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Tag "inflation"

BNP Paribas AM – Webinar – Expressing views on Inflation using swaps

🕔15:00, 6.Jul 2022

Understand how the different types of inflation swap and how swaps can be used to express views on inflation breakevens and real rates.

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Principal – Lunch seminar – Inside Real Estate

🕔12:00, 28.Jun 2022

Principal is delighted to invite you to our Inside Real Estate seminar and lunch in Amsterdam. This seminar will feature some of our leading real estate investment professionals from the U.S. and Europe as they identify resilient strategies to manage

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Embracing Change

Embracing Change

🕔10:45, 24.Jun 2022

Growth is slowing and inflation is climbing steadily due to the serious energy shock in late 2021. Central banks are starting to withdraw monetary stimulus and talking about rate hikes in the near future. The spectre of stagflation is re-emerging,

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BNP Paribas AM – Webinar – Expressing views on inflation using bonds

🕔15:00, 22.Jun 2022

Discover how to construct a long or short breakeven spread position using bonds.

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A focus on inflation

A focus on inflation

🕔10:24, 22.Jun 2022

The conflict in Ukraine has delivered a commodity price shock similar to that of the early 1970s, shattering hopes that the inflationary uptick may prove to be transitory. As inflation reaches multi-decade highs, we analyse what is driving inflation across

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Monetair beleid en inflatie

Monetair beleid en inflatie

🕔13:41, 15.Jun 2022

Na een lange periode waarin inflatie (ruim) onder de doelstelling van de Europese Centrale Bank lag, zijn de prijzen in Nederland en in het eurogebied de afgelopen maanden omhooggeschoten. Dit is deels een gevolg van de heropening van de economie

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Don’t fight the Fed

Don’t fight the Fed

🕔15:17, 13.Jun 2022

Restrictive central banks and high inflation rates are likely to continue to weigh on the economic outlook. Macro outlook – The US Federal Reserve stays its course High inflation rates are increasingly permeating global economies, and sharp increases in commodity

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Barometer: Voorzichtigheid is de moeder van de porseleinkast

Barometer: Voorzichtigheid is de moeder van de porseleinkast

🕔10:27, 13.Jun 2022

De stijgende reële rentevoeten en de bezorgdheid over de vooruitzichten voor de wereldeconomie wegen op onze vooruitzichten voor aandelen, wat ons ertoe aanzet onze allocatie naar onderwogen te verlagen Activatoewijzing: een zenuwoorlog Inflatie Oorlog COVID Deze eisen elk hun tol

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Pictet AM – Webcast – Secular Outlook 2022

🕔11:30, 7.Jun 2022

– With inflation on the rise, the big question is: ‘Are we about to see a repeat of the 1970s?’ – With developed equity and debt markets at a turning point, with higher inflation and an unfavourable stage in the

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Hoogtepunt in agressief beleid

Hoogtepunt in agressief beleid

🕔10:06, 3.Jun 2022

De Amerikaanse Federal Reserve bereikt mogelijk een hoogtepunt in haar agressieve beleid als reactie op de aanhoudend sterke inflatie. We bereiken binnenkort een hoogtepunt in het agressieve beleid – als dat nog niet is gebeurd. De belangrijkste centrale bank ter

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Navigating the foggy road to normal

Navigating the foggy road to normal

🕔14:10, 2.Jun 2022

Global growth is likely to slow alongside increasing geopolitical risk and uncertainty, tighter monetary policy, and a slowing Chinese economy. There is also a greater risk that inflation will remain higher for longer, given supply chain ….

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Bond Investing in Inflationary Times

Bond Investing in Inflationary Times

🕔10:30, 2.Jun 2022

As the chief research officer of Buckingham Strategic Partners, the issue I am being asked to address most often is about fixed income strategies when yields are at historically low levels and inflation risk is heightened due to the unprecedented

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Contained EM inflation and higher real yields suggest relative value in local markets

Contained EM inflation and higher real yields suggest relative value in local markets

🕔08:30, 2.Jun 2022

The recent surge in commodity prices has amplified the acceleration in inflation that we have been seeing globally, arising from disruption to global supply chains caused by the pandemic. Expectations just a few months ago were that the drivers …

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Markets Continue to Discount That the Fed Will Achieve a Soft Landing; Is That Likely?

Markets Continue to Discount That the Fed Will Achieve a Soft Landing; Is That Likely?

🕔08:42, 1.Jun 2022

Earnings are priced in to keep rising while inflation is priced in to fall. It rarely works out that way. US equities are down about 10% so far this year, but until the last couple of days, this was driven

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Recession risks rise as inflation takes its toll

Recession risks rise as inflation takes its toll

🕔15:20, 31.May 2022

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint Q2 2022 – The peak in global inflation is probably not far away, but there are several reasons to think that it will fall relatively slowly. Lockdowns in China have caused bottlenecks in global supply chains

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The Inflation Revival

The Inflation Revival

🕔13:57, 30.May 2022

INTRODUCTION Inflation has rebounded from the pandemic-induced recession lows with a vengeance. In the US, the pace of the yearly headline consumer price index (CPI) accelerated to 7.5% in January, a 40-year high. Similarly in the euro area, the annual

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Bond Investing in Inflationary Times

Bond Investing in Inflationary Times

🕔17:51, 24.May 2022

As the chief research officer of Buckingham Strategic Partners, the issue I am being asked to address most often is about fixed income strategies when yields are at historically low levels and inflation risk is heightened due to the unprecedented

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Whoa, what happened?

Whoa, what happened?

🕔15:00, 24.May 2022

As of April 2022, CTAs (as measured by the Barclay BTOP50 Index) have returned 35% over the 18 months since the US Presidential Election in November 2020. Over the preceding 18 months, CTAs returned only -0.2%. What happened?  

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Looming divergences and the great asset repricing

Looming divergences and the great asset repricing

🕔14:42, 24.May 2022

We are witnessing significant divergences in the economic outlook (we have revised down the EU and Chinese economic outlooks vs. the more resilient US economy) and in market performances. In particular: (1) Inflation expectations – short-term peak vs. long-term rise:

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Commodities at war: Food Fight

Commodities at war: Food Fight

🕔10:53, 20.May 2022

Higher prices supported by a considerable percentage of global production coming from Russia and Ukraine have caught many commodities in the crosshairs of the Russian-Ukraine war. Concerns are growing over the ability to source these commodities from outside of Ukraine

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The energy crisis heightens inflation fears

The energy crisis heightens inflation fears

🕔12:38, 19.May 2022

Inflation was already running well above central banks’ targets as we entered the year. The war has put additional pressure on prices and supply chains and this could have repercussions not just on oil, but on other commodities as well.

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A Year for the Record Books

A Year for the Record Books

🕔14:24, 17.May 2022

The Private Equity Market in 2021: The Allure of Growth In a record-breaking year, private equity investors made it plain that it’s not just about buyout anymore. By just about any measure, private equity set a remarkable new standard for

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Have consumers returned to spending on services?

Have consumers returned to spending on services?

🕔10:25, 17.May 2022

The COVID-19 pandemic increased the proportion that developed world consumers spend on goods versus services. This has been reflected in the outperformance of sectors focusing on the production and selling of goods. We think that consumer spending patterns will return

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Inflation, central banks and rising rates – Q&A with Andrew Cormack

Inflation, central banks and rising rates – Q&A with Andrew Cormack

🕔14:19, 12.May 2022

It feels as though US policy makers have spent the entire post-global financial crisis period trying to generate inflation. Now that it’s here, it seems like the wrong kind of inflation. How do you see inflation playing out in the

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Investor Guide: Building Resilient Portfolios in an Inflationary Environment

Investor Guide: Building Resilient Portfolios in an Inflationary Environment

🕔08:58, 12.May 2022

Inflationary pressures will likely peak but not disappear Inflation, once thought transitory, now appears more durable. Supply-demand imbalances, while an expected aspect of the economic cycle, have been exacerbated by the unprecedented nature of pandemic shutdowns. The workforce remains constrained

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The Consumer Report

The Consumer Report

🕔08:03, 11.May 2022

Households are about to experience the biggest hit to disposable income in a long time. Rising inflation, continued supply chain constraints and now the Russia-Ukraine war have piled on seemingly all at once. The swelling piggybanks from stashing away cash

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The causes and course of inflation

The causes and course of inflation

🕔15:49, 10.May 2022

Recent conversations with investors reveal a lot of confusion about what causes inflation and what the future path will be. We take a look at various explanations including a Malthusian view of longterm drivers, shorter-term views of more proximate drivers

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Inflation Could Change Everything for Asset Allocations and Yield Curves

Inflation Could Change Everything for Asset Allocations and Yield Curves

🕔09:45, 9.May 2022

Despite recent increases in interest rates, the U.S. Treasury yield curve remains largely flat and has even inverted in some parts after maturities of two or three years. But the short end of the curve remains quite …

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Investing amid exacerbating inflationary pressures

Investing amid exacerbating inflationary pressures

🕔10:08, 6.May 2022

What is your view on inflationary pressures and the outlook for global growth? Philip: Global growth was recovering strongly post-pandemic, particularly in the US and Europe. The inflation spike is going to dampen this growth, the ramifications of which depend

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Spectrum Q1 2022

Spectrum Q1 2022

🕔14:23, 2.May 2022

Slower growth rates, tighter labour markets, higher inflation and normalising monetary policies provides the classic backdrop to a great rotation from growth to value stocks, as well as a change in fixed income strategy. But, as we discuss in this

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The Reckoning

The Reckoning

🕔13:10, 2.May 2022

Inflation and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine dominate media headlines and the economic and financial environment. US inflation has accelerated further to an average of nearly 7% year-over-year (Y/Y) in the six months through February, from close to 6% over the

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Cut through the static

Cut through the static

🕔16:03, 27.Apr 2022

Our initial 2022 outlook themes generally played out as expected in the first quarter: strong but slower economic growth, persistently hotter inflation, the onset of interest rate hikes and further bouts of elevated market volatility. But two developments were unexpected:

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angeles long-term capital market assumptions as of january 2022

angeles long-term capital market assumptions as of january 2022

🕔10:22, 27.Apr 2022

INTRODUCTION: This report presents Angeles Investment Advisors’ updated capital market assumptions as of January 2022. These assumptions are used in asset allocation modeling for our clients over a long-term horizon (>10 years). Versus our most recent assumptions from our 2021

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2022 Capital Market Projections

2022 Capital Market Projections

🕔16:06, 25.Apr 2022

Current Market Conditions Strong performance across both growth and value strategies during 2021 2021 returns for U.S. equity markets are eye-popping: – S&P 500: +28.7% – U.S. Small Cap: +14.8% – Non-U.S. equity markets lagged: – MSCI World ex USA:

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All Roads: a decade-long journey and still on the road

All Roads: a decade-long journey and still on the road

🕔08:24, 20.Apr 2022

Clear insights into multi-asset investing, macro and research Key points As our multi-asset franchise, All Roads, reached its 10-year milestone, we applied the investment and research insights gained in the past decade to assess the prevailing risk of Q1 –

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Central & Alternative Scenarios (12 to 18 months horizon)

Central & Alternative Scenarios (12 to 18 months horizon)

🕔10:26, 19.Apr 2022

Monthly update We keep the narratives and the probabilities of our central and alternative scenario unchanged versus last month. The war in Ukraine could evolve in several ways over the coming weeks (see Ukraine crisis tree) with significant implications on

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How inflation turned out to be anything but transitory

How inflation turned out to be anything but transitory

🕔08:12, 19.Apr 2022

German consumer price rises hit a 42-year high, and probably have not peaked yet In Germany and elsewhere, inflation has accelerated and will probably continue to do so for quite a while. Each new inflation release increases pressures on central

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A tale of two shocks

A tale of two shocks

🕔10:04, 14.Apr 2022

The economy is facing two shocks. An inflation shock has led to a sharp hawkish shift by central banks. The Fed is now expected to raise policy rates to 2.5% this year. The BoJ is the outlier in the developed

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Capital Group – Webinar – Russia-Ukraine conflict: Investing amid exacerbating inflationary pressures

🕔09:30, 14.Apr 2022

Inflation is running at a 40-year high in the United States and accelerating around the globe, against a backdrop of disruption to the global economy caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The Fed’s recent rate rise of 25 basis

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De woningmarkt: een financieel stabiliteitsrisico

De woningmarkt: een financieel stabiliteitsrisico

🕔12:55, 11.Apr 2022

Olaf Sleijpen – DNB – Shared Value conferentie, 5 april 2022 De presentatie bestaat uit drie onderdelen: 1. Eerst wil ik samen reflecteren op de recente ontwikkelingen op de Nederlandse woningmarkt. 2. Daarna wil ik inzoomen op de risico’s voor

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Winds of war blow on economic outlook

Winds of war blow on economic outlook

🕔08:27, 11.Apr 2022

Ukraine: where do we stand? The first month of the Russia-Ukraine war has driven volatility up across the board, though with some recent signs of stabilisation in equity markets. Europe is the area most exposed to the war – in

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As the Fed moves into action, bond portfolios need agility

As the Fed moves into action, bond portfolios need agility

🕔10:55, 7.Apr 2022

In a world of rapidly escalating prices, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has exacerbated inflationary pressures. We have seen a direct impact on energy and a broad swath of agricultural commodities, and are likely to see a broadening of price pressures.

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Outlook for inflation

Outlook for inflation

🕔14:03, 5.Apr 2022

UK inflation figures were out last week and they do not make for pretty reading: CPI inflation climbed …

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Investment impacts of the war in Ukraine

Investment impacts of the war in Ukraine

🕔10:51, 4.Apr 2022

The West is united John Emerson, former U.S. ambassador to Germany Russia’s military aggression against Ukraine — Europe’s largest ground war in generations — has impacted millions of people and triggered a large-scale humanitarian crisis. From a financial perspective, the

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Ukraine war to cut growth, up inflation

Ukraine war to cut growth, up inflation

🕔19:50, 3.Apr 2022

BII Global weekly commentary We see the Ukraine war reducing global growth, increasing inflation and putting central banks in a bind. We prefer developed stocks in the inflationary backdrop Stocks led by European equities bounced from 2022 lows last week,

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Anti-Goldilocks

Anti-Goldilocks

🕔10:44, 31.Mar 2022

Despite the many unknowns, we developed five main conclusions regarding the cyclical six- to 12-month outlook that we think are most relevant for investors at this stage. We will discuss the longer-run, secular ramifications of the current situation at our

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Standing by our prudent strategy

Standing by our prudent strategy

🕔17:45, 30.Mar 2022

Uncertainty still surrounds the Ukraine war and its economic fallout The world's major economies went into the current crisis with fairly sound fundamentals, positive growth and low unemployment. Several were still enjoying the boost from withdrawing social distancing measures introduced

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A historically challenging market regime

A historically challenging market regime

🕔15:35, 30.Mar 2022

Global outlook – Q2 2022 update Both stocks and bonds are down year-to-date as policy confusion and Russia’s invasion roil markets. We still see stocks up and bonds down for a second straight year – a first since data started

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Less growth, more inflation

Less growth, more inflation

🕔14:50, 28.Mar 2022

Small global role, but large in key areas Russia and Ukraine have big roles in key areas. such as major European countries and some emerging market economies like China. The U.S. is better positioned as a major producer of energy and

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Time is of the essence

Time is of the essence

🕔14:30, 28.Mar 2022

A slowdown in global growth coupled with uncomfortably high inflation The war in Ukraine has added new uncertainties for investors. The most immediate economic impact is an upward revision in inflation forecasts for this year to 5.0% and a downward

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