What happened in the past month? Global trade growth continues to improve, riding on the tailwind of monetary easing earlier in the year and the recent de-escalation of China-US trade tension. On the domestic front, stronger infrastructure FAI and still-resilient
Key points Stocks rose for a fourth consecutive month in December, extending indices’ record-breaking rally this year, as the US and China struck an initial trade deal and reports pointed to a possible acceleration in the global economy. The STOXX®
October started out with a whole host of positive developments. The UK parliament compelled British Prime Minister Boris Johnson to ask the European Union to extend Brexit negotiations. The EU accepted the UK parliament’s request, thereby avoiding the possibility of
Equities continued to rally in November – a relatively consistent feature of markets in 2019, despite the multitude of geopolitical risks that investors have faced this year. The negotiations between the US and China on a ‘phase one’ trade deal
Market Overview October was all about talk of deals and crucial deadlines. What happened? The deals got nowhere and the deadlines were missed. How did markets react? Equities went up still more and bonds hung around. It is remarkable how
Financial markets welcomed signs of an easing in geopolitical tensions in October, with risk assets generally outperforming traditional safe havens. The US and Chinese authorities moved closer to agreeing a partial deal on trade, while the UK once again edged
A reprieve in trade tensions between the U.S. and China bolstered investor confidence in October even as political uncertainty increased around the globe. Washington and Beijing announced details of a potential deal – coined as “phase one” – for the
Over the past few weeks, Eurozone and U.S. economic and manufacturing data releases have started showing early signs of stabilization. In the United States, PMI data have trended sideways of late. Industrial production missed expectations, but much of the weakness
For the second straight month global equities outperformed U.S. equities. International developed (MSCI EAFE Index 3.6%) and emerging market (MSCI EM Index 4.2%) equities outpaced the U.S. S&P 500 Index which rose 2.2%. The U.K. Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, reached
Lichtpunten aan de horizon Wereldwijd zwakt de economische groei af. Maar er zijn signalen dat de groeivertraging niet verder doorzet. Macro-economische indicatoren duiden op stabilisatie. In de industriële sector, die de bron van de neergang is, zijn tekenen van herstel.
Eaton Vance Monthly Market Monitor presents a concise review of economic and asset class data through clear and impactful charts. Providing timely information across a broad array of markets and investment topics, this guide serves as a helpful resource in
Activity indicators stabilized but remained at relatively weak levels. Pork price gapped up after the October 1 holidays. Oct. Mtd IPP coal consumption growth rose to 19.9% YoY from 5.2% YoY in Sept on a low base, but industrial utilization
IN BRIEF With the real value of the US dollar close to its strongest level in the last 50 years, many strategists are expecting the currency to suffer a relatively significant fall in value at some stage in the next
Elga explains why we see the late-cycle policy easing as potentially coming to an end – and what it means for investors. The Fed’s rate cut last week was the latest installment of a global dovish push this year with
European equities ended October in positive territory, despite concerns about slowing economic growth in the Eurozone and continued Brexit uncertainty. The S&P Europe 350 gained 1.1% and is on track for its best year since 2009. Most European sectors finished October
Financial markets welcomed signs of an easing in geopolitical tensions in October, with risk assets generally outperforming traditional safe havens. The US and Chinese authorities moved closer to agreeing a partial deal on trade, while the UK once again edged
Presentation
U.S. assets performed well in the third quarter, adding to strong gains from the first half of the year. Markets rallied as heightened concerns about global trade and growth pushed bond yields lower and prompted central banks to ease policy.
Eaton Vance Monthly Market Monitor presents a concise review of economic and asset class data through clear and impactful charts. Providing timely information across a broad array of markets and investment topics, this guide serves as a helpful resource in
Despite an optimistic start to September, mixed geopolitical developments weighed on investor sentiment over the month. Trade tensions between the U.S. and China eased somewhat as September began: China exempted certain U.S. agricultural products from additional tariffs, and President Donald
IP growth edged up from the lows in July-August, but remained relatively weak. 3Q GDP growth tracks lower. Demand indicators appear to be stabilizing at a relatively weak level. Following the weak IP growth (4.4% & 4.8% YoY) in July-August,
S&P Dow Jones Indices
With the trade war escalating, the risk that the conflict will further dampen business confidence and capex is increasing. Whether this will lead to an outright recession will depend on the resilience of the consumer, who has so far been
The global economy is stuck in a persistent slowdown concentrated in the manufacturing sector amidst pervasive economic policy uncertainty. The latest ISM manufacturing producer confidence index slid into contraction territory at 49.1 in August, delivering little comfort for investors. Is
Eaton Vance Monthly Market Monitor presents a concise review of economic and asset class data through clear and impactful charts. Providing timely information across a broad array of markets and investment topics, this guide serves as a helpful resource in
"We more than ever need a targeted investment agenda that stimulates ‘real’ economic growth," @hanswstegeman argues, "instead of the current financial agenda, which above all sustains elevated asset prices."
Discover our Q1 2020 Economic Outlook on our website now.
Global 5G deployment could trigger the emergence of a whole range of new services, say UBP’s experts. Read this piece to find out why and how.
