Spotlight While the humanitarian crisis continues unabated in many regions of the world, April should begin to see some respite in terms of infections starting first in Italy and hopefully continuing into other areas of continental Europe as well. As
UBS House View World leaders have made unprecedented decisions around the costs and benefits of temporarily restricting economic activity to limit the spread of an infectious disease. The social distancing measures now in place across much of the world—ranging from
Index Dashboard: Europe
For the quarter ended March 31, 2020, the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index returned 3.15%. U.S. Treasuries returned 8.20% during the quarter as the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury declined sharply to 0.67% at the end of March,
Reduction of equity positioning in the short term – Virus related slow-down in Q2 and Q3 of 2020 is pushing the global economy into recession. Earnings should fall heavily …
The 2002-2003 SARS outbreak framework that most, including ourselves, were drawing upon to anticipate the trajectory of the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak requires an adjustment following the failure of authorities to contain the contagion to the Asian continent. While an extended
In February, the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak replaced trade as the main focus for the markets. Fears of near-term negative effects on Chinese and global growth, together with the expectation that central banks around the globe will provide further monetary policy
Today the UK monetary and fiscal authorities provided a sizeable, coordinated package of measures to support the economy in the face of the COVID-19 outbreak. Such clear coordination between the Governor of the Bank of England and Chancellor of the
BMO Fixed Income For the month ended February 29, 2020, the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index returned 1.80%. Year to the date, the index has returned 3.76%. U.S. Treasuries returned 2.65% during the month as the yield on the
Monthly Investment Strategy – Central bank put, again… Twice in 10 days the Chinese authorities have changed the way new Covid-19 cases are counted in Hubei, which means that most of the “epidemic projection” exercises, which have been so popular in
Barometer: Going viral With the global economy at the mercy of the coronavirus outbreak, investors should consider shoring up their defences in the near term. 01 Asset allocation: shoring up defences Investors are trying to get a handle on the
Our multi-asset investment views – February 2020 Equities: We remain positive despite potential heightened volatility in the coming weeks as a result of the COVID-19 outbreak. Ample liquidity (i.e. readily available funds) and low bond yields continue to support elevated valuations.
What happened in the past month? Global trade growth continues to improve, riding on the tailwind of monetary easing earlier in the year and the recent de-escalation of China-US trade tension. On the domestic front, stronger infrastructure FAI and still-resilient
Key points Stocks rose for a fourth consecutive month in December, extending indices’ record-breaking rally this year, as the US and China struck an initial trade deal and reports pointed to a possible acceleration in the global economy. The STOXX®
October started out with a whole host of positive developments. The UK parliament compelled British Prime Minister Boris Johnson to ask the European Union to extend Brexit negotiations. The EU accepted the UK parliament’s request, thereby avoiding the possibility of
Equities continued to rally in November – a relatively consistent feature of markets in 2019, despite the multitude of geopolitical risks that investors have faced this year. The negotiations between the US and China on a ‘phase one’ trade deal
Market Overview October was all about talk of deals and crucial deadlines. What happened? The deals got nowhere and the deadlines were missed. How did markets react? Equities went up still more and bonds hung around. It is remarkable how
Financial markets welcomed signs of an easing in geopolitical tensions in October, with risk assets generally outperforming traditional safe havens. The US and Chinese authorities moved closer to agreeing a partial deal on trade, while the UK once again edged
A reprieve in trade tensions between the U.S. and China bolstered investor confidence in October even as political uncertainty increased around the globe. Washington and Beijing announced details of a potential deal – coined as “phase one” – for the
Over the past few weeks, Eurozone and U.S. economic and manufacturing data releases have started showing early signs of stabilization. In the United States, PMI data have trended sideways of late. Industrial production missed expectations, but much of the weakness
For the second straight month global equities outperformed U.S. equities. International developed (MSCI EAFE Index 3.6%) and emerging market (MSCI EM Index 4.2%) equities outpaced the U.S. S&P 500 Index which rose 2.2%. The U.K. Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, reached
Lichtpunten aan de horizon Wereldwijd zwakt de economische groei af. Maar er zijn signalen dat de groeivertraging niet verder doorzet. Macro-economische indicatoren duiden op stabilisatie. In de industriële sector, die de bron van de neergang is, zijn tekenen van herstel.
Eaton Vance Monthly Market Monitor presents a concise review of economic and asset class data through clear and impactful charts. Providing timely information across a broad array of markets and investment topics, this guide serves as a helpful resource in
Activity indicators stabilized but remained at relatively weak levels. Pork price gapped up after the October 1 holidays. Oct. Mtd IPP coal consumption growth rose to 19.9% YoY from 5.2% YoY in Sept on a low base, but industrial utilization
IN BRIEF With the real value of the US dollar close to its strongest level in the last 50 years, many strategists are expecting the currency to suffer a relatively significant fall in value at some stage in the next
"Covid-19: The scenarios, the lockdown, the reaction, the recovery" -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/04/ing/covid-19-the-scenarios-the-lockdown-the-reaction-the-recovery/ via @ING_Economics #coronavirus #recovery
Munis hit turbulence in a flight to safety -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/blackrock/munis-hit-turbulence-in-a-flight-to-safety/ #cash #coronavirus #FixedIncome #lending #municipalbond #COVID19 via
@blackrock
Emerging markets debt: Determinants of sovereign bond quality and returns -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/eaton-vance/emerging-markets-debt-determinants-of-sovereign-bond-quality-and-returns/ #credit #EmergingMarkets #debt #fiscalpolicy #sovereignbonds via
@EatonPartners
@EatonVance
Fixed Income Market Update -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/voya/fixed-income-market-update-4/ #fixedincome #highyield #EMD via #Voya
The corona shock in commodity prices -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/abn-amro/the-corona-shock-in-commodity-prices/ #Commodities #GOLD #oilprice #OPEC #coronavirus #COVID19 via
@ABNAMROeconomen
