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EUR/USD: Low should be reached in Q2

EUR/USD: Low should be reached in Q2

🕔03:06, 29.Mar 2019

Forex News  The latest statements by representatives of the US Federal Reserve mean that we no longer forecast the next interest rate hike for June, but only another hike at the end of the year. Accordingly, we have changed our

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Valutarisico binnen individueel Defined Contribution

Valutarisico binnen individueel Defined Contribution

🕔14:03, 8.Mar 2019

Individueel Defined Contribution Individueel Defined Contribution (iDC) regelingen krijgen steeds meer aandacht. Dit zijn beschikbare premieregelingen waarbij de inleg vaststaat en het pensioen voor een belangrijk deel afhangt van het behaalde rendement op de beleggingen. Een individuele regeling klinkt misschien

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EUR/USD: How long will the bandwidth hold?

EUR/USD: How long will the bandwidth hold?

🕔03:06, 1.Mar 2019

Forex News Over the past few weeks, the EURUSD has been trading at the lower end of the range that has existed since autumn of last year and dropped temporarily below the 1.13 mark. The volatility measured over a month

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The EM currencies strike back?

The EM currencies strike back?

🕔14:04, 22.Feb 2019

Emerging markets monitor The growth deceleration in emerging markets will be much less pronounced than in DM according to our leading indicators. This growth gap in favour of EM supports a recovery in EM currencies.

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Chinese Yuan

Chinese Yuan

🕔14:04, 22.Feb 2019

Chinese Yuan

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Make RMB your Friend

Make RMB your Friend

🕔02:01, 1.Feb 2019

How to manage FX risks when investing in China bonds? Concerns over RMB depreciation have hindered global investors’ appetite for China bonds The key question for many investors is: “what is the best strategy to manage the RMB FX risk?”

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Forex News

Forex News

🕔03:03, 21.Dec 2018

US-Dollar, Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc During the last few weeks, the EURUSD has continued its sideways movement. Obviously, in this environment of high volatility in equity and bond markets, investors found it difficult to favor any currency. The most recent

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CEE Market Insights

CEE Market Insights

🕔02:07, 11.Dec 2018

Market outlook All CEE currencies except for the Serbian dinar gained last week. While the koruna, forint, zloty and leu benefited the most from the EURUSD development, the appreciation of the Croatian kuna seems to have been driven by strong

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Forex News

Forex News

🕔03:04, 30.Nov 2018

EUR/USD – environment continues to favor the dollar The US dollar gained additional ground in recent weeks. The drivers were both the political backdrop (Brexit, Italy's budget) and the deterioration in European economic data. In our opinion these dollar-supportive factors

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Redenen om S&P 500 exposure te hedgen naar euro

Redenen om S&P 500 exposure te hedgen naar euro

🕔19:02, 5.Nov 2018

Overzicht Er kunnen soms lange periodes zijn waarin de prestaties van een valuta het rendement van een portefeuille op korte termijn uithollen. Door te beleggen in een product met valutahedging kunnen beleggers dat risico mogelijk opvangen. SPDR biedt een valuta-hedged

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Can the US dollar go much higher?

Can the US dollar go much higher?

🕔15:03, 25.Oct 2018

FX market monthly review The US dollar has regained some ground in recent weeks, reaching its highest level since mid-2017. A favourable interest rate differential to the rest of the G10 appears the strongest support to the currency at the

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The USDCNY’s unhappy marriage

The USDCNY’s unhappy marriage

🕔02:02, 23.Oct 2018

Regional view – Asia  Since the prospect of a US-China truce remains low at this point, we continue to urge investors to hedge their CNY exposure over the next 12 months. 

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The revenge of FX Value

The revenge of FX Value

🕔13:03, 1.Oct 2018

FX market monthly review In a value rebound, the best performing G10 currencies over the past month were the Swedish krona and the pound sterling. The US dollar seems to have lost momentum despite very strong carry prospects. We maintain

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Emerging markets in context

Emerging markets in context

🕔05:11, 8.Sep 2018

Emerging market inequalities It has been a volatile summer for emerging market (EM) assets, particularly since early August. However, while all major EMs have depreciated against the USD in recent weeks, the scale of the sell-off has not been uniform.

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Foreignexchange Outlook

Foreignexchange Outlook

🕔19:02, 7.Sep 2018

For Third Quarter 2018 The third quarter begins with clarified monetary policy outlooks for the US, EMU, and Japan. At the end of Q2, the Federal Reserve signaled it would likely raise rates in September and December. The unwinding of

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The portfolio currency-hedging decision

The portfolio currency-hedging decision

🕔19:02, 7.Sep 2018

By objective and block by block Investors typically make currency-hedging decisions at the asset class rather than the portfolio level. The result can be an incomplete and even misleading perspective on the relationship between hedging strategy and portfolio objectives.

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CEE Market Insights

CEE Market Insights

🕔03:07, 4.Sep 2018

Outlook CEE currencies mostly fell last week, amid renewed tensions in Turkey and Argentina, although Friday saw some positive correction. The Hungarian forint suffered the most, while the CZK seems to have benefitted from increased expectations of additional hike(s) from

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What’s attractive among emerging market assets?

What’s attractive among emerging market assets?

🕔02:03, 28.Aug 2018

For investors who remain underallocated to EM USD-denominated sovereign bonds, this is a good time to look through the noise and rebalance.  There is no denying that emerging market (EM) assets have underperformed developed market counterparts year-to-date. Reading the financial

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Little delight from Turkish turmoil

Little delight from Turkish turmoil

🕔03:02, 24.Aug 2018

US dollar strength looks set to persist. The US dollar DXY index hit a 14-month high last week and is now up close to 9% from its 2018 low in February. This renewed burst of strength after a steep fall

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US dollar strength looks set to persist

US dollar strength looks set to persist

🕔02:02, 21.Aug 2018

UBS House View US dollar strength looks set to persist. The US dollar DXY index hit a 14-month high last week and is now up close to 9% from its 2018 low in February. This renewed burst of strength after

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Late-Cycle Investing

Late-Cycle Investing

🕔10:16, 17.Aug 2018

Midyear Update The global trade order that has existed for decades is being disrupted. Several economic indicators are running hot (see Figure 1) even as the current U.S. expansion has begun its tenth year. Volatility is higher as some investors

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Turkish turmoil: When liquidity tightens, idiosyncratic problems can trigger systemic moves.

Turkish turmoil: When liquidity tightens, idiosyncratic problems can trigger systemic moves.

🕔09:02, 14.Aug 2018

Turkey is in a genuine currency crisis. The lira fell 30% over 3 days. Fundamentally speaking, the reason for the Turkish meltdown is primarily a large current account deficit (6% of GDP) and reliance on outside capital. Markets don’t care

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Should investors worry about the tumbling yuan?

Should investors worry about the tumbling yuan?

🕔02:04, 14.Aug 2018

1. US earnings strength overshadows market risks 2. The Chinese yuan looks vulnerable, but not yet a global problem 3. Idiosyncratic political risks highlight the benefits of diversification Is the Eurozone recovering its momentum? The initial GDP reading for the

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Is the CNY being used as a trade weapon?

Is the CNY being used as a trade weapon?

🕔02:03, 1.Aug 2018

If word got out that the government was intentionally devaluing the CNY to erode the US's trade competitiveness, investors would likely scramble to convert their renminbi holdings into US dollars. The Chinese yuan's slide in recent weeks versus the greenback

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A fistful of dollar deficits

A fistful of dollar deficits

🕔11:02, 29.Jul 2018

Overall deleveraging coming to an end Total US indebtedness has retraced since the financial crisis, with significant deleveraging in household and financial sectors. Yet the overall deleveraging process appears to be concluding. A significant increase in government borrowing will drive

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