Spotlight While the humanitarian crisis continues unabated in many regions of the world, April should begin to see some respite in terms of infections starting first in Italy and hopefully continuing into other areas of continental Europe as well. As
Corona-Virus weighs on Eurozone economy All countries in the Eurozone have gradually begun to impose significant restrictions on public life from mid-March onwards in order to stem the spread of the coronavirus. We are therefore lowering our GDP forecast for
Corona-Virus weighs on Eurozone economy All countries in the Eurozone have gradually begun to impose significant restrictions on public life from mid-March onwards in order to stem the spread of the coronavirus. We are therefore lowering our GDP forecast for
Growth in CEE to dive deeper into negative territory Recent developments have deprived us of optimism and we revise our CEE growth forecast down to -4.7% this year. March PMI indices in Germany and the Eurozone plunged, dragged down by
Corona-Virus weighs on Eurozone economy All countries in the Eurozone have gradually begun to impose significant restrictions on public life from mid-March onwards in order to stem the spread of the coronavirus. We are therefore lowering our GDP forecast for
Markets are very weak and volatile, as you would expect with such uncertainty around the Covid19 outbreak. Some days the moves are indiscriminate and everything plunges to a broadly similar degree, on other days our higher quality names are outperforming.
Corona-Virus weighs on Eurozone economy All countries in the Eurozone have gradually begun to impose significant restrictions on public life from mid-March onwards in order to stem the spread of the coronavirus. We are therefore lowering our GDP forecast for
Corona-Virus weighs on Eurozone economy All countries in the Eurozone have gradually begun to impose significant restrictions on public life from mid-March onwards in order to stem the spread of the coronavirus. We are therefore lowering our GDP forecast for
Key points: Global stocks have fallen sharply following confirmation that the coronavirus has spread beyond Asia. The outbreak poses a significant near-term threat to the eurozone’s fragile recovery. The impact leaves Germany the most exposed through its trade links with
Investors the world over have made allocations to U.S. stocks, which include some of the world’s largest companies. Ex-U.S. investors appear to have explored little beyond the so-called “blue chips,” however. As shown later, European fund investors, in particular, have
SARS-CoV-2 to weigh on economic outlook Since the outbreak of the new Coronavirus in China at the end of December 2019, the situation has changed significantly. The number of infected people is tenfold compared to the SARS epidemic from 2003
Markets in turmoil – our outlook Nobody can currently estimate how fast and how far the new coronavirus will spread. The markets have reacted strongly this week, probably too strongly, to the global spread of the virus. We expect the
No recession in sight. Focus moves to environmental issues. A key focus of 2020 will, we think, be ‘green spending’. It is set to move to the forefront in Europe and China; and be a major presidential election issue in
This week in CEE This week, the Hungarian central bank meeting is likely to be a key event. After the surge in the January inflation rate toward 4.7% y/y, the central bank verbally intervened by saying it will do whatever
European Investor Returns 2019 It is understandable that dramatic macroeconomic events have made it more difficult for European investors to invest successfully than it has for others. After the drawdown of the global financial crisis of 2008-09, equity valuations quickly
We strongly disagree with the assessment that the US and Europe are heading to a recession. The macro is still running slightly above potential in the US and in Europe. There is not enough leverage from households, a necessary condition
Index Dashboard: Europe Despite reaching all–time highs earlier in the month, the S&P Europe 350 finished January with a loss of 1.3%, ending a four–month streak of gains.Weak economic growth in the Eurozone weighed on sentiment, and equities were pulled
FocusPoint In the current low-yield environment, European fixed income investors need to look to alternative asset categories to increase the yield of their portfolios. Given the current stage of the credit cycle, though, they generally have no desire to increase
Global economy: Trade tensions and broader uncertainty drag on demand and supply The continued slowdown in global growth foreseen a year ago has been accentuated during 2019 by a deterioration in the global industrial cycle. A broad escalation of policy
Cross Asset Investment Strategy As we approach the year-end, a look back over the past 12 months reminds us how unconventional this year of records has been. On the upside, equities rallied to historical highs in December and fixed income
2020 is a tipping point. 2020 is a tipping point.We’ve lived with growing levels of geopolitical risk for nearly a decade, but without a true international crisis. Outside of geopolitics, global trends have been strongly favorable. That’s now changing. Globalization is key.
Since Mark Denham took over the Carmignac Portfolio Grande Europe fund (SICAV) in 2016, he has demonstrated a rigorous approach to stock selection while also maintaining an unwavering belief in the importance of socially responsible investment. These qualities have led
Eurozone output remains positive, but sluggish, with Consensus forecasts of 1.1% for 2019. National data showed that Q3 2019 GDP growth remained stable in Italy (0.1%), Spain (0.4%) and France (0.3%). However, the slump affecting the export-oriented manufacturing sector, most
2020 Outlook In brief: – 2019 was marked by a significant slowdown in global growth. – Our scenario for 2020: no recession, despite a slowdown in economic activity in the US and in China and sluggish growth in Europe. –
Global analysis of venture funding Welcome to the Q3’19 edition of KPMG Enterprise’s Venture Pulse — a quarterly report highlighting the key trends, opportunities, and challenges facing the venture capital market globally and in key jurisdictions around the world. Strong
Munis hit turbulence in a flight to safety -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/blackrock/munis-hit-turbulence-in-a-flight-to-safety/ #cash #coronavirus #FixedIncome #lending #municipalbond #COVID19 via
@blackrock
Emerging markets debt: Determinants of sovereign bond quality and returns -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/eaton-vance/emerging-markets-debt-determinants-of-sovereign-bond-quality-and-returns/ #credit #EmergingMarkets #debt #fiscalpolicy #sovereignbonds via
@EatonPartners
@EatonVance
Fixed Income Market Update -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/voya/fixed-income-market-update-4/ #fixedincome #highyield #EMD via #Voya
The corona shock in commodity prices -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/abn-amro/the-corona-shock-in-commodity-prices/ #Commodities #GOLD #oilprice #OPEC #coronavirus #COVID19 via
@ABNAMROeconomen
US Senate approved US fiscal package -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/hsbc/us-senate-approved-us-fiscal-package/ #fiscal #CoronaCrisis #COVIDー19 #inflation #Recession2020 via
@HSBC
