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2022 Asset Allocation Report

2022 Asset Allocation Report

🕔08:34, 25.Apr 2022

Including: Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions Short-Term Tactical Outlook This report presents Cliffwater recommendations for asset class return and risk (standard deviation) assumptions, intended for asset allocation studies that set long-term portfolio asset class targets. While these forward-looking or “expected” asset

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Standing by our prudent strategy

Standing by our prudent strategy

🕔17:45, 30.Mar 2022

Uncertainty still surrounds the Ukraine war and its economic fallout The world's major economies went into the current crisis with fairly sound fundamentals, positive growth and low unemployment. Several were still enjoying the boost from withdrawing social distancing measures introduced

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Guide to Alternatives Q1 2022

Guide to Alternatives Q1 2022

🕔16:07, 14.Mar 2022

Alts in aggregate Real estate Infrastructure Private Markets Hedge funds

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Going with the trend

Going with the trend

🕔16:13, 23.Nov 2021

How CTAs work and what they can do in the age of low interest rates Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) strategies are an investment success story. They have attracted large inflows of assets, drawn in by their ability to generate returns

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Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook – Q4 2021

Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook – Q4 2021

🕔12:50, 3.Nov 2021

Global equity markets edged down during 2021’s third quarter (Q3). Early in the period, strong corporate earnings in several parts of the world, full US regulatory approval for a COVID-19 vaccine, and the Chinese central bank’s liquidity-boosting measures aided markets.

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Q4 2021 Hedge Fund Outlook

Q4 2021 Hedge Fund Outlook

🕔08:22, 13.Oct 2021

A gradual transition toward a more 'normal' mid-cycle… We think global growth has peaked but will remain above average, boosted by broadening consumption and surging capex. A return to more 'normal' has already started but will likely take more time

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A Contemporary Evaluation of Key Alternative Investments: CTAs, Risk Premia and Hedge Funds

A Contemporary Evaluation of Key Alternative Investments: CTAs, Risk Premia and Hedge Funds

🕔09:46, 6.Oct 2021

The primary focus of this analysis is a contemporary evaluation of alternative investments represented by CTAs, Risk Premia, and Hedge Funds. We use Risk Premia as a proxy for passive/semi-passive investments in alternative strategies and contrast that with the active

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Global Macro Soon To Benefit From A Gradual Return To Normal

Global Macro Soon To Benefit From A Gradual Return To Normal

🕔11:52, 20.Sep 2021

Macro managers' returns are positive year-to-date but are still lagging their benchmarks. Their alpha was hit twice by the end of March and June. Managers adequately positioned early this year on rising yields and tapering through bond shorts and steepeners.

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LS China through regulatory and businessupheaval

LS China through regulatory and businessupheaval

🕔15:40, 31.Aug 2021

Trading conditions in China have severely deteriorated. After reaching their peak by mid-February, stocks lost earlier gains in March, on evidence of a plateauing economy and as stretched investors' positioning unwounded. Chinese markets were then stuck in a volatile trading

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How L/S  equity managers play value vs.growth?

How L/S equity managers play value vs.growth?

🕔14:20, 18.Jun 2021

Since March and April tapering and inflation concerns eased up, U.S. value stocks have regained their lost ground and are outperforming growth stocks by 40% since the vaccine announcement late 2020. How long the value rally will last is yet

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Event-Driven Stays Alluring Despite the SPAC Slowdown

Event-Driven Stays Alluring Despite the SPAC Slowdown

🕔10:00, 6.May 2021

Event-Driven strategies saw exciting developments in recent quarters, in a context where global M&A volumes saw the strongest start to the year ever. Global M&A volumes, close to USD 1.5 trillion year-to-date, were fueled by a flurry of U.S. acquisitions

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Barometer: Daghandelaren tasten de aantrekkelijkheid van aandelen niet aan

Barometer: Daghandelaren tasten de aantrekkelijkheid van aandelen niet aan

🕔08:00, 10.Feb 2021

De vaccinatieprogramma’s komen wereldwijd op snelheid en ook de economische vooruitzichten worden beter, ondersteund door extra fiscale stimuleringsmaatregelen. Daarom blijven we overwogen in aandelen, met een voorkeur voor landen en sectoren die het meest …

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Managed Futures 2020 Strategy Review

Managed Futures 2020 Strategy Review

🕔14:40, 1.Feb 2021

What a year 2020 was in markets. From the Corona Crash in March to VIX highs in the 80s, to tech stocks doubling and tripling from those lows. From retail traders driving the market, to stimulus checks holding the market

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How replicating early reporters can strengthen returns

How replicating early reporters can strengthen returns

🕔12:46, 17.Nov 2020

Before researching whether we can use this outperformance to strengthen our Alternative Beta strategy, we first assessed whether the differences in "performance might result from composition biases between the Flash and Final update."

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Merger arbitrage firms up despite equity plunge

Merger arbitrage firms up despite equity plunge

🕔15:05, 6.Nov 2020

Amid the sound and fury of renewed Covid-19 lockdowns across Europe, global equities took a plunge at the end of October, bringing the MSCI World down -3% for the full month. Bonds did not provide much protection, as fiscal stimulus

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Highlights week #39

Highlights week #39

🕔11:28, 26.Sep 2020

#39 September is a busy month for webinar-watchers! A lot of subjects are discussed, for example “Modern Monetary Theory” or “Small Caps“. A lot of research was posted last week and in this blogpost we will highlight a few we

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Refining alpha in the hedge fund world

Refining alpha in the hedge fund world

🕔09:58, 22.Sep 2020

The current challenging market environment suggests a greater need than ever for alternatives. Hedge funds, which target differentiated, positive absolute returns, provide clear potential benefits. However, institutional investors have …

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A good story drives markets…

A good story drives markets…

🕔09:45, 11.Sep 2020

Narratives, US election and CTAs The US presidential election is less than two months away. As usual, many observers label this election as perhaps the most important one ever. This time, it might very well be true. Many observers are

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Alternatives in 2020

Alternatives in 2020

🕔17:41, 4.Sep 2020

Alternatives AUM exceeds $10tn milestone amid challenging market conditions The alternatives industry has just set a new record: global assets under management (AUM) have surged to $10.31tn. We’re now well on our way to meeting Preqin’s 2018 forecast of $14tn

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Interest rates, Japanese equities and US elections in this Week’s Top Five

Interest rates, Japanese equities and US elections in this Week’s Top Five

🕔10:59, 22.Aug 2020

#34 The holidays are coming to an end and you might have to catch up on research. Hereby a quick overview of the best read research on OpinioPro this last week. A variety of topics is addressed – you can

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Private equity is from Mars; hedge funds are from Venus

Private equity is from Mars; hedge funds are from Venus

🕔15:11, 14.Aug 2020

Uncommon truths What role can alternative assets play in our model asset allocation framework? We look at real estate, commodities, private equity, hedge funds, diamonds and fine wines. We think some are core assets, others tactical while some have no

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Leverage and margin spirals in fixed income markets during the Covid-19 crisis

Leverage and margin spirals in fixed income markets during the Covid-19 crisis

🕔14:17, 29.May 2020

BIS Bulletin Key takeaways For a two-week period in mid-March 2020, government bond markets experienced uncharacteristic turbulence, sometimes selling off sharply in risk-off episodes when they would normally attract safe haven flows. Evidence in the US Treasury market points to

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K2 Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook—Q2 2020

K2 Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook—Q2 2020

🕔14:32, 8.May 2020

Q2 2020 Outlook: Summary In our view, pricing dislocations between companies, industries, regions and asset classes due to the impact of COVID-19 and corresponding price adjustments offer abundant opportunities for select hedged strategies. The length and depth of both the

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Alternative Investments In Depth Report—Speedboats and Battleships

Alternative Investments In Depth Report—Speedboats and Battleships

🕔15:09, 3.Apr 2020

Key Insights Many “risky assets” ended 2019 near or above all-time highs, but we continue to caution investors not to become complacent. While the prospect of modest global economic growth in 2020 exists, we see risks in the credit cycle

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CTAs lead the pack on global risk appetite. what’s next?

CTAs lead the pack on global risk appetite. what’s next?

🕔08:08, 28.Feb 2020

Risk assets have largely shrugged off recent headwinds on the back of robust macro and corporate dynamics in the U.S. The Q4-2019 earnings season delivered better than expected outcomes especially in the Technology sector. Meanwhile, labor market conditions remain buoyant

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The Market Environment for Trendfollowing

The Market Environment for Trendfollowing

🕔16:50, 17.Feb 2020

An evaluation of Trendfollowing in managed futures over the past three decades The performance of managed futures,1 particularly trendfollowing strategies (“Trendfollowing”), has been mixed in recent years. Although returns in the industry have been strong year to date, the performance

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2020 Global Alternatives Outlook

2020 Global Alternatives Outlook

🕔07:42, 7.Feb 2020

ONE-DIMENSIONAL. FLAT. SILOED. GENERIC A common criticism of alternatives investment guidance is that it lacks the depth, breadth and context to have a meaningful impact on broader portfolio design and implementation. In this, our second annual Alternatives Outlook, with an

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Hedge Fund reactions to the coronavirus

Hedge Fund reactions to the coronavirus

🕔13:52, 6.Feb 2020

Uncertainty remains but we still expect a transitory economic impact from the Coronavirus outbreak. In a best- case scenario, authorities measures could help reverse the trend within weeks, with containment by the end of Q1. In a base-case scenario, the

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Which alternative strategy to hedge against abond sell-off?

Which alternative strategy to hedge against abond sell-off?

🕔15:20, 7.Jan 2020

The year that has just started will challenge investors’ expectations, just as 2019 eventually contradicted the bearish mood that prevailed one year ago. For the time being, risk appetite remains strong and we believe it is unlikely to be derailed

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Machine learning in hedge fund investing

Machine learning in hedge fund investing

🕔17:54, 16.Dec 2019

Artificial intelligence and machine learning are prevalent in all aspects of everyday life and play an ever-increasing role in investing. Machine learning investment strategies aim to deliver persistent, uncorrelated alpha streams while adapting to changes in market conditions—without the human

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When focusing on the future, where do you look?

When focusing on the future, where do you look?

🕔12:53, 5.Dec 2019

2019 Global Alternative Fund Survey The alternative asset management industry must pivot strategies to focus on the future and make real-time adjustments that control that path.  

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Macro And Hedge Funds Q1 2020 Outlook

Macro And Hedge Funds Q1 2020 Outlook

🕔09:08, 27.Nov 2019

Soft manufacturing surveys are bottoming out, pointing to a turn in hard data. Monetary accommodation and less uncertainty on most trade fronts have been key contributors to this inflection, as well as front-loading ahead of the September tariffs. A modest

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Small,medium,large hf: how to choose?

Small,medium,large hf: how to choose?

🕔12:09, 18.Nov 2019

Should alternative portfolios favor smaller, medium, or larger hedge funds? The choice might not be as obvious as before and may be more dependent on the stage of the business cycle. For many years, small hedge funds have steadily outperformed

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Why CTAs

Why CTAs

🕔13:09, 7.Nov 2019

Investors’ three main arguments for investing with CTAs are: Absolute Returns Since the turn of the millennium, CTAs (Société Générale CTA Index) have performed in line with global equities (MSCI World Total Return Gross) but at a significantly lower volatility. Diversification CTAs’ return stream stems from

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What’s the BEST managed futures program?

What’s the BEST managed futures program?

🕔08:35, 4.Nov 2019

Semi-Annual Futures Rankings What’s the BEST managed futures program?  That’s a tricky one. Do you mean: Best last year? Best for all time? Best risk-adjusted return? Best in terms of lowest drawdowns? We can all see which programs logged the

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Legends4Legends

🕔08:00, 2.Oct 2019

Legends4Legends, 2nd October, EYE Film Museum, Amsterdam,  Alternatives 4 Children – a leading Charity of the investment industry – brings you a unique investment conference. A true legend stands the test of time. Our event brings you today’s investment Legends

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Survivorship Bias and the Walking Dead

Survivorship Bias and the Walking Dead

🕔18:19, 9.Sep 2019

Survivorship bias, the predisposition to evaluate a data set by focusing on the “survivors” rather than also examining the record of non-survivors, is important to understand for hedge fund peer groups, which tend to have a relatively large number of

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In Harmony How hedge funds and investors continue to strike the right note in aligning their interests

In Harmony How hedge funds and investors continue to strike the right note in aligning their interests

🕔18:05, 9.Sep 2019

The findings from this year’s survey are based not only on what is current practice between hedge funds and investors, but also potential future developments and how these could be best implemented. Below are the six key takeaways that emerged

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Comparing liquid alternatives and hedge funds

Comparing liquid alternatives and hedge funds

🕔17:43, 30.Aug 2019

Liquid alternatives (typically regulated by the Investment Company Act of 1940) and hedge funds (often lightly regulated legal structures) are public and private vehicles that investors use to access a variety of alternative investment strategies. To compare and contrast them,

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2019 Crypto Hedge Fund Report

2019 Crypto Hedge Fund Report

🕔19:02, 4.Jul 2019

This report provides an overview of the global crypto hedge fund landscape and offers insights into quantitative elements such as liquidity terms and performance, as well as qualitative aspects such as best practice with respect to custody and governance. By

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Hedge Fund Industry Asset Flow Report

Hedge Fund Industry Asset Flow Report

🕔15:02, 24.Apr 2019

Investors once again showed their dissatisfaction with underperforming products with elevated redemptions in March 2019. The outflows were enough to push Q1 into negative territory, which also made Q1 2019 the fourth consecutive quarter of redemptions for the industry. Despite

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The Novus 4c Indices Q4 2018

The Novus 4c Indices Q4 2018

🕔11:02, 22.Mar 2019

Conviction • Concentration • Consensus • Crowdedness The Novus 4C Indices track important hedge fund factors through public equities. The data underlying index creation is sourced from an aggregate hedge fund portfolio called the Novus Hedge Fund Universe (HFU). HFU is

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Hedge funds: A new way

Hedge funds: A new way

🕔15:02, 2.Mar 2019

Hedge funds were once praised for extracting superior performance relative to traditional asset managers. More recently, however, we have witnessed a growing tide of negative sentiment directed at them, driven by a lengthy period of lacklustre hedge fund returns coupled

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Hedge fund positioning after the storm

Hedge fund positioning after the storm

🕔14:04, 30.Jan 2019

The weekly brief The market rebound started at end of December has taken place amid an easing of trade tensions and hopes that a no-deal Brexit will be avoided. A softer stance from major central banks has also been supportive.

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2019 Hedge funds outlook favoring low beta as a start

2019 Hedge funds outlook favoring low beta as a start

🕔14:04, 9.Jan 2019

The weekly Brief 2018 ended with investors hesitating between several scenarios, which led to widely different performance patterns. Summarized below, none can fully explain alone recent prices actions. We do not expect a recession, rather we anticipate a global growth

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Stocks with Highest Conviction from Hedge Funds

Stocks with Highest Conviction from Hedge Funds

🕔13:02, 16.Dec 2018

The NOVUS 4C Indices Hedge funds express conviction in companies they hold by sizing them up in their portfolios. Does hedge fund conviction play a role in the future performance of stocks? Evidence shows that it does. If a stock

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Hedge Funds agree on where rates are going

Hedge Funds agree on where rates are going

🕔13:04, 4.Dec 2018

The Weekly Brief The confirmation of a changing Federal Reserve System’s ("Fed”) tone and hopes for a truce in the U.S. trade standoff both supported risky assets this week. Rates have been trending down since mid-November, in sync with a

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Q4 2018 Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook

Q4 2018 Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook

🕔13:02, 7.Nov 2018

In our view, the ongoing rise in global interest rates plus signs of divergent economic and earnings growth cycles should create opportunities for the 4th quarter. Our top strategy convictions: Relative Value, Event Driven – Merger Arb, Discretionary Macro

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Emerging Managers: New Hedge Fund Filers 2018

Emerging Managers: New Hedge Fund Filers 2018

🕔11:02, 3.Oct 2018

Each quarter, our research team reviews investment firms that have filed a 13F with the SEC for the first time and selects firms to include in the Novus Hedge Fund Universe “HFU.” The HFU is a composite portfolio of over

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Co- and direct investments is where the puck is going in a big way

Co- and direct investments is where the puck is going in a big way

🕔05:03, 26.Sep 2018

Opalesque Round Table Co-Investments are equity, debt or other exposures offered by fund managers to their investors directly in the portfolio companies, project or trade in which they invest. They can offer access to high-conviction ideas and differentiated return streams

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