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Volatility in rates little seen in HY so far

Volatility in rates little seen in HY so far

🕔09:31, 27.Apr 2021

Volatility in interest rates year-to-date has unevenly impacted credit markets. Investment grade credit (IG) weakened in sympathy with sovereign yields, especially in high quality and long duration paper. IG bonds were down -3.6% in the U.S. year-to-date, and -0.5% in

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Streven naar nul: Europa zet nog meer in op schone energie

Streven naar nul: Europa zet nog meer in op schone energie

🕔11:58, 26.Apr 2021

Waarom Europa's ambitieuze nieuwe klimaatdoelstelling zal helpen om koolstofneutraal te worden en investeringen in de schone energie-industrie te stimuleren. Naar een hogere versnelling schakelen. Dat is precies wat de Europese Unie zojuist heeft gedaan in de stappen die ze zet

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Reason to Worry?

Reason to Worry?

🕔14:24, 22.Apr 2021

Global Asset Allocation: The View From Europe  Equity markets are riding higher on unwavering optimism, which has driven the S&P 500 up over 20% above its pre-COVID-19 levels. Despite higher valuations, bouts of risk and pockets of froth in the

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Three Reasons Why Pent‑Up Demand Is Not a Growth Panacea

Three Reasons Why Pent‑Up Demand Is Not a Growth Panacea

🕔10:44, 15.Apr 2021

Investors hoping that pent-up demand will fuel a sustained post-coronavirus economic recovery in Europe may end up disappointed. Although a backlog of demand has built up during the lockdown, its potency is likely to be reduced by …

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Markets rally on strong data

Markets rally on strong data

🕔11:38, 12.Apr 2021

Strong economic data over the last week in the US, Europe and Asia appears to be confirming the perception among investors that a cyclical recovery is well established. As a result, valuations of risk assets have risen on the view that the pandemic will be overcome this year.

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The Decisive Eye

The Decisive Eye

🕔14:07, 1.Apr 2021

COVID-19 will leave an indelible scar on people and businesses which will take time to heal. While optimism mounts as global vaccination gets underway and spring shoots of recovery break through, the ever-present challenges that loom large on the …

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It’s my party and I’ll wait until I want to..

It’s my party and I’ll wait until I want to..

🕔11:45, 31.Mar 2021

Core government bond yields were lower and curves were flatter after a volatile week which, at one point, saw US and Europe diverge with US treasuries bear steepening while European government bonds experienced a bull flattening on Wednesday. Markets were caught between inflation concerns …

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Cooling US ‑ Europe Trade Tensions Could Lead to Bigger Deal

Cooling US ‑ Europe Trade Tensions Could Lead to Bigger Deal

🕔14:03, 26.Mar 2021

The U.S. and European Union (EU) announced a four‑month suspension of all tariffs related to the long‑running dispute about unfair government support for leading aerospace companies Airbus and Boeing, signaling President Joe Biden’s desire to realign trade relations. This pause came on the heels of a similar agreement between the U.S. and the UK.

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Your Move, Mr. Powell?

Your Move, Mr. Powell?

🕔09:15, 16.Mar 2021

After years of muted inflation, investors are becoming concerned as a massive amount of pent-up demand is expected to be unleashed as the economy reemerges in the coming months, bringing higher price pressures. The excess savings that consumers have accumulated over the past year, plus an additional near USD 1.9 trillion fiscal package on the way, could also lead to demand …

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High-yield bonds – Everything is relative!

High-yield bonds – Everything is relative!

🕔13:25, 3.Mar 2021

Investors can still find value in the European high-yield bond market even after a more than volatile 2020 in which risk premiums fell. While the starting yield may now look much less attractive, high-yield bonds continue to …

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How low can you go?!

How low can you go?!

🕔08:29, 25.Feb 2021

Policymakers globally are increasingly supportive of the climate transition. Europe recently announced its ambitious plan to reduce emissions by 55% by 2030, in line with its plan for climate neutrality by 2050. China has committed to carbon neutrality by 2060, Japan and South Korea by 2050. More than 50% of global GDP is …

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Investors Bet on a Recovery

Investors Bet on a Recovery

🕔09:08, 18.Feb 2021

Markets continued to focus on hopes for a recovery rather than risks. The epidemic seems to be slowing in the United States and in United Kingdom. It appears to be under control in Europe.

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Off to a Quick Start

Off to a Quick Start

🕔14:27, 17.Feb 2021

While the Biden administration put eradicating the coronavirus at the top of its agenda, taking action on regulations with executive orders has also been a top priority. Deregulation was a defining focus of …

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The Next Leg of Recovery

The Next Leg of Recovery

🕔11:25, 17.Feb 2021

2021 began with renewed bouts of volatility with a tug of war emerging between concerns over slow vaccine rollouts especially on the continent and delays in US fiscal support against positive earnings trends.

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Europe’s global leaders offer some attractive opportunities

Europe’s global leaders offer some attractive opportunities

🕔14:31, 10.Feb 2021

With the pandemic-induced shutdown of 2020 — which caused the worst recession since the Great Depression — behind us, solid growth is expected across major economies in 2021, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

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Introducing the Capital Group European Opportunities strategy

Introducing the Capital Group European Opportunities strategy

🕔10:56, 4.Feb 2021

Capital Group European Opportunities (LUX) will be available to investors in Asia and Europe with its launch as a Luxembourg-domiciled fund in February 2021. The fund will offer access to a longstanding European equity strategy, originally launched as a segregated account in 1992. The fund will be managed by …

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Glimpses of light at the tunnel’s end

Glimpses of light at the tunnel’s end

🕔16:03, 25.Jan 2021

After a rollercoaster 2020 for European high yield markets, 2021 looks set to be more stable. Fears of high levels of corporate defaults have proved unjustified, allowing high yield to rebound in 2020 and setting the scene for the coming year. While the second Covid-19 wave, and the new variant, are weighing on recovery, once vaccinations bring the virus under control a degree of normality …

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Chasing unicorns

Chasing unicorns

🕔14:05, 25.Jan 2021

Unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus and late-year positive news on vaccines fueled a relentless rally in …

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Negative outlook for Q1: Double-dip recession in Europe

Negative outlook for Q1: Double-dip recession in Europe

🕔10:18, 22.Jan 2021

In September 2020 we published our long-term outlook (link). At that time we anticipated that the economic recovery in the eurozone would start in the second half of 2020 and that the rebound would continue into 2021. Unfortunately, after a strong economic recovery in the third quarter, many eurozone countries imposed new lockdown …

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European sustainable infrastructure: in a sweet spot

European sustainable infrastructure: in a sweet spot

🕔16:29, 21.Jan 2021

In a turbulent 2020 infrastructure was an apparent safe haven, proving relatively resilient. However, the unprecedented shock to the asset class across all industry sectors and geographies at the same time, in a short period of time, has provided food for thought on several issues.

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How to understand the EU’s growing rulebook on sustainable investing

How to understand the EU’s growing rulebook on sustainable investing

🕔14:02, 14.Jan 2021

In the last few years new words have been invading our everyday vocabulary. We have gone from ‘climate change’ and ‘green economy’ to the more specialised ‘sustainability’ and ‘integration’ and the utterly bizarre ‘principal adverse impact’ and ‘taxonomy’. What is

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The Sanitary Situation Deteriorates

The Sanitary Situation Deteriorates

🕔16:05, 6.Jan 2021

Market Flash Falling temperatures have exacerbated the global sanitary situation. In Europe, Germany and the UK reinforced restrictions. Cases have also started rising again in Asia, a worry for Japan and South Korea which had managed to control the first

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European equities: the peak of pessimism is behind us

European equities: the peak of pessimism is behind us

🕔10:56, 30.Dec 2020

There are reasons for optimism in 2021. Forget a U-shaped recovery; the letter we look for in 2021 is V, which stands for vaccine. Our baseline scenario is that vaccines roll out across Europe in early 2021, allowing business and

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Europese aandelen in 2021 Sterke steun

Europese aandelen in 2021 Sterke steun

🕔14:36, 28.Dec 2020

Aandelenmarkten lopen vooruit op het economisch herstel in Europa, al is de omvang nog onduidelijk. Beleggers zullen in de eerste helft van 2021 nog geconfronteerd worden met extra volatiliteit, ondanks het positieve nieuws over coronavaccins. Wél zijn er duidelijke pluspunten

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Repositioning Portfolios for a Brave New World

Repositioning Portfolios for a Brave New World

🕔13:26, 23.Dec 2020

Monthly Investment Outlook – December Key points Downside risks weigh on Q4 growth in several countries due to rising contagion and pressure on hospitals; European activity should contract in Q4, and a parallel slowdown is expected in the US, while

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Riding Europe’s building renovation wave

Riding Europe’s building renovation wave

🕔09:16, 14.Dec 2020

European equities | December 2020  The EU’s decision to put building modernisation at the heart of its drive to reduce CO2 emissions heralds a major spending programme to transform energy efficiency. It also represents a wider drive across the continent

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Looking Ahead to a Brave New World

Looking Ahead to a Brave New World

🕔11:22, 10.Dec 2020

Monthly Investment Outlook – December Key points Downside risks weigh on Q4 growth in several countries due to rising contagion and pressure on hospitals; European activity should contract in Q4, and a parallel slowdown is expected in the US, while

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5 years old, but wiser than its years

5 years old, but wiser than its years

🕔13:04, 2.Dec 2020

Capital Group New Perspective Fund (LUX)  It’s been five years since Capital Group launched its New Perspective strategy in a Luxembourgdomiciled vehicle, giving investors in Europe and Asia access to a core global equity strategy with a successful 47-year track

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Covid-19 vaccines, lockdowns and equities

Covid-19 vaccines, lockdowns and equities

🕔09:41, 2.Dec 2020

Multi-asset | November 2020   Coronavirus cases are rising at an alarming rate in the US and Europe, so why are equities reaching new highs?  With the Covid-19 case count rising rapidly across the United States and Europe, the immediate economic

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White Paper: European Small Caps – Rising Stars

White Paper: European Small Caps – Rising Stars

🕔07:47, 2.Dec 2020

White Paper: European Small Caps – Rising Stars The big story in 2020 has been the coronavirus pandemic and its impact on the global economy, government finances and corporate earnings, leading to heightened levels of equity market volatility. Smaller companies

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Investment Outlook 2021 – Legacy of the Lockdowns

Investment Outlook 2021 – Legacy of the Lockdowns

🕔09:54, 1.Dec 2020

Investment Outlook 2021 – Legacy of the Lockdowns   TAKEAWAYS The global economy faced a crisis of unprecedented magnitude following the coronavirus pandemic lockdowns. A sharp global contraction in early 2020, and possible renewed dip in Europe in the fourth

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UBP – Flash Update: UBAM – Hybrid Bond | opportunity in European Banks AT1 bonds (Podcast)

UBP – Flash Update: UBAM – Hybrid Bond | opportunity in European Banks AT1 bonds (Podcast)

🕔11:03, 23.Nov 2020

UBAM – Hybrid Bond Opportunity in European Banks AT1 bonds Key takeaways: Fundamentally, European banks are solid with strong capital ratios and should exit the Covid-19 crisis unscathed The macro picture continues to improve, assisted by significant central bank support

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Why pension funds should be allocating to European banks

Why pension funds should be allocating to European banks

🕔12:56, 20.Nov 2020

"With deficits growing and the outlook uncertain, finding yield and assets that will benefit, rather than suffer, from the current policy response, is a growing problem. We believe cocos fit the bill for these issues."

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Individual government challenges and the Covid-19 debt surge

Individual government challenges and the Covid-19 debt surge

🕔10:56, 28.Oct 2020

Research & Strategy Insights  Considering the rise in government debt in key developed markets  As cases of coronavirus appear to be on a rising trend again in the US and have picked up sharply across Europe, negative risks to the

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Policy hurdles, political dilemmas

Policy hurdles, political dilemmas

🕔12:54, 16.Oct 2020

After some U-turns from the US President and although discussions are continuing, no deal has been found on a new fiscal stimulus package. The Fed has been very explicit on the necessity of a timely and comprehensive additional budgetary push

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Guide to the Markets

Guide to the Markets

🕔12:46, 14.Oct 2020

Europe | | 4Q 2020 As of 30 September 2020  

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Pandemic poised to accelerate underlying trends

Pandemic poised to accelerate underlying trends

🕔07:54, 14.Oct 2020

European Gazette / Summer 2020 We now have a two-speed economy, and much talk about a disconnect between stock market and economy. But this won’t change our research and stock picking focus When meeting clients, I am often asked to give

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Weekly Market Recap – 12 october 2020

Weekly Market Recap – 12 october 2020

🕔09:50, 13.Oct 2020

Wall Street kept a close eye on on-again, off-again negotiations over a new coronavirus relief package. Shares rose Monday after reports that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin had spoken by phone and were prepared to exchange

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Welcome to a new high yield universe

Welcome to a new high yield universe

🕔07:48, 7.Oct 2020

European Gazette / Summer 2020 As we started Q4 in 2019, we saw the economic cycle coming to an end. We were slightly perturbed that markets wanted to be quite bullish as Q3 numbers showed firms meeting and beating expectations.

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Weekly Market Recap – 5 October 2020

Weekly Market Recap – 5 October 2020

🕔09:13, 6.Oct 2020

Multi-Asset Solutions EMEA Summary for the week ending on Friday, 2 October  The political environment seemed to play a large role in driving sentiment last week. Investors kept a close eye on conflicting signals on stimulus negotiations between Treasury Secretary

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Coronavirus: what now for economies and markets?

Coronavirus: what now for economies and markets?

🕔15:31, 2.Oct 2020

European Gazette / Summer 2020 It’s been a tumultuous time for investors everywhere. Momentum is the key when looking at future prospects for stock markets and employment prospects across the continent Europe is now more than half a year into

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Gravity wins in the end

Gravity wins in the end

🕔09:30, 29.Sep 2020

Research & Strategy Insights  The sense of disappointment on the state of the recovery is particularly acute in Europe, where the traditional macro indicators, such as the PMIs or the forward-looking components of the national surveys, are already pointing to

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European ETF Industry Evolution: 2 Crises Survived and 10 Years of Growth

European ETF Industry Evolution: 2 Crises Survived and 10 Years of Growth

🕔11:30, 23.Sep 2020

While ETFs have been available in Europe since 2000, in the 10 years following the Global Financial Crisis we have seen a boom in ETF asset growth. Over this period, ETFs in Europe have seen a compounded annual growth rate

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Enduring Yield: European Commercial Real Estate Debt

Enduring Yield: European Commercial Real Estate Debt

🕔09:37, 21.Sep 2020

The European real-estate debt market has changed dramatically since the Global Financial Crisis, with bank lending activity – constrained by regulatory capital and oversight – creating a structural opportunity for non-bank lenders to exploit. As such, we believe European commercial

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Weekly Market Recap

Weekly Market Recap

🕔11:09, 15.Sep 2020

The continuing lack of progress in Congress on a new stimulus package seemed to be weighing on sentiment, with investors particularly worried about the building financial pressures on states and municipalities. On Thursday, Republicans brought …

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Economic and Political Backdrop

Economic and Political Backdrop

🕔07:41, 8.Sep 2020

The US A light week for economic data was highlighted by the Labour Department’s monthly non-farm payroll report, showing that employers added 1.4 million jobs in August, a number in line with consensus estimates. Temporary workers who were hired to

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The EU Recovery Fund: An Unprecedented Step, But No Panacea

The EU Recovery Fund: An Unprecedented Step, But No Panacea

🕔14:52, 3.Sep 2020

The European Union’s EUR 750 billion recovery fund is a historic move that could pave the way for fiscal integration for the bloc. The macroeconomic reforms linked to the fund will not, however, be enough to generate long‑term growth or

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Implications of a weaker dollar

Implications of a weaker dollar

🕔15:12, 12.Aug 2020

Weekly commentary A prolonged period of U.S. dollar gains has reversed abruptly. The policy revolution to cushion the pandemic’s blow is a key driver, as it has eroded the dollar’s interest rate advantage and helped lift risk appetite off its

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Applied philosophy

Applied philosophy

🕔11:21, 10.Aug 2020

Factors in two flavours  Strange things are happening with factors. Was the market turbulence in February and March just a dream? Factors seem to tell us that the market …

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European Fund Industry Review—H1 2020

European Fund Industry Review—H1 2020

🕔13:19, 6.Aug 2020

The European fund industry faced estimated net inflows in H1 2020. The overall fund flows for mutual funds in Europe amounted to estimated net inflows of €123.0 bn for H1 2020. • Money market funds (+€152.5 bn) were the best-selling

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