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Duurzaamheid blijft belangrijk in opkomende obligatiemarkten

Duurzaamheid blijft belangrijk in opkomende obligatiemarkten

🕔12:06, 23.Sep 2022

In een verder ongunstige omgeving voor obligatieemittenten en -beleggers ziet de toekomst voor obligaties uit opkomende markten er zonder twijfel groen uit. Stijgende wereldwijde rentes en volatiele markten hebben zwaar gewogen op zowel het aanbod van als de vraag naar

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Waarschuwing over reële rendementen voor risicovollere vastrentende waarden

Waarschuwing over reële rendementen voor risicovollere vastrentende waarden

🕔14:23, 20.Sep 2022

De ontwikkeling van de reële obligatierendementen en de break-evenrentes op inflatiebeschermde obligaties geven aan hoe de rest van de vastrentende markt zal presteren. Dat is nu bijzonder relevant. Reële rendementen zijn altijd belangrijk. Maar obligatiebeleggers besteden best extra aandacht aan

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Credit Cracks: High Yield Fundamentals and Default Risk

Credit Cracks: High Yield Fundamentals and Default Risk

🕔09:47, 16.Sep 2022

Companies are facing a number of macro headwinds and ongoing margin pressures. While this environment can be challenging, we think many high yield companies are wellpositioned to navigate an economic slowdown given low leverage, healthy balance sheets and few near-term

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Duurzaamheid blijft belangrijk in opkomende obligatiemarkten

Duurzaamheid blijft belangrijk in opkomende obligatiemarkten

🕔08:40, 16.Sep 2022

In een verder ongunstige omgeving voor obligatieemittenten en -beleggers ziet de toekomst voor obligaties uit opkomende markten er zonder twijfel groen uit. Stijgende wereldwijde rentes en volatiele markten hebben zwaar gewogen op zowel het aanbod van als de vraag naar

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Future-Facing Commodities: Essential to the Energy Transition

Future-Facing Commodities: Essential to the Energy Transition

🕔16:54, 7.Sep 2022

According to the International Energy Agency, in order to meet the Paris Agreement’s goals (climate stabilization at “well below” 2 degrees Celsius global temperature rise), mineral requirements for clean energy technologies would need to quadruple by 2040. In addition, in

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Share the Credit An Introduction to a Huge, Established, But Untapped Debt Market

Share the Credit An Introduction to a Huge, Established, But Untapped Debt Market

🕔08:20, 15.Aug 2022

When describing credit markets, investors and investment managers often define the available universe as synonymous with the public bond markets (and, perhaps, middle market and other leveraged loans). Seemingly unnoticed by investors, however, is that the allocation and provision of

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Credit Factor Investing with Machine Learning techniques

Credit Factor Investing with Machine Learning techniques

🕔10:32, 9.Aug 2022

Abstract The most common models to assess asset returns are a linear combination of risk factors. We have employed tree-based machine learning algorithms to capture nonlinearities and detect interaction effects among risk factors in the EUR and USD credit space.

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The evergreen appeal of high yield bonds

The evergreen appeal of high yield bonds

🕔08:24, 8.Aug 2022

High yield bonds are frequently misunderstood, with an undeserved reputation for being high risk. We view them as a hybrid asset class, sitting between equity and traditional debt markets. In our view, high yield bonds exhibit compelling …

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From pain to gain

From pain to gain

🕔14:01, 27.Jul 2022

In our previous outlook, we encouraged investors to tune out “noise” and focus on “signal” — economic and asset class fundamentals evidenced in hard data. We continue to endorse this approach, but acknowledge that even the most diligent followers of

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Credit Factor Investing with Machine Learning techniques

Credit Factor Investing with Machine Learning techniques

🕔14:02, 20.Jul 2022

Explaining portfolio returns through Fama-French-Carhart models supposes linearity between returns and risk factors. It makes it possible to simply identify relationships as a linear combination of factors, while in reality, these relationships could be much more complex. In support of

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Look to credit opportunities amid bond market rout

Look to credit opportunities amid bond market rout

🕔08:00, 11.Jul 2022

It is no secret that 2022 has been challenging for fixed income investors. High inflation and the US Federal Reserve (Fed)’s initiation of interest rate hikes have weighed on markets. Nevertheless, the broad credit universe provides ample opportunities for investors

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Credit investing amid heightened market volatility: is now the time to invest in investment grade corporate bonds?

Credit investing amid heightened market volatility: is now the time to invest in investment grade corporate bonds?

🕔10:51, 6.Jul 2022

It has been a rocky start to the year for credit in 2022, with both year-to-date total and excess returns being starkly negative. What started as a duration-driven selloff has been exacerbated by macro headwinds including high inflation, the Russia-Ukraine

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An open letter to Mario Draghi

An open letter to Mario Draghi

🕔12:22, 5.Jul 2022

Dear Mr Draghi, After a busy couple of months leading a fractious Italian government through various crises, you must be looking forward to a well-deserved summer holiday. Before you and your team leave for the beach, the ECB is preparing

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Why should you consider owning bonds now?

Why should you consider owning bonds now?

🕔10:58, 4.Jul 2022

The extent of the Q1 drawdown in fixed income markets was both large and rare relative to history. The aftermath of the pandemic and the conflict in Ukraine propelled inflation in developed markets around the world to multi-decade highs. In

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Active Versus Passive in Global Funds

Active Versus Passive in Global Funds

🕔15:39, 29.Jun 2022

Growing uncertainty in markets has rekindled the age-old “active vs. passive” debate. In 2017, PIMCO published results of an exhaustive study that showed active U.S. bond mutual funds had largely outperformed their median passive peers over many years, whereas active

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Te duur wanbetalingsrisico biedt kansen voor obligaties uit opkomende landen

Te duur wanbetalingsrisico biedt kansen voor obligaties uit opkomende landen

🕔08:29, 22.Jun 2022

Obligaties uit opkomende markten werden getroffen door inflatie, renterisico's, een stijgende dollar en geopolitieke spanningen. Maar de bezorgdheid over wanbetaling is overdreven. Beleggers in obligaties uit opkomende markten hebben zelden te maken gehad met een meer complexe economische en geopolitieke

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High Yield: Harvesting Income

High Yield: Harvesting Income

🕔10:11, 21.Jun 2022

For most risk assets, total return is achieved predominantly via capital price return, but not in high yield. Over long-term periods, income tends to drive the bulk of the total return for high yield bonds. In fact, over 100% of

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Core Bond: No Time to Die

Core Bond: No Time to Die

🕔10:16, 10.May 2022

Following the bond market’s recent beating, term yields have already priced in aggressive Fed rate hikes, positioning core bonds to effectively diversify credit risk.

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De-risking: If Not Now, When?

De-risking: If Not Now, When?

🕔15:58, 3.May 2022

Strong funded ratios and higher interest rates are prompting many corporate pension plan sponsors to shift assets to LDI strategies. If you’re still waiting, consider a hedging portfolio built on public corporate credit, complemented with non-traditional hedging assets.

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A Time for Defensiveness

A Time for Defensiveness

🕔10:32, 2.May 2022

Credit markets came under pressure again in March, with most fixed income asset classes generating negative total returns, although excess returns were mostly positive. Treasury yields traded sharply higher, and the yield curve flattened, with two- and 10-year Treasury yields

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The U.S. loan market continued to recover ground

The U.S. loan market continued to recover ground

🕔14:12, 11.Apr 2022

Voya Leveraged Credit Group – Senior Loan Talking Points: The U.S. loan market continued to recover ground lost in February, as the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index (the “Index”) returned 0.54% for the seven-day period ended March 31. The Index saw

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What the Chinese Policy Pivot Means for Asia Credit

What the Chinese Policy Pivot Means for Asia Credit

🕔08:01, 6.Apr 2022

After a tough year for China’s property market, there have been recent signs that Beijing’s policy stance is now turning more supportive for the sector. Although a repeat of the massive stimulus of 2015/16 is unlikely, we now expect the

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Standing by our prudent strategy

Standing by our prudent strategy

🕔17:45, 30.Mar 2022

Uncertainty still surrounds the Ukraine war and its economic fallout The world's major economies went into the current crisis with fairly sound fundamentals, positive growth and low unemployment. Several were still enjoying the boost from withdrawing social distancing measures introduced

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Investor demand for loans kicked into a higher gear this week

Investor demand for loans kicked into a higher gear this week

🕔08:43, 29.Mar 2022

Voya Leveraged Credit Group – Senior Loan Talking Points: Following a period of weakness related to geopolitical tension and largely negative broad market sentiment, the U.S. loan market performed in strong fashion this week, as the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index

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Spreiding domineert: hoe obligatiebeleggers kunnen profiteren van de idiosyncrasieën van opkomende markten

Spreiding domineert: hoe obligatiebeleggers kunnen profiteren van de idiosyncrasieën van opkomende markten

🕔12:13, 18.Mar 2022

Omdat de landen die het universum van obligaties uit opkomende markten vormen zo sterk van elkaar verschillen, moeten beleggers een absolute-return benadering overwegen. Naarmate het economische klimaat in 2021 versomberde en er stormen dreigden voor 2022, maakten beleggers zich steeds

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Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2022 Summary Edition

Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2022 Summary Edition

🕔11:13, 8.Mar 2022

This Summary Edition contains three extracts from the full Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2022. The first extract explains the Yearbook’s purpose. It describes the DMS Database, which lies at its core and covers all the main asset categories

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Surviving and Thriving As US Credit Markets Transition

Surviving and Thriving As US Credit Markets Transition

🕔16:30, 7.Mar 2022

I'm often asked to give my perspective on the current environment. Before I do, I'd like to take a step back. During most of my career, you could take credit or interest rate risk and do relatively well. This last

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Engelandvaarders, een uitstapje naar bedrijfsobligaties in Britse ponden voor extra rendement

Engelandvaarders, een uitstapje naar bedrijfsobligaties in Britse ponden voor extra rendement

🕔08:40, 23.Feb 2022

IN DEZE UPDATE Marktbeeld Spreads bedrijfsobligaties liepen met 11 basispunten op Inflatie mogelijk minder tijdelijk Black Friday: Omikron ECB: PEPP eindigt eind maart 2022 Outperformance van cyclische consumentenbedrijven, vastgoed negatieve uitzondering Semistaat en gedekte obligaties bewogen mee met swaps

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Surviving and Thriving As US Credit Markets Transition

Surviving and Thriving As US Credit Markets Transition

🕔16:05, 21.Feb 2022

I'm often asked to give my perspective on the current environment. Before I do, I'd like to take a step back. During most of my career, you could take credit or interest rate risk and do relatively well. This last

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ESG in de Praktijk Stéphane Rüegg over krediet

ESG in de Praktijk Stéphane Rüegg over krediet

🕔14:18, 7.Jan 2022

Kredietexpert Stéphane Rüegg bespreekt wat zijn klanten denken, de ontluikende groene obligatiemarkt en zijn zeer persoonlijke kijk op verantwoord beleggen. Waarom is duurzaam beleggen belangrijk voor u?  Ik werd me daarvan bewust op verschillende manieren. Eerst en vooral herinner ik

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A tough week for Turkey

A tough week for Turkey

🕔10:38, 5.Jan 2022

Macro / government bonds All three major central banks making decisions last week have demonstrated that they no longer regard the downside risks to economic activity over the coming months as outweighing the need to address inflation pressure.

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What went up…must come down (hopefully)!

What went up…must come down (hopefully)!

🕔11:48, 22.Dec 2021

I wonder if anyone at the start of the year would have predicted that US inflation would have risen to 6.8% y/y in November? If we had expected this, you would have thought that bond yields would have traded at

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Yields lower, curves flatter & stronger dollar.

Yields lower, curves flatter & stronger dollar.

🕔09:34, 14.Dec 2021

Core government bond yields were lower and yield curves flatter last week (see chart of the week). More hawkish rhetoric from the recently reappointed Chair of the US Federal Reserve has upset the short end of markets, forcing yields higher.

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How to dismantle a conglomerate.

How to dismantle a conglomerate.

🕔14:58, 10.Dec 2021

If you are looking for market volatility to spice up your week then core government bond markets would be a good place to start. After last weeks ‘communication breakdown’ between central banks and investors, and more dovish policy response, that

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Swapshop.

Swapshop.

🕔10:22, 1.Dec 2021

Core government bond markets were a little calmer last week with yields a shade lower. This week should be relatively quiet as the US celebrates Thanksgiving on Thursday. We also expect the US President to announce if Jay Powell will

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The next phase for private credit markets

The next phase for private credit markets

🕔11:49, 25.Nov 2021

The changing landscape The resilience and adaptability of the asset class during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has helped to cement private credit’s permanence in the minds of strategic asset allocators, with private markets proving their value to investors in balancing

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Playing second fiddle

Playing second fiddle

🕔09:50, 25.Nov 2021

US FIXED INCOME 2022 OUTLOOK That’s how the 2022 economic forecasts feel when compared to 2021. For ’22, we see real growth running about 4%, or two times trend. That’s typically great performance, but when you’re coming off a phenomenal

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Communication breakdown.

Communication breakdown.

🕔14:21, 16.Nov 2021

Bond markets, which have been under considerable pressure recently, saw a very sharp turnaround last week as the US Federal Reserve did no more than expected in the US, while the Bank of England kept rates unchanged, and the European

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Finding opportunities in stressed and distressed credit throughout the cycle

Finding opportunities in stressed and distressed credit throughout the cycle

🕔10:32, 10.Nov 2021

With debt default rates at exceptionally low levels on both sides of the Atlantic, investors might be forgiven for thinking that the market for distressed credit would be very subdued. But there are strategies that can find and take advantage

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The winner takes it all.

The winner takes it all.

🕔10:42, 9.Nov 2021

US equities printed a new high as we end October while bonds remain mired in volatility with yields near their highs for the last 12 months – see chart of the week. Meanwhile, risk markets in fixed income are locked

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Breedte, stabiliteit en kwaliteit: Aziatische bedrijfsobligaties

Breedte, stabiliteit en kwaliteit: Aziatische bedrijfsobligaties

🕔14:58, 8.Nov 2021

De Aziatische bedrijfsobligatiemarkt is een strategische activaklasse geworden die behoorlijke inkomsten biedt. Cruciaal is dat het ook overwegend om investment-grade bedrijfsobligaties gaat. Obligaties met negatief rendement zouden een tijdelijk fenomeen zijn. Maar zeven jaar nadat ze voor het eerst opdoken

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Fixed Income Monthly – October 2021

Fixed Income Monthly – October 2021

🕔08:30, 3.Nov 2021

Fixed income funds invest in bonds whose price is influenced by movements in interest rates, changes in the credit rating of bond issuers, and other factors such as inflation and market dynamics. In general, as interest rates rise the price

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A farewell to negative yields?

A farewell to negative yields?

🕔11:30, 8.Oct 2021

In Credit: US bond yields have stabilsed this quarter after the material sell-off in the first quarter. It has been a different story for yields in Europe, however, which have trended higher. This reflects a heavy supply schedule and speculation

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Regulatory Actions in China: Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Gain

Regulatory Actions in China: Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Gain

🕔16:20, 7.Oct 2021

China’s regulatory actions, driven by Beijing’s financial, security, and social objectives, have injected volatility into the credit market over the past year. Key themes such as the mantra of housing for living in, not speculation; reducing the education cost burden

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Jolly green giant Gilt.

Jolly green giant Gilt.

🕔11:05, 5.Oct 2021

The ‘excitement’ of an FOMC meeting, shenanigans at Evergrande, revised forecasts from the OECD and the German general election led to a rise in yields last week (see chart of the week). The US Federal Reserve presented a more hawkish

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Supply constraints add to inflation angst

Supply constraints add to inflation angst

🕔20:03, 29.Sep 2021

Theme of the month: EU Fit for 55 In July, the EU announced “Fit for 55” – a suite of measures to deliver a 55% reduction in GHG emissions by 2030 from 1990 levels. It included an enhancement of the

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When a taper is not a taper.

When a taper is not a taper.

🕔12:58, 21.Sep 2021

Core government bond markets ended the week with a better tone, even as the European Central Bank announced its intentions to modestly reduce asset purchases, and as the ECB increased forecasts for economic growth and for inflation. The ECB notched

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Falling into Fall.

Falling into Fall.

🕔16:01, 14.Sep 2021

Government bond yields generally moved higher last week; the spectre of a withdrawal of ultraeasy policy conditions remains front and centre of attention. Indeed, we will hear more on this subject perhaps this week from Europe when the European Central

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Really low real yields.

Really low real yields.

🕔14:52, 9.Sep 2021

In Credit  AUGUST 2021 As we start a new month, we can reflect on another better week and month for core government bonds. US yields fell by around 25bps in July. The fall was led by declining real yields, which

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Dimly aware of a certain unease in the air

Dimly aware of a certain unease in the air

🕔15:20, 30.Aug 2021

We borrowed a line from a Pink Floyd song for this week’s title, which seemed to sum up the mood in markets last week. The rise in cases of the delta variant of Covid brings fears of a pause in

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