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Tag "inflation"

Sticking with reduced risk taking

Sticking with reduced risk taking

🕔16:45, 26.Sep 2022

BII Global weekly commentary The new regime of macro volatility is playing out with weaker growth, persistent inflation and volatile markets. We stick with our dialed-down risk stance. U.S. stocks slumped and yields surged on a renewed rise in core

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Global Asset Allocation: The View From Europe

Global Asset Allocation: The View From Europe

🕔12:30, 26.Sep 2022

It Fooled You Once​… Coming out of the annual Jackson Hole meeting, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech, unsurprisingly, had a strong tone reinforcing the Fed’s intention to fight inflation at any cost, a 180-degree reversal of his ‘inflation is transient’

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Embracing Change

Embracing Change

🕔10:45, 23.Sep 2022

Growth is slowing and inflation is climbing steadily due to the serious energy shock in late 2021. Central banks are starting to withdraw monetary stimulus and talking about rate hikes in the near future. The spectre of stagflation is re-emerging,

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Emerging market debt: an active approach

Emerging market debt: an active approach

🕔08:20, 23.Sep 2022

Emerging market debt (EMD) has already broadened and deepened significantly in the last few decades and as the asset class has developed, it has become more appealing to a broader investor base. Issuance has increased, thereby improving liquidity. Yield curves

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Waarschuwing over reële rendementen voor risicovollere vastrentende waarden

Waarschuwing over reële rendementen voor risicovollere vastrentende waarden

🕔14:23, 20.Sep 2022

De ontwikkeling van de reële obligatierendementen en de break-evenrentes op inflatiebeschermde obligaties geven aan hoe de rest van de vastrentende markt zal presteren. Dat is nu bijzonder relevant. Reële rendementen zijn altijd belangrijk. Maar obligatiebeleggers besteden best extra aandacht aan

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Multi-asset investing in times of volatility

Multi-asset investing in times of volatility

🕔12:55, 16.Sep 2022

2022 has been one of the most volatile periods in recent years for global equity and fixed income markets. The outbreak of the war in Ukraine, global supply chain disruptions, global inflationary pressures, less accommodative central banks and COVID-19 restrictions

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Credit Cracks: High Yield Fundamentals and Default Risk

Credit Cracks: High Yield Fundamentals and Default Risk

🕔09:47, 16.Sep 2022

Companies are facing a number of macro headwinds and ongoing margin pressures. While this environment can be challenging, we think many high yield companies are wellpositioned to navigate an economic slowdown given low leverage, healthy balance sheets and few near-term

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Are We Entering a New Era of  Higher Inflation?

Are We Entering a New Era of Higher Inflation?

🕔12:32, 6.Sep 2022

An Analysis of the Risign Entrenchment of Inflationary Shocks

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Equity investing in an inflationary environment

Equity investing in an inflationary environment

🕔10:02, 6.Sep 2022

After a long hiatus, the resurgence of inflation has become a key concern for investors over the past year. Central banks are moving towards a tighter monetary stance as they seek to tame long-term inflation expectations. With falling real incomes

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Recessie, fragmentatie en onzekerheid

Recessie, fragmentatie en onzekerheid

🕔08:43, 6.Sep 2022

Beleggingsnota 2023 De trefwoorden vorig jaar in de Beleggingsnota 2022 waren: COVID-19, productieverstoringen, en “peak growth”. De inflatie begon al te stijgen, maar was nog relatief beperkt (2,2% in de eurozone en 5,4% in de VS), en werd voornamelijk als

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No Excuses: Plan Now for Recession

No Excuses: Plan Now for Recession

🕔16:04, 5.Sep 2022

Inflation’s Causes, Prospects, and the Fed’s Toolkit Inflation is a simple consequence of a supply/demand imbalance. If demand exceeds supply, prices rise until balance is restored. The current surge in inflation has been caused mainly by blowout spending, supply chain

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The persistence of dividend growers

The persistence of dividend growers

🕔10:39, 26.Aug 2022

The return of inflation and macroeconomic uncertainty is shaking up equity market leadership. We caught up with Grant Cambridge to discuss why including dividend growers as part of a wider portfolio could help investors dampen these risks, and how 25

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Higher Inflation, Recession more likely

Higher Inflation, Recession more likely

🕔10:34, 24.Aug 2022

Please open the 15 pgae report for more information

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World Economic Outlook, Glommy and More Uncertain, July Update 2022

World Economic Outlook, Glommy and More Uncertain, July Update 2022

🕔08:26, 24.Aug 2022

The Forces Shaping the Outlook Global slowdown intensifies as downside risks materialize. A tentative recovery in 2021 has been followed by increasingly gloomy developments in 2022. Performance was slightly better than expected in the first quarter, but world real GDP is

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Annual Economic Report 2022 of the BIS

Annual Economic Report 2022 of the BIS

🕔14:31, 23.Aug 2022

Introduction There is no respite for the global economy. Two years ago, it was shaken by the onset of the pandemic, as an overwhelming health crisis turned into an overwhelming economic crisis. While the after-tremors of the pandemic still reverberate,

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Barometer: Winstberekening klopt niet

Barometer: Winstberekening klopt niet

🕔08:13, 18.Aug 2022

Aandelen blijven kwetsbaar voor een golf naar beneden bijgestelde winstprognoses, vooral in de VS en Europa. Vertragende economische groei, stijgende inflatie, strakker monetair beleid en verhoogde geopolitieke risico's hebben allemaal hun tol geëist in de financiële …

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Currency Effects on Private Market Portfolios

Currency Effects on Private Market Portfolios

🕔11:34, 16.Aug 2022

Investment returns for a private markets portfolio (or for that matter, public markets portfolio) are a derivative of a number of variables. In the current market environment, for example, rising rates, inflation, geopolitical risks, supply chain issues (to name just

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Outlook on Emerging Markets

Outlook on Emerging Markets

🕔12:44, 15.Aug 2022

Summary High inflation, aggressive monetary tightening, and the potential for recession are all global fears. However, for many emerging markets countries, navigating a recovery means taking a clear course of action: keep inflation under control at the risk of slowing

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The gas crisis is coming to america

The gas crisis is coming to america

🕔12:53, 9.Aug 2022

Table of Contents The Gas Crisis is Coming to America The Commodity Bull Market has Just Begun Inflation and Magazine Covers Part III Market Commentary Out of Spare Capacity Catastrophic Agriculture Markets Russia and the Uranium Fuel Cycle The Time

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Secular Outlook 2022

Secular Outlook 2022

🕔14:15, 8.Aug 2022

Wat zal de financiële markten de komende vijf jaar stimuleren? Ontdek het in onze Secular Outlook, waarin we onze prognoses voor het rendement van alle grote activaklassen geven en de krachtige langetermijntrends analyseren die het beleggingslandschap zouden kunnen hertekenen.

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Winning by Not Losing: Building Portfolios for a More Challenging World

Winning by Not Losing: Building Portfolios for a More Challenging World

🕔10:21, 8.Aug 2022

Generating positive returns in tougher conditions requires new thinking. KEY INSIGHTS Challenging market conditions and deeper structural shifts are demanding fresh thinking from investors. Such thinking may include new ways to help mitigate the impact of volatility on equity portfolios, adapt

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Schroders Emerging Markets Lens: Emerging Market Debt

Schroders Emerging Markets Lens: Emerging Market Debt

🕔16:07, 4.Aug 2022

Summary Hard currency emerging market debt (EMD): – Valuations vary: 1. The spreads of investment grade (IG) sovereign and IG corporate indices are close to their historical medians. High yield (HY) corporate index spreads have inched slightly above the historical

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Inflation remains the priority amid slowing growth

Inflation remains the priority amid slowing growth

🕔14:36, 4.Aug 2022

The Federal Reserve did not surprise and raised its target range for the federal funds rate by 75 basis points to 2.25%-2.5%, referring to high inflation as its primary concern1 . A strong labour market supported a hawkish tone overall

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Alternative Data: Workforce Recovery and the Great Resignation

Alternative Data: Workforce Recovery and the Great Resignation

🕔13:43, 4.Aug 2022

More displaced workers seem ready to come back into the labor force, but employers may need to watch their highly compensated “stayers.”  One of the key economic side effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and lockdowns was the wholesale departure of

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Does inflation travel?

Does inflation travel?

🕔10:15, 4.Aug 2022

Inflation has been a major driver behind financial market returns and we expect that to remain the case in the short term. Trade costs are a significant contributor to the final price of any good with shipping costs its most

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Global Asset Allocation: The View From Europe

Global Asset Allocation: The View From Europe

🕔12:41, 3.Aug 2022

Market Perspective Inflation concerns remain at the forefront for central banks and investors as global growth continues to trend lower amid supply disruptions, geopolitical challenges and reduction of liquidity, setting the stage for a challenging macro backdrop. The US Federal

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Factorbeleggen aandelen

Factorbeleggen aandelen

🕔10:27, 3.Aug 2022

Wisselend beeld voor factoren in turbulent eerste kwartaal Aandelenmarkten startten het jaar met forse verliezen. Voornaamste redenen zijn het verkrappende monetaire beleid van de belangrijkste centrale banken om inflatie te bestrijden en de Russische invasie in Oekraïne. Value, momentum en

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A focus on inflation

A focus on inflation

🕔10:24, 22.Jul 2022

The conflict in Ukraine has delivered a commodity price shock similar to that of the early 1970s, shattering hopes that the inflationary uptick may prove to be transitory. As inflation reaches multi-decade highs, we analyse what is driving inflation across

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US Consumer Inflation: who loses less wins

US Consumer Inflation: who loses less wins

🕔17:00, 21.Jul 2022

June’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) was about the worst composition possible from a Fed perspective as it was (1) a broad-based increase that (2) accelerated. The base effect was supposed to be shading inflation down, but it’s been totally overrun

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Q2 2022 Global Currency and Macroeconomic Highlights

Q2 2022 Global Currency and Macroeconomic Highlights

🕔16:12, 20.Jul 2022

Headline inflation will likely peak this quarter, but domestic service inflation should continue to rise. Growth is set to slow as consumers feel the squeeze in real …

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A Bigger Boat

A Bigger Boat

🕔09:17, 20.Jul 2022

Market views from BlackRock Systematic Investing: Central bankers across the world are facing a “Jaws”-sized inflation problem. Like Roy Schneider’s character in the shark-themed summer movie classic, they are now realizing they are going to “need a bigger boat” to

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Cloudy with a chance of recession

Cloudy with a chance of recession

🕔10:57, 19.Jul 2022

The slump in global equities deepened in the second quarter of 2022 as concerns about a recession replaced fears of high inflation and an escalation of the war in Ukraine seemed less likely. The US Federal Reserve has maintained its

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TIPS: How they function and the headwinds they face

TIPS: How they function and the headwinds they face

🕔14:50, 18.Jul 2022

Key takeaways TIPS can help investors maintain their purchasing power in inflationary periods, because their principal value adjusts with changes in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, providing a real rate of return that exceeds that of nominal

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Rising recession fear

Rising recession fear

🕔08:01, 12.Jul 2022

Multi Asset Quarterly  Inflation remains the number one topic in the financial markets. Soaring energy prices and persistent supply shortages for a wide range of goods and services are the major drivers of higher prices. Overall, central banks have become

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Fed becoming worried about inflation expectations

Fed becoming worried about inflation expectations

🕔14:18, 11.Jul 2022

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and statement: On 15 June, the Fed hiked the Fed funds rate by 75bp, to 1.50-1.75%, the first 75bp rate rise since November 1994. Chair Jerome Powell confirmed that recent readings regarding consumer inflation

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Slowflation in the offing

Slowflation in the offing

🕔08:34, 6.Jul 2022

While some of the risk factors we spoke about last month – OPEC’s lack of cooperation and China’s lockdowns – have eased somewhat in recent weeks, growth and inflation concerns have continued to pile up, challenging policymakers and investors. The

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Life above zero: investors’ journey at a time of rising rates

Life above zero: investors’ journey at a time of rising rates

🕔12:03, 5.Jul 2022

Global economy is slowing, due to the fallout from the Russia-Ukraine war, supply bottlenecks and China’s zero-tolerance Covid-19 policy. CBs will tighten financial conditions to tame persistent inflation. A global recession is not our main scenario, but there are areas

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Contained EM inflation and higher real yields suggest relative value in local markets

Contained EM inflation and higher real yields suggest relative value in local markets

🕔08:30, 2.Jul 2022

The recent surge in commodity prices has amplified the acceleration in inflation that we have been seeing globally, arising from disruption to global supply chains caused by the pandemic. Expectations just a few months ago were that the drivers …

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The battle against inflation: are emerging markets ahead of the curve?

The battle against inflation: are emerging markets ahead of the curve?

🕔10:42, 1.Jul 2022

As Covid's impact fades, inflation has become a major worry for policymakers. Surprisingly, emerging market central banks are moving faster than their rich country peers to contain the threat. Developed economy central banks have fallen behind the inflationary curve, despite

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False Narratives Will Cost You Money |

False Narratives Will Cost You Money |

🕔14:34, 30.Jun 2022

You know that recession narratives abound when Cardi B is tweeting “When y’all think they going to announce that we going into a recession?”1 Even more pronounced is the “stagflation” hysteria. Major investment banks are publishing stagflation primers… an institutional

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How we think about inflation

How we think about inflation

🕔08:05, 30.Jun 2022

Investment managers at Baillie Gifford have been thinking a lot about inflation and how it affects portfolio returns in recent months. Usually, such macroeconomic questions matter less to us than the strengths of individual companies and their potential for extraordinary

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Monetair beleid en inflatie

Monetair beleid en inflatie

🕔13:41, 15.Jun 2022

Na een lange periode waarin inflatie (ruim) onder de doelstelling van de Europese Centrale Bank lag, zijn de prijzen in Nederland en in het eurogebied de afgelopen maanden omhooggeschoten. Dit is deels een gevolg van de heropening van de economie

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Don’t fight the Fed

Don’t fight the Fed

🕔15:17, 13.Jun 2022

Restrictive central banks and high inflation rates are likely to continue to weigh on the economic outlook. Macro outlook – The US Federal Reserve stays its course High inflation rates are increasingly permeating global economies, and sharp increases in commodity

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Barometer: Voorzichtigheid is de moeder van de porseleinkast

Barometer: Voorzichtigheid is de moeder van de porseleinkast

🕔10:27, 13.Jun 2022

De stijgende reële rentevoeten en de bezorgdheid over de vooruitzichten voor de wereldeconomie wegen op onze vooruitzichten voor aandelen, wat ons ertoe aanzet onze allocatie naar onderwogen te verlagen Activatoewijzing: een zenuwoorlog Inflatie Oorlog COVID Deze eisen elk hun tol

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Hoogtepunt in agressief beleid

Hoogtepunt in agressief beleid

🕔10:06, 3.Jun 2022

De Amerikaanse Federal Reserve bereikt mogelijk een hoogtepunt in haar agressieve beleid als reactie op de aanhoudend sterke inflatie. We bereiken binnenkort een hoogtepunt in het agressieve beleid – als dat nog niet is gebeurd. De belangrijkste centrale bank ter

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Navigating the foggy road to normal

Navigating the foggy road to normal

🕔14:10, 2.Jun 2022

Global growth is likely to slow alongside increasing geopolitical risk and uncertainty, tighter monetary policy, and a slowing Chinese economy. There is also a greater risk that inflation will remain higher for longer, given supply chain ….

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Bond Investing in Inflationary Times

Bond Investing in Inflationary Times

🕔10:30, 2.Jun 2022

As the chief research officer of Buckingham Strategic Partners, the issue I am being asked to address most often is about fixed income strategies when yields are at historically low levels and inflation risk is heightened due to the unprecedented

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Markets Continue to Discount That the Fed Will Achieve a Soft Landing; Is That Likely?

Markets Continue to Discount That the Fed Will Achieve a Soft Landing; Is That Likely?

🕔08:42, 1.Jun 2022

Earnings are priced in to keep rising while inflation is priced in to fall. It rarely works out that way. US equities are down about 10% so far this year, but until the last couple of days, this was driven

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Recession risks rise as inflation takes its toll

Recession risks rise as inflation takes its toll

🕔15:20, 31.May 2022

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint Q2 2022 – The peak in global inflation is probably not far away, but there are several reasons to think that it will fall relatively slowly. Lockdowns in China have caused bottlenecks in global supply chains

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The Inflation Revival

The Inflation Revival

🕔13:57, 30.May 2022

INTRODUCTION Inflation has rebounded from the pandemic-induced recession lows with a vengeance. In the US, the pace of the yearly headline consumer price index (CPI) accelerated to 7.5% in January, a 40-year high. Similarly in the euro area, the annual

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