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Megatrends The forces shaping our future

Megatrends The forces shaping our future

🕔17:02, 13.Jun 2019

A research study looking at structural shifts in the global economy and how they affect our investment thinking. A confluence of global megatrends is prompting structural shifts in many industries and changing the drivers of corporate earnings. Most major economies

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EM Fixed Income

EM Fixed Income

🕔11:02, 13.Jun 2019

Our views for the coming months  After a strong start of the year, with EM sovereign bonds up 7.6%, EM corporate bonds up 6.8% and EM local bonds up 3.0% in USD terms, we expect carry to be the primary

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Central Banks Take It Easy

Central Banks Take It Easy

🕔14:04, 11.Jun 2019

As of noon on Friday, global equities rose this week amid signs that central banks are preparing to act if the global economy continues to weaken. With the market pricing in multiple rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve, the

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Increased risk requires a cautious attitude

Increased risk requires a cautious attitude

🕔11:03, 11.Jun 2019

Cross Asset Investment Strategy After weeks of relative stability, the threat of a trade war has returned, shaking investor confidence and awakening markets from complacency. However, while there is still a significant optimism in the market that a deal can

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Mid-Year Investment Outlook

Mid-Year Investment Outlook

🕔11:03, 11.Jun 2019

I hope you enjoy reading our mid-year Investment Outlook. In the pages that follow we set out to share our current thinking and the investment conclusions that follow. Perhaps surprisingly, given that there is much uncertainty, we have some clear

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Raising the Stakes

Raising the Stakes

🕔07:00, 5.Jun 2019

Global Economic Outlook It is never easy to forecast economic trends, but the process is especially perilous at the moment. The sudden escalation of trade tensions that have originated from Washington is casting doubt over the outlook. If the escalation

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Economic and Strategy Viewpoint

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint

🕔13:02, 4.Jun 2019

The headline growth numbers in our latest forecasts have not changed significantly since our last update in February. However, these have been boosted by a good start to the year with Q1 GDP beating expectations in the US, eurozone, UK,

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Increased risk requires a cautious attitude

Increased risk requires a cautious attitude

🕔13:02, 4.Jun 2019

Global Investment Views  After weeks of relative stability, the threat of a trade war has returned, shaking investor confidence and awakening markets from complacency. However, while there is still a significant optimism in the market that a deal can be

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When cyber risks meet geopolitics

When cyber risks meet geopolitics

🕔14:08, 29.May 2019

Weekly Commentary Heightened geopolitical tensions increase the risk of cyberattacks, with growing market implications, in our view.  Risk assets including stocks sold off on mounting worries about growth and U.S.-China tensions. UK Prime Minister Theresa May resigned.  This week’s Chinese

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Decoding the World of Quants, Algorithms, and AI

Decoding the World of Quants, Algorithms, and AI

🕔15:02, 23.May 2019

It’s hard to listen to a podcast, read a blog post, or pick up the Wall Street Journal (do we still “pick up the paper”?) these days without encountering the word “quant”. Be it quantitative finance, quant strategies, quant hedge

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Capital market assumptions Q2 2019

Capital market assumptions Q2 2019

🕔15:02, 23.May 2019

A global slide in growth, inflation and tightening in financial conditions driven by volatility has validated a dovish tilt by major central banks in Q1, to head off global growth fears reminiscent of 2015-16 – though with important differences. The

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Why	is	the	global	economy	vulnerable	to	a	deflationary	 shock?

Why is the global economy vulnerable to a deflationary shock?

🕔15:02, 22.May 2019

Ariel Bezalel, Head of Strategy, Fixed Income, discusses the factors driving the rallies in stock and bond markets year to date and why he believes the global economy is vulnerable to a deflationary shock. There is a striking disparity between

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Global fixed income: it’s time for investors to stay watchful and nimble

Global fixed income: it’s time for investors to stay watchful and nimble

🕔15:02, 22.May 2019

In the space of just 12 months, markets have switched from expecting interest rate rises to expecting interest rate falls. Broadly speaking, this means 2019 should be a good year for fixed income. But investors are treading a fine line

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Global Dividend index

Global Dividend index

🕔14:02, 21.May 2019

Despite concerns about the macro-economic environment, corporate profits and dividends have so far largely met expectations. Dividends grew 7.8% in Q1 on a headline basis to a first quarter record of US$263.3 billion, in line with their 2018 growth rate.

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Multi-asset markets outlook

Multi-asset markets outlook

🕔17:02, 14.May 2019

In the absence of big news, markets ground higher in April. This was the fourth consecutive month of higher stocks, with nearly 20% returns over that time, and a new ‘all time high’ for the MSCI World (in euros). Not

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Asset allocation view

Asset allocation view

🕔17:02, 14.May 2019

The first month of Q2 has seen a continuation of mixed messages from markets. US equities reached all-time highs in late April, making up the ground lost since the previous high-water mark was set back in late September 2018. The

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Fixed Income Monthly

Fixed Income Monthly

🕔13:02, 14.May 2019

The FIXED INCOME MONTHLY provides a forward-looking summary of the medium-term views from the Fidelity Fixed Income team. Our investment approach is multi-strategy, with portfolio managers given clear accountability and fiduciary responsibility for all investment decisions in a portfolio. Given

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Eight Investment Themes for Global Growth

Eight Investment Themes for Global Growth

🕔11:02, 9.May 2019

Over my nearly 30-year investment career, I’ve learned the value of scrutiny and reflection. That may seem counterintuitive in today’s market environment where information flows more continuously and rapidly than ever before. While the investment landscape today is unrecognizable from

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Economic and Strategy Viewpoint

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint

🕔15:02, 8.May 2019

With equity markets strengthening and the Fed on hold there is talk of a surge, or melt-up in markets. Signs of economic recovery, low inflation and easier central bank policy in Europe and Asia reinforce the Goldilocks narrative. Macro headwinds

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Global Economic Outlook

Global Economic Outlook

🕔11:02, 3.May 2019

The economic slowdown that began in late 2018 has started to stabilize. Trade tensions and policy uncertainty took a toll on confidence and financial markets late last year, but both seem less threatening today. Financial conditions have eased as major

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Who Will Lead the World Economy?

Who Will Lead the World Economy?

🕔10:18, 3.May 2019

US vs. EU vs. China – USD vs. EUR vs. RMB When we talk about leadership, we also talk about rivalry… and 2018 was undoubtedly a particularly emblematic year of rivalry, especially between the United States and China, and to

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Returned to the office with hope

Returned to the office with hope

🕔13:02, 30.Apr 2019

Macro Weekly When I left for my sabbatical the global economy was stumbling along. It still is. But here is hope as…

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Perspectives Global Equities – Q1 2019

Perspectives Global Equities – Q1 2019

🕔10:49, 29.Apr 2019

Economy and markets The start of the year saw most major indices recover with double digit growth after a disappointing fourth quarter of 2018. Global equities rose 12.6% during the first quarter of 2019, as measured by the benchmark MSCI

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Putting pay in the spotlight

Putting pay in the spotlight

🕔15:02, 25.Apr 2019

Pay report 2019 As the gender pay gap takes centre stage, one of the greatest taboos in professional life seems to be coming to an end. Indeed, coupled with millennials’ willingness to share even the most sensitive information, the issue

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Asset allocation views: Multi-Asset Group

Asset allocation views: Multi-Asset Group

🕔15:02, 25.Apr 2019

Global Overview We have altered our projection for the global economy this quarter by capturing a more gentle slowdown in growth over the next two years. We have revised down our 2019 forecast to 2.8% but increased our projection for

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Asset Allocation Consensus June

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Sign up on #OpinioPro to read all the latest research on #fixedincome, #assetallocation and so much more! Click here: https://t.co/90NYM4HBVh

In UBP's Monthly #Investment #Outlook they write: "After Q1 global weakness, world growth is expected to stabilise in Q2 and progressively recover moving into 2H19". Read the whole outlook here: https://t.co/jlNTFp5V6M

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