China, Japan, technology, and value have potential to shape global markets in 2021 and beyond. T. Rowe Price Insights on International Equities: The rapid rise of China to the world’s second‑largest economy is widely observed. Yet, investors appear to underappreciate China’s
With economies looking towards a post-Covid world and concerns around inflation growing, we talk to the manager of the Global Focus strategy about what 2021 might have in store
At 2.5% for the MSCI AC World index, the rise in global equities in March was close to February’s 2.2%. It wasn’t all smooth running, though, as the advance of equities was challenged by a rise in US bond yields on the back of a favourable economic outlook that also prompted inflation fears.
Barometer: Laat de rally doorgaan April 2021 Ruime monetaire en fiscale stimulansen zouden de economie en de bedrijfswinsten een sterke duw in de rug moeten geven. Daarom blijven we de voorkeur geven aan cyclische aandelen. De wereldeconomie kent een sterke
The return of volatility to China markets. China’s equity markets have been roiled by a combination of concerns in recent weeks, culminating in the fallout from the Archegos family office liquidations in late March. However, this volatility has retraced …
In this research piece, we demonstrate the value of the Axioma Worldwide Equity Linked Factor Risk Model (WWLM4-MH or ‘Global Linked Model’) for solving two very common analytical problems when managing global portfolios. Global equity mandates are often broken into
Asian equities peaked twice in the first quarter amid optimism over the recovery in China, the prospect of improved relations between the new US administration and China, and the arrival of COVID-19 vaccines. Zhikai Chen, head of Asian equities, argues the outlook for much of the region remains positive, even after a valuation-related stumble.
Asian equities rode high early in the year amid optimism over the recovery in China, the new US administration and improved relations with China, and the advent of vaccines. The outlook for investor flows into much of the region remains positive, even after a recent valuation-related setback. Zhikai Chen, head of Asian equities, discusses the prospects for the asset class this year.
A compelling investment opportunity: Japanese equities offer attractively priced and more visible earnings growth for 2021 and beyond. Nevertheless, Japanese equities are currently trading at a discount to global equities. And Japan equity markets have outpaced major developed market equities both in 2020 and year-to-date in 2021 as the world seeks to transition to a post-pandemic recovery.
As the economy recovers and cyclical stocks begin to outperform, how should we think about the connection between equities and US Treasury yields? A recent rapid increase in US Treasury yields has unsettled equity markets, and to understand this
Has the Fed Turned Hawkish by Allowing Bond Yields to Surge? It seems happy to let financial market conditions tighten. Surging yields on U.S. government debt are tightening financial market conditions, but the response to this from Federal Reserve Chairman
Distinguishing between short and long-term issues Weekly investment update Keeping a weekly column like this one going brings home the sense of immediacy that frequently grips financial markets and that can fuel short-term spikes or dips as we have seen
Volgens BNP Paribas Asset Management zijn er volop redenen om te veronderstellen dat de Chinese aandelenmarkt de plek is om lange termijn alpha te behalen.
In these extraordinary times the investment potential in Chinese equities remains extraordinary. This might sound debatable given current global uncertainties, but at BNP Paribas Asset Management, we believe the long-term growth prospects of the China’s vast, diverse equity markets and a steady move towards sustainable, quality growth …
Value stocks outperformed momentum by almost 30% in November, but then gave back a third of this by the beginning of 2021 (Figure 1). Is the Georgia vote and Democrat win in the Senate the catalyst that reverses this? US investors did not think Senate control would switch to the Democrats, yet former president Donald Trump alienated centrist votes with allegations of stolen …
With the S&P 500 already gaining around 4.27% year-to-date while COVID-19 still lingers through the western world and the U.S. economy shrunk by 3.5% in 2020, it is time to look at the future of equities.
A not-so-great rotation in developed market equities Equity investors, quite rightly, remain resolutely focused on the positive, medium-term outlook for corporate profits rather than the near-term economic challenges. In our view, the economic recovery and rebound in inflation will drive
Why we think it’s too early to be cautious on equities Macro outlook | February 2021 Value stocks outperformed momentum by almost 30% in November, but then gave back a third of this by the beginning of 2021 (Figure 1).
Webinar – Resurrection of a deplorable asset class! Join us on Tuesday, 9 February at 13:30 GMT / 14:30 CET as Richard Colwell (Head of UK Equities) and James Thorne present their views on the current market environment for UK Equities. Also joining will be Sonal Sagar who will look at
In recent weeks, investors were relieved by the positive newsflow around the successful COVID-19 vaccine trials and subsequent implementation of roll-out programmes. However, experts agree that the positive effects on the recovery and getting back to “normality” is not likely to happen before the end of this year. As 2021 looks like a bumpy road, many investors are willing to increase equity risk and directionality, subject to selectivity.
Capital Group European Opportunities (LUX) will be available to investors in Asia and Europe with its launch as a Luxembourg-domiciled fund in February 2021. The fund will offer access to a longstanding European equity strategy, originally launched as a segregated account in 1992. The fund will be managed by …
Value funds—whether global, developed, or emerging—encountered a major style headwind in 2020. Globally, economy‑sensitive value stocks underperformed during the coronavirus pandemic, which was to be expected. Value companies tend to be in traditional sectors that need growth in real economic
Seizing the opportunities that higher volatility and mixed news flow will create. Equity markets delivered extraordinary returns in 2020, but the first quarter of 2021 will certainly test investors, given the return of uneven and contradictory news flow. Expectations of
Webinar – A Focus on China The Great Instability The Great Instability virtual event series continues into 2021 and BNP Paribas Asset Management is delighted to invite you to join us for the first episode. On 28 January, we host
Recent news about the COVID-19 pandemic has been worrying, with more contagious strains of the virus spreading internationally, rising contamination rates, and healthcare systems on the verge of being overwhelmed, particularly in the UK and the US.
Webinar – China: de ruwe diamant polijsten China’s snelle binnenlandse en geopolitieke ontwikkelingen en de ruwe diamant van beleggingskansen, verdienen aandacht van beleggers. Tegelijkertijd is China echter nog steeds ondervertegenwoordigd in indices, kent het een volatiele interne markt en de
Financial sector headlines are often dominated by banks and insurers. But there is one area that has emerged as a steady grower and dividend payer: financial exchanges. Exchanges’ gains contrast against steep declines in the broader financials sector, where traditional banks in particular have grappled with ultra-low rates and a slowing global economy. Over the …
Equities look set for a positive 2021: last year’s themes and secular change should persist with support coming from factors such as dovish monetary policies. However, risks linger, not least those related to the pandemic. Overall, this constellation makes for a stock pickers’ market, argues Guy Davies, CIO of Equities.
The estimated (year-over-year) earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 for CY 2021 is 22.1%, which is above the 10- year average (annual) earnings growth rate of 10.0%. If 22.1% is the actual growth rate for the year, it will
The long, long bull market since 2009 has finally matured into a fully-fledged epic bubble. Featuring extreme overvaluation, explosive price increases, frenzied issuance, and hysterically speculative investor behavior, I believe this event will be recorded as one of the great
Uncommon truths 2020 – the year of living dangerously Our list of 10 surprises didn’t envisage the global pandemic that dominated 2020. Even so, we had some successes and cyclical assets did well. We expect that to continue in 2021,
Market Flash Falling temperatures have exacerbated the global sanitary situation. In Europe, Germany and the UK reinforced restrictions. Cases have also started rising again in Asia, a worry for Japan and South Korea which had managed to control the first
China Market Outlook 2021 Thanks to its rapid control of the coronavirus, China is the only major economy that is expected to post positive economic growth this year, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, which recently raised
T. Rowe Price Insights on Japan Equities Four reasons to be bullish about the Japan investment outlook. Japanese equities are well placed to excel in 2021, in our view, with various factors underpinning our positive outlook, heading into the new year.
If I were to sum up Asia ex Japan equity markets in 2020, it would be the pain of negative headwinds followed by the triumph of human ingenuity and determination in rising above them. This perhaps seems too optimistic a
There are reasons for optimism in 2021. Forget a U-shaped recovery; the letter we look for in 2021 is V, which stands for vaccine. Our baseline scenario is that vaccines roll out across Europe in early 2021, allowing business and
Aandelenmarkten lopen vooruit op het economisch herstel in Europa, al is de omvang nog onduidelijk. Beleggers zullen in de eerste helft van 2021 nog geconfronteerd worden met extra volatiliteit, ondanks het positieve nieuws over coronavaccins. Wél zijn er duidelijke pluspunten
With the prospect of early access to effective vaccines getting steadily stronger, the major question for investors in US equity markets is how to position their portfolios for an economy returning to normal after the Covid-19 shock? This question begs
At the end of the global financial crisis in 2009 we saw a sugar rush within markets, specifically for a couple of quarters from March that year where economy-sensitive stocks performed very well. This is being mimicked somewhat today. When
European Gazette | Autumn 2020 While political risk, a second Covid-19 wave, lower economic activity and suppressed inflation might trigger a short-term sell-off, in the medium term a high equity risk premium and low rates will support equities After a
Outlook 2021 Fidelity International’s outlook for the global economy, multi asset, equities, fixed income and real estate If you are reading this, then you’ve lived through one of the most volatile periods in market history. The year to come may
T. Rowe Price Insights on International Equities High‑quality growth businesses on reasonable multiples. Our views remain constructive on the medium- to longer-term outlook for Asia ex‑Japan equities. Even as global growth may be slower to recover than earlier hoped for,
European equities | December 2020 The EU’s decision to put building modernisation at the heart of its drive to reduce CO2 emissions heralds a major spending programme to transform energy efficiency. It also represents a wider drive across the continent
In our 2021 Investment Outlook, we seek to help investors navigate the next phases of the pandemic, the legacy of the lockdowns, and the ensuing economic recovery. We also consider how solutions to the climate crisis can be found at
After contending with the terrible human and economic toll of a pandemic, as well as market volatility reminiscent of the financial crisis, investors could well be forgiven for wondering anxiously: what could 2021 possibly have in store for us?
In an environment marked by rapid market swings, investors looking to consistently outperform will have to increase their emphasis on downside protection while maintaining their upside participation.
T. Rowe Price Insights on Global Equities The growth versus value style debate intensified as the dominance of “growth” accelerated during the coronavirus pandemic. Value investing has remained deeply out of favor, but we sense the dynamics are changing and
To build the income component of our long-term equity forecasts, we calculate each country’s expected income contribution, based on current and anticipated levels of dividend yield, as well as the expected returns attributable to buyback activity (positive) or net positive
T. Rowe Price Insights on the U.S. Election Democrat Joe Biden’s policy proposals as the next U.S. president (pending the outcome of potential legal challenges) could have mixed implications for investors if implemented, according to T. Rowe Price investment professionals. On
T. Rowe Price Insights on Global Markets Our portfolio managers see selective potential in a range of asset classes. Even for those of us who saw reasons for hope this past spring, the market’s resilience in the face of the
