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All quiet on the UK high street.

All quiet on the UK high street.

🕔15:07, 22.jan 2020

In Credit

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Low Economic Volatility May Continue Supporting Credit

Low Economic Volatility May Continue Supporting Credit

🕔07:56, 21.jan 2020

Weekly view from the desk Although some regarded last week’s U.S. non-farm payroll report as disappointing, we regarded it as a solid indicator of what the U.S. economy needs to maintain its trend-like growth. Last year’s monthly payroll average of

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2020 outlook: on a wing and a prayer

2020 outlook: on a wing and a prayer

🕔16:54, 20.jan 2020

The Big Picture 2019 has been a good year with strong returns on a broad range of assets. The global economy has decelerated but we hope policy easing will stabilise things during 2020 (the wing and a prayer). Our favoured

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Supply begets demand

Supply begets demand

🕔14:59, 16.jan 2020

In Credit 13 JANUARY 2020 Macro / government bonds The rise (and subsequent fall) in tensions and combative rhetoric in the Middle East has been the key driver for ‘risk ‘free’ assets such as core government bonds. All in all, bonds

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Will the Reflation Theme Continue in 2020?

Will the Reflation Theme Continue in 2020?

🕔17:24, 13.jan 2020

KEY INSIGHTS ■ Economic rebound still fragile as hard data continues to be soft. ■ Dispersion in performance of credit markets likely to continue. ■ Environment for emerging market countries supportive, but headline risks remain.

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Rising Dispersion Creates Opportunities in Loans and High Yield

Rising Dispersion Creates Opportunities in Loans and High Yield

🕔11:27, 13.dec 2019

While bank-loan total returns continue to trail those of high yield by a significant margin year to date, the asset class outperformed high-yield bonds in November amid a backdrop of higher Treasury rates and slowing retail outflows. Less susceptible to

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Slowdown in the subcontinent

Slowdown in the subcontinent

🕔13:50, 7.dec 2019

In Credit 2 DECEMBER 2019  The Thanksgiving holiday meant it was a shorter and quieter week in core bond markets with little discernible direction. It was also a light week for data releases or political developments. In the US, the Chicago

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European relative yield

European relative yield

🕔07:45, 28.nov 2019

European high yield spreads are still above their long-term tights, but that doesn’t take quality into account. Are fundamentals robust enough to justify taking more risks?

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High yield in a broad perspective

High yield in a broad perspective

🕔09:32, 27.nov 2019

The size of the fixed-income investment markets has grown considerably over the past decade. Existing investment classes have grown significantly, but also new fixed-income asset classes have become available to investors. The accommodative policy of central banks with low interest

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Gunpowder, treason & plot.

Gunpowder, treason & plot.

🕔18:11, 7.nov 2019

Macro / government bonds We got the first reading of US GDP for Q3 last week. The economy is actually growing stronger than expected at 1.9% q/q annualised (exp 1.6% / 2.0% in Q2). It remains propped up by a

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Junk or jewel? Assessing the role of high-yield bonds in a diversified portfolio

Junk or jewel? Assessing the role of high-yield bonds in a diversified portfolio

🕔18:59, 4.nov 2019

High-yield bonds, which represent the debt financing of companies rated below investment grade by the primary rating agencies (Ba1 or lower for Moody’s Investors Service, BB+ or lower for Standard & Poor’s), carry greater issuer risk than traditional fixed income

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High Yield Bond Opportunities Are Going Global

High Yield Bond Opportunities Are Going Global

🕔07:46, 25.okt 2019

A truly global high yield strategy can provide diversification. Fixed income investors may want to focus on higher-yielding, sub-investment-grade strategies as global central banks shift back into monetary easing, pushing yields on high-quality investment-grade bonds to very low—or negative—levels. In

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What happens to high yield bonds in times of market stress

What happens to high yield bonds in times of market stress

🕔18:01, 23.okt 2019

We look at whether investors are right to be wary of high yield bonds amid rising macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty The current macroeconomic backdrop is creating challenges for investors. Global growth is slower and inflation is benign. Meanwhile, central banks

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PensioenPro – Leven en beleggen in tijden van lage rente

🕔11:30, 3.okt 2019

Als het om pensioenen gaat, is de rente allesbepalend. Wat gebeurt er op rentegebied, wat te doen bij stijgende/dalende rentes, hoe zit het met de reële rente en wat zijn de laatste inzichten op gebied van matching en vastrentende beleggingen?

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Seek high yield opportunities, but be aware of liquidity conditions

Seek high yield opportunities, but be aware of liquidity conditions

🕔18:24, 30.sep 2019

Investment Insights Blue Paper The backdrop for global high yield Theme 1: Central bank dovishness Speculative grade bonds have been among the major benefi ciaries of the rapid turn of both Fed and ECB monetary policy stances to much more

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Volatility is likely path forward for high yield

Volatility is likely path forward for high yield

🕔18:05, 27.aug 2019

Volatility is likely path forward for high yield after strong advance in first half of 2019 Aided by expectations of monetary easing, the second quarter of 2019 saw high-yield corporate bonds on both sides of the Atlantic continue one of

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Strength Amid Weakness: Why Active High Yield Strategies Shine – and Especially During Downturns

Strength Amid Weakness: Why Active High Yield Strategies Shine – and Especially During Downturns

🕔11:46, 20.aug 2019

Years of persistent low yields across much of the global fixed income market have spurred many investors to look lower down the credit spectrum in search of yield, or to increase their allocation to equities, in an effort to meet

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A turn in the tide?

A turn in the tide?

🕔17:41, 7.aug 2019

Markets at a glance Core government bond yields were sharply lower last week as the US Federal Reserve and Donald Trump gave financial markets much to ponder. On Wednesday, the FOMC reduced interest rates by 25bps, the first move since

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The downgrade risks facing passive investment grade bondholders

The downgrade risks facing passive investment grade bondholders

🕔11:02, 28.jun 2019

Investors are increasingly worried about the growing size of the BBB-rated corporate bond market, the lowest tier of investment grade (IG) debt. The risk is that much of this segment could be downgraded to high yield (HY) when the next

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A Deeper Look into Financial Vulnerabilities

A Deeper Look into Financial Vulnerabilities

🕔15:00, 25.jun 2019

Core Matter – Almost ten years of record low interest rates have raised leverage in the non-financial sector as well as investors’ tolerance for riskier and less liquid instruments. As a result, the average quality of corporate debt has worsened.

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High Yield: Oasis in search for yield?

High Yield: Oasis in search for yield?

🕔09:02, 27.mei 2019

Since early 2016, US HY default rates have experienced a sort of “mini –cycle”, peaking at the end of 2016. Nevertheless, the recent rise and fall movements appear mostly commodity driven: default rates would have remained fairly stable if energy

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Workshop Asset Allocation at the tail end of an Equity Cycle (Rotterdam)

🕔12:00, 21.mei 2019

Asset Allocation at the tail end of an Equity Cycle Prepari​ng for the Next Crisis​ Although many people in the financial markets will agree that we are getting close to overheating of the economy, there is little we can do to

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Trade tariff troubles …

Trade tariff troubles …

🕔15:02, 17.mei 2019

Macro/government bonds It has been a busy couple of weeks in terms of economic data releases, though core government bond markets have not moved appreciably on this type of news. Rising trade tension rhetoric between the US and China, as

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7 year underweight consensus recommendation for Fixed Income

7 year underweight consensus recommendation for Fixed Income

🕔12:00, 29.apr 2019

The consensus recommendation for Fixed Income is underweight for almost 7 years! Just 3 out of the top 10 asset managers are overweight now! Read the Aegon Asset Management,  NN Investment Partners and JP Morgan reasons at www.opiniopro.com  

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Multi-Asset Solutions Weekly Strategy Report

Multi-Asset Solutions Weekly Strategy Report

🕔11:02, 26.apr 2019

Global markets and multi-asset portfolios An overweight to extended credit markets, particularly U.S. high yield, is our preferred method for taking risk in many of our portfolios today. This is somewhat at odds with historical performance—credit markets have not generally

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Twitter

De best gelezen #research bij @Opinio_Pro:

#1 7-Year Asset Class Real Return Forecasts #GMO

#2 2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions @InvescoEMEA

#3 What the heart already knew @TriodosIM @TriodosNL

#4 From TINA to FOMO @DWS_Group

-> https://www.opiniopro.com/

Global Asset Allocation Views Q1 2020 -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/01/jp-morgan/global-asset-allocation-views-q1-2020/ #AssetAllocation #credit #equites #Equities #FixedIncome via @JPMorganAM

Economic resilience, Fed and elections to drive US markets in 2020 -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/01/amundi/economic-resilience-fed-and-elections-to-drive-us-markets-in-2020-2/ #consumption #election #monetarypolicy via @Amundi_ENG

The US federal reserve’s ‘whatever it takes’ moment has arrived -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/01/ubp/the-us-federal-reserves-whatever-it-takes-moment-has-arrived/ #AssetAllocation #centralbank #credit #ECB #Equities #FED #USA

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