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Tag "macro"

A renewed spring in Europe’s step

A renewed spring in Europe’s step

🕔03:07, 18.Apr 2019

Macro and Market Perspectives We expect Europe to shake off its current soft patch later this year, getting a boost from China’s stimulus efforts and any resulting rebound in global manufacturing. If the global growth backdrop improves and one-off setbacks

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Cross Asset Investment Strategy

Cross Asset Investment Strategy

🕔11:02, 5.Apr 2019

A sweet spot, but keep a sharp eye on the macro side Risky assets have been in a very strong uptrend since the beginning of the year. The key question now is, where do we go from here? There are

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A symphony of trades

A symphony of trades

🕔13:03, 3.Apr 2019

Macro Quarterly Calm after the storm—or before a new one? After the volatility of late 2018, 2019 has proven much kinder to global risk assets thus far. Ironically, in our view it was precisely the severity of market concerns about

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With policy in place, we’re now just waiting for the cycle

With policy in place, we’re now just waiting for the cycle

🕔02:01, 3.Apr 2019

Research & Strategy Insights March macro data have been mixed in the US (manufacturing output contracting and surveys softening vs. elevated in services) and the Eurozone (disappointing Purchasing Managers indices and core inflation vs. more upbeat domestic surveys) In March,

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Groei eurozone zwakt af

Groei eurozone zwakt af

🕔14:02, 29.Mar 2019

De groei van de eurozone-economie zwakt af. Italië bevindt zich in een recessie, terwijl Duitsland deze nipt wist te vermijden. Andere eurolanden, zoals Spanje en Nederland, doen het beter. De binnenlandse bestedingen blijven daar op peil. De ECB zal de

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Unveiling China’s Economic Cycle

Unveiling China’s Economic Cycle

🕔02:01, 29.Mar 2019

Introducing our Economic Cycle Indicator and how we apply it to the current environment The recent deterioration in high-frequency data has reignited concern about the health of the Chinese economy. However, wide divergences between some official data, such as GDP,

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Deutsche Qualität

Deutsche Qualität

🕔02:01, 22.Mar 2019

The German economic cycle in question  Overall, we see German GDP growing by 0.9% in 2019. Risks are skewed to the downside and are primarily external.

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Generation €uro – What Europe can do for you

Generation €uro – What Europe can do for you

🕔14:11, 14.Mar 2019 Read Full Article
Profit margins under pressure

Profit margins under pressure

🕔02:16, 10.Mar 2019

Macro perspectives The deceleration in economic growth – and the entry of the US into the late stage of its expansion – casts a shadow on corporate profit margins. This year we could see a US-led earnings recession – typically

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Another Swing at the Plate

Another Swing at the Plate

🕔11:03, 7.Mar 2019

Global Macro Insights In response to a surge in client questions we have fielded since our 2019 Outlook piece was published in early January, we are taking “another swing at the plate” to address four key issues where there appears

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Transatlantic growth divergence reaching a peak

Transatlantic growth divergence reaching a peak

🕔01:01, 5.Mar 2019

Research & Strategy Insights US macro indicators (fourth quarter GDP and business surveys) are holding up but “cross currents” have justified a US Federal Reserve pause Eurozone activity indicators remain bleak and we have downgraded our 2019 growth forecast to

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Global Macro Update

Global Macro Update

🕔13:02, 22.Feb 2019

Notes from a Region of Depressed Expectations Paltry data and frustrations in Brussels make for a dreary eurozone outlook, although US/China trade talks provide some hope for markets.

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Two sides to the U.S. dollar story

Two sides to the U.S. dollar story

🕔14:05, 21.Feb 2019

Weekly Commentary We see room for ongoing U.S. dollar strength versus most developed market peers and further depreciation against EM currencies. Global stocks rose on hopes of progress in U.S.-China trade talks. Lower oil output in January pushed oil prices

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A justifiable rally

A justifiable rally

🕔13:02, 21.Feb 2019

It’s surely a coincidence that the recent market rally occurred during the partial shutdown of the U.S. government. More conventional rally catalysts were the over-sold conditions created by excessive pessimism about growth and a dovish shift from the Federal Reserve.

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Economic Update

Economic Update

🕔11:02, 15.Feb 2019

Growth The third and final estimate of 3Q U.S. GDP growth dipped 0.1% from the prior estimate to 3.4% q/q saar, decelerating from the 4.2% pace in 2Q. The estimate was revised down due to weaker personal consumption expenditures (PCE)

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The Macro Report – PGIM

The Macro Report – PGIM

🕔11:02, 15.Feb 2019

A delicate balance Forecasting 2019 means interpreting the interactions between economic growth, interest rates, and risky assets. Global growth is slowing. In the United States, waning fiscal stimulus measures and higher rates will trigger the pace of expansion to moderate

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Managed Futures  / Global Macro  Outlook 2019

Managed Futures / Global Macro Outlook 2019

🕔11:03, 14.Feb 2019

Is this asset class working for anyone? The past 10 years have been as mixed of a mixed bag as you can get, with some good performance, some poor performance (2018 chief among them), and a whole lot of middling

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A healthy pause

A healthy pause

🕔14:02, 8.Feb 2019

Macro Monthly Fed policy tightening was a headwind for risk assets in 2018, particularly as broader investor concerns about slowing global growth increased towards the end of the year In an important regime shift, the statement and press conference of

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Update on economic and monetary developments

Update on economic and monetary developments

🕔14:25, 7.Feb 2019

The incoming information that has become available since the Governing Council’s decision to end net asset purchases in December 2018 has continued to be weaker than expected on account of softer external demand and some country and sector-specific factors. In

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China A-share market to thrive on economic growth and market improvements

China A-share market to thrive on economic growth and market improvements

🕔14:02, 7.Feb 2019

Invesco Investment Insights Market-structure improvements, better access and development of the asset-management sector to make investing in China A-shares easier. Active strategies, including quantitative investing, in the A-share market can help enhance returns, while local experts can advise on how

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De groei van de eurozone-economie zwakte in het vierde kwartaal verder af.

De groei van de eurozone-economie zwakte in het vierde kwartaal verder af.

🕔13:03, 5.Feb 2019

Investment Highlights De groei van de eurozone-economie zwakte in het vierde kwartaal verder af. De afkoeling werd verwacht omdat diverse vertrouwensindicatoren al langer op een afzwakking duiden. Er zijn wel grote verschillen tussen de landen. In Spanje kwam de economische

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Perseverance or Denial? We stick to our forecasts

Perseverance or Denial? We stick to our forecasts

🕔02:01, 5.Feb 2019

While macro data have been scant and mixed, the US Federal Reserve surprised with a very dovish tone Eurozone GDP ended 2018 in line with our expectations, with Italy in recession but France and Spain showing upside resilience. We see

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Kick-off 2019 with courage and discipline

Kick-off 2019 with courage and discipline

🕔07:09, 3.Feb 2019

Cross Asset Investment Strategy 2019 begins with a synchronised global slowdown. All recently published data, particularly trade and manufacturing data, show that economic activity is slowing in all countries simultaneously. In China, exports and imports contracted sharply in December, as

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Analyse van de financiële markten

Analyse van de financiële markten

🕔14:09, 30.Jan 2019

Twee jaar geleden verliep het economische herstel gelijkmatig in alle regio's, en nu lijkt ook de economische vertraging alle regio's te treffen. In de Verenigde Staten beginnen de zwakkere prestaties van de auto-industrie en de vastgoedsector navolging te krijgen in

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Slowing – but still growing

Slowing – but still growing

🕔13:06, 29.Jan 2019

Macro and Market Perspectives We see global growth slowing as the expansion enters its final stage. The slowdown comes as the US economy becomes a drag rather than a driver. It is driven by elevated uncertainty around policy plans, the

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