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Tag "inflation"

Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation

Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation

🕔14:58, 25.Sep 2020

Interpretive Analysis and Insights   During the last quarter of 2018, major U.S. indices plunged approximately 20% from their peaks of end of late August/early October. In 2019, they recovered and reached new highs. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial

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Greater inflation risks ahead

Greater inflation risks ahead

🕔09:38, 23.Sep 2020

Weekly commentary We see a higher inflation regime in the medium term after a decade of inflation persistently undershooting central bank targets. Three new forces are at play: rising global production cost, new central bank policy frameworks that allow for …

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Asset Allocation and Alternatives – Top Five

Asset Allocation and Alternatives – Top Five

🕔11:20, 12.Sep 2020

#37 Next week, a lot of webinars are coming up. For example, on Tuesday Jupiter AM hosts a webinar about “The Great Inflation Debate“, on Wednesday UBP hosts a webinar on “Small Caps Specialties” and on Thursday Krane Shares hosts

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Real estate’s role as an inflation hedge in a post-COVID world

Real estate’s role as an inflation hedge in a post-COVID world

🕔13:22, 10.Sep 2020

The Federal Reserve's recent Jackson Hole Symposium has renewed attention on inflation in light of the unprecedented global fiscal and monetary policy response to the COVID-19 pandemic If inflation exceeds capital market expectations, risk assets could underperform. As such, investors

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Powell at Jackson Hole: Fed Doubles Up On 2% Inflation

Powell at Jackson Hole: Fed Doubles Up On 2% Inflation

🕔11:07, 7.Sep 2020

The Federal Reserve today announced an important change in its framework for conducting monetary policy in order to achieve its “statutory mandate from the Congress of promoting maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates.” One of the main

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Family Offices & LTCMA in our Top Five

Family Offices & LTCMA in our Top Five

🕔10:08, 5.Sep 2020

#36 It was a bit quiet in webinar-world the past month, but this month our calendar is quite busy again. For example, next week Capital Group hosts a webinar called “10 investment themes for the next 10 years“. The week

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Economic and Strategy Viewpoint

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint

🕔07:39, 25.Aug 2020

Since our last forecast in May we have seen a further easing of lockdowns, particularly in Europe, and a gradual resumption of economic activity. The US has seen a second wave of outbreaks in the southern states and cases in

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The Case for (Eventual) Inflation

The Case for (Eventual) Inflation

🕔11:25, 14.Aug 2020

Most investors came of age during a persistently disinflationary environment. Given the disinflationary demand shock caused by the coronavirus pandemic, that backdrop is likely to endure for the next several years. However, the combination of massive unconventional monetary policy and

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Observations driving our outlook

Observations driving our outlook

🕔15:34, 17.Jul 2020

2020 Real Assets Outlook Coronavirus… The ongoing impact of Covid-19 on the global economy has dramatically altered our outlook on inflation, risk and asset class returns. Going into 2020, valuations for many risk assets were rich and expected returns were

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COVID-19 update: A disinflationary shock – Part 2

COVID-19 update: A disinflationary shock – Part 2

🕔13:26, 14.Jul 2020

Research & Strategy Insights  In the first of our two papers, we considered the debate about the impact of coronavirus on the inflation outlook and we presented the case for a subdued outlook for Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) over the coming

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COVID-19 update: A disinflationary shock – Part 1

COVID-19 update: A disinflationary shock – Part 1

🕔13:09, 13.Jul 2020

Research & Strategy Insights  Of all the economic uncertainties that the COVID-19 pandemic has raised, the most confusion appears to be focused on inflation. Amidst the ambiguity over the scale of the economic …

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Monthly Must-Reads

Monthly Must-Reads

🕔09:28, 1.Jul 2020

A compilation of thought-provoking insights produced by Man Group during the month. Inflation Regime Roadmap Teun Draaisma, Ben Funnell and Henry Neville from Man Group’s DNA team study the history of inflationary regimes, and conclude that current extremes in deflation,

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Inflation: persistent headwinds but a possible inflationary cocktail

Inflation: persistent headwinds but a possible inflationary cocktail

🕔08:02, 11.Jun 2020

Since the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic, all eyes have been on the unfolding health catastrophe and the consequences of confinement: economies halted, exploding rates of unemployment (in particular in the United States), and rising debt levels. In this extraordinary

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Pensioen Pro – Webinar – Naar een nieuw strategisch beleggingsbeleid?

🕔13:00, 3.Jun 2020

Webinar – Naar een nieuw strategisch beleggingsbeleid? De coronacrisis stelt pensioenfondsen voor buitengewoon lastige vragen. Pensioen Pro gaat op zoek naar antwoorden in een serie interactieve live-uitzendingen. U kijkt vanuit huis (of kantoor) mee en u kunt direct reageren en

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After the Virus: A Binary World

After the Virus: A Binary World

🕔08:10, 3.Jun 2020

As the world assesses what will change after the COVID-19 pandemic, Jim Cielinski, Head of Fixed Income, introduces the questions Janus Henderson expects to be key in setting investment strategy going forward. We seek to share the insights of our

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Current opportunities in the TIPS market

Current opportunities in the TIPS market

🕔15:22, 27.May 2020

Treasury Market Dislocations This past month market volatility and risk premiums rose to levels not seen since the global financial crisis of 2008- 2009. Sparked by a global collapse in activity in response to the Coronavirus pandemic, the increase in

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Rebuttal to Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff’s proposal that Emerging Markets suspend debt payments

Rebuttal to Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff’s proposal that Emerging Markets suspend debt payments

🕔14:49, 22.May 2020

Market Commentary This is not the first time that Carmen Reinhart has cried wolf. As recently as May 2018, she argued in a Bloomberg interview that rising US inflation and US rate hikes would sink EM, because “more than two-thirds

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Sentiment should brighten in May

Sentiment should brighten in May

🕔09:38, 18.May 2020

Week Ahead Focus: Eurozone PMI data, Eurozone inflation  Looking ahead to next week (May 21), a first flash estimate of PMI data for the manufacturing and service sectors in the Eurozone, Germany and France for May will be released. In

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Bitcoins, central banks and inflation expectations: a variety of topics in our Top Five

Bitcoins, central banks and inflation expectations: a variety of topics in our Top Five

🕔10:12, 16.May 2020

#20 – Top Five Best Read Research on OpinioPro And it’s Saturday again: the day for us to publish our Top Five Best Read on OpinioPro this last week. Populair tags were ‘asset allocation‘ and ‘equities‘, furthermore our event calendar

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Compass Spring 2020

Compass Spring 2020

🕔14:55, 13.May 2020

It’s been a breathtaking start to the year in capital markets. A global pandemic looks to be about to end the longest US expansion in well over a century, with a global recession now expected by many. Difficult times lie

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The ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters

The ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters

🕔15:50, 12.May 2020

The results of Q2 2020 ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) have to be seen in the context of the outbreak of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and subsequent mitigation measures. 1 Expectations for euro area inflation, growth and unemployment were

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Op weg naar een gezonde samenleving: wie gaat dat betalen?

Op weg naar een gezonde samenleving: wie gaat dat betalen?

🕔07:52, 12.May 2020

ACTIAM Perspective In Nederland begint de kritiek op de steunmaatregelen en de lockdown toe te nemen. Een teken dat de ergste coronaschok achter de rug is. We gaan ons weer druk maken over andere zaken. Over hoe bedrijven gered moeten

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Will ECB prepare markets for rate cut?

Will ECB prepare markets for rate cut?

🕔10:50, 28.Apr 2020

Week Ahead  Focus: ECB, Eurozone Q1GDP and Inflation, US Fed and Q1 GDP  In the current environment, central banks are not waiting for scheduled meetings to make decisions, which reduces the importance of these meetings. For example, since the last

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Slowly out of limbo

Slowly out of limbo

🕔14:54, 27.Apr 2020

Monthly Investment Strategy Key points As some capacity is being re-created in healthcare systems, exiting lockdown by mid-May looks doable. We think it will be a subdued rebound though, and economic policy will need to help “for the long haul”.

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Too Soon? Pandemic Policy Response Raises Risk of Inflation

Too Soon? Pandemic Policy Response Raises Risk of Inflation

🕔12:14, 20.Apr 2020

Now is too soon to worry about inflation from a public policy perspective given the immediate humanitarian need for disaster relief. Many millions of newly unemployed people need cash now to pay bills and just to buy food for themselves

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