Webinar – A Focus on China The Great Instability The Great Instability virtual event series continues into 2021 and BNP Paribas Asset Management is delighted to invite you to join us for the first episode. On 28 January, we host
Key takeaways: 1) We anticipate that the global growth recovery will remain intact as vaccine distribution will allow economies to gradually normalise, 2) Monetary and fiscal policy shall remain accommodative, 3) We expect this to be a positive environment for credit, whilst interest rate markets have room to breathe higher
“Turning to the tasks of our time” Joe Biden, 46th President of the United States Markets at a glance President Biden kicked off his new term with a flurry of executive orders and directives (30) in his first three days
Webinar – China: de ruwe diamant polijsten China’s snelle binnenlandse en geopolitieke ontwikkelingen en de ruwe diamant van beleggingskansen, verdienen aandacht van beleggers. Tegelijkertijd is China echter nog steeds ondervertegenwoordigd in indices, kent het een volatiele interne markt en de
More than zero: Using emerging markets bonds to optimise portfolios There are a number of reasons many investors do not yet have emerging markets (EM) bonds in their portfolio, including awareness, understanding and difficulty of access. All of this means
It is Martin Luther King Day today and on 20 January Joe Biden will be inaugurated as the 47th and oldest ever President of the United States. There was a degree of stabilisation in rates markets last week after the inflation fears led a sell off. The benchmark 10-year US government …
Brightening Outlook Propels Credit Market Rally Fixed Income Asset Allocation Insights Credit markets continued to rally into December, and valuations now fairly reflect optimism that we are firmly on the path toward economic and earnings recovery. While these conditions would
Do Sectors Matter in Fixed Income? Less Than You May Think December 2020 | White Paper Sector-allocation decisions form an integral part of many investment processes, both in equity and fixed income portfolio management. Most benchmark providers in both asset
US bond yields buoyed by the ‘Blue Wave’ In Credit As the US Political landscape evolves (after Democratic Party victories in Georgia) and the risk of increased (bond-financed) government spending grows, US bond yields have also risen materially. This is
UK Defined Benefit Pension Schemes Should Prepare for Negative Interest Rates T. Rowe Price Insights on Fixed Income Negative interest rates are likely coming to the UK, but you would not know that judging from the markets. Although rates are
There are reasons to expect a slower and less comprehensive vaccine roll-out among EMs than in richer countries, and the fiscal damage done to already-fragile sovereign balance sheets may increase vulnerabilities. But the steady recovery of the asset class since
The role of gilts in portfolios could be impacted. Negative interest rates are likely coming to the UK, but you would not know that judging from the markets. Although rates are widely expected to fall, implied policy rates show that the
Executive Order banning trading in designated Chinese entities increases uncertainty on the horizon and reaffirms importance of diversification. Once characterized by mutual cooperation, the U.S.-China relationship has undergone a significant shift since the onset of the trade war initiated by
Both financial markets, and us, have come a long way since the dark days of spring to the (unseasonally) brighter days of winter. Back in March, as the huge and synchronised shock to economic activity from Covid-191 was met with
The legacy of Covid-19 in emerging markets (EMs) may take some time to become clear. Having lagged advanced economies’ initial surge in cases in March and April, lower income countries experienced highly concerning case growth at the end of the
U.S. Treasury yields closed higher last week, led by longer maturities. Investors were encouraged by positive news related to Brexit, coronavirus vaccines and U.S. fiscal relief efforts. The Federal Reserve (Fed) remained dovish at its December meeting, maintaining asset purchases
What kind of customised solutions are our institutional and sub-advisory clients looking for in today’s yield-starved, default-conscious and ageing world? With developed world government bond yields as low as ever before seen, the traditional diversification into fixed income duration and
We believe the Fed’s accommodative stance will persist for many years, which may prevent yields from rising materially. However, this doesn’t ensure that they will fall, and the risk appears asymmetric given that low yields fail to protect against even
Fantastic vaccine news and a post-election relief rally has left many credit investors asking, “Is there any opportunity left from here?” We believe the answer is yes. The ink spilled in the marketplace about record low yields due to record
T. Rowe Price Insights on Global Fixed Income Credit analysis can reveal value in bank loans, high yield bonds High yield bonds and bank loans (or leveraged loans) represent two forms of noninvestment‑grade credit exposure. Both sectors have various strengths and risks
Outlook 2021 Fidelity International’s outlook for the global economy, multi asset, equities, fixed income and real estate If you are reading this, then you’ve lived through one of the most volatile periods in market history. The year to come may
2021 Global Market Oultook New vaccines could accelerate recovery, boost cyclical sectors The 2020 global pandemic tested the ability of companies and investors to manage their way through an unforeseen and dangerous period. However, T. Rowe Price investment leaders believe the other side
In our 2021 Investment Outlook, we seek to help investors navigate the next phases of the pandemic, the legacy of the lockdowns, and the ensuing economic recovery. We also consider how solutions to the climate crisis can be found at
After contending with the terrible human and economic toll of a pandemic, as well as market volatility reminiscent of the financial crisis, investors could well be forgiven for wondering anxiously: what could 2021 possibly have in store for us?
T. Rowe Price Insights on Global Fixed Income With investors struggling to find much‑needed yield for their portfolios, we believe a strong opportunity remains within emerging market (EM) local bonds. The yields on offer from a number of EM local
Investment Insights Emerging market debt (EMD) has already broadened and deepened significantly in the last few decades and as the asset class has developed, it has become more appealing to a broader investor base. Issuance has increased, thereby improving liquidity.
T. Rowe Price Insights from our Global Fixed Income Team How the prospect of further monetary easing could impact bond markets. Central banks are not done yet. With economic recoveries under threat, several developed market central banks, including the European
To build the income component of our long-term equity forecasts, we calculate each country’s expected income contribution, based on current and anticipated levels of dividend yield, as well as the expected returns attributable to buyback activity (positive) or net positive
Q&A with Rob Neithart, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Based in Los Angeles We have experienced an extraordinary year so far. How did GHIO navigate the volatility and what have you done in the portfolio since then? Going into the period of
Investment Outlook 2021 According to our scenario, all countries should see renewed growth in 2021. Economies have seen a gradual upturn since summer 2020, although the resurgence of Covid-19 cases and new local restrictions are hampering the recovery at the
T. Rowe Price Insights on Global Markets Our portfolio managers see selective potential in a range of asset classes. Even for those of us who saw reasons for hope this past spring, the market’s resilience in the face of the
"Marked by the most severe recession in modern history, 2020 was an unprecedented year. With the global pandemic continuing, we enter 2021 with a mildly positive outlook for the upcoming recovery, but with the assumption that the path to pre-crisis
"We still like high yield for income. On a tactical horizon, we strongly prefer high yield for its income and more room for spread tightening. We are neutral on IG and underweight emerging market debt."
UBAM – Hybrid Bond Opportunity in European Banks AT1 bonds Key takeaways: Fundamentally, European banks are solid with strong capital ratios and should exit the Covid-19 crisis unscathed The macro picture continues to improve, assisted by significant central bank support
Market GPS Chairman Jerome Powell recently introduced the Fed’s new monetary policy strategy with a renewed commitment to achieving an average inflation target. The policy will require allowing infl ation to run above 2% to make up for persistently missing
T. Rowe Price Insights on Fixed Income Downgrades and defaults have had a major impact on the asset class Record volumes of credit downgrades and a sharp spike in defaults have reconfigured the U.S. high yield bond market in the
Introduction: Binary outcomes In our recent CIO Autumn Outlook, we highlighted the binary nature of the key event risks heading into the final quarter, all of which still have the scope to move markets significantly. These are the US presidential
Fixed Income Quarterly Report – Q4 2020 A second wave of coronavirus infections is sweeping the globe, corporate defaults are on the rise and recovery rates are well below their historical average. Meanwhile, the outcome of one of the most
"We are at an extraordinary moment in financial market history. Effective diversification is still possible, but the simple form of hedging with government bonds is a thing of the past for the foreseeable future. We might wish it otherwise, but
The FIXED INCOME MONTHLY provides a forward-looking summary of the medium-term views from the Fidelity Fixed Income team. Our investment approach is multi-strategy, with portfolio managers given clear accountability and fiduciary responsibility for all investment decisions in a portfolio. Given
Fixed Income Asset Allocation Insights Credit spreads have mostly remained around fair value, with investors readopting a buy-on-the-dip bias as they weigh conflicting positive and negative fundamental trends. On the positive side, a Biden presidency coupled with the likelihood of
Column by Hendrik Tuch, Head of Fixed Income “Interest rates and yield curves have seen quite some volatility in the last few weeks as markets digested the election news and the coronavirus headlines. Ahead of the US elections, many investors
Webinar – Global corporate bonds: a time for selectivity and stringent credit analysis Global credit markets have recovered strongly since the peak of the sell-off experienced in March. With credit spreads having tightened considerably since then, how attractive are the
“Global default rates are rising and likely to continue into 2021. But we think the full impact may be muted by the significant fiscal and monetary intervention seen from governments and central banks.”
The fund seeks to provide high income and some capital appreciation. Uses an asset allocation strategy to build a broadly diversified portfolio of domestic and foreign debt instruments, including government and corporate bonds; mortgage-backed, commercial mortgage-backed, and asset-backed securities; and
"Convertible bonds historically captured over 65% of equity upside but suffered only 50% downside"
"…the most compelling reasons to consider the case for higher inflation are the risk of a policy error, given the new, more aggressive fiscal/ monetary policy mindset, and the risk of deglobalization driving wage pressures."
"After all, it is difficult to determine which election outcome the market had priced in, when and with what probability. "
The Investment Clock: "Recovering: After a plunge into recession, economic data started a rapid pick up from March in China and May/June in Europe and the US as social distancing eased. Retail sales have recovered particularly fast in the US
Global & Absolute Return Fixed Income For Professional Investors in Switzerland or Professional Investors as defined by the relevant laws Key takeaways: ■ The outcome of the US elections has reduced hopes of a large fiscal package being passed next
