8 key investment themes for 2020

8 key investment themes for 2020

🕔07:52, 27.jan 2020

Rick Rieder, Russ Brownback and Trevor Slaven contend that eight major market influences are likely to dominate the investment environment in the year ahead and that the proper portfolio mix will be instrumental in delivering a successful outcome. In our

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The US federal reserve’s ‘whatever it takes’ moment has arrived

The US federal reserve’s ‘whatever it takes’ moment has arrived

🕔08:37, 24.jan 2020

Monthly investment outlook Global equities pressed higher in December with risk free yields rising while credit spreads compressed as liquidity growth accelerated into year end. With the Fed recognising that it had not eased the USD liquidity backdrop meaningfully since September’

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The ECB, the FED, rates, yields and currencies

The ECB, the FED, rates, yields and currencies

🕔14:02, 22.jan 2020

As much as central banks drive bond markets, as little they drive currencies. At least in the short term. But in 2020 they are likely to drive little anyways. Even though central banks were once again among the most important

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The recessionary cloud is about to lift

The recessionary cloud is about to lift

🕔16:58, 20.jan 2020

Take the lead – Global Insights 2020 The dominant theme as 2019 began – following three months of steep falls on world markets – was recession. But this threat was not obvious to us. Markets were pricing a downturn that

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Economic resilience, Fed and elections to drive US markets in 2020

Economic resilience, Fed and elections to drive US markets in 2020

🕔16:55, 20.jan 2020

Investment Insights Blue Paper Fixed income: attractive yields in rangebound markets Following the three rate cuts agreed by the Fed last year, the bar for delivering further accommodation is high, and the central bank may be willing to allow some

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“Global economy stabilising but recovery not yet assured”

“Global economy stabilising but recovery not yet assured”

🕔13:33, 17.jan 2020

Global Snapshot Trends to watch: US Fed on hold 13 of 17 participants at the December Federal Open Market Committee meeting expected current official rates to remain appropriate throughout 2020. The central bank injected liquidity via Treasury bill purchases and

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Global Alternatives Outlook

🕔19:25, 15.jan 2020

PRIVATE CREDIT Amid negative yields, opportunities to generate alpha above comparable public debt Our managers’ outlook unfolds against an unusual backdrop: a remarkable rate environment, in which the number of negative-yielding debt instruments is on the rise, with a powerful

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Global Alternatives Outlook

Global Alternatives Outlook

🕔18:01, 15.jan 2020

MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK Why the global economy—and markets—still have room to run Although some of the risks that have weighed on the global economy may be starting to fade, it is too soon to sound the all-clear. We anticipate that 2020

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The 2020-2024 EM fixed income outlook

The 2020-2024 EM fixed income outlook

🕔15:28, 15.jan 2020

Following another year of strong returns, Emerging Markets (EM) fixed income has outperformed developed bond markets by a significant margin over the past four years.  The outperformance is likely to continue in 2020, because EM fixed income remains attractively priced both in

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Some macro risks—such as Brexit—appear to be de-escalating, but uncertainties continue

Some macro risks—such as Brexit—appear to be de-escalating, but uncertainties continue

🕔10:34, 14.jan 2020

Spectrum Asset Management: 2020 Outlook Macro and market Some macro risks—such as Brexit—appear to be de-escalating, but uncertainties continue; trade war negotiations are likely to overhang sentiment into the United States election. The U.S. election process should be spirited and

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For 2020, buy early

For 2020, buy early

🕔08:54, 7.jan 2020

After an astounding 2019, what’s in store for 2020? Russ discusses. We will miss 2019. While 2018’s odd confluence of a weakening economy, rising trade frictions and monetary tightening led to losses in virtually every asset class, this year has

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The case for inflation-linked bonds

The case for inflation-linked bonds

🕔16:06, 6.jan 2020

Mike explains why we favor inflation-linked bonds in both tactical and strategic portfolios. We view inflation risks as underappreciated for 2020 – and beyond. Our base case is for modestly higher U.S. inflation this year, with a risk of upside

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Ghosts of Christmas Past

Ghosts of Christmas Past

🕔11:28, 1.jan 2020

Ghosts of Christmas Past After a very positive year for investors in 2019, we expect lower positive returns on financial assets in 2020 as some Ghosts of Christmas Past reappear. We don’t expect a global or US recession, and anticipate

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Central Bank Watcher: playing the waiting game

Central Bank Watcher: playing the waiting game

🕔15:15, 31.dec 2019

Fed, ECB, PBoC and the Boj

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The most recent US tightening cycle was more aggressive than it appears

The most recent US tightening cycle was more aggressive than it appears

🕔14:15, 19.dec 2019

The latest US tightening cycle was more aggressive than most investors realise. Should avoiding recession be seen as a win?  How aggressive was the Federal Reserve’s most recent hiking cycle? Take the end rate minus the beginning rate, and the

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FOMC signals unchanged rates

FOMC signals unchanged rates

🕔14:30, 18.dec 2019

As expected, the FOMC, the Federal Reserve's (FOMC's) interest rate decision-making body, left the range for the key interest rate unchanged at 1.5-1.75% at the meeting that ended yesterday. The current monetary policy was described as appropriate to support continued

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In 2020, the critical number to know is 1.8

In 2020, the critical number to know is 1.8

🕔12:00, 18.dec 2019

Rick Rieder and Russ Brownback argue that contrary to the many year-end outlooks foreseeing either a recession or a rebound in 2020, the most likely path for the economy and markets is more moderate, which can be encapsulated in their

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You have to take risks if you want return

You have to take risks if you want return

🕔13:06, 11.dec 2019

We expect little movement in bond yields. It's again in corporates and emerging markets that we look for potential returns.  We expect neither the Fed nor the ECB to cut or raise rates in 2020. Euro corporate bonds and emerging-market

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Sifting through the froth

Sifting through the froth

🕔19:33, 9.dec 2019

Positive returns across asset classes in 2019 may limit tax loss selling in closed-end funds, but we see potential long term value in select sectors where investors can still buy assets at a discount. 2019 has been a strong year

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Taking stock of our 2019 views

Taking stock of our 2019 views

🕔17:40, 3.dec 2019

We identified the protectionist push as a key market driver this year but we did not foresee the massive move down in global yields. Scott talks through our 2019 calls. In 2019 the key drivers of global markets have been

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Perspectives from GSAM Strategic Advisory Solutions

Perspectives from GSAM Strategic Advisory Solutions

🕔11:43, 3.dec 2019

Market Pulse MACRO VIEWS FED: The Fed delivered another 25 bps of rate easing, which likely reflects the last mid-cycle adjustment. We expect the Fed to hold rates steady through year-end, barring any persistent weakness in data or inflationary pressures.

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Investors would do well to prepare for greater dispersion

Investors would do well to prepare for greater dispersion

🕔15:44, 20.nov 2019

Rick Rieder and Russ Brownback argue that – in contrast to the past decade of monetary policy lifting all economic boats at once – the years ahead are likely to be characterized by great dispersion between economies, industries and markets.

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Trade Troubles Persist as Central Banks Resist Recession

Trade Troubles Persist as Central Banks Resist Recession

🕔18:44, 18.nov 2019

Global equities rose in September, recapturing some of August’s losses. By contrast, so-called “safe-haven” fixed income asset classes, such as long-maturity U.S. Treasurys, declined, giving back a small portion of their prior month returns. The advance in stocks was led

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Powell’s Audible: We Think We’re There, Time To Pause

Powell’s Audible: We Think We’re There, Time To Pause

🕔18:28, 18.nov 2019

As was widely expected, the Fed cut its target range for the Fed funds rate another 25 bp to 1.50%-1.75% at its meeting on October 29- 30, 2019, citing the global backdrop and below-target inflation as reasons for the easing.

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Renewed expansion of Fed balance sheet will not be QE but will affect markets

Renewed expansion of Fed balance sheet will not be QE but will affect markets

🕔13:38, 18.nov 2019

Recent Fed action: On 30 October the Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate for the third time this year, while hinting at a pause over the next few months. The rate cut followed the Fed’s announcement on 11 October

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De best gelezen #research bij @Opinio_Pro:

#1 7-Year Asset Class Real Return Forecasts #GMO

#2 2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions @InvescoEMEA

#3 What the heart already knew @TriodosIM @TriodosNL

#4 From TINA to FOMO @DWS_Group

-> https://www.opiniopro.com/

Global Asset Allocation Views Q1 2020 -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/01/jp-morgan/global-asset-allocation-views-q1-2020/ #AssetAllocation #credit #equites #Equities #FixedIncome via @JPMorganAM

Economic resilience, Fed and elections to drive US markets in 2020 -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/01/amundi/economic-resilience-fed-and-elections-to-drive-us-markets-in-2020-2/ #consumption #election #monetarypolicy via @Amundi_ENG

The US federal reserve’s ‘whatever it takes’ moment has arrived -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/01/ubp/the-us-federal-reserves-whatever-it-takes-moment-has-arrived/ #AssetAllocation #centralbank #credit #ECB #Equities #FED #USA

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