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Next Generation EU: corona als katalysator voor klimaatplannen en digitalisering

Next Generation EU: corona als katalysator voor klimaatplannen en digitalisering

🕔08:00, 19.Jun 2020

Obligaties uitgegeven door de Europese Unie (EU); waar het voor de coronapandemie niet voor mogelijk werd gehouden, staat dit nu in het plan van de Europese Commissie om de Europese economie een nodige kickstart te geven. Als het pakket wordt

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Aegon AM – Webinar – Aegon European ABS – live webinar with Frank Meijer and Egbert Bronsema

🕔11:00, 16.Jun 2020

Webinar – Aegon European ABS – live webinar with Frank Meijer and Egbert Bronsema Three months after fixed income markets reacted to the shock of the global pandemic and the unprecedented measures taken by central banks and governments, we look

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ESG Deepens Insights in European High Yield

ESG Deepens Insights in European High Yield

🕔12:51, 11.Jun 2020

KEY INSIGHTS ESG factors are incorporated into the research process, serving as an important input into decision‑making. The growing importance of ESG in Europe is having a trickle‑down effect on companies. Seeing a greater awareness of ESG among high yield companies,

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Weekly Market Recap

Weekly Market Recap

🕔08:41, 9.Jun 2020

Upside surprises in labour market data appeared to drive much of last week’s positive sentiment. Stocks rose sharply on Wednesday, following a much smallerthan-expected decline in ADP’s tally of monthly payrolls. The payroll processing …

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Music, Moonlight, Love and Romance in European Fixed Income

Music, Moonlight, Love and Romance in European Fixed Income

🕔10:39, 5.Jun 2020

Monetary accommodation and fiscal stimulus are abundant, but the outlook for many companies is less stellar. Corporate defaults will undoubtedly rise significantly. There is now greater yield dispersion between the northern and southern members of the Eurozone, between high-yield and

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Define ”Big”

Define ”Big”

🕔10:53, 2.Jun 2020

Research & Strategy Insights  The European Commission “doubled down” on the Franco-German initiative and came out with a bigger quantum for its “Next Generation” package and proposals for new “own resources”. This is politically important. While we are still very

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Weekly Market Recap

Weekly Market Recap

🕔10:00, 2.Jun 2020

Optimism about the gradual reopening of the global economy seemed to be the primary driver of sentiment last week. As restrictions on public gatherings continued …

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Economic and Political Backdrop

Economic and Political Backdrop

🕔10:11, 26.May 2020

Weekly Market Recap Stocks started last week strong, helped by news of encouraging early test results for a possible coronavirus vaccine. Moderna Therapeutics announced that its …

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Safe havens and QE in this week’s Top Five

Safe havens and QE in this week’s Top Five

🕔10:54, 23.May 2020

#21 A variety of publications in this week’s Top Five, please see below the best read publications: On the fifth place, Blackrock‘s Weekly Commentary “Europe bond outlook under review“: Including their weekly chart: Neuberger Berman‘s “Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 2Q20”

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EZ: crisis does not hit all countries equally hard

EZ: crisis does not hit all countries equally hard

🕔13:16, 21.May 2020

The GDP data of the EU countries for 1Q developed very differently. Interestingly, there is no clear correlation between the duration of the quarantine measures taken and the economic damage caused. It is noticeable that countries such as Austria, Germany,

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Sentiment should brighten in May

Sentiment should brighten in May

🕔09:38, 18.May 2020

Week Ahead Focus: Eurozone PMI data, Eurozone inflation  Looking ahead to next week (May 21), a first flash estimate of PMI data for the manufacturing and service sectors in the Eurozone, Germany and France for May will be released. In

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Economic and Political Backdrop

Economic and Political Backdrop

🕔16:52, 12.May 2020

Weekly Market Recap Last week brought a host of data showing an unprecedented contraction in economic activity, but investors seemed to take hope that the economy was bottoming. On Tuesday, several gauges showed a record contraction in both manufacturing and

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Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises in the euro area

Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises in the euro area

🕔11:50, 11.May 2020

This report presents the main results of the 22nd round of the Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises (SAFE), which was conducted between 2 March and 8 April 2020. Despite the difficulties in conducting the survey owing to

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Morningstar – Webinar – Market Observations Across Asset Classes in Europe

🕔15:00, 6.May 2020

Webinar – Market Observations Across Asset Classes in Europe The last months have proven to be an extraordinary and unique period with some of the most volatile movements that have ever been seen, even surpassing those witnessed during the height

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Index Dashboard: Europe

Index Dashboard: Europe

🕔11:11, 5.May 2020

April offered a welcome rally for global equities as the novel shock of pandemic became cruelly familiar, and markets adjusted to the new normal. The S&P Europe 350 gained 6% on the month, picking up steam in the final week

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We lower our GDP forecast for 2020 to -3.5%

We lower our GDP forecast for 2020 to -3.5%

🕔13:50, 1.May 2020

Corona-Virus weighs on Eurozone economy All countries in the Eurozone have gradually begun to impose significant restrictions on public life from mid-March onwards in order to stem the spread of the coronavirus. We are therefore lowering our GDP forecast for

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Slowly out of limbo

Slowly out of limbo

🕔14:54, 27.Apr 2020

Monthly Investment Strategy Key points As some capacity is being re-created in healthcare systems, exiting lockdown by mid-May looks doable. We think it will be a subdued rebound though, and economic policy will need to help “for the long haul”.

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Capital Markets View Summary

Capital Markets View Summary

🕔13:45, 27.Apr 2020

Global equity volatility remains elevated after spiking to levels not seen since the global financial crisis as investors sold equities somewhat indiscriminately over the past several weeks. Valuations and corporate profit margins were rich coming into the coronavirus pandemic, priced

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We lower our GDP forecast for 2020 to -3.5%

We lower our GDP forecast for 2020 to -3.5%

🕔17:11, 24.Apr 2020

Corona-Virus weighs on Eurozone economy All countries in the Eurozone have gradually begun to impose significant restrictions on public life from mid-March onwards in order to stem the spread of the coronavirus. We are therefore lowering our GDP forecast for

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We are in uncharted territory

We are in uncharted territory

🕔11:00, 20.Apr 2020

Research Blast – COVID-19 European Office Markets Series, edition 1 Within a matter of weeks, COVID-19 has caused an unprecedented level of disruption to all asset classes. Office real estate markets are by no means immune to this, but due to

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We lower our GDP forecast for 2020 to -3.5%

We lower our GDP forecast for 2020 to -3.5%

🕔17:01, 17.Apr 2020

Corona-Virus weighs on Eurozone economy All countries in the Eurozone have gradually begun to impose significant restrictions on public life from mid-March onwards in order to stem the spread of the coronavirus. We are therefore lowering our GDP forecast for

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Coronabonds Reopen Europe’s Divide

Coronabonds Reopen Europe’s Divide

🕔16:56, 17.Apr 2020

Before “normal” was redefined by COVID-19, I spent a fair amount of time traveling to give presentations. (So much, in fact, that my wife used to joke that I should change my address to the airport, because that is where

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EU agrees joint fiscal response

EU agrees joint fiscal response

🕔07:44, 17.Apr 2020

EU finance ministers have agreed a EUR540bn package of fiscal measures to ease the economic impact of COVID-19 The package marks a significant first step in providing a joint response to COVID-19 but concerns remain Tensions could resurface at future

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Global Monthly – Recession deeper still, but worse and better outcome possible

Global Monthly – Recession deeper still, but worse and better outcome possible

🕔16:40, 16.Apr 2020

The extension and widening of the lockdown in the Eurozone and the US has driven us to make a further downward revision of our baseline expectations for the economy in 2020. We also sketch a negative and a positive scenario,

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Who will pay?

Who will pay?

🕔08:39, 15.Apr 2020

Key points The recession in the first half of 2020 is deeper than initially thought, but markets focus on a rebound in 2H. We remain circumspect on the relief the Eurogroup’s package can bring to fragile member states Policy-makers need

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COVID-19: The tug of war begins

COVID-19: The tug of war begins

🕔10:00, 8.Apr 2020

Spotlight While the humanitarian crisis continues unabated in many regions of the world, April should begin to see some respite in terms of infections starting first in Italy and hopefully continuing into other areas of continental Europe as well. As

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Adverse scenario becomes reality

Adverse scenario becomes reality

🕔11:32, 31.Mar 2020

Growth in CEE to dive deeper into negative territory Recent developments have deprived us of optimism and we revise our CEE growth forecast down to -4.7% this year. March PMI indices in Germany and the Eurozone plunged, dragged down by

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Coronavirus market volatility: performance update

Coronavirus market volatility: performance update

🕔16:14, 27.Mar 2020

Markets are very weak and volatile, as you would expect with such uncertainty around the Covid19 outbreak. Some days the moves are indiscriminate and everything plunges to a broadly similar degree, on other days our higher quality names are outperforming.

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We lower our GDP forecast for 2020 to -3.5%

We lower our GDP forecast for 2020 to -3.5%

🕔10:34, 26.Mar 2020

Corona-Virus weighs on Eurozone economy All countries in the Eurozone have gradually begun to impose significant restrictions on public life from mid-March onwards in order to stem the spread of the coronavirus. We are therefore lowering our GDP forecast for

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Coronavirus: Potential impact on the European economy

Coronavirus: Potential impact on the European economy

🕔15:43, 11.Mar 2020

Key points: Global stocks have fallen sharply following confirmation that the coronavirus has spread beyond Asia. The outbreak poses a significant near-term threat to the eurozone’s fragile recovery. The impact leaves Germany the most exposed through its trade links with

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The Half-Discovered Continent: U.S. Equities Beyond the S&P 500

The Half-Discovered Continent: U.S. Equities Beyond the S&P 500

🕔11:30, 9.Mar 2020

Investors the world over have made allocations to U.S. stocks, which include some of the world’s largest companies. Ex-U.S. investors appear to have explored little beyond the so-called “blue chips,” however. As shown later, European fund investors, in particular, have

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Spread of SARS-CoV-2 to Europe

Spread of SARS-CoV-2 to Europe

🕔09:55, 6.Mar 2020

SARS-CoV-2 to weigh on economic outlook  Since the outbreak of the new Coronavirus in China at the end of December 2019, the situation has changed significantly. The number of infected people is tenfold compared to the SARS epidemic from 2003

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Focus: Effects of Covid-19

Focus: Effects of Covid-19

🕔14:56, 5.Mar 2020

Markets in turmoil – our outlook Nobody can currently estimate how fast and how far the new coronavirus will spread. The markets have reacted strongly this week, probably too strongly, to the global spread of the virus. We expect the

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A year of turning green

A year of turning green

🕔17:07, 2.Mar 2020

No recession in sight. Focus moves to environmental issues.  A key focus of 2020 will, we think, be ‘green spending’. It is set to move to the forefront in Europe and China; and be a major presidential election issue in

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All eyes on Hungarian central bank

All eyes on Hungarian central bank

🕔09:56, 25.Feb 2020

This week in CEE This week, the Hungarian central bank meeting is likely to be a key event. After the surge in the January inflation rate toward 4.7% y/y, the central bank verbally intervened by saying it will do whatever

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Investors Continue to Lose Returns From Timing in European Funds

Investors Continue to Lose Returns From Timing in European Funds

🕔17:02, 24.Feb 2020

European Investor Returns 2019  It is understandable that dramatic macroeconomic events have made it more difficult for European investors to invest successfully than it has for others. After the drawdown of the global financial crisis of 2008-09, equity valuations quickly

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H2O 2020 outlook

H2O 2020 outlook

🕔13:09, 3.Feb 2020

We strongly disagree with the assessment that the US and Europe are heading to a recession. The macro is still running slightly above potential in the US and in Europe. There is not enough leverage from households, a necessary condition

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Index Dashboard: Europe

Index Dashboard: Europe

🕔09:55, 3.Feb 2020

Index Dashboard: Europe Despite reaching all–time highs earlier in the month, the S&P Europe 350 finished January with a loss of 1.3%, ending a four–month streak of gains.Weak economic growth in the Eurozone weighed on sentiment, and equities were pulled

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Why invest in European ABS?

Why invest in European ABS?

🕔17:11, 20.Jan 2020

FocusPoint In the current low-yield environment, European fixed income investors need to look to alternative asset categories to increase the yield of their portfolios. Given the current stage of the credit cycle, though, they generally have no desire to increase

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Vanguard’s global outlook for 2020

Vanguard’s global outlook for 2020

🕔16:43, 20.Jan 2020

Global economy: Trade tensions and broader uncertainty drag on demand and supply The continued slowdown in global growth foreseen a year ago has been accentuated during 2019 by a deterioration in the global industrial cycle. A broad escalation of policy

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Records, surprises and opportunities

Records, surprises and opportunities

🕔07:10, 17.Jan 2020

Cross Asset Investment Strategy As we approach the year-end, a look back over the past 12 months reminds us how unconventional this year of records has been. On the upside, equities rallied to historical highs in December and fixed income

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Top Risk 2020

Top Risk 2020

🕔14:06, 14.Jan 2020

2020 is a tipping point. 2020 is a tipping point.We’ve lived with growing levels of geopolitical risk for nearly a decade, but without a true international crisis. Outside of geopolitics, global trends have been strongly favorable. That’s now changing. Globalization is key.

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European Equities according to Mark Denham

European Equities according to Mark Denham

🕔07:15, 10.Jan 2020

Since Mark Denham took over the Carmignac Portfolio Grande Europe fund (SICAV) in 2016, he has demonstrated a rigorous approach to stock selection while also maintaining an unwavering belief in the importance of socially responsible investment. These qualities have led

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Think European cities Trends & tactics 2020 outlook

Think European cities Trends & tactics 2020 outlook

🕔13:10, 7.Jan 2020

Eurozone output remains positive, but sluggish, with Consensus forecasts of 1.1% for 2019. National data showed that Q3 2019 GDP growth remained stable in Italy (0.1%), Spain (0.4%) and France (0.3%). However, the slump affecting the export-oriented manufacturing sector, most

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HAS CALM BEEN RESTORED?

HAS CALM BEEN RESTORED?

🕔16:51, 9.Dec 2019

2020 Outlook In brief:  – 2019 was marked by a significant slowdown in global growth. – Our scenario for 2020: no recession, despite a slowdown in economic activity in the US and in China and sluggish growth in Europe. –

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Venture Pulse Q3 2019

Venture Pulse Q3 2019

🕔13:54, 7.Dec 2019

Global analysis of venture funding Welcome to the Q3’19 edition of KPMG Enterprise’s Venture Pulse — a quarterly report highlighting the key trends, opportunities, and challenges facing the venture capital market globally and in key jurisdictions around the world. Strong

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Compass Autumn 2019

Compass Autumn 2019

🕔13:42, 7.Dec 2019

Compass In this quarter’s publication, we focus on Europe – in particular to see if it is still an attractive place to invest despite the apparent headwinds. Europe can often appear a somewhat unwitting victim of events outside of its

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Global growth upgraded as the cycle extends

Global growth upgraded as the cycle extends

🕔16:44, 4.Dec 2019

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint December 2019 “We're in the final throes of a very important deal… it's going very well.” President Trump on the US-China trade talks, 26 November, Bloomberg. ​ We are upgrading our global growth forecasts in response to

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Index Dashboard: Europe

Index Dashboard: Europe

🕔10:49, 2.Dec 2019

Summary European equities rose this month, for once without any new stimulus from central banks. Instead, improving economic data saw both stock prices and bond yields rise. The S&P Europe 350 gained 3%, keeping it on track for its best year since 2009. 

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CEE to remain among growth leaders in EU

CEE to remain among growth leaders in EU

🕔11:01, 27.Nov 2019

Throughout the year, CEE economies have been among the growth leaders in Europe. We expect them to remain so next year, despite external headwinds that are behind the slowdown. So far, strong domestic demand has been shielding the region from

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