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Tag "commodities"
Stabilization amid heightened uncertainties
Allocation views – Perspective from Franklin Templeton Multi Asset Solutions The new year started with a bout of volatility, driven by tensions in the Middle East. US forces assassinated General Qassem Soleimani, leader of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps, which grabbed headlines and
Supply begets demand
In Credit 13 JANUARY 2020 Macro / government bonds The rise (and subsequent fall) in tensions and combative rhetoric in the Middle East has been the key driver for ‘risk ‘free’ assets such as core government bonds. All in all, bonds
Energy Monitor: OPEC fails to convince
Last week, the OPEC has decided, together with her partners (combined OPEC+), to increase its production cut agreement. The existing agreement to lower crude production by 1.2 million barrels per day (mb/d) was raised with another 503 kb/d to a
Slowdown in the subcontinent
In Credit 2 DECEMBER 2019 The Thanksgiving holiday meant it was a shorter and quieter week in core bond markets with little discernible direction. It was also a light week for data releases or political developments. In the US, the Chicago
Commodities wait while equities rally
Commodity Monthly Monitor We are still waiting for a confirmation of a “phase one” deal between US and China, with the term only really being used by the US. In the absence of a deal, we could see US tariffs
Latin America’s socio-economic turmoil follows the region’s structural decline
Key points Latin America’s struggling. Since the end of the commodity-fuelled economic boom six years ago, economic stagnation has set in across the region. Subdued growth and generally high levels of inequality have translated into increased political volatility. These events
Softs Asia remains important growth market for cocoa, sugar and coffee
Asia remains an important growth market for cocoa, sugar and coffee and demand on this continent will grow the most in the coming years. China and India account for a particularly large share of the demand. Although demand is increasing
BRICS Economies & Commodities in the Spotlight
An Emerging Commodity Coalition Why this report? Regardless of size in global GDP, the BRICS are responsible for almost half of consumption and production of commodities. This makes BRICS an interesting topic to address. But the BRICS will face some
Commodity price trends remain mixed in the short term
Over the past month, the CRB index rose by almost 2%, which was mainly due to the price gains in oil and gas. Going forward, higher geopolitical tensions could push prices higher. Industrial metal prices remained soft, while precious metal
Consider This
On the Markets As we head toward the end of the third quarter, I can’t help but think it feels very similar to last year in many ways. The S&P 500 is trading right where it was a year ago, near its all-time
Late cycle investing
Quarterly Investment Strategy Fourth Quarter 2019 We continue to recommend being cautious though not necessarily bearish. The global expansion is very mature and at the same time, global growth has slowed significantly compared to last year. Additionally, an elevated number
Geopolitical clouds start to clear
In Short While some data misses continue, especially in manufacturing and in Europe, we believe that economic releases are pointing towards a stabilization in growth. Optimism is spreading that the worst may be behind us, thanks to improvements in the
Industrial Metals Insights Economic turmoil affects metal prices
Prices in metal markets are heavily influenced by cyclical trends Base Metals: weakening global economic growth is dampening prices Steel: output is high with weak manufacturing demand, particularly for cars Steel (raw materials): cheapest types of iron ore remain popular
What Warren Buffet got wrong about gold
Legendary investor Warren Buffett’s much-quoted dismissal of the investment merits of gold is simple: the metal is “neither of much use nor procreative.” But the Oracle of Omaha has got this wrong. We believe that contrary to Warren Buffett’s complaints
Abqaiq Attack A Turning Point In The Oil Market
The largest oil supply disruption on record The attacks on the Abqaiq and Khurais oil facilities in Saudi Arabia on 14 September triggered the largest oil market disruption on record. The attacks caused 5.7mbd of Saudi production to be shut
After the Saudi Attack, Is There Opportunity in Oil Futures?
The first reports from Saudi Arabia after drone attacks on its key Abqaiq and Khurais oil fields seemed grim. About half of Saudi production was lost, and the drones inflicted significant damage on two key types of equipment: spheroids and
Is oil’s relationship with energy stocks slipping?
Our chart of the month shows that the link between energy stocks and oil appears to be on the slide. What’s happening? Typically, the US energy sector trades in tandem with oil prices. The sector is largely made up of
Monthly Commodity Insights – …price forecasts for commodity markets
Weaker economic drivers limit upside commodity prices After a drop below 170 in August, the CRB-index recovered to 180. The main driver was higher WTI crude prices, which account for 23% of the index. We expect more range trading in
Goud wint aan terrein te midden van onzekerheid
Onzekerheid troef terwijl de goudprijs recordhoogtes bereikt De handelsspanningen zijn handelsoorlogen geworden en de handelsoorlogen dreigen valuta-oorlogen te worden. Op 26 augustus bereikte de goudprijs zijn hoogste punt in zes jaar: 1.555 USD per ounce. De markten reageerden hiermee op
Base Metals Uncertain
A diverse picture has emerged in base metals markets. The prices of aluminium, copper and zinc are now relatively low, while the price of nickel has risen to new heights. Clearly, the uncertain macroeconomic climate is having a depressing effect
Will silver continue to catch up?
Since the start of this year silver prices have risen 10% versus the US dollar and 13% versus the Chinese yuan and the Indian rupee. Despite the strong rise in silver prices, their overall performance has been rather disappointing. Gold
Is platinum the new gold?
From the start of this year to 5 July, platinum prices underperformed palladium prices and gold prices by a wide margin, with only silver price performing worse. Since July, silver prices have caught up with gold prices, outperforming all other
Energy Monitor 20 August 2019
Henry Hub Natgas prices under pressure based on high supply US Henry Hub Natgas prices have been under pressure since 2005. One reason is that in recent years US gas production has been on the rise. Not only the traditional
Oil prices revised lower
Lower economic growth leads to slower growth of global oil demand Due to the new escalation of the trade war between the US and China an agreement seems to be further away than ever. The import taxes have a negative
Uitgelicht
Global Asset Allocation Views Q1 2020 -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/01/jp-morgan/global-asset-allocation-views-q1-2020/ #AssetAllocation #credit #equites #Equities #FixedIncome via @JPMorganAM
Zo was het vorig jaar! #aftermovie #AssetAllocationAwards
https://vimeo.com/321963939
Economic resilience, Fed and elections to drive US markets in 2020 -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/01/amundi/economic-resilience-fed-and-elections-to-drive-us-markets-in-2020-2/ #consumption #election #monetarypolicy via @Amundi_ENG
The US federal reserve’s ‘whatever it takes’ moment has arrived -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/01/ubp/the-us-federal-reserves-whatever-it-takes-moment-has-arrived/ #AssetAllocation #centralbank #credit #ECB #Equities #FED #USA
