Key Insights Many “risky assets” ended 2019 near or above all-time highs, but we continue to caution investors not to become complacent. While the prospect of modest global economic growth in 2020 exists, we see risks in the credit cycle
Risk assets have largely shrugged off recent headwinds on the back of robust macro and corporate dynamics in the U.S. The Q4-2019 earnings season delivered better than expected outcomes especially in the Technology sector. Meanwhile, labor market conditions remain buoyant
An evaluation of Trendfollowing in managed futures over the past three decades The performance of managed futures,1 particularly trendfollowing strategies (“Trendfollowing”), has been mixed in recent years. Although returns in the industry have been strong year to date, the performance
ONE-DIMENSIONAL. FLAT. SILOED. GENERIC A common criticism of alternatives investment guidance is that it lacks the depth, breadth and context to have a meaningful impact on broader portfolio design and implementation. In this, our second annual Alternatives Outlook, with an
Uncertainty remains but we still expect a transitory economic impact from the Coronavirus outbreak. In a best- case scenario, authorities measures could help reverse the trend within weeks, with containment by the end of Q1. In a base-case scenario, the
The year that has just started will challenge investors’ expectations, just as 2019 eventually contradicted the bearish mood that prevailed one year ago. For the time being, risk appetite remains strong and we believe it is unlikely to be derailed
Artificial intelligence and machine learning are prevalent in all aspects of everyday life and play an ever-increasing role in investing. Machine learning investment strategies aim to deliver persistent, uncorrelated alpha streams while adapting to changes in market conditions—without the human
2019 Global Alternative Fund Survey The alternative asset management industry must pivot strategies to focus on the future and make real-time adjustments that control that path.
Soft manufacturing surveys are bottoming out, pointing to a turn in hard data. Monetary accommodation and less uncertainty on most trade fronts have been key contributors to this inflection, as well as front-loading ahead of the September tariffs. A modest
Should alternative portfolios favor smaller, medium, or larger hedge funds? The choice might not be as obvious as before and may be more dependent on the stage of the business cycle. For many years, small hedge funds have steadily outperformed
Investors’ three main arguments for investing with CTAs are: Absolute Returns Since the turn of the millennium, CTAs (Société Générale CTA Index) have performed in line with global equities (MSCI World Total Return Gross) but at a significantly lower volatility. Diversification CTAs’ return stream stems from
Semi-Annual Futures Rankings What’s the BEST managed futures program? That’s a tricky one. Do you mean: Best last year? Best for all time? Best risk-adjusted return? Best in terms of lowest drawdowns? We can all see which programs logged the
Legends4Legends, 2nd October, EYE Film Museum, Amsterdam, Alternatives 4 Children – a leading Charity of the investment industry – brings you a unique investment conference. A true legend stands the test of time. Our event brings you today’s investment Legends
Survivorship bias, the predisposition to evaluate a data set by focusing on the “survivors” rather than also examining the record of non-survivors, is important to understand for hedge fund peer groups, which tend to have a relatively large number of
The findings from this year’s survey are based not only on what is current practice between hedge funds and investors, but also potential future developments and how these could be best implemented. Below are the six key takeaways that emerged
Liquid alternatives (typically regulated by the Investment Company Act of 1940) and hedge funds (often lightly regulated legal structures) are public and private vehicles that investors use to access a variety of alternative investment strategies. To compare and contrast them,
This report provides an overview of the global crypto hedge fund landscape and offers insights into quantitative elements such as liquidity terms and performance, as well as qualitative aspects such as best practice with respect to custody and governance. By
Investors once again showed their dissatisfaction with underperforming products with elevated redemptions in March 2019. The outflows were enough to push Q1 into negative territory, which also made Q1 2019 the fourth consecutive quarter of redemptions for the industry. Despite
Conviction • Concentration • Consensus • Crowdedness The Novus 4C Indices track important hedge fund factors through public equities. The data underlying index creation is sourced from an aggregate hedge fund portfolio called the Novus Hedge Fund Universe (HFU). HFU is
Hedge funds were once praised for extracting superior performance relative to traditional asset managers. More recently, however, we have witnessed a growing tide of negative sentiment directed at them, driven by a lengthy period of lacklustre hedge fund returns coupled
The weekly brief The market rebound started at end of December has taken place amid an easing of trade tensions and hopes that a no-deal Brexit will be avoided. A softer stance from major central banks has also been supportive.
The weekly Brief 2018 ended with investors hesitating between several scenarios, which led to widely different performance patterns. Summarized below, none can fully explain alone recent prices actions. We do not expect a recession, rather we anticipate a global growth
The NOVUS 4C Indices Hedge funds express conviction in companies they hold by sizing them up in their portfolios. Does hedge fund conviction play a role in the future performance of stocks? Evidence shows that it does. If a stock
The Weekly Brief The confirmation of a changing Federal Reserve System’s ("Fed”) tone and hopes for a truce in the U.S. trade standoff both supported risky assets this week. Rates have been trending down since mid-November, in sync with a
In our view, the ongoing rise in global interest rates plus signs of divergent economic and earnings growth cycles should create opportunities for the 4th quarter. Our top strategy convictions: Relative Value, Event Driven – Merger Arb, Discretionary Macro
Munis hit turbulence in a flight to safety -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/blackrock/munis-hit-turbulence-in-a-flight-to-safety/ #cash #coronavirus #FixedIncome #lending #municipalbond #COVID19 via
@blackrock
Emerging markets debt: Determinants of sovereign bond quality and returns -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/eaton-vance/emerging-markets-debt-determinants-of-sovereign-bond-quality-and-returns/ #credit #EmergingMarkets #debt #fiscalpolicy #sovereignbonds via
@EatonPartners
@EatonVance
Fixed Income Market Update -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/voya/fixed-income-market-update-4/ #fixedincome #highyield #EMD via #Voya
The corona shock in commodity prices -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/abn-amro/the-corona-shock-in-commodity-prices/ #Commodities #GOLD #oilprice #OPEC #coronavirus #COVID19 via
@ABNAMROeconomen
US Senate approved US fiscal package -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/hsbc/us-senate-approved-us-fiscal-package/ #fiscal #CoronaCrisis #COVIDー19 #inflation #Recession2020 via
@HSBC
