De omikronvariant van het coronavirus heeft misschien tot meer beperkingen geleid, maar het economische herstel blijft niettemin veerkrachtig. De aandelen lijken dan ook niet kwetsbaar voor een correctie. Asset-allocatie: De omikronvariant zal het herstel waarschijnlijk niet doen ontsporen Een nieuw
China’s roar has changed entering the year of the tiger. China will now emphasize quality over speed, not GDP growth at all costs. In the internet sector, blindly adding new users will take a backseat to innovation and quality of
These superheroes all contribute in their own way to a rise in prices, wages, economic growth and asset prices. See inside cover for details. In this year’s Outlook, we look at the consequences of reflation for equity markets that are
KEY TAKEAWAYS The Chinese economy is facing headwinds leading into 2022, including: 1) Ongoing regulatory crackdown; 2) Exposure to COVID outbreaks; 3) A slump in the housing sector; and 4) Power shortages over the winter months. As a result and
Chi Time China’s exchange rate policy favours a stable renminbi. However, the positive factors that have boosted the Chinese currency are turning negative, leading to some views that the renminbi should weaken in 2022. They include an expected decline in
Investment Outlook 2022 After the re-opening surge in 2021, growth in 2022 will moderate and central banks and governments will begin to remove stimulus. But we are far from worried about an abrupt stop in either economic activity or policymaker
Beleggingsvooruitzichten 2022 Na de heropeningsgolf in 2021 zal de groei in 2022 vertragen en zullen centrale banken en regeringen een begin maken met het afbouwen van hun stimuleringsmaatregelen. Wij maken ons echter allerminst zorgen over een abrupte stopzetting van de
Several colleagues and I made our first journey back to China in more than 15 months as we start to get back to on-the-ground research. Our trip in May took us to 16 cities and included close to 90 meetings
Shifting sustainable gears… The turn of the year is always a good time to look forward and consider what the enduring trends are –and what tail events might derail our baseline thinking. 2021 serves as an important reminder that sticking
CROSS ASSET Investment Strategy The “real” puzzle Central banks are sticking to their temporary inflation narrative, even though the latest CPI readings support the “sticky” narrative. We think, investors should look for ‘real’ returns in credit offering higher yields, together
China Unexplored Portfolio Specialist, Rob Secker, looks at ways in which active investors can exploit market inefficiencies and construct a Chinese equity portfolio. We look at how investors can exploit market inefficiencies and extract value from China’s investment universe. China is
Chi Time As more countries opt for ‘living with Covid’, China is sticking with a ‘zero Covid’ policy (ZCP) that has brought significant benefits, although not without costs. China may soon be approaching a turning point where the costs outweigh
Hotter-than-expected inflation data took its toll on equity indexes within developed markets last week. Notably, the S&P 500 fell -0.3%, ending its streak of five weekly consecutive gains. The DJIA and tech-heavy NASDAQ fell -0.6% and -0.7%, respectively. The MSCI
Investors in China should prepare for a rough patch. The economy is slowing, and regulations are tightening in several industries. The economic cycle turned in June/July, based on the official Purchasing Managers Index readings and other indicators that we track.
Executive summary Asia has already roiled the world with three waves of economic transformation. A fourth is now building, drawing on past strengths and adding new digital-age capabilities. By 2040 the world could look very different, with Asia representing half
ICMA Quarterly Report It is a great pleasure to be able to communicate with you all for the first time and share some initial thoughts just one month into my appointment as the new CEO of ICMA. The last 18
Qin fiddles with her bleached hair as Pop Mart's Robo Shop vending machine produces her selection. Unwrapping its contents, the 21-year-old feels a spark of excitement as she spies the cartoon-like rabbit figure. Pop Mart has deliberately produced the model
After a year of tepid primary issuance – held back by the global pandemic – activity in the Chinese green bond market came roaring back in 2021. The supply of new bonds jumped to a record of $60.7bn year-to-date, crowning
The rollout of new regulations for internet firms in China has led to investor uncertainty and market volatility. New regulations cover a wide range of issues from monopolistic practices to financial risk from online lenders, data security, and consumer protection.
We are marginally more cautious as the Chinese economy becomes unsettled and supply-chain issues persist, but retain our belief that we are in the middle of the cycle, not approaching the end. After cruising along for months, the S&P 500
Many will cite the suspension of the Ant Group IPO in November, 2020 as kicking off the crackdown on China’s ‘Big Tech’ companies and presaging the July, 2021 crackdowns across a wider range of industries. However, the regulatory foundations for
Market weekly: Investors with China exposure, or an appetite for it, face a raft of issues ranging from slower growth, which may or may not be condoned by Beijing, to toughened and expanded clampdowns on sectors. Add in persistent Sino-US
Diverging macroeconomic policies in China and the US have created market volatility recently amid concerns that China’s growth slowdown could spill over into Asia and a less generous US central bank could mean tighter US dollar liquidity for …
As the world’s largest emerging market, China is always on our radar. However, the recent news of property developer China Evergrande Group has prompted fear in the markets over contagion. Here’s what we’re saying about the current situation.
China bans Bitcoin, embraces dlt with ESG implications We don't have to sacrifice a strong economy for a healthy environment. Dennis Weaver SUMMARY China’s renewed crackdown on bitcoin aims at tackling the country’s problems of power shortages, climate control, creeping
Financial market observers have drawn parallels between the recent credit events in China[1] and past crises such as the 2008 US subprime crisis triggered by the collapse of US investment bank Lehman Brothers and the 1998 collapse of hedge fund
China Internet Recent Highlights The rollout of new regulations for internet firms in China has led to investor uncertainty and market volatility. New regulations cover a wide range of issues from monopolistic practices to financial risk from online lenders, data
China is a double-edged sword: it is the world-leading renewables developer, installing more than double the gigawatt (GW) capacity of its nearest competitor over the past decade both in terms of wind and solar power (Figure 1), but at the
What should investors make of the flurry of regulatory tightening that China has implemented since the second half of 2020? How do the measures fit into China’s central strategy as it seeks to strengthen its domestic sector and embarks on
Beijing’s policy actions in the property sector seem to be containing any potential contagion effect. KEY INSIGHTS We are confident that there will be a well‑managed deflation of the debt balloon in the real estate sector and that Evergrande’s troubles
We are marginally more cautious as the Chinese economy becomes unsettled and supply-chain issues persist, but retain our belief that we are in the middle of the cycle, not approaching the end. After cruising along for months, the S&P 500
Global Asset Allocation: The View From Europe After a crackdown on internet technology and educational companies last month, risks continue to emerge out of China, including the potential fallout in its massive real estate sector following missed debt payments by
Executive Summary Improved access for foreign investors to China’s large bond market has started a conversation around the place of Chinese bonds within a global portfolio. Investors are now evaluating whether to make an allocation and, if they do, what
Sinds mei 2021 treedt China strenger op tegen het verhandelen en mijnen van cryptocurrency’s. China treedt hard op tegen o.a. bitcoin in een poging om problemen als stroomtekorten, klimaatschokken, financiële ontwrichting en de sluipende erosie van zijn soevereiniteit op het
After a good start, September saw equity markets take a hit, particularly in emerging Asia. Alongside ongoing investor concerns about the pandemic and weakening global growth momentum, markets were rocked by news of debt payment problems at Chinese property developer
China is cracking down on bitcoin in a bid to overcome problems such as power shortages, climate control, financial disruption and the creeping erosion of its monetary policy sovereignty. At the same time, Beijing is embracing distributed ledger technology (DLT)
CIO Views Markets responded to mixed data from the US and China and to the potential tapering from central banks. We are also seeing inflation (energy and food) and a deceleration in China. As a result, while staying neutral on
Nu het sterke economische herstel van China na de pandemie in gevaar komt door het debacle van Evergrande, moeten beleggers hun verdediging versterken. Er wordt steeds meer een strakker monetair beleid verwacht. De centrale banken blijven voorbereidingen treffen om de
China’s regulatory actions, driven by Beijing’s financial, security, and social objectives, have injected volatility into the credit market over the past year. Key themes such as the mantra of housing for living in, not speculation; reducing the education cost burden
The digital renminbi is unlikely challenge the US dollar’s global dominance any time soon because of the Chinese currency’s structural limitations. However, it may prompt changes in China’s technology and financial sectors that could indirectly enhance the international competitiveness of
‘De komst van de euro en de bitcoin, de negatieve spaarrente, werkende armen, de spanningen met China, de crisis sinds 2007 en nog veel meer, blijken hun oorsprong te vinden in 1971 …’. Aldus Edin Mujagić, in zijn boek Keerpunt
U.S. Treasury yields closed higher last week, led by longer maturities. After starting the week lower due to Chinese market fears, rates jumped sharply on Thursday to finish the week about eight basis points …
The dominant theme in emerging markets over the last few weeks has been Chinese corporate bonds, particularly high-yield issuers, which have cheapened markedly in recent months as the Chinese government tightened policies, particularly in the … Access the content here:
In July, China’s equity market suffered one of its worst monthly declines in a decade amid escalating regulatory pressures. The steep fall has raised concerns about the risks and outlook for investing in Chinese equities. The latest trigger event was
Met de snel wijzigende regelgeving moeten beleggers in Chinese aandelen een actieve beleggingsaanpak hanteren. Beleggers worden er regelmatig aan herinnerd hoe uniek China is. Meestal gaat het om positieve verrassingen, zoals de indrukwekkende opleving van de Chinese economie na …
Equities have remained buoyant over the past weeks despite some challenges (China regulation, Afghanistan crisis), primarily due to the exceptional earnings seasons in the US and Europe. Looking ahead, we identify three main themes: the spread of the Delta Covid
China, Japan, technology, and value have potential to shape global markets in 2021 and beyond. T. Rowe Price Insights on International Equities: The rapid rise of China to the world’s second‑largest economy is widely observed. Yet, investors appear to underappreciate China’s
To understand current developments in China, it’s important to see how the country is now emphasising not just economic power, but the “soft” power of persuasion and influence. The key for investors is to learn how and where these strategic
Deng Xiaoping is often considered the architect of modern China, having advocated a pragmatic approach to economic development and embraced the free-market system of western economies. However, many of the principles he endorsed have seemingly been turned on their …
Market weekly: Emerging market equities offer investors a wide range of diversification opportunities across economies with a solid post-pandemic growth profile that include, but also stretch beyond, China and the wider Asian region. Quang Nguyen, head of global emerging market equities,
