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Process is everything for Pan European Smaller Companies

Process is everything for Pan European Smaller Companies

🕔13:37, 29.Sep 2021

Two factors have interested us in Europe in 2021. First, there has been a value rally since November 2020, particularly in smaller companies. The onset of the pandemic in Europe in early 2020 initially saw value and cyclical stocks, typically

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Markets in 3D: Delta, Deceleration and Divergences

Markets in 3D: Delta, Deceleration and Divergences

🕔09:12, 29.Sep 2021

Equities have remained buoyant over the past weeks despite some challenges (China regulation, Afghanistan crisis), primarily due to the exceptional earnings seasons in the US and Europe. Looking ahead, we identify three main themes: the spread of the Delta Covid

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Climate change to bear upon banks’ financial performance

Climate change to bear upon banks’ financial performance

🕔15:06, 28.Sep 2021

A broad spectrum of central banks fear climate change could spark the next financial crisis. For this reason, regulators in Europe and the UK are already beginning to scrutinise banks’ resilience to climate change – looking into both the likely

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Europe: reasons for optimism…and caution

Europe: reasons for optimism…and caution

🕔09:01, 28.Sep 2021

The European economic recovery is well under way: gross domestic product (GDP) growth in Europe’s major economies was stronger than expected over Q2, notably in Italy and Spain. As European economies are opening up, services activity has recovered sharply, boosted

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Rock and a Hard Place

Rock and a Hard Place

🕔14:29, 21.Sep 2021

Global Asset Allocation: The View From Europe  Coming out of the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signalled that the Fed could begin to wind down its monthly bond buying by year-end, if the economy and coronavirus

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Markets in 3D: Delta, Deceleration and Divergences

Markets in 3D: Delta, Deceleration and Divergences

🕔15:03, 15.Sep 2021

Special Europe: invest in the recovery In a nutshell As the European economy is recovering from the largest economic shock of modern history, we are revising our growth and inflation assumptions to the upside. Although the path to recovery is

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BII Global weekly commentary

BII Global weekly commentary

🕔10:38, 15.Sep 2021

BII Global weekly commentary Europe is in the spotlight this month, with a key European Central Bank (ECB) meeting and a pivotal German election that could have significant medium-term implications for the fiscal stance of Europe’s largest economy. We see

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Green revolution re-energises utility stocks

Green revolution re-energises utility stocks

🕔12:23, 14.Sep 2021

After three straight years of stellar performance, European renewable energy stocks have fallen back to earth in 2021. But the future is still bright for green power as the world’s transition to a low-carbon economy gathers pace. In the short

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Markets in 3D: Delta, Deceleration and Divergences

Markets in 3D: Delta, Deceleration and Divergences

🕔18:14, 8.Sep 2021

Equities have remained buoyant over the past weeks despite some challenges (China regulation, Afghanistan crisis), primarily due to the exceptional earnings seasons in the US and Europe. Looking ahead, we identify three main themes: the spread of the Delta Covid

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Real Estate Outlook – Edition 3, 2021

Real Estate Outlook – Edition 3, 2021

🕔15:52, 3.Sep 2021

Recovery in the economy and real estate investment markets gathered pace in the second quarter, though the new Delta variant of the virus poses a threat. Real estate showed strong returns in the first half of the year, driven by

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Big Tech Stocks: How to gauge regulatory risk

Big Tech Stocks: How to gauge regulatory risk

🕔08:16, 2.Sep 2021

When it comes to America’s biggest technology companies, it seems like regulatory risk has never been higher. Most large technology platforms are facing pressure from US and European authorities, while lawmakers on Capitol Hill seem more inclined to doing something

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Funding Europe’s green infrastructure finance gap

Funding Europe’s green infrastructure finance gap

🕔15:54, 1.Sep 2021

Responsible Investment has witnessed strong growth over the past five years. However, the past six months have seen it embark on a much steeper trajectory. If we take a Google Analytics view on worldwide searches for “ESG” (environmental, social and

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European commercial real estate: play the re-opening with quality assets

European commercial real estate: play the re-opening with quality assets

🕔14:19, 25.Aug 2021

The European economy is emerging from its worst economic slump since the Great Depression. As the vaccine rollout progresses quickly across the continent, mitigation measures and travel bans are being lifted, allowing growth to revive. As the European economy recovers,

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The eurozone’s sleeping giant

The eurozone’s sleeping giant

🕔12:58, 19.Aug 2021

According to the latest Sentix Euro Break-up Index, the probability that the euro will break up within the next twelve months, as perceived by investors, is at an all-time low. Volatility in eurozone government bonds has all but fizzled out.

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Balancing Act

Balancing Act

🕔08:30, 19.Aug 2021

Global Asset Allocation: The View From Europe At the same time that China has taken steps to stabilise its slowing economy with measures such as a surprise reserve requirement ratio cut and pledge to increase fiscal support, policymakers …

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European ABS Market Review

European ABS Market Review

🕔15:27, 11.Aug 2021

Risk assets continued their strong rally during June 2021. The continuing fast pace of the Covid-19 vaccine rollout has resulted in many economies starting to reopen and thereby increasing global activity. However, there is still a sense of unease as

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Consumer revenge – the next stage of the recovery in europe

Consumer revenge – the next stage of the recovery in europe

🕔13:44, 28.Jul 2021

Is pent-up consumer demand the key to unlocking value in Europe? In this article, John Bennett, Director of European Equities, considers some of the meaningful trends he believes could drive positive momentum in the region. Key takeaways As we progress

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Easy on the Austerity

Easy on the Austerity

🕔10:59, 26.Jul 2021

Global Asset Allocation: The View From Europe Following a shaky start to its vaccine rollout, Europe appears to be recovering as businesses are reopening and lockdowns continue to ease in some areas. As the European Central Bank debates the extension

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European equities: look for the winners to play the reflation trade, value revenge, and ESG disruption

European equities: look for the winners to play the reflation trade, value revenge, and ESG disruption

🕔09:35, 9.Jul 2021

Today, all eyes are on Europe. While the strongest national European football teams are animating a great competition, which is also signalling a sort of return to normality for Europeans, investors’ appetite for European equities is back and for good

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European Infrastructure Debt

European Infrastructure Debt

🕔16:45, 24.Jun 2021

Resilient and essential in the Post-Covid environment As an asset class, infrastructure debt possesses key characteristics that contribute to resilient performance. These include the large physical nature of the underlying asset, high barriers to entry and stable revenues linked to

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Help For Europe: A Bold New Funding Plan

Help For Europe: A Bold New Funding Plan

🕔10:49, 21.Jun 2021

The european union’s unprecedented foray into the capital markets promises not only a green, digital transformation for the region but potentially a new era of supranational borrowing. For much of the past nine months officials at the European Commission have

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Just Passing Through?

Just Passing Through?

🕔11:18, 17.Jun 2021

Global Asset Allocation – The View From Europe: The Federal Reserve has been consistent in its messaging that a near-term spike in inflation pressures will be transitory and recede once COVID-related impacts fade. The latest inflation print showed that prices,

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Unwrapping the European ETF Industry: 2020

Unwrapping the European ETF Industry: 2020

🕔11:05, 14.Jun 2021

When exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were introduced in Europe in the year 2000 it was hard to predict that these products would write an unbroken success story for more than 20 years. This becomes especially true when one is taking into

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European equities – Closing the gap

European equities – Closing the gap

🕔14:46, 9.Jun 2021

European equities have staged a spectacular rebound: Since their March 2020 low, they are up by more than 60%. So far this year, they have gained more than 13%. Still, there is the perception that the European market has significantly

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The global picture supports a constructive outlook

The global picture supports a constructive outlook

🕔10:15, 9.Jun 2021

News surrounding the pandemic has steadily improved this month, with cases dropping sharply across the US and Europe, and retreating in India. As such, confidence in reopening timetables is increasing, with global growth expectations growing in tandem. More and more

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Podcast: European equities: About to catch up (podcast)

Podcast: European equities: About to catch up (podcast)

🕔14:44, 8.Jun 2021

Fund flows to date have massively favoured US equities, but European equities now have considerable scope to catch up as the economic recovery broadens and investors reassess their valuations relative to their more expensive US counterparts. Peter Abbott, European equities portfolio

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Happy customers

Happy customers

🕔12:31, 2.Jun 2021

Europe is re-opening. The summer of 2020 is probably going to be the point of reference to gauge the magnitude of the looming economic rebound. The “mechanical recovery” could be spectacular again this year (assuming no bad Covid news). Indeed,

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Can Europe catch up?

Can Europe catch up?

🕔14:05, 31.May 2021

Following the OECD in March, the IMF is now preaching optimism on the outlook for growth. Against a backdrop of a less severe contraction overall than had been feared in 2020, world GDP is expected to increase by 6% this

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Plant-Based Food and Alternative Proteins

Plant-Based Food and Alternative Proteins

🕔11:56, 31.May 2021

Evolving consumer tastes. In the USA and Europe, a growing number of people are cutting their meat intake or giving it up altogether. As a result, in addition to vegans and vegetarians, there are an increasing numbers of flexitarians –

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Europe’s path to net zero

Europe’s path to net zero

🕔09:42, 20.May 2021

Deciphering Europe’s ambitions, actions and ability to reach net zero: The European Union (EU) has long led the world on climate action and policies. In December 2019 it pushed the boundaries again, unveiling the European Green Deal and its ambition

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Crosscurrents

Crosscurrents

🕔09:14, 18.May 2021

Global Asset Allocation: The View From Europe  A renewed surge in coronavirus cases across several emerging markets (EM) countries—including India, Brazil, and Argentina—is weighing heavily on these economies as they struggle with insufficient medical infrastructure and access to vaccines. In

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Volatility in rates little seen in HY so far

Volatility in rates little seen in HY so far

🕔09:31, 27.Apr 2021

Volatility in interest rates year-to-date has unevenly impacted credit markets. Investment grade credit (IG) weakened in sympathy with sovereign yields, especially in high quality and long duration paper. IG bonds were down -3.6% in the U.S. year-to-date, and -0.5% in

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Streven naar nul: Europa zet nog meer in op schone energie

Streven naar nul: Europa zet nog meer in op schone energie

🕔11:58, 26.Apr 2021

Waarom Europa's ambitieuze nieuwe klimaatdoelstelling zal helpen om koolstofneutraal te worden en investeringen in de schone energie-industrie te stimuleren. Naar een hogere versnelling schakelen. Dat is precies wat de Europese Unie zojuist heeft gedaan in de stappen die ze zet

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Reason to Worry?

Reason to Worry?

🕔14:24, 22.Apr 2021

Global Asset Allocation: The View From Europe  Equity markets are riding higher on unwavering optimism, which has driven the S&P 500 up over 20% above its pre-COVID-19 levels. Despite higher valuations, bouts of risk and pockets of froth in the

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Three Reasons Why Pent‑Up Demand Is Not a Growth Panacea

Three Reasons Why Pent‑Up Demand Is Not a Growth Panacea

🕔10:44, 15.Apr 2021

Investors hoping that pent-up demand will fuel a sustained post-coronavirus economic recovery in Europe may end up disappointed. Although a backlog of demand has built up during the lockdown, its potency is likely to be reduced by …

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Markets rally on strong data

Markets rally on strong data

🕔11:38, 12.Apr 2021

Strong economic data over the last week in the US, Europe and Asia appears to be confirming the perception among investors that a cyclical recovery is well established. As a result, valuations of risk assets have risen on the view that the pandemic will be overcome this year.

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The Decisive Eye

The Decisive Eye

🕔14:07, 1.Apr 2021

COVID-19 will leave an indelible scar on people and businesses which will take time to heal. While optimism mounts as global vaccination gets underway and spring shoots of recovery break through, the ever-present challenges that loom large on the …

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It’s my party and I’ll wait until I want to..

It’s my party and I’ll wait until I want to..

🕔11:45, 31.Mar 2021

Core government bond yields were lower and curves were flatter after a volatile week which, at one point, saw US and Europe diverge with US treasuries bear steepening while European government bonds experienced a bull flattening on Wednesday. Markets were caught between inflation concerns …

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Cooling US ‑ Europe Trade Tensions Could Lead to Bigger Deal

Cooling US ‑ Europe Trade Tensions Could Lead to Bigger Deal

🕔14:03, 26.Mar 2021

The U.S. and European Union (EU) announced a four‑month suspension of all tariffs related to the long‑running dispute about unfair government support for leading aerospace companies Airbus and Boeing, signaling President Joe Biden’s desire to realign trade relations. This pause came on the heels of a similar agreement between the U.S. and the UK.

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Your Move, Mr. Powell?

Your Move, Mr. Powell?

🕔09:15, 16.Mar 2021

After years of muted inflation, investors are becoming concerned as a massive amount of pent-up demand is expected to be unleashed as the economy reemerges in the coming months, bringing higher price pressures. The excess savings that consumers have accumulated over the past year, plus an additional near USD 1.9 trillion fiscal package on the way, could also lead to demand …

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High-yield bonds – Everything is relative!

High-yield bonds – Everything is relative!

🕔13:25, 3.Mar 2021

Investors can still find value in the European high-yield bond market even after a more than volatile 2020 in which risk premiums fell. While the starting yield may now look much less attractive, high-yield bonds continue to …

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How low can you go?!

How low can you go?!

🕔08:29, 25.Feb 2021

Policymakers globally are increasingly supportive of the climate transition. Europe recently announced its ambitious plan to reduce emissions by 55% by 2030, in line with its plan for climate neutrality by 2050. China has committed to carbon neutrality by 2060, Japan and South Korea by 2050. More than 50% of global GDP is …

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Investors Bet on a Recovery

Investors Bet on a Recovery

🕔09:08, 18.Feb 2021

Markets continued to focus on hopes for a recovery rather than risks. The epidemic seems to be slowing in the United States and in United Kingdom. It appears to be under control in Europe.

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Off to a Quick Start

Off to a Quick Start

🕔14:27, 17.Feb 2021

While the Biden administration put eradicating the coronavirus at the top of its agenda, taking action on regulations with executive orders has also been a top priority. Deregulation was a defining focus of …

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The Next Leg of Recovery

The Next Leg of Recovery

🕔11:25, 17.Feb 2021

2021 began with renewed bouts of volatility with a tug of war emerging between concerns over slow vaccine rollouts especially on the continent and delays in US fiscal support against positive earnings trends.

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Europe’s global leaders offer some attractive opportunities

Europe’s global leaders offer some attractive opportunities

🕔14:31, 10.Feb 2021

With the pandemic-induced shutdown of 2020 — which caused the worst recession since the Great Depression — behind us, solid growth is expected across major economies in 2021, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

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Introducing the Capital Group European Opportunities strategy

Introducing the Capital Group European Opportunities strategy

🕔10:56, 4.Feb 2021

Capital Group European Opportunities (LUX) will be available to investors in Asia and Europe with its launch as a Luxembourg-domiciled fund in February 2021. The fund will offer access to a longstanding European equity strategy, originally launched as a segregated account in 1992. The fund will be managed by …

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Glimpses of light at the tunnel’s end

Glimpses of light at the tunnel’s end

🕔16:03, 25.Jan 2021

After a rollercoaster 2020 for European high yield markets, 2021 looks set to be more stable. Fears of high levels of corporate defaults have proved unjustified, allowing high yield to rebound in 2020 and setting the scene for the coming year. While the second Covid-19 wave, and the new variant, are weighing on recovery, once vaccinations bring the virus under control a degree of normality …

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Chasing unicorns

Chasing unicorns

🕔14:05, 25.Jan 2021

Unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus and late-year positive news on vaccines fueled a relentless rally in …

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Negative outlook for Q1: Double-dip recession in Europe

Negative outlook for Q1: Double-dip recession in Europe

🕔10:18, 22.Jan 2021

In September 2020 we published our long-term outlook (link). At that time we anticipated that the economic recovery in the eurozone would start in the second half of 2020 and that the rebound would continue into 2021. Unfortunately, after a strong economic recovery in the third quarter, many eurozone countries imposed new lockdown …

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