative. High inflation does not warrant too much spread narrowing in CEE, except for Croatia and

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Inflation climbing up

Inflation climbing up

🕔07:10, 15.jan 2020

CEE Market Insights  This week in CEE Throughout the week, we will keep seeing inflation rate figures across CEE countries. In Hungary and Romania, we expect the headline number to land at 4.0% y/y in December, marking a visible increase

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CEE Market Insights Yields drifting up at the year-end

CEE Market Insights Yields drifting up at the year-end

🕔10:03, 10.jan 2020

We wish all our readers Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year 2020. The next CEE Insights will be released on January 7. We now switch to holiday mood, as the macro release calendar will be pretty empty in the

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CEE Market Insights – Inflation on the rise

CEE Market Insights – Inflation on the rise

🕔11:05, 11.dec 2019

November’s inflation rate will be published in most of the CEE countries and we expect it to rise everywhere. In Poland, an increase to 2.6% y/y should be confirmed, on the back of dynamic growth of food prices. The same

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Domestic demand is a CEE strength

Domestic demand is a CEE strength

🕔08:50, 4.dec 2019

CEE Market Insights  Serbia, Slovakia and Romania are the last three countries in the CEE world to release the 3Q19 GDP growth figure and its structure this week. With a complete picture on growth drivers across CEE, we will be

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CEE to remain among growth leaders in EU

CEE to remain among growth leaders in EU

🕔11:01, 27.nov 2019

Throughout the year, CEE economies have been among the growth leaders in Europe. We expect them to remain so next year, despite external headwinds that are behind the slowdown. So far, strong domestic demand has been shielding the region from

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CEE Market Insights | Strength of CEE economies lies in domestic demand

CEE Market Insights | Strength of CEE economies lies in domestic demand

🕔11:59, 26.nov 2019

This week, we should get confirmation that the strength of CEE economies lies in domestic demand. Consumer confidence is strong, as the unemployment rate hit historically low levels and wages keep growing. Such a situation translates into robust private consumption

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CEE Market Insights GDP growth in 3Q to remain relatively strong.

CEE Market Insights GDP growth in 3Q to remain relatively strong.

🕔11:31, 12.nov 2019

This week is all about Thursday and flash GDP data releases for the third quarter in most CEE countries. Despite all the odds stemming from the worsening external environment and recent weakening of market sentiment, we expect the region to

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CEE Market Insights – CEE central banks to remain on hold

CEE Market Insights – CEE central banks to remain on hold

🕔11:06, 5.nov 2019

It is going to be quite an eventful week, with four central bank decisions at the center of attention. After interest rate cut in the US and the Fed announcing a pause, we expect CEE central banks to remain on

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CEE spreads will remain compressed

CEE spreads will remain compressed

🕔15:08, 17.okt 2019

Looking at the issuance performance so far this year, CEE countries have done a very good job. Several countries have already covered this year’s issuance plan and many others have also reached a high number. Slovakia seems to be lagging

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CEE Market Insights

CEE Market Insights

🕔09:27, 24.sep 2019

Currencies fell last week in the region, but the stronger the yield declines of bond markets, the more robust the weakening in the currency that took place. We saw that regional markets reacted not much to international market developments (Saudi

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Central and Eastern Europe defying gravity?

Central and Eastern Europe defying gravity?

🕔16:59, 19.sep 2019

Recently-published flash estimates of GDP growth in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) depict a rather supportive picture of economic activity in the second quarter (Q2) (Exhibit 1). Undoubtedly, the quarterly growth clip decelerated somewhat, but remained laudable with Poland up

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CEE Market Insights | Fixed Income | Central and Eastern Europe

CEE Market Insights | Fixed Income | Central and Eastern Europe

🕔11:33, 17.sep 2019

While markets are trying to digest what the ECB’s new measures may mean in the longer run, CEE will see first monthly indicators from the real economy from August, as Poland will release important figures that could provide important insight

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What’s up in CEE? 3Q19

What’s up in CEE? 3Q19

🕔10:30, 12.sep 2019

Strong domestic demand shields CEE from German slowdown – for now Slowdown is expected for CEE, but growth difference vs. Euro Area could remain substantial Volatility to stay elevated on CEE FXFI markets

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CEE Market Insights

CEE Market Insights

🕔12:42, 9.sep 2019

The US dollar’s strength did not do CEE currencies much good and while there were, in some cases, local factors behind the fall (especially in Hungary, where the HUF hit an all-time low), the decline in regional FX could mostly

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Credit Markets Weekly

Credit Markets Weekly

🕔17:15, 30.aug 2019

Which weapon will be drawn next? The trade dispute continues to dominate financial market activity. Which weapon will be drawn next? Will China also raise tariffs in retaliation after the recent escalation by the US, or perhaps even block exports

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CEE Market Insights Fixed Income and Foreign Exchange

CEE Market Insights Fixed Income and Foreign Exchange

🕔09:50, 13.aug 2019

The moment of truth could come this week, as 2Q19 GDP releases could indicate how much the German manufacturing slowdown plagued CEE growth. This could easily have implications for regional currencies and rates, too. Last week’s positive performance of the

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Corporate Credit Monitor CEE

Corporate Credit Monitor CEE

🕔12:01, 7.aug 2019

CESKE DRAHY Earnings Developments The year 2018 has seen accelerating growth for CD. The ongoing transformation of CD into a modern, efficient, competitive and customer-focused railway mobility Group is supported by large investments and a strong Czech economy. Group revenues

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CEE Market Insights

CEE Market Insights

🕔04:08, 5.jun 2019

CEE currencies became more attractive as the lack of room to ease rates domestically met with decreasing rate expectations on major markets. The Czech koruna seems to be the slight exception, as rate expectations are also easing there, given the

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Downsizing of private pension pillar

Downsizing of private pension pillar

🕔04:05, 19.apr 2019

Given the demographic challenges, reliance on the PAYG system implies lower benefits for pensioners, a need to increase social contributions or retirement age in the future. As a decision is needed in a matter for decades rather than immediately, the

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What’s up in CEE?

What’s up in CEE?

🕔03:00, 15.mrt 2019

Fixed Income | CEE Domestic demand should soften the slowdown in GDP growth Not all CEE countries have managed to build sufficient fiscal space Czech and Hungarian central banks to tighten monetary conditions this year

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Further macro prudential measures in CEE

Further macro prudential measures in CEE

🕔03:02, 27.feb 2019

Accelerated credit growth in CEE should not cause any headaches. Current growth rates are well below the 20-30% pre-crisis credit growth dynamics. Debt to GDP ratios are also rather low. As interest rates remain low, central banks carried out macro

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CEE Market Insights

CEE Market Insights

🕔03:06, 5.feb 2019

Market outlook  The EURRON was finally put under control last week. It was clearly benefiting from the more dovish FED together with other regional currencies, but domestic factors might have also been at play, including recent statements by the finance

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Challenges for CEE with new decade just ahead

Challenges for CEE with new decade just ahead

🕔02:06, 16.jan 2019

At the beginning of the new decade, CEE countries are likely to face a number of challenges as far as economic growth and convergence are concerned. Although the current EU funding programming period ensures the CEE region a solid flow

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1Q19 CEE bond market report

1Q19 CEE bond market report

🕔02:02, 16.jan 2019

Government bond yields should drift higher in 2019 Only Czech National Bank is to increase rates this year We expect sovereign rating upgrades in several CEE countries

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Global 5G deployment could trigger the emergence of a whole range of new services, say UBP’s experts. Read this piece to find out why and how.

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#Invesco: "The global economy is rapidly decelerating, and we expect all major regions and countries around the world to grow below trend over the next few quarters, and at least through the first half of 2020." Read more on #OpinioPro: http://bit.ly/38upfCp

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