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Energy sector update

Energy sector update

🕔16:10, 27.Mar 2020

Key takeaways The energy sector has been hit harder by the COVID-19 outbreak than most areas, as a combination of supply and demand challenges has weighed on crude oil prices. US shale exploration and production (E&P) companies are more vulnerable

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Commodity-Market Turmoil

Commodity-Market Turmoil

🕔12:42, 26.Mar 2020

The gold price has been falling but a supportive rates environment and safe-haven demand brighten our outlook. The Saudi-Russian oil-price war broke out at the worst possible time. Any further negotiations are likely to involve a new kid on the

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Manufacturing is key for earnings and equities

Manufacturing is key for earnings and equities

🕔15:49, 20.Mar 2020

Our chief economist Steven Bell assesses the prospects for economies and markets in 2020 After such fantastic returns from equities and bonds in 2019 and a 10-year bull market, it makes sense to ask: should we take those chips off

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Market overreactions may turn into opportunities for long term investors

Market overreactions may turn into opportunities for long term investors

🕔08:05, 19.Mar 2020

Key messages At the time we are writing, major losses are occurring in risk assets, with equity indexes in Europe opening down today by around -6% to -8% and volatility spiking (VIX index above 58, a level not touched since

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Energy Monitor

Energy Monitor

🕔07:44, 13.Mar 2020

OPEC and partners failed to reach a new production cut agreement Russia refused to join the OPEC meeting on reaching an agreement for a bigger production cut. As a result, the current production cut agreement (officially -1.7 mb/d + 0.4

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Servicing beyond solutions

Servicing beyond solutions

🕔16:58, 2.Mar 2020

The fourth quarter ended on a high note with US equities marching to new record highs. It closed a year where the narrative mostly had been pessimistic. Uncertainties around trade tensions, Brexit, political drama and recession fears have dominated. The

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Rising risk aversion, falling bond yields

Rising risk aversion, falling bond yields

🕔15:01, 26.Feb 2020

In Credit –  24 FEBRUARY 2020 Macro / government bonds Core bond yields continue to drift lower in a ‘bull flattening’ amid fears about the spread of the COVIC-19 coronavirus outside of China and most recently in Italy and Korea.

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Viewpoint from Financial Partners

Viewpoint from Financial Partners

🕔16:43, 24.Feb 2020

Market commentary As the year began, so it ended, with yet another strong month for risk assets in December, capping one of the best years for markets since the financial crisis. Equities again led the charge, but leadership for once

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Coronavirus turmoil is overshadowing commodities

Coronavirus turmoil is overshadowing commodities

🕔16:06, 24.Feb 2020

Commodities and the energy space in particular have been challenged by the coronavirus outbreak. How the infection rate evolves over the upcoming days and weeks will be critical, especially to the oil-price outlook. Chinese copper importers have declared force majeure.

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Bulls infected by a virus

Bulls infected by a virus

🕔14:38, 18.Feb 2020

Multi Asset Monthly Economic Outlook The trade truce and the stabilization in manufacturing data have reduced recession risks, but it is still too early to give an all-clear signal. How much damage business confidence has already suffered remains a question,

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Questions amid a constructive backdrop

Questions amid a constructive backdrop

🕔06:45, 3.Feb 2020

IN SHORT Questions surround the coronavirus outbreak, with an impact expected on Q1 data, especially in China. Markets have proven mostly resilient so far, but short-term volatility is likely to remain elevated. We maintain a more constructive view for the

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CEE resilient to coronavirus

CEE resilient to coronavirus

🕔13:02, 31.Jan 2020

The impact for CEE economies stemming from China and World GDP slowdown (if any) should remain limited if the virus is contained within a short period of time. CEE, as a net commodity importer, could benefit from lower commodity prices.

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All quiet on the UK high street.

All quiet on the UK high street.

🕔15:07, 22.Jan 2020

In Credit

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Stabilization amid heightened uncertainties

Stabilization amid heightened uncertainties

🕔14:45, 21.Jan 2020

Allocation views – Perspective from Franklin Templeton Multi Asset Solutions The new year started with a bout of volatility, driven by tensions in the Middle East. US forces assassinated General Qassem Soleimani, leader of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps, which grabbed headlines and

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Supply begets demand

Supply begets demand

🕔14:59, 16.Jan 2020

In Credit 13 JANUARY 2020 Macro / government bonds The rise (and subsequent fall) in tensions and combative rhetoric in the Middle East has been the key driver for ‘risk ‘free’ assets such as core government bonds. All in all, bonds

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Energy Monitor: OPEC fails to convince

Energy Monitor: OPEC fails to convince

🕔12:01, 18.Dec 2019

Last week, the OPEC has decided, together with her partners (combined OPEC+), to increase its production cut agreement. The existing agreement to lower crude production by 1.2 million barrels per day (mb/d) was raised with another 503 kb/d to a

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Slowdown in the subcontinent

Slowdown in the subcontinent

🕔13:50, 7.Dec 2019

In Credit 2 DECEMBER 2019  The Thanksgiving holiday meant it was a shorter and quieter week in core bond markets with little discernible direction. It was also a light week for data releases or political developments. In the US, the Chicago

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Commodities wait while equities rally

Commodities wait while equities rally

🕔09:33, 5.Dec 2019

Commodity Monthly Monitor We are still waiting for a confirmation of a “phase one” deal between US and China, with the term only really being used by the US. In the absence of a deal, we could see US tariffs

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Latin America’s socio-economic turmoil follows the region’s structural decline

Latin America’s socio-economic turmoil follows the region’s structural decline

🕔09:59, 2.Dec 2019

Key points Latin America’s struggling. Since the end of the commodity-fuelled economic boom six years ago, economic stagnation has set in across the region. Subdued growth and generally high levels of inequality have translated into increased political volatility. These events

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Softs Asia remains important growth market for cocoa, sugar and coffee

Softs Asia remains important growth market for cocoa, sugar and coffee

🕔14:02, 20.Nov 2019

Asia remains an important growth market for cocoa, sugar and coffee and demand on this continent will grow the most in the coming years. China and India account for a particularly large share of the demand. Although demand is increasing

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BRICS Economies & Commodities in the Spotlight

BRICS Economies & Commodities in the Spotlight

🕔12:33, 18.Nov 2019

An Emerging Commodity Coalition Why this report? Regardless of size in global GDP, the BRICS are responsible for almost half of consumption and production of commodities. This makes BRICS an interesting topic to address. But the BRICS will face some

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Commodity price trends remain mixed in the short term

Commodity price trends remain mixed in the short term

🕔07:30, 15.Nov 2019

 Over the past month, the CRB index rose by almost 2%, which was mainly due to the price gains in oil and gas. Going forward, higher geopolitical tensions could push prices higher. Industrial metal prices remained soft, while precious metal

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Consider This

Consider This

🕔18:50, 11.Nov 2019

On the Markets As we head toward the end of the third quarter, I can’t help but think it feels very similar to last year in many ways. The S&P 500 is trading right where it was a year ago, near its all-time

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Late cycle investing

Late cycle investing

🕔18:22, 11.Nov 2019

Quarterly Investment Strategy Fourth Quarter 2019 We continue to recommend being cautious though not necessarily bearish. The global expansion is very mature and at the same time, global growth has slowed significantly compared to last year. Additionally, an elevated number

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Geopolitical clouds start to clear

Geopolitical clouds start to clear

🕔15:35, 6.Nov 2019

In Short While some data misses continue, especially in manufacturing and in Europe, we believe that economic releases are pointing towards a stabilization in growth. Optimism is spreading that the worst may be behind us, thanks to improvements in the

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Twitter

USD: No sustained trend visible -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/04/erste-group/usd-no-sustained-trend-visible/ #currency #fx #interestrates via @ErsteGroup

Tackling The ‘Unknown Unknowns’: How Active Managers Manage Unforeseen Risks -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/04/columbia-threadneedle/tackling-the-unknown-unknowns-how-active-managers-manage-unforeseen-risks/ #active #passive #COVID19 #fundmanager #ETFs #behavioural via @CTinvest_EMEA @CTInvest_US

Policy Tries To Keep Pace With The Pandemic -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/04/northern-trust/policy-tries-to-keep-pace-with-the-pandemic/ #CoronaCrisis #COVID19 #EmergingMarkets #debt via @NorthernTrust @NTInvest

Which financial assets are well positioned and which ones are at risk as policy-makers brace for major COVID-19-induced demand shocks? Find out more in this piece.

‘Whatever it takes’: Fiscal Edition -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/03/ubp/whatever-it-takes-fiscal-edition/ #CentralBanks #china #coronavirus #credit #crisis #ECB #fiscalpolicy #fomc #COVID19 via
@UBP_Group

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