Monthly Market Monitor – February 2021
Monthly Market Monitor – February 2021
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“Turning to the tasks of our time”
“Turning to the tasks of our time” Joe Biden, 46th President of the United States Markets at a glance President Biden kicked off his new term with a flurry of executive orders and directives (30) in his first three days
Market Optimism May Be Justified—But I Urge Caution
While the U.S. elections grind toward the finish line, risk markets—after a bumpy ride—are hovering close to all‑time highs. In light of surprisingly close elections that will likely lead to a split Congress, legislative gridlock, and inadequate fiscal support, this
Legacy of the Lockdowns – Outlook
In our 2021 Investment Outlook, we seek to help investors navigate the next phases of the pandemic, the legacy of the lockdowns, and the ensuing economic recovery. We also consider how solutions to the climate crisis can be found at
Markets Prepare for the Post-Covid Period
Market Flash Markets continued to focus on waning epidemic and political risk. Astra Zeneca unveiled a Covid vaccine that looks promising and simple to use. Governments are gearing up to start vaccination campaigns in the next few weeks. In the
Quarterly macro and market insights
From Capital Group’s fixed income team The global economy has stabilised sooner than had been anticipated. Unprecedented fiscal and monetary policy responses have helped, though pre-COVID economic levels may still not be recovered for another one to three years. The
Highlights of last week: US Treasury yields and a search for visibility
#42 In October, there is no lack of webinars. This week our event calendar includes 11 webinars! For example, on Tuesday 20 October, KraneShares hosts a Virtual Conference called “The Next Chapter for China” and on Thursday 22 October, T.
What the US election means for markets … and what it doesn’t!
Markets | October 2020 While every US presidential election is contentious, this year’s race seems especially divisive. Partisanship is extreme, and the difference between Donald Trump and Joe Biden in approach, personality and behaviour is stark. The charged rhetoric may
The Weekly Brief
In the final quarter of this year, investors are likely to learn the answers to three pivotal questions for markets. First, we are likely to hear the results of vaccine trials. Second, we will learn the results of the US
Guide to the Markets
Europe | | 4Q 2020 As of 30 September 2020
Uncertainty Phase on the Market Continues
Markets at a glance In the course of the week, the markets remained very uncertain and highly influenced by the evolution of the contagion curve at the global level. On the US curve, the 2-year rate was confirmed …
Review of markets over the second quarter of 2020
Market Review It’s been a very strong quarter for equities and credit as central banks and governments provided enormous amounts of stimulus and economies started to reopen. Despite the strong rebound in risk …
Lessons from Japan
Global Matters Weekly The summer solstice, or ‘longest day of the year’, took place in the northern hemisphere just over two weeks ago, putting those of us that live here on a path of gradually shortening …
Weekly Market Recap
Stocks had a poor start to last week, as concerns over the worsening of the pandemic in several states as well as a new outbreak in Beijing seemed to continue weighing on sentiment. The market then rebounded late Monday following
Steering clear of losses
Global Matters Weekly Financial losses come in many shapes and forms and investors rightly spend a considerable amount of time worrying about them but managing loss aversion poorly can make the longterm outcome even worse. It is important to pick
Introducing “Stressed Performing Credit”
White Paper Rising Stars in a New (Fed) World Recent unprecedented action by central banks, notably the Federal Reserve on April 9th, has helped markets recover meaningfully. This has caused many investors to wonder, “What do we do next?” or,
Alliance Bernstein – Webinar – Update on the developments in the portfolio and the markets
Webinar – Update on the developments in the portfolio and the markets On 13 May at 14:30 CEST/13:30 BST, we will host a webinar with Jim Tierney, CIO – Concentrated US Growth and Mark Phelps, CIO – Concentrated Global Growth
Monthly OpinioPro Statistics – April 2020
April In this blogpost, we will update you on our monthly best-reads and longest-reads. If you follow our weekly blogposts, you know the best read research articles on a weekly basis. In this monthly overview, we provide you with a
Forex News
The EURUSD continued its sideways movement in April, although the range narrowed significantly. The outlook for both economic areas remains bleak and highly uncertain, both of which point to a sustained sideways trend. In this environment, long-term investments in either
Bear market playbook
Length of the equity slump likely to be at the shorter end of previous drawdowns The uniqueness of different bear market triggers leaves little convincing evidence of recurring patterns to aid market timing. We see limited merit in attempting to
Are credit spreads wide enough?
Uncommon truths Have credit spreads widened enough? We think the answer depends upon what happens to the economy and we use US credit markets to give historical context. This leaves us more concerned about high-yield than investment-grade but we believe
Pictet AM – Webinar – Where next for markets?
Webinar – Where next for markets? The views of our Pictet AM Strategy Unit and Head of Global Bonds Webinar information Date: Wednesday 22 April Time: 11:00 AM CEST
Volatility Eases And Normalcy Begins To Return To Treasury Markets
Bond markets took a roller coaster ride over the last month. The extreme volatility reflected illiquid conditions as dealers worked from home; regulatory pressure weighing on dealer balance sheets; de-risking in risk-parity funds; and profit taking in fixed income to
April 2020 Fixed Income Update
COVID-19 and the financial markets Spotlight: Fixed Income Various central bank measures and rescue packages have lifted the sentiment on the global capital market in the last days. While the curve of new infections and fatalities is flattening in many
Ctas As Shock Absorbers
Market conditions improved in the wake of the aggressive Federal Reserve announcements to tame risks in the financial system (link). The MSCI World bottomed on March 23rd and rose more than 20% since then, leaving the broad equity market benchmark
T. Rowe Price – Webinar – Insights: Coronavirus – The Signals to Watch from our Health Care Experts
Webinar – Insights: Coronavirus – The Signals to Watch from our Health Care Experts The coronavirus pandemic continues to unsettle markets and investors around the world. Join Ziad Bakri, Portfolio Manager, Health Sciences Strategy; Anne Daub, Investment Analyst Biotechnology; and
What does the global lockdown mean for dividends?
With large swathes of the world’s population on lockdown and economic activity on hold, we assess the likely damage to dividend payments over the coming months. We outline how Fidelity’s equity income portfolios are navigating this environment and why selectively
Pictet AM – Webinar – Where next for markets?
Webinar – Where next for markets? Datum: 15 april Tijd: onbekend Ook in deze uitdagende tijden staan onze experts tot uw beschikking. Middels webcasts houden onze experts u de komende weken op de hoogte van de laatste ontwikkelingen van de
Pictet AM – Webinar – Where next for markets?
Webinar – Where next for markets? Datum: 8 april Tijd: onbekend Ook in deze uitdagende tijden staan onze experts tot uw beschikking. Middels webcasts houden onze experts u de komende weken op de hoogte van de laatste ontwikkelingen van de
Fixed Income Market Update
Time to own durable yield for the Zero Interest Rate world ahead Going forward, fundamentals are likely to be defined by a sharp global recession followed by a stubbornly low growth world coupled with the odd bedfellows of high debt
Talking Points on China’s Experience with COVID-19
Talking Points on China's Experience with COVID-19: What IS and IS NOT applicable to the US What IS NOT applicable to the United States What IS NOT applicable to the United States COVID-19 (Coronavirus) began in Wuhan, which is the capital
In Credit
Two months down. Macro / government bonds Core government bonds remain the favoured asset class in these times of turmoil. Indeed, last week the benchmark 10-year US treasury reached a new all time yield low of 1.14%. The ICE BofA
Guide to the Markets Q1 2020
Guide to the Markets MARKET INSIGHTS Europe 1Q 2020 As of 31 December 2019
Hidden Costs in FX Management
How much are investors spending on day-to-day FX management and how much could they save? The answer: much more than they may realise. The subject, typically viewed as an administrative backoffice function, often receives limited attention from pension fund trustees
UK set for snap election, what does this mean for sterling?
The UK’s deadline for leaving the European Union has once again been delayed and another general election is on the way in December, but what does this mean for the currency markets? Despite Boris Johnson’s best efforts to force his
Market Flash: The Geopolitical Climate Recovers A Little
Risk assets were lifted this week by the partial US-China agreement and hopes of a solution to avoid a no-deal Brexit. The US-China agreement stipulated that Washington would not raise tariffs on $250bnworth of Chinese imports by 25-30% on October
Forecasting Combination: An Application For Exchange Rates
This paper tries to forecast exchange rates by comparing forecasting methods that take into account cointegration and methods that do not. The first finding is that taking into account cointegration provides better forecasting results. Furthermore, the factor model with cointegration
USD: environment continues to support the dollar
The coming weeks will decide how Brexit will proceed. There are probably now only two alternatives remaining: another postponement of the withdrawal date or withdrawal without an agreement. We expect the second. Once this outcome becomes obvious, the dollar could
Cycling into Emerging Market Sovereigns
Bond yields have nose-dived once more this summer in light of renewed geopolitical tensions and a decelerating global economy. GAM Investments’ Bogdan Manescu believes that fixed income investors can still find value and attractive yields in emerging market (EM) sovereign,
Global Equity Ratings
Preferred Sectors: Health Care, Technology and Consumer
Buy-to-let verdringt starter van de koopwoningmarkt
Buy-to-let is, in de omvang waarin het zich de afgelopen jaren in Nederland heeft voorgedaan, een nieuw verschijnsel. Dat particuliere beleggers op grote schaal koopwoningen kopen om die woningen vervolgens te verhuren, laat zien dat de verhoudingen op de woningmarkt
International Stock Market Co-Movements and Politics-Related Risks
Cross asset Investment Strategy We investigate the determinants of international stock market co-movements, shedding light on the relevance of politics-related factors. We propose a new characterization for the link connecting politics and financial markets, disentangling two different components: political risk
Mid-Year Investment Outlook
I hope you enjoy reading our mid-year Investment Outlook. In the pages that follow we set out to share our current thinking and the investment conclusions that follow. Perhaps surprisingly, given that there is much uncertainty, we have some clear
Our Monthly Market Analysis And Positioning
The month of May was tough rather than merry. After many stock exchanges touched new record highs, the impulsive U.S. trade policy sent both equities and bond yields on a downward slide. The summer could be uncomfortably hot.
Falling off a wall of worry?
In Credit June Yields have plunged in the US, Europe and the UK. Hopes of a successful resolution to the trade dispute between the US and China have been replaced by increasing intransigence from both sides and the threat of
No shortcuts
Weekly Digest Hiring managers looking to bring someone into their business or team would naturally include an interview stage for promising candidates, which may consist of several rounds of face to face questioning and assessment. Why should the process of
Review of markets over May 2019
For much of this year, equity markets have enjoyed a healthy climb, assisted by a dovish tilt from central banks, as well as the possibility of a trade deal between the US and China. As we entered May, the S&P
Genuine uncertainties according to the latest indicators
Trade war uncertainties continued while the latest advanced indicators delivered increasingly contradictory signals. Conference Board indicators on consumer confidence rebounded in May amid very buoyant labour market conditions. Note, however, that the survey was up to May 16 and therefore
Economic and Strategy Viewpoint
The headline growth numbers in our latest forecasts have not changed significantly since our last update in February. However, these have been boosted by a good start to the year with Q1 GDP beating expectations in the US, eurozone, UK,
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