De vastrentende markten zijn steeds volatieler geworden, een trend die zich waarschijnlijk zal voortzetten. Beleggers moeten zich aanpassen. De recente stijging van de obligatierendementen heeft beleggers in vastrentende waarden doen opschrikken. Eén benchmarkindex voor obligaties tekende, ten opzichte van de
Obligaties uit opkomende markten werden getroffen door inflatie, renterisico's, een stijgende dollar en geopolitieke spanningen. Maar de bezorgdheid over wanbetaling is overdreven. Beleggers in obligaties uit opkomende markten hebben zelden te maken gehad met een meer complexe economische en geopolitieke
For most risk assets, total return is achieved predominantly via capital price return, but not in high yield. Over long-term periods, income tends to drive the bulk of the total return for high yield bonds. In fact, over 100% of
CROSS ASSET Investment Strategy – June 2022: The repricing of a more aggressive Fed stance has been brutal as the 10Y UST yield temporarily reached the 3% threshold, falling close to 2.75% recently on economic growth concerns. We think investors
Op woensdag 8 juni om 14.00 uur organiseert Alpha Research samen met Muzinich & Co, SEB Investment Management, UBP Asset Management en Leadenhall Capital Partners het seminar ‘Dedicated diversification within Fixed Income’ in Rosarium te Amsterdam. Obligatieportefeuille De obligatieportefeuille verdient
Following yesterday’s stronger than anticipated Eurozone inflation print, coupled with recent comments from various ECB members including President Lagarde, Vice-President de Guindos and Chief Economist Lane, the European Central Bank are expected to increase interest rates in July, the first
Global growth is likely to slow alongside increasing geopolitical risk and uncertainty, tighter monetary policy, and a slowing Chinese economy. There is also a greater risk that inflation will remain higher for longer, given supply chain ….
As the chief research officer of Buckingham Strategic Partners, the issue I am being asked to address most often is about fixed income strategies when yields are at historically low levels and inflation risk is heightened due to the unprecedented
In this first podcast series on Alternative Fixed Income and ESG we take a look at ESG integration in Alternative Fixed Income: more specifically in Dutch mortgages, Asset Backed Securities and the Government Related Investment Fund. Why invest in Alternative
Moderating global growth as policymakers grapple with persistent inflation Global economic growth looks likely to continue in 2022, albeit at a more modest pace. The COVID-19 pandemic does, however, add uncertainty to the outlook, as evidenced by the recent emergence
With environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues dominating the international policy agenda – and as investor demand for new ESG financial products and services continues to grow – global debt markets, and by extension fixed income portfolios, are about to
The alternative fixed income asset class is highly diverse, embracing private debt, consumer loans, mortgage investments, insured loans, loans to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), infrastructure debt and asset-backed securities (ABS). These assets can offer enhanced yields compared to government
As the chief research officer of Buckingham Strategic Partners, the issue I am being asked to address most often is about fixed income strategies when yields are at historically low levels and inflation risk is heightened due to the unprecedented
The first quarter of 2022 was tumultuous for the global economy and financial markets. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine spawned a rally in US Treasuries, but the disruption to metals, agricultural and energy commodity markets only spurred inflation further.
Is This What “Unprecedented and Extraordinary” Actually Feels Like? Unprecedented and extraordinary. For more than a decade, this was the description for actions taken by the Federal Reserve to keep the economy—and by extension, risk assets—on track. If you wanted
Loan prices sharply retreated this week due to spiking volatility across global financial markets, as the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index (the “Index’) experienced some of the worst daily marks since March 2020. Overall, the Index lost 2.05% for the sevenday
In an eventful week in which the Fed raised interest rates by 50 bps, the loan market was not immune to the continued selling pressure and negative sentiment that has plagued performance in other assets for virtually the entirety of
It’s a common preconception that rising interest rates are bad for bonds. While rate hikes are undoubtedly a headwind for fixed income assets, investors tend to overestimate the impact of rising rates and can overlook the benefits of holding bonds
Inflationary pressures will likely peak but not disappear Inflation, once thought transitory, now appears more durable. Supply-demand imbalances, while an expected aspect of the economic cycle, have been exacerbated by the unprecedented nature of pandemic shutdowns. The workforce remains constrained
Recent conversations with investors reveal a lot of confusion about what causes inflation and what the future path will be. We take a look at various explanations including a Malthusian view of longterm drivers, shorter-term views of more proximate drivers
April meeting: No further acceleration of stimulus withdrawal was hinted at by the ECB in April. It confirmed both the previous guidance on QE (likely to end in Q3) and the policy sequence, with interest rates to rise at “some
Following the bond market’s recent beating, term yields have already priced in aggressive Fed rate hikes, positioning core bonds to effectively diversify credit risk.
ETFs saw relatively muted net inflows of $471mn last week. Fixed Income posted the strongest net inflows of $858mn while Money Market took …
What does this mean for our portfolios? Firstly, let’s take the situation in Ukraine following Russia’s invasion. Above all there is the human perspective, which is tragic and horrifying. But our clients also need us to examine it from an
What does sustainability mean to you? We recognise that this can be an emotive topic and it is difficult to consolidate disparate sustainability concepts into one investable package. What we can do however is be clear in our objectives, encourage
The lead time of curve inversion to recession can be more than two years, so it’s not the best timing tool. However, what we do know with more certainty is the signaling that the economy is now firmly in the
Strong funded ratios and higher interest rates are prompting many corporate pension plan sponsors to shift assets to LDI strategies. If you’re still waiting, consider a hedging portfolio built on public corporate credit, complemented with non-traditional hedging assets.
The quarter that just ended was dramatic in many respects. The Russian invasion of Ukraine caused a humanitarian crisis that will have long-lasting consequences, and one that has significantly reshaped the geopolitical landscape. The events that have unfolded also sent
Slower growth rates, tighter labour markets, higher inflation and normalising monetary policies provides the classic backdrop to a great rotation from growth to value stocks, as well as a change in fixed income strategy. But, as we discuss in this
Inflation and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine dominate media headlines and the economic and financial environment. US inflation has accelerated further to an average of nearly 7% year-over-year (Y/Y) in the six months through February, from close to 6% over the
Credit markets came under pressure again in March, with most fixed income asset classes generating negative total returns, although excess returns were mostly positive. Treasury yields traded sharply higher, and the yield curve flattened, with two- and 10-year Treasury yields
This paper studies the cross-section of expected municipal bond returns. We show that municipal bond yields contain reliable information about differences in expected municipal bond returns across states of issuance, duration range, and credit quality. Hence, using information embedded in
– ETFs posted net inflows of $1.9bn last week. Equity attracted $1.1bn while Commodity saw $516mn of net inflows. – Fixed Income took in $408mn while Money Market weathered net outflows of $135mn.
Swap spreads, the difference between the yield on daily collateralized swaps and benchmark sovereign debt, are observed for many reasons: amongst others as an economic risk indicator; a measure of investor preferences over time; and an important consideration in setting
Inflation is running at a 40-year high in the United States and accelerating around the globe, against a backdrop of disruption to the global economy caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The Fed’s recent rate rise of 25 basis
Ukraine: where do we stand? The first month of the Russia-Ukraine war has driven volatility up across the board, though with some recent signs of stabilisation in equity markets. Europe is the area most exposed to the war – in
Contents: Macroeconomic outlook pre-Russia/Ukraine conflict Impact of Russia/Ukraine Valuations Investment conclusions Appendix
Wat verantwoorde beleggingsstrategieën betreft, worden staatsobligaties tot nu toe grotendeels over het hoofd gezien. Dat moet volgens Pictet Asset Management anders. Verantwoord beleggen heeft de aandelenmarkten stormenderhand veroverd. Hoewel de penetratie in de vastrentende markten trager verliep, trekt ze ook
Uncertainty still surrounds the Ukraine war and its economic fallout The world's major economies went into the current crisis with fairly sound fundamentals, positive growth and low unemployment. Several were still enjoying the boost from withdrawing social distancing measures introduced
Global outlook – Q2 2022 update Both stocks and bonds are down year-to-date as policy confusion and Russia’s invasion roil markets. We still see stocks up and bonds down for a second straight year – a first since data started
Small global role, but large in key areas Russia and Ukraine have big roles in key areas. such as major European countries and some emerging market economies like China. The U.S. is better positioned as a major producer of energy and
Global Asset Allocation Views In brief Tighter monetary policy, the war in Ukraine, and lingering inflation combine to put the brakes on global growth. We do not expect a global recession in 2022 but see European growth slowing to near
A slowdown in global growth coupled with uncomfortably high inflation The war in Ukraine has added new uncertainties for investors. The most immediate economic impact is an upward revision in inflation forecasts for this year to 5.0% and a downward
Through the melee of mounting inflation, flaring geopolitical risks and subsequently volatile capital markets, the U.S. Federal Reserve met market expectations and increased the target federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) while also validating market assumptions for how
Frontier markten bieden zeer aantrekkelijke kansen voor goed voorbereide beleggers in zowel aandelen als obligaties. Nu de opkomende markten (EM) steeds meer bekend terrein worden voor beleggers, is een avontuurlijke minderheid op zoek naar nog minder ontwikkelde markten buiten de
Omdat de landen die het universum van obligaties uit opkomende markten vormen zo sterk van elkaar verschillen, moeten beleggers een absolute-return benadering overwegen. Naarmate het economische klimaat in 2021 versomberde en er stormen dreigden voor 2022, maakten beleggers zich steeds
Environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors are all important to the sustainability of an investment. Governance may be listed last, but it should never be an afterthought for fixed-income investors. After all, by studying an organization’s governance—the practices and processes
The geopolitical crisis in Ukraine creates a stagflationary shock for global economies. Rising commodity prices have the potential to add momentum to already runaway inflation. Higher goods and services costs may hurt consumer confidence and create a drag on economic
Fixed Income Perspectives Less than two months into the new year, global central bank policy has turned more hawkish. The Bank of England hiked rates 25 basis points (bps) in early February, while the European Central Bank announced it would
Russia's invasion of Ukraine has caused severe market ructions. But the economic fallout from the crisis appears manageable. Just as the Covid crisis has begun to fade, a conflict in Ukraine is erupting. The question investors now face is the
