Policymakers globally are increasingly supportive of the climate transition. Europe recently announced its ambitious plan to reduce emissions by 55% by 2030, in line with its plan for climate neutrality by 2050. China has committed to carbon neutrality by 2060, Japan and South Korea by 2050. More than 50% of global GDP is …
Markets continued to focus on hopes for a recovery rather than risks. The epidemic seems to be slowing in the United States and in United Kingdom. It appears to be under control in Europe.
While the Biden administration put eradicating the coronavirus at the top of its agenda, taking action on regulations with executive orders has also been a top priority. Deregulation was a defining focus of …
2021 began with renewed bouts of volatility with a tug of war emerging between concerns over slow vaccine rollouts especially on the continent and delays in US fiscal support against positive earnings trends.
With the pandemic-induced shutdown of 2020 — which caused the worst recession since the Great Depression — behind us, solid growth is expected across major economies in 2021, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
Capital Group European Opportunities (LUX) will be available to investors in Asia and Europe with its launch as a Luxembourg-domiciled fund in February 2021. The fund will offer access to a longstanding European equity strategy, originally launched as a segregated account in 1992. The fund will be managed by …
After a rollercoaster 2020 for European high yield markets, 2021 looks set to be more stable. Fears of high levels of corporate defaults have proved unjustified, allowing high yield to rebound in 2020 and setting the scene for the coming year. While the second Covid-19 wave, and the new variant, are weighing on recovery, once vaccinations bring the virus under control a degree of normality …
Unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus and late-year positive news on vaccines fueled a relentless rally in …
In September 2020 we published our long-term outlook (link). At that time we anticipated that the economic recovery in the eurozone would start in the second half of 2020 and that the rebound would continue into 2021. Unfortunately, after a strong economic recovery in the third quarter, many eurozone countries imposed new lockdown …
In a turbulent 2020 infrastructure was an apparent safe haven, proving relatively resilient. However, the unprecedented shock to the asset class across all industry sectors and geographies at the same time, in a short period of time, has provided food for thought on several issues.
In the last few years new words have been invading our everyday vocabulary. We have gone from ‘climate change’ and ‘green economy’ to the more specialised ‘sustainability’ and ‘integration’ and the utterly bizarre ‘principal adverse impact’ and ‘taxonomy’. What is
Market Flash Falling temperatures have exacerbated the global sanitary situation. In Europe, Germany and the UK reinforced restrictions. Cases have also started rising again in Asia, a worry for Japan and South Korea which had managed to control the first
There are reasons for optimism in 2021. Forget a U-shaped recovery; the letter we look for in 2021 is V, which stands for vaccine. Our baseline scenario is that vaccines roll out across Europe in early 2021, allowing business and
Aandelenmarkten lopen vooruit op het economisch herstel in Europa, al is de omvang nog onduidelijk. Beleggers zullen in de eerste helft van 2021 nog geconfronteerd worden met extra volatiliteit, ondanks het positieve nieuws over coronavaccins. Wél zijn er duidelijke pluspunten
Monthly Investment Outlook – December Key points Downside risks weigh on Q4 growth in several countries due to rising contagion and pressure on hospitals; European activity should contract in Q4, and a parallel slowdown is expected in the US, while
European equities | December 2020 The EU’s decision to put building modernisation at the heart of its drive to reduce CO2 emissions heralds a major spending programme to transform energy efficiency. It also represents a wider drive across the continent
Monthly Investment Outlook – December Key points Downside risks weigh on Q4 growth in several countries due to rising contagion and pressure on hospitals; European activity should contract in Q4, and a parallel slowdown is expected in the US, while
Capital Group New Perspective Fund (LUX) It’s been five years since Capital Group launched its New Perspective strategy in a Luxembourgdomiciled vehicle, giving investors in Europe and Asia access to a core global equity strategy with a successful 47-year track
Multi-asset | November 2020 Coronavirus cases are rising at an alarming rate in the US and Europe, so why are equities reaching new highs? With the Covid-19 case count rising rapidly across the United States and Europe, the immediate economic
White Paper: European Small Caps – Rising Stars The big story in 2020 has been the coronavirus pandemic and its impact on the global economy, government finances and corporate earnings, leading to heightened levels of equity market volatility. Smaller companies
Investment Outlook 2021 – Legacy of the Lockdowns TAKEAWAYS The global economy faced a crisis of unprecedented magnitude following the coronavirus pandemic lockdowns. A sharp global contraction in early 2020, and possible renewed dip in Europe in the fourth
UBAM – Hybrid Bond Opportunity in European Banks AT1 bonds Key takeaways: Fundamentally, European banks are solid with strong capital ratios and should exit the Covid-19 crisis unscathed The macro picture continues to improve, assisted by significant central bank support
"With deficits growing and the outlook uncertain, finding yield and assets that will benefit, rather than suffer, from the current policy response, is a growing problem. We believe cocos fit the bill for these issues."
Research & Strategy Insights Considering the rise in government debt in key developed markets As cases of coronavirus appear to be on a rising trend again in the US and have picked up sharply across Europe, negative risks to the
After some U-turns from the US President and although discussions are continuing, no deal has been found on a new fiscal stimulus package. The Fed has been very explicit on the necessity of a timely and comprehensive additional budgetary push
Europe | | 4Q 2020 As of 30 September 2020
European Gazette / Summer 2020 We now have a two-speed economy, and much talk about a disconnect between stock market and economy. But this won’t change our research and stock picking focus When meeting clients, I am often asked to give
Wall Street kept a close eye on on-again, off-again negotiations over a new coronavirus relief package. Shares rose Monday after reports that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin had spoken by phone and were prepared to exchange
European Gazette / Summer 2020 As we started Q4 in 2019, we saw the economic cycle coming to an end. We were slightly perturbed that markets wanted to be quite bullish as Q3 numbers showed firms meeting and beating expectations.
Multi-Asset Solutions EMEA Summary for the week ending on Friday, 2 October The political environment seemed to play a large role in driving sentiment last week. Investors kept a close eye on conflicting signals on stimulus negotiations between Treasury Secretary
European Gazette / Summer 2020 It’s been a tumultuous time for investors everywhere. Momentum is the key when looking at future prospects for stock markets and employment prospects across the continent Europe is now more than half a year into
Research & Strategy Insights The sense of disappointment on the state of the recovery is particularly acute in Europe, where the traditional macro indicators, such as the PMIs or the forward-looking components of the national surveys, are already pointing to
While ETFs have been available in Europe since 2000, in the 10 years following the Global Financial Crisis we have seen a boom in ETF asset growth. Over this period, ETFs in Europe have seen a compounded annual growth rate
The European real-estate debt market has changed dramatically since the Global Financial Crisis, with bank lending activity – constrained by regulatory capital and oversight – creating a structural opportunity for non-bank lenders to exploit. As such, we believe European commercial
The continuing lack of progress in Congress on a new stimulus package seemed to be weighing on sentiment, with investors particularly worried about the building financial pressures on states and municipalities. On Thursday, Republicans brought …
The US A light week for economic data was highlighted by the Labour Department’s monthly non-farm payroll report, showing that employers added 1.4 million jobs in August, a number in line with consensus estimates. Temporary workers who were hired to
The European Union’s EUR 750 billion recovery fund is a historic move that could pave the way for fiscal integration for the bloc. The macroeconomic reforms linked to the fund will not, however, be enough to generate long‑term growth or
Weekly commentary A prolonged period of U.S. dollar gains has reversed abruptly. The policy revolution to cushion the pandemic’s blow is a key driver, as it has eroded the dollar’s interest rate advantage and helped lift risk appetite off its
Factors in two flavours Strange things are happening with factors. Was the market turbulence in February and March just a dream? Factors seem to tell us that the market …
The European fund industry faced estimated net inflows in H1 2020. The overall fund flows for mutual funds in Europe amounted to estimated net inflows of €123.0 bn for H1 2020. • Money market funds (+€152.5 bn) were the best-selling
Summary for the week ending on Friday, 30 July Last week’s corporate earnings reports demonstrated that some major companies are benefiting from the pandemic’s impact on consumer patterns. This was on clear display Thursday evening, when Facebook, Amazon.com, Apple and
Summary for the week ending on Friday, 30 July Last week’s corporate earnings reports demonstrated that some major companies are benefiting from the pandemic’s impact on consumer patterns. This was on clear display Thursday evening, when Facebook, Amazon.com, Apple and
The agreement reached among EU leaders at the end of the longest European Council in history regarding a comprehensive package worth €1,824bn – including the Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) and the Next Generation EU (NGEU) instrument – is a significant
We consider European stocks the most attractive regional exposure to a multispeed global restart, especially versus emerging markets outside of north Asia. We could see a $1-1.5 trillion U.S. fiscal package that extends some, but not all, federal stimulus measures
Although in relative terms Europe appears to be in “a good place” at the moment, to borrow words from Christine Lagarde, daunting challenges still abound. The virus is much better controlled than in the US, but given the lower European
Will it change our style and perception of value? This paper focuses on ESG in the context of the Covid-19 ‘coronavirus’ pandemic, specifically in the syndicated European bank loan market. Amid the global health crisis, there has been a renewed
The European Recovery Instrument is Neither a Hamiltonian Moment nor a non-Hamiltonian Muddle We answer key questions about new EU proposals for a joint fiscal cushion in response to COVID-19: Are these plans a “Hamiltonian Moment” — after Alexander Hamilton’s
Regulators in the UK and Europe have introduced a de-facto ban on bank dividends. The rationale for this is that banks provide a critical part of the monetary transmission mechanism. Regulators want to ensure that banks don’t compromise their ability
The European Commission has introduced the “Green Deal”, a plan to make the EU carbon neutral by 2050. Hydrogen plays an important role in the plan. On 10 June, the German government announced its hydrogen strategy, a plan that …
Cyclical conditions are turning more positive for Europe. Easing geopolitical risk and the prospect of massive fiscal resources (national and EU-wide) and monetary support could support a recovery in 2021. The improved …
The Biden administration is letting the DOL’s latest rule go into effect. Learn what this decision may mean for 401(k) professionals. https://bit.ly/3stCXPG #dolrule #dolfiduciaryrule #retirementplanprofessionals #retirementplanregulations #retirementplans
Compliance professionals in private banks have adopted new digital technologies to keep their skills and methods up to date. For more details from our Group Head of Risks & Compliance #Raoul_Jacot_Descombes, read his article in @letemps.
"A year after the #Covid19 outbreak triggered widespread social and economic upheaval, #Asia is emerging out of the crisis stronger and with greater influence on the world stage, pulling the ..." Read more by @PictetAM_NL on @Opinio_Pro -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2021/02/pictet-asset-management/new-asian-century-post-pandemic-opportunity/
