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Tag "Fixed Income"

ESG en EMD – een langetermijnvisie

ESG en EMD – een langetermijnvisie

🕔15:59, 19.Jan 2022

Beleggers met allocaties naar obligaties uit opkomende markten moeten nu begrijpen wat de werkelijke impact is op opkomende economieën van langetermijnfactoren zoals de klimaatverandering en de ontwikkeling van menselijk kapitaal.

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Barometer: Omikrongolf zal aandelenkoersen niet doen dalen

Barometer: Omikrongolf zal aandelenkoersen niet doen dalen

🕔11:49, 18.Jan 2022

De omikronvariant van het coronavirus heeft misschien tot meer beperkingen geleid, maar het economische herstel blijft niettemin veerkrachtig. De aandelen lijken dan ook niet kwetsbaar voor een correctie. Asset-allocatie: De omikronvariant zal het herstel waarschijnlijk niet doen ontsporen Een nieuw

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Emerging Market Fixed Income 2022 Outlook

Emerging Market Fixed Income 2022 Outlook

🕔15:53, 17.Jan 2022

In this paper, we will discuss the outlook for emerging market (EM) fixed income in 2022 and the key themes investors are likely to focus on at the beginning of this year. A waning global growth momentum, rising inflation and

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Omicron variant: Fixed Income sector impacts

Omicron variant: Fixed Income sector impacts

🕔14:21, 14.Jan 2022

Energy: Most of the companies that survived the initial shocks last year are now leaner with lower cost profiles, lower debt leverage metrics, lower capital spending, and have exhibited flexibility around shareholder distributions, all of which has contributed to stronger

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Senior Loan Talking Points

Senior Loan Talking Points

🕔08:23, 13.Jan 2022

December caped off a good year for the asset class, as the Index returned 0.64% for the month, bringing the full-year return to 5.20%. Following November’s softness, the average Index bid price moved up by 49 bps in the final

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The Aristotle List: 10 improbable but possible outcomes for 2022

The Aristotle List: 10 improbable but possible outcomes for 2022

🕔15:56, 11.Jan 2022

Uncommon truths  It is time to forget central scenarios and think about improbable but possible outcomes. Market sentiment is now mixed (thanks to the Fed), so our list of surprises contains something for everybody (these hypothetical predictions are our views

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EMEA-Listed ETF Flash Flows

EMEA-Listed ETF Flash Flows

🕔13:46, 11.Jan 2022

Asset Category ETFs posted nearly $10.2bn of net inflows in the first week of January. Flows were largely driven by Equity, which gathered $8.8bn Fixed Income gathered $1.4bn of net inflows, while Money Market exposures lost $119mn.

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Central banks: a successful hawkish turn

Central banks: a successful hawkish turn

🕔16:34, 10.Jan 2022

Omicron uncertainty; inflation certainty The resurgence of the virus cycle, central banks’ reactions to high inflation figures, and Evergrande’s unavoidable default have led to some volatility in the market, but these issues have not caused any major disruption. In the

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Emerging Market Fixed Income 2022 Outlook

Emerging Market Fixed Income 2022 Outlook

🕔10:31, 10.Jan 2022

In this paper, we will discuss the outlook for emerging market (EM) fixed income in 2022 and the key themes investors are likely to focus on at the beginning of this year. A waning global growth momentum, rising inflation and

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Expect strong but slowing economic growth in 2022

Expect strong but slowing economic growth in 2022

🕔12:16, 7.Jan 2022

High inflation could persist in 2022, but we’re not returning to the 1970s Inflation is like chewing gum. It’s sticky and flexible, and you definitely don’t want to step in it. For the past 30 years, investors in developed markets

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A tough week for Turkey

A tough week for Turkey

🕔10:38, 5.Jan 2022

Macro / government bonds All three major central banks making decisions last week have demonstrated that they no longer regard the downside risks to economic activity over the coming months as outweighing the need to address inflation pressure.

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Preparing for an inflection in monetary policies looking ahead

Preparing for an inflection in monetary policies looking ahead

🕔11:26, 4.Jan 2022

MONTHLY INVESTMENT OUTLOOK Volatility returned to both equity and bond markets in November and December as equities exited earnings season and markets began to prepare for a change in Fed policies looking ahead. These pivots come amidst a renewed acceleration

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Fixed income: from recovery to expansion

Fixed income: from recovery to expansion

🕔10:40, 3.Jan 2022

In 2022 we expect the market narrative to transition to the traditional expansionary phase of the business cycle. Here’s what it means for fixed income investors.  Monetary headwinds Throughout 2021 the invisible hand of easy global monetary policy supported financial

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Fixed Income Perspectives- Seven Themes to Monitor in the First Half of 2022

Fixed Income Perspectives- Seven Themes to Monitor in the First Half of 2022

🕔08:07, 31.Dec 2021

Global Rates: Yields edge higher driven by ongoing inflation worries and 2022 rate-hike expectations Global Currencies: U.S. dollar remains resilient versus DM, EM currencies, acting as a market barometer of COVID concerns Investment Grade: Despite Fed and virus uncertainty, we see spreads

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Predicting the new issue premium in high yield

Predicting the new issue premium in high yield

🕔16:08, 29.Dec 2021

The “new issue premium” is a proven phenomenon in credit markets. Corporate bonds are often underpriced at issuance, and then post strong price gains. Using documented evidence of this recurring pattern, we researched a set of bondissue features that contribute

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Money Monitor – November 2021

Money Monitor – November 2021

🕔08:45, 28.Dec 2021

In our latest Money Monitor report, we share a comprehensive analysis of flows in European openended funds and ETFs. We also look at the main investment trends observed over the past month.  Key takeaways: The increased anxiety brought by the

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Treasury yields rise as markets await the Fed

Treasury yields rise as markets await the Fed

🕔16:42, 27.Dec 2021

The U.S. Treasury yield curve steepened and spread sectors rallied strongly last week, as fears over the COVID-19 Omicron variant eased and inflation data came in-line with expectations. The Federal Reserve holds its last meeting of 2021 on Wednesday, where

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What went up…must come down (hopefully)!

What went up…must come down (hopefully)!

🕔11:48, 22.Dec 2021

I wonder if anyone at the start of the year would have predicted that US inflation would have risen to 6.8% y/y in November? If we had expected this, you would have thought that bond yields would have traded at

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Investment Traffic Lights December 2021

Investment Traffic Lights December 2021

🕔09:15, 22.Dec 2021

New Omicron virus mutation and a hawkish Jerome Powell turned November into a rather negative month for most asset classes. Whether this is considered a good entry point largely depends on one’s assessment of Omicron and inflation. At this point

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Slower. But still pretty fast

Slower. But still pretty fast

🕔16:49, 21.Dec 2021

Recovery, risks and relationships Looking back over the last couple of years, it seems that while so much in our world has changed, much has remained the same. Yet we’ve learned a few lessons along the way. We seem to

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Q3 earnings season: results better than expected but doubts remain about next year

Q3 earnings season: results better than expected but doubts remain about next year

🕔12:41, 21.Dec 2021

CROSS ASSET Investment Strategy The “real” puzzle Central banks are sticking to their temporary inflation narrative, even though the latest CPI readings support the “sticky” narrative. We think, investors should look for ‘real’ returns in credit offering higher yields, together

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2022 Outlook: The recovery continues in the near term

2022 Outlook: The recovery continues in the near term

🕔16:25, 16.Dec 2021

From pandemic to endemic  IN SHORT Although lower than in 2021, we expect growth to remain above its long-term target Inflation should broadly subside over the course of next year as supply-demand mismatches get resolved and labour market tightness eases

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Yields lower, curves flatter & stronger dollar.

Yields lower, curves flatter & stronger dollar.

🕔09:34, 14.Dec 2021

Core government bond yields were lower and yield curves flatter last week (see chart of the week). More hawkish rhetoric from the recently reappointed Chair of the US Federal Reserve has upset the short end of markets, forcing yields higher.

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How to dismantle a conglomerate.

How to dismantle a conglomerate.

🕔14:58, 10.Dec 2021

If you are looking for market volatility to spice up your week then core government bond markets would be a good place to start. After last weeks ‘communication breakdown’ between central banks and investors, and more dovish policy response, that

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Quarterly macro and market insights

Quarterly macro and market insights

🕔08:22, 10.Dec 2021

Positive but slower global growth is meeting with greater inflation pressures   The global economy maintained its Growth potential is on track to outpace pre-pandemic times positive overall trajectory, though economic indicators grew more mixed. Returns across fixed income were mostly

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2021 Q4 Capital Market Assumptions

2021 Q4 Capital Market Assumptions

🕔08:10, 9.Dec 2021

Summary Q3 2021 Developments Informing Our Long-Term (10-Year) Forecasts: A robust global recovery from the pandemic-induced downturn continued in the third quarter despite speed bumps from the COVID-19 Delta variant spreading around the world. The U.S. economy grew 6.6% in

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Rebuilding USD and duration exposure going into year-end

Rebuilding USD and duration exposure going into year-end

🕔15:49, 8.Dec 2021

ADDING RESILIENCE INTO PORTFOLIOS   Global economy / Asset allocation Facing energy and inflation shocks, global activity is expected to moderate in the coming quarters. Downside risks to growth have grown due to lower visibility, the global energy shock leading to

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What is Priced by the Bond Market and Credit Rating Agencies?

What is Priced by the Bond Market and Credit Rating Agencies?

🕔08:46, 8.Dec 2021

ESG and Sovereign Risk As recently as 10 years ago, ESG was considered a niche investment market reserved for the particularly conscientious investor. Fast-forwarding to today, ESG considerations have been placed firmly at the heart of the finance industry. Consumer

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EMEA-Listed ETF Flash Flows

EMEA-Listed ETF Flash Flows

🕔16:10, 7.Dec 2021

Asset Category ETFs suffered net outflows of $996mn last week amid elevated market uncertainty. Equity weathered net outflows of $856mn while Fixed Income lost $653mn. Investors favoured Commodity, which gathered $327mn, and Money Market exposures which took in $122mn. Equity

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The role bonds play in a portfolio

The role bonds play in a portfolio

🕔01:02, 3.Dec 2021

Building a resilient and balanced portfolio should be a priority for many investors in today’s environment of heightened financial market uncertainty and volatility across a range of asset classes, including equities. With that in mind, now’s a perfect time to

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Swapshop.

Swapshop.

🕔10:22, 1.Dec 2021

Core government bond markets were a little calmer last week with yields a shade lower. This week should be relatively quiet as the US celebrates Thanksgiving on Thursday. We also expect the US President to announce if Jay Powell will

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Markets versus Policymakers: who’s in charge?

Markets versus Policymakers: who’s in charge?

🕔16:03, 29.Nov 2021

Economic data and market expectations have shifted dramatically in the past few months. Gross domestic product growth figures have disappointed while inflation has …

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Respecting Three Centuries of Correlation

Respecting Three Centuries of Correlation

🕔15:12, 27.Nov 2021

In brief In recent decades, negative correlations between stocks and bonds have been a tailwind for asset allocators, but negative correlations have been the historical exception, not the rule. Investors may need to change their expectations given the potential for

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Playing second fiddle

Playing second fiddle

🕔09:50, 25.Nov 2021

US FIXED INCOME 2022 OUTLOOK That’s how the 2022 economic forecasts feel when compared to 2021. For ’22, we see real growth running about 4%, or two times trend. That’s typically great performance, but when you’re coming off a phenomenal

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Earnings momentum and a change in central bank tone

Earnings momentum and a change in central bank tone

🕔12:26, 23.Nov 2021

Supply chain constraints and higher input prices has led to worries that the transitory inflation story may last longer than anticipated. Markets have now become concerned that higher-than-expected inflation may incentivize Central Banks to increase the speed of future monetary

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Vooroplopers en achterblijvers in duurzame transitie

Vooroplopers en achterblijvers in duurzame transitie

🕔14:33, 22.Nov 2021

De Investment Grade (IG) Green Bond markt is in rap tempo gegroeid tot groter dan € 400 miljard. Ter vergelijking: in 2016 was deze markt nog kleiner dan € 50 miljard. Hiermee is de € Green Bond markt inmiddels groter

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Podcast: Are central banks at an inflection point?

Podcast: Are central banks at an inflection point?

🕔14:56, 19.Nov 2021

5 minutes with UBP global fixed income: What do you think of the recent communications from central banks? In this new podcast, our experts Bernard McGrath and Mohammed Kazmi share their views and reflect on the upcoming June meetings.

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Communication breakdown.

Communication breakdown.

🕔14:21, 16.Nov 2021

Bond markets, which have been under considerable pressure recently, saw a very sharp turnaround last week as the US Federal Reserve did no more than expected in the US, while the Bank of England kept rates unchanged, and the European

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Hoe korter hoe beter

Hoe korter hoe beter

🕔11:34, 16.Nov 2021

Waarom beleggers in vastrentende waarden die zich zorgen maken over inflatie en stijgende rendementen, moeten overwegen om over te stappen op kortlopende obligaties. Moeten beleggers zich zorgen maken over de inflatie? Er zijn zeker redenen tot bezorgdheid. De knelpunten in

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November Investment Traffic Lights

November Investment Traffic Lights

🕔11:57, 15.Nov 2021

CIO View October has seen new record highs and record returns Events were less friendly to bonds, as inflation fears are prompting central banks to act sooner than expected Many investors are hopeful of the traditional year-end rally, but the

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Long-term outlook: World macro economy

Long-term outlook: World macro economy

🕔10:33, 12.Nov 2021

A key factor in the past year has been the unprecedented fiscal and monetary support. The initial economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic and the subsequent rebound have been different for many countries. As the pandemic started in China, that

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Finding opportunities in stressed and distressed credit throughout the cycle

Finding opportunities in stressed and distressed credit throughout the cycle

🕔10:32, 10.Nov 2021

With debt default rates at exceptionally low levels on both sides of the Atlantic, investors might be forgiven for thinking that the market for distressed credit would be very subdued. But there are strategies that can find and take advantage

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The winner takes it all.

The winner takes it all.

🕔10:42, 9.Nov 2021

US equities printed a new high as we end October while bonds remain mired in volatility with yields near their highs for the last 12 months – see chart of the week. Meanwhile, risk markets in fixed income are locked

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Bond markets navigate crosscurrents of rates and inflation

Bond markets navigate crosscurrents of rates and inflation

🕔12:10, 4.Nov 2021

Q4 2021 | Fixed Income Outlook: Global financial markets were mixed during the third quarter. Fixed-income markets faced volatility from multiple directions, including the Federal Reserve’s announced intention to taper monthly bond purchases, the expiration of the U.S. federal debt

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Growing pains – strong demand, constrained supply and elevated inflation

Growing pains – strong demand, constrained supply and elevated inflation

🕔16:39, 3.Nov 2021

House View Q4 2021 The course of economic recoveries and expansions never runs completely smoothly. Businesses need to adjust to the changing environment and are just as likely to be surprised by the strength of demand as by any unexpected

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BNP Paribas AM – Investment Academy – Structuring and hedging Fixed Income portfolios

🕔10:00, 3.Nov 2021

How do you use fixed income derivatives within a portfolio and how do you prepare changes in the market? In this session Neil Schofield looks at Fixed Income risk management, engaging you through Excel activities and interactive questions. You will

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Fixed Income Monthly – October 2021

Fixed Income Monthly – October 2021

🕔08:30, 3.Nov 2021

Fixed income funds invest in bonds whose price is influenced by movements in interest rates, changes in the credit rating of bond issuers, and other factors such as inflation and market dynamics. In general, as interest rates rise the price

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ETFs in EM local debt: Do they work?

ETFs in EM local debt: Do they work?

🕔08:34, 28.Oct 2021

In recent years we’ve seen a surge of interest in exchange traded funds (ETFs) as a cost efficient and effective way to try and replicate market index performance. But are ETFs as effective as investors think? As part of our

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Burning US$5 bills

Burning US$5 bills

🕔08:03, 21.Oct 2021

Allocation views When faced with tough choices, we are inclined to limit the damage that is suffered. This is human instinct—a survival mechanism of sorts. It also brings to mind an old quip that portfolio managers use when considering outperforming

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AA Q4 outlook: pushing through bottlenecks

AA Q4 outlook: pushing through bottlenecks

🕔14:40, 20.Oct 2021

We are marginally more cautious as the Chinese economy becomes unsettled and supply-chain issues persist, but retain our belief that we are in the middle of the cycle, not approaching the end. After cruising along for months, the S&P 500

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