In the "Monthly Market Review" for August 2023, market dynamics reflected heightened volatility due to various geopolitical and economic influences. Notably, China's property market distress and the corresponding weak macroeconomic indicators have caused significant tremors. As a direct consequence, the
In the "Monthly views – Equities Government bonds Commodities Credit", the state of various primary asset classes is examined. The main theme revolves around the present outlook on equities, government bonds, commodities, and credit. The text suggests a neutral stance
In a bustling week for global markets, events culminated in bolstered investor sentiment despite notable interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. The underpinning factor was a dovish disposition by policymakers coupled with encouraging economic
With the global economy managing to remain robust despite potential setbacks like the US banking crisis, there's a significant focus on the impact of artificial intelligence and the prospect of a "soft landing" economic scenario. However, tightening credit and restrictive
In "Oil: the price recovery is playing hard to get," Credit Agricole emphasizes that the production cuts by OPEC+ haven't pushed the expected upward surge on oil prices. Despite OPEC+'s repeated quota reductions and Saudi Arabia's decision to cut an
In the report titled "Commodities Outlook for July 2023" by BMO Capital Markets, the primary focus is on the BMO Capital Markets Commodity Price Index, a critical tool that encapsulates the price movements of 20 vital commodities in the context
Schroders, in their report "Commodities: A Structural Allocation for the Next Decade?" explores the heightened relevance of commodities in the changing economic landscape. Noting that commodities emerged as one of the few winners in 2022 amidst widespread asset value declines,
In the text, Alan Greenspan's opinion about gold's status as a primary global currency is highlighted. According to Greenspan, gold and silver stand out as they don't require a counterparty signature, which enhances their universality and independence from centralized institutions.
Commodities Outlook for April 2023 The main theme of the text, titled "Commodities Outlook for April 2023 – Technical Note," is the BMO Capital Markets Commodity Price Index. This index provides an overview of the price movement of 20 crucial
Our informative Research file delves into the current state of food inflation in Europe and what factors are contributing to the high prices. Despite cooling commodity prices, food, alcohol, and tobacco inflation remain high and are likely to remain so
The Relevance of Gold as a Strategic Asset Gold has always been considered a valuable asset, especially during periods of economic uncertainty. Its unique properties make it a strategic long-term investment and a key element of a well-diversified portfolio. As
Interest rate and inflation worries gain the upper hand as financial markets experience a breather after a strong start to the year. The reopening of the Chinese economy and easing inflation led to a relief rally, but higher-than-expected inflation data
Gold is a commodity priced in dollars. Like other commodities priced in dollars, the gold price is inversely correlated with the trade-weighted dollar (chart). The former has been rebounding since late last year as the dollar has been weakening on
The focus of the paper is on the environmental footprint of commodities and the incorporation of environmental metrics into transparent, rules-based commodity indices. In the first section, we identify and discuss the various challenges associated with investing in commodities from
Economic and Strategy Viewpoint Q1 2023 Upgrade to global growth as developed markets hold up and China reopens. After what has felt like a constant period of negative economic shocks and forecast downgrades as the world has lurched from one
A more diverse – and robust – market Over the past three decades the gold market has undergone extraordinary change. The structure and dynamics of demand and supply are vastly different from those of thirty years ago. Yet amid this
Market Trend Report Silver and gold are both widely recognized as savings and investment assets in India, a reflection (historically) of the low penetration of banking and other financial products. Even after the economic liberalization in 1991, as India’s economic
We believe the US dollar is expensive and starting to run on empty. Looking ahead to when the dollar weakens, we expect it to provide a ceteris paribus boost to commodities, emerging market assets and …
We are witnessing the birth of Bretton Woods III – a new world (monetary) order centered around commodity-based currencies in the East that will likely weaken the Eurodollar system and also contribute to inflationary forces in the West.
Grondstoffen maken inmiddels zo’n 20 jaar deel uit van robuuste institutionele beleggingsportefeuilles. In die tijd is er veel veranderd. Passieve invullingen maken binnen de beleggingscategorie plaats voor alternatieve invullingen die zich over de afgelopen jaren meermaals hebben bewezen. Zowel met
Steel is a crucial input for multiple key sectors such as construction, renewable energy production and transport and is a fundamental element of a successful economic transition to net zero. The 2015 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)
The recent surge in commodity prices has amplified the acceleration in inflation that we have been seeing globally, arising from disruption to global supply chains caused by the pandemic. Expectations just a few months ago were that the drivers …
A further rise in commodity prices is a key channel through which the conflict in Russia/Ukraine might affect the rest of EM. If the commodity price increase is sustained, some EM countries may suffer from a deterioration in the terms
According to the International Energy Agency, in order to meet the Paris Agreement’s goals (climate stabilization at “well below” 2 degrees Celsius global temperature rise), mineral requirements for clean energy technologies would need to quadruple by 2040. In addition, in
Weekly as of 23 September 2022 ETFs suffered net outflows of $3.2bn last week. Equity saw the heaviest net outflows of $1.9bn. Fixed Income and Commodity exposures endured …
CROSS ASSET Investment Strategy While a global recession may be avoided, we are likely to see growth deceleration and high inflation (higher cost of living) along with regional divergences. Thus, investors should consider moving to a more cautious stance on
Table of Contents The Gas Crisis is Coming to America The Commodity Bull Market has Just Begun Inflation and Magazine Covers Part III Market Commentary Out of Spare Capacity Catastrophic Agriculture Markets Russia and the Uranium Fuel Cycle The Time
Where is the Low in US Stocks? In a recent piece, I suggested the PE on the S&P 500 had another 1-2 points to lose, so two things now matter most. The E in PE is one factor and, on that score, the outlook is not
Summary Hard currency emerging market debt (EMD): – Valuations vary: 1. The spreads of investment grade (IG) sovereign and IG corporate indices are close to their historical medians. High yield (HY) corporate index spreads have inched slightly above the historical
Introduction: of Wolves and Bears “To ignore the warning signs and continue with the strategies of the past is to ignore the third, crucial cry of wolf.” Key Takeaways In our special analysis from the fall of 2020, "The Boy
“Gold and silver is money. Everything else is credit.” J.P. Morgan A few words from the real world I have just secured the mortgage on my new home. In the end, I opted for a loan which tracks 3-month EURIBOR
The battery metals bull market has peaked. Battery metals – cobalt, lithium and nickel – will power the green industrial revolution, facing a wave of demand comparable to that of copper and iron ore during China’s rapid growth in the
Overview It gives me great pleasure to introduce our ninth Secular Outlook. T he next five years will be an uphill struggle for investors. High public and corporate debt levels, labour shortages, potential tax hikes and increased levels of state
Soaring commodity prices have helped drive inflation to 8.5%, by far the highest level in the last few decades. With commodity prices up and inflation creating waves, is it too late for investors to capitalize on high commodity prices? Have
For the past couple of decades, China has been the driver of the health of the global metals industry as it accounts for roughly 50% of demand for a number of metals commodities. More recently, two other factors have driven
Economic and Strategy Viewpoint Q2 2022 – The peak in global inflation is probably not far away, but there are several reasons to think that it will fall relatively slowly. Lockdowns in China have caused bottlenecks in global supply chains
De Olympische Spelen van Parijs en nieuwe Franse regelgeving zetten de schijnwerpers op de voordelen van hout als bouwmateriaal. Op 21 november trapt Nederland samen met Senegal het Wereldkampioenschap voetbal af in Qatar. Er is veel kritiek op het event,
For most of the past year, gold has been ignoring the red-hot inflation that we have been living in. Our internal forecasts model indicates that gold, when factoring in a US inflation rate of 7.9% in February 2022, should be
Higher prices supported by a considerable percentage of global production coming from Russia and Ukraine have caught many commodities in the crosshairs of the Russian-Ukraine war. Concerns are growing over the ability to source these commodities from outside of Ukraine
Inflation was already running well above central banks’ targets as we entered the year. The war has put additional pressure on prices and supply chains and this could have repercussions not just on oil, but on other commodities as well.
One commodity negatively impacted by the war is neon gas, a key input used in the semiconductor process. Bulk neon gas is a byproduct of the steel industry (primarily the Russian steel industry), which is captured and filtered to achieve
In this Q&A, Kirstie Spence and Robert Burgess share their views on Russia, commodity prices and the impact of the conflict on emerging markets. How does the Russia-Ukraine conflict compare to previous periods of geopolitical instability? Kirstie: The current situation
What does this mean for our portfolios? Firstly, let’s take the situation in Ukraine following Russia’s invasion. Above all there is the human perspective, which is tragic and horrifying. But our clients also need us to examine it from an
Multi-asset market outlook: Commodity prices surged by 36.1% (In US dollars) in the first quarter on the back of widening geopolitical risk premiums and outright supply distortions as the world’s third-largest oil producer, Russia, faced sanctions. As both the level
A key channel of contagion to fixed income markets outside of Russia/Ukraine is likely to be through commodity prices. Russia is the largest exporter of natural gas and the second-largest exporter of crude oil and petroleum products. The US has
Fertilizer prices have risen rapidly following the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Russia is a material producer and exporter of fertilizer. The combination of sanctions, shipping firms avoiding the Black Sea region and Western banks, and traders shunning Russian supplies has
ETFs posted net inflows of $3.5bn last week.Both Equity and Fixed Income saw strong net inflows, taking in $2.2bn and $1.5bn, respectively. Commodity saw net outflows of $238mn while Money Market lost $194mn last week.
There’s no doubt the war in Ukraine has clouded the economic outlook. Commodity prices have soared following Russia’s invasion putting more pressure on households’ real disposable income, and dampening growth prospects. But there’s real momentum behind the UK recovery going
Investors’ Outlook: It’s hard to escape the news of a European country and its capital about to be flogged into submission by an aggressive superpower. Kyiv, a beautiful and lively city on a hill above the Dnipro river, has in
There are a lot of things going on this morning: the S&P 500 is down 1.7%, European stocks are down 4%-5%, Russian stocks are down 35%, the Ruble plummeted and then rebounded when the Russian central bank announced interventions, Brent/WTI
